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Special Analysis
YUGOSLAVIA: Prospects for Stability
The Communist party congress that ended Monday did little to clarify
uncertainties about Yugoslavia's future. Sharp conflicts and a walkout
by the Slorene delegation will erode the party's prestige and authority
and will speed morement toward a multiparty system, but they may also
a vacate c tensions at the root of the country's instability.
The congress voted for a multiparty system, abolishing the
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GERMANYS: Parts. Links NIultiplying
The two Germanys are rapidly expanding political and economic tie;
andhancellarKohls visit on Tuesday may accelerate this trend.
Offic:al links also arc expanding rapidly. West German Economics
Minister Haussmann met yesterday with East German Premier
Mod-ow and other officials and agreed to form a joint economic
commission to expand trade and investment. East German Foreign
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ROMANIA: Challenges to Ruling Front Mounting
The National Salvation Front (FSN) no longer can disguise its lack
of credibility and internal divisions; it appears headed for a major
confrontation with anxious, angry opposition groups this weekend,
both at the roundtable talks that begin today and at the demonstrations
called by the major parties for tomorrow. After several protests
against the Front's decision to run in the May general election.
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EAST GERMANY: Communist Party Loses Its Legal Monopoly
East Germany's Communist party lost its legal monopoly of power
yesterday, and roundtable talks next week will set the terms for free
elections.
In its first televised session. the East German legislature yesterday
eliminated the constitutional guarantee of the party's leading role.
One legislator complained that thc new government still is moving
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Special Analysis
POLAND: Election Implications
The election In Poland tomorrow will produce a sweeping victory for
Solidarity and a deeply divided government. The opposition will fully
control the new senate, which must approve legislation initiated by the
lower house; the party and its allies will retain most of Me lower house
seats and get the powerful new presidency. Even If pragmatists on froth
sides seek compromise to address Poland's deepening economic
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BULGARIA: Looking to Free Elections In Six Months
Bulgarian party leaders, struggling to stay ahead of popular demands
for reform, announced yesterday that free elections will be held in six
months.
At thc party plenum that opened yesterday, the regime called for an
extraordinary party congress in March, free elections for the National
Assembly by May, and a new constitution to follow. General
Secretary Mladenov also hinted the constitutional article
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EAST GERMANY: Modrow Against the Tide
Premier Modrow's government is trying to drum up international
support for continued East German independence, but today's opening of
the Brandenburg Gate is likely to increase sentiment for unification.
East German media yesterday highlighted Frcnch President
Mitterrand's visit a day after the departure of West German
Chancellor Kohl. Press reports noted that it IA as the first visit by
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POLAND: Communists Struggle for Political Survival
Any change made at Poland's Communist party (PZPR) congress this
weekend undoubtedly will do little to reduce public hostility or enable
the party to compete successfully in local elections in April.
The three-day meeting will be dcyoteu to recasting the PZPR as a
new. purportedly democratic party. Party reformers, however, have
warned that differences between the old and new
parties may be cosmetic.
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ROMANIA: Securitate Back in Business
Continued antiregime demonstrations arc prompting the ruling
National Salvation Front (FSN) to turn for support to former dictator
Ceausescu's ruthless secret police.
Comment: The current low profile of the Securitate is likely to
change if. as is likely, the FSN continues to come under attack for its
halfhearted support for democratic reform. Involvement of Securitate
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CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Taking on the Secret Police
Prague's new gorernment, dominated by the Chic Forum, sees the secret
police as 4 potential threat to democracy and is taking steps to neutralize
it.
Pctr Pithart, a Civic Forum leader,
expressed concern in a recent interview that some elements of the
secret police may be going underground.
Thgyeriiment is taking steps to restructure the Interior Ministry;
appointed trusted deputies, abolished internal surveillance
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