MILITARY GEOGRAPHY AS ESSENTIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR COUNTERINSURGENCY

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CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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56
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December 16, 2016
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November 22, 2004
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14
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May 7, 1962
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MF
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Approved For -Release 200S04770CICIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7 Lt.! I 7 May 1962 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director (Intelligence) THROUGH: Assistant Director for National Estimates c/Le SUBJECT: Military Geography as Essential Intelligence for Counterinsurgency REFERENCE: USIB-D-63.6/1, dated 30 April 1962, subject: Intelligence Required for Counterinsurgency 1. The JCS memorandum that forms the main substantive content of USIB-D-63.6/1 purports to indicate "the essential elements of information relating to any country or area in which an insurgency or incipient insurgency exists." It makes no mention, however, of physical environmental factors as essential elements of information required for counterinsurgency programming and operations. 2. We assume that this gap can only be the result of an unintentional oversight on the part of the drafters of the JCS memorandum. The experiences of counterinsurgency operations in Malaya, the Philippines, and currently in Laos and South Vietnam, provide ample evidence of the essentiality of information concerning terrain, natural vegetation, climatic conditions, settlement patterns, and other elements of the environment for counterinsurgency actions. 3. It is recommended that when the reference paper is considered by USIB, a proposal be submitted to add to the JCS-proposed list of Essential Elements of Information for Counterinsurgency Actions the following item: What are the characteristics of the significant physical environmental factors of the country that must be known for the conduct of counterinsurgency operations? FOR THE ASSISTAET DIRECTOR, RESEARCH AND REPORTS: DIA review(s) completed. Enclosure: Referenced Document Approved For Release 2005/0 IIPELR JAMES A. BRAMMELL ef, Geographic Research GROUP I ExcluLd trm P801301083A 00100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 TAIAICINt 15,1111 1PON 17:11MCToRV 41i DIAAP-1 5-8 SUBJNCT: (U) Intelligence Required for Counterineurgency Actions 1. denamec/teg 26. 5 u0134.63.6/1 Meguired for Ceesteri, inetaimme 2. pamIzTosneis Special Assistent for Counterinsurgency and Special Activities, Joint Star (50405i) developed e list of "Rceential Ilenents of Informatiom for Counterinsurgency". Re requested DIA, Tab A, to consider .t..11 list in the development of a tomprebeneive ccunterineurgeney intelligence requirement amd that the OMOIOTI be applied to a list at 39 oauntries. Onagers' Umiak slop sebnItted the list to the Speatel Or (CI) 'Oberst it use noted. Gemmel Molar, am Chairmen at the Speoisl Grasp (CI) forwarded the requirements (less 12 countries) to MIS for appeopeiete action (20 14). DMA hse liheelse forwarded (lib C) Oeners1 Ululate "otter to MIX noting that the list of questions is the emme, but the countries are Wk.. ferent. An interim reply (Tisb 0 hes been fmrnisbed Generel Xrulsk en& also a caw wee prmlolvd to the mmmbere of the MID (Tab IL 3. BMWS.* the f011eetsg possibilities are dieeaseedi A. Matablish a now production program or epeeial task force to meet this reqpirement, =CID 3 states ern the sweet that a requirement is es- tablished for 'dada there is not existing peoductise espebility, the /*- rector et dottrel Intelligence, in eassaltstlesittli the 01113, *hall t.1 ii vhish ot the divestments sad egemciee the intelligence aammemlbr dem beet imdeatehe the primarr reopeueibilit4r es a merriest of amesee mew eeme". limed as U. show., the Director, Cil scold ...lie this as a peso. 'eat tor a task terse otter* to prodeme mei amitataia oommtry studios meal* Leg only Ihe essential elessomts et tetlamiekLea reqpixeda 36 Prodame the regmired imiNanualmilthts the trumoverk of mistime productive progrums. there are mow in saistemse letelligsmee production programs empable at providing mach at the imitommeties respired. Mndlfless ties to tearless timeliness, scope amd orimmloaLos of mush progrome pos? eatrienslikandlise to sleet the empreseed restiremmuts. (1) the terms at reteremae for the "rho Atamdard imstrue. tier. sonsetlis for U. coverage at the isfeeMetiae in the arise et Inter. est iadiamesi ky G. rask. Chmpter t is a Wrist at all the Chestere in the 3111 brace it 'beadsman am espresetato vehisle is "bids to immure Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7 that hie qui=sticro arc answercA, Cia:7tc,r I's have not yet bean completed on all countries tn wtich qem. Krialsk ,,,,xpressed interest; further some at those that are completed are severs-1 yes= old, Considerotion has bees given by the NIB Committee to sr, Increase Lc Chapter I productionb in this 'way informatien from a hiker irtelligemoe standpolnt would be maltiu teased acme up.to-date snd the few countries whit& have tot as yet ha initial coverage would be scheduled. It voLLIA be appropriate to ask the