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6.2(d)
EAST GERMANY: Leadership Concerns
The growing exodus of East Germans to the West and the announcement
that East German leader Honecker has undergone major surgery
probably are increasin uncertainty in the leadership and may stiffen
opposition to reform.
he 77-year-old
Honecker is recovering from gallbladder surgery he had last week. A
gallstone attack at the Warsaw Pact summit in Bucharest last month
forced him to go back to East Germany, where he reoortedlv had been
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Special Analysis
YUGOSLAVIA: Sinking Deeper Into Political Quagmire
The postwar political consensus among Yugoslaria's ethnic groups is
breaking down after a decade of economic deterioration and government
mismanagement. Political tensions probably will increase nest year,
undermining the implementation of sorely needed economic and
political reforms and further weikening the country's stability.
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Special Analysis
USSR: Gorbachev Faces Tough Test in Lithuania
Gentral Secretary Gorbachev will lead a group of senior party officials
to Lithuania�reportedly in the next few days�to try to persuade the
Lithuanian Communists to reconsider their split with the national party.
In agreeing to lead the delegation, Gorbachev temporarily staved off
calls by hardliners at last week's Central Committee meeting in Moscow
for a forceful response to the Lithuanian party's declaration. Even
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I I�I
LI 3 C.
GERMANYS: Early Election Forcing Pace of Unity Debate
The advancement of the East German election is already forcing the
pace of decisionmaking in Bonn and East Berlin as the unity question
increasingly dominates both Germanys' agendas.
East German Communist leader Gysi canceled today's scheduled trip
to Washington. citing the nccd to prepare his collapsing party for
the March election. Gysi has called unification "unstoppable" but
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Special Analysis
TILE GERNIANIS; Reunification�What Would Have To Happen
Chancellor Kohl and other West German leaders hare asserted that
German reunification is "on the international agenda" but are well
awtire that it would require fundamental changes in both East and West
Germany. The most difficult obstacles are East Germany's adherence
to Communism and Moscow's firm rejection of reunification as a
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D
Special Analysis
EAST GERMANY: Prospects After Honecker
Any new leadership in East Berlin probably will continue to shun
genuine reforms because they would tend to undercut the rationale
for East Germany's existence as a separate German state. The recent
massise exodus and the non-Communist government in Poland,
howew make it i easingly difficult for East Germany to avoid
change.
The regime's failure to prevent more than 23,000 East Germans from
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r -t -t
Tor S: � refet
ROMANIA: New Regime Consolidating Security
The government continues to make limited progress in eliminating the
threat from Securitate diehards, but Romanians are increasin I �
skeptical of Communist dominance of the new government.
On Tuesday, the new government put internal security forces and
border guards under the Defense Ministry and set a new deadline for
the Securitate troops to surrender. The government is also calling on
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Special Analysis
ALBANIA: Intimations of Another Romania
Albanian President Alia, the last of Europe's Stalinist dictators, is
increasingly showing concern that his re ime Willa to the political
upheaval sweeping Eastern Europe.
The Romanian uprising appears to have attentive observers who
labor undcr Albania's oppressive regime. News of the violent
overthrow of Nicolac Ceausescu reached Albania through factual
reporting in the official press and foreign broadcasts and may have
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et
ROMANIA: Front Rebuffs Opposition Challenge
The ruling National Salration Front (FSN) has used its organizational
muscle to survive its first direct challenge by opposition parties, but it
now must also contend with potentially violent ethnic tensions in
Transylvania.
The Front faced another wave of unrest over the weekend despite
its attempt to distract the public's attention by broadcasting the
opening of the trial of Ceausescu's senior associates. More than
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CI Li
POLAND: Communist Party Trying lb Save Itself
The Central Committee of Poland's Communist party decided
Saturday to dissolve the party at its Congress on 27 January and
to form a broad-based ''socialist" party with a new name, a new
leadership, and a commitment to parliamentary democracy.
the leadership's first priority is to head
oil a split into orthodox and reformist panics
Comment: The shaken party's promise of far-reaching changes in its
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