IX* Committee to make recompendations an measures to meet 0006 trulat's requirement through the Ble program by increasing timeliness or readOlp ration. The intelligemco community is etevotimi epyreceinate4lOOtio? years (the military over 500) to the production of basic intelligence thromgh the 11B. It is Supposed to meet fully the requirements of the Dept. of Defense in etratee.c snd h40 level operational planning. (2) Most oi the countries Oen. Krulak listed have been addressed by the Board of National Estimate* (BB); however, same of the spec/fin locations of interest have not been addressed. The terms of refirense deternine the scope of III's, BIM's. Consequently, the list of quee? tions could be furnished the DMZ for use, as appropriate, in developing future tcyma of reference for cetinates. (3) Since these production resLiressenta will ultimately result in collection requiresealts if end when the producer determines thet gips exist, it would be appropriate to alert the collectors to possible Munk requirements in this area of interest. My forwarding a copy of Oen. Krulek's quotations to the Chief oriel/61Am in each of the 3) oeuntrite, this would be done. The Director, DI& *cold lilinvise furnish a copy of the questions and countries to the V and II Commanders with the contain.. plated WM artless to order to keep then imrammul as to the emphasis thet is being placed in this area. 44 blatuallIns 34 the netionsl intelligence productima *Mort be tallomaite meet selelr this requirement or doubt this reqpiresent beset aces with ether reqpirememte is the finished lotelligne** preldwett It this reqpirmeent is net within the !Memo* of swistift pro.-, will It be done through nodifications to the Ilk the Willgt:! or both? Mat empheels will be placed an the collection at this infOrmation where gmps appear/ Viet empheals will be placed an the preemption of fiatsh inteillowee te loft this requirement? 5. kusestatiar The following recommindationa are made i 2 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 A. The 1182B request the Chairmen, XIX Cammittee to Sake recommends. time an Noisome* to meet this requirement thromPh the 1111 prelmemw B. The UDIB 'nevi& the Board of litionsl littimmtie with s oollr or Oen. Krelaies questions and list of countries tor use, as eBertiortata, in developing estimates. C. the USIB request Director at Zetellissome sod Seeeordh, Dept, at Stets to termlOh Chiefs of Missies is the 39 mostiles with the list of essential reqpireseate sod the contemplated motions tomtit these re, gaLremmots. D. the Director, DIA provide the V & 8 eammendire eith the emu* in. formation. R. Director, Oemtral intelligence AdmolOy dreg% stesuPriste reply to G. Terist. P. Direiter, DI& provide Illaprapriate tollswep rely to 110. G. &ask. 6. kw, Day sad Air Force here all. easignecl this *Alas to Oollmetica. Utica: (Meer* all believe that the reqpiremest shoed be net eithin mistime Dintromo. ?revered by =silk B. etibas 758X5 3 2601511113 IDA? INWOMMINONIMIND Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approvedror Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80BIT083A000100120014-7 (T/Z. WAAL US _CIL; C 01P ;724IINTS.IIR.07.,NCY, TABLE OF CONTENTS Page No. I. THE PROBLOI . 0 .. . . o a o 000000 ci o o o 1 II. INTRODUCTION . . 0 . 4 ...??... 1 A. Purposes of Paper' . 200390c0000 B. Terminology 0,,,4'. obe 000a 0 .0 004 2 C. Scope of Paper: Types of Insurgency . ? ? 3 - ILL. THE SMATION ANDTHREAT. ? ? . 0 ? . ? . ? 5 A. The Situation. . 000000.000000 5 B. The Causes of Insurgency . . . ? . 00 . 6 C. The Threat: Cummuni4t Doctrine and Tactic*. 000000000002000 10 IV. THE CENTRAL FRAMEWORK CI? US POLICY AND 'RATEGY ,13 A. US Policy and Objective* Toward Modernizing Societies. . . . . . . . . 13 B. The US Interest in Internal Defenze. 00 15 C. US Counte?Jusurgency Objectives. . . . . 16 V. GENERALIZED CONCEPT FOR THE ENPLOYNENT OF US RESOURCES . . . . 0 . . ............. 17 A. The Local Problem ..... 4 0 0 0 op oo 18 B. The US Problem. . . 0 0 . 0 . . . . . .0 19 C. A Generalized Concept of US Joint Operations ... . . 0 .? . 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 20 VI AEGICDCRE, T TIN . . ? . 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . . . 23 Au The Broad US Purpozo........... 23 B. The US Posture Toward Nba-Communist Inpurgvncy. ... . ., . . . ?.... . . 28 C. US Involvemant in Cemmunint-Directed Insurgency. . . . . ? . . . . . . . . . 31 D. The Critical Fectors. ? . . 0 . 2000.0 34 E. Intervention vs. Cooperativo Involve- ment. . 0000000000 o 0000 o 40 F. The Ultimm.te Target?People 0 . 0 . . . 4 41 G. Counter-Ideas and Counter-Organizations . 42 H. Strategic At7,giignments (Roles and Mission. 00.000? 000000 0 0 0 43 I. Offensive.Countermeasures Against DVI,; Type Aggreonion ? . . 0 0 . . . . 0 0 . 50: J. The Role of Allies and Intern42tiona1 Organizations . . . , . . . . . ?.00 0 50 K. Unresolved Doctrinal Issues . . 0000 0 50 VII. OPERATIONAL DaCTRIa7.: LINES OF ACTION 0 . . . 51 , VIII. ROLES Ara MISSION-3. . . . . . . 0000000 51 IX. CONCLUSIOES u . . 4 .2 0 .2 .2 ..1. 9_ 0 0. i' ? Approved ror Kelease 2605/04/22?: ulA-RuPoObiOlu8JA0000100120014-7 51 Approvecfror Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80131iT083A000100120014-7 DRAFT S/P:5/8/62 SECRET GENERAL US DOCTRINE ON CIOUNTERINSURGENCY AIMEEITAL DEFETaLOPERATIONS ? Inr I. THE PROBLEM To (a) provide a generalized ezoncept, and the accompanyTng non-technical doctrinal guidance, for the employment of .US sources tO prevent and defeat Communist-directed insurgency in. the less developed world and (b`p delineate the roles and inte:r- ? relationship of the executive agencies of the US GovernMent (1)- partments of State and Defense (JCS), AID, CIA, USIA) which sr! engaged in meeting this element of the Communist threat to HS interests. IL .117ROT?UaTI2!i A. pup,p9gEs OF PAPER The Basic National Security Paper (BNSP) deal 1.1; US policy and objectives toward the underdeveloped world but does not ex- plicitly fill the gap between policy and applied action in the field of counterinsurgency, i.e., the doctrinal gap of a body of working principles intended as guides for translating policy into purposeful action. A purpose SECRET Approved For Release 2905/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01,083A00010012014-7 ; Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-T Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B1,083A000100120014-7 SECRET 2-' A purpose of this paper is to fill this gap insofar as pos- sible (we are not yet in a position to be dogmatic in a field of as many variables as counterinsurgency). A second purpose is to give general doctrinal guidance to US activities and to define, insofar as possible, operational roles and missions for the arms of US policy which cope with Communist-directed insurgency. These of necessity must be empirical undertakings. It is easier to settle on policy than to devise doctrinal guidance on how to execute it. But a beginning must be made and certain doc -.7.posts are evident. Others will doubtless appear as we get on with the tasks which lie ahead. B. TERMINOLOGY Counterinsurgency and internal defense are used inter- changeably in this paper, each to mean the entire range of strategic and tactical responses to any form of subversive political activity, agitation, civil rebellion, revolt, or insurrection de- signed to weaken and/or overthrow an existing government or oc- cupying power which the United States supports. Conversely, insurgency is also used as a word-of-art to cover the entire spectrum of subversive activity, including armed insurrection, aimed at overthrowing a friendly government supported by us. Insurgency thus does not include political opposition con- ducted within constitutional norms but does include incipient or latent SECRET Approvedror Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80131n083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 3 - latent dissidence susceptible of unconstitutional expression or inimical manipulation. Internal defense is used throughout as roughly synonymous with internal security and is believed to be a preferable usage to either counterinsurgency or to internal security for two reasons: It is more psychologically palatable abroad, and it contains more positive connotations of the totality of the national effort r_- quired to safeguard the modernization process against the inroads of Communism or other forms of inimical extremism. Internal war is used throughout in its broad connotation and also as a synonym for the Communist usage of "wars of national liberation." DVN' type aggression is intended to mean the sending of unin- vited arms and men across international boundaries and the direction of internal (guerrilla) war from outside a sovereign state (e.g., the current activities of North Vietnam against South Vietnam and Laos). Throughout, all uses of the terms underdeveloped or less de- veloped world or nations, or modernizing or transitional societies, refers to free world areas as opposed to countries modernizing under the Communist model. C. SCOPE OF PAPER: TYPES OF INSURGENCY This paper by definition concentrates on Communist-directed insurgency and insurgency which might furnish Communist footholds. It is cpequemp Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A00010012001477. _ ? ApprovedTor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8013014083A000100120014-7 SECRET 4 - It is nevertheless important to bear in mind that Communist - directed insurgency is only one of four types of insurgency which - affect US interests toward modernizing societies. The other three types are these: 1. Insurgency which is wholly national in origin and support. Here the US interest lies in remaining aloof; or in covertly em- ploying our resources to deny Communist or inimical foreign support of the insurgency; or, if we do not support the government, in covertly assisting the insurgents. 2. Inimical nonCctmnunictforei-sunortedinsurenc (e.g., Arab pressures on Israel, Indian support of Nepalese insurgents, or Rhodesian support of Katangan mercenaries). 3. Foreign and/or US-supported insurgency in pursuit of US interests. Insurgency in all its forms thus affects US objectives for good or bad, depending on its origins, intensity, purposes and leadership. This paper proceeds on the assumptions that Communist- directed insurgency is the basic threat to US objectives throughout the underdeveloped world in the 1960's; and that when insurgency is inspired, directed, or captured by Communism or its proxies, it will invariably challenge US interests and generally require the application of US resources in conjunction with those of the society under attack. III. The Situation SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A00010012001477 Approved-for Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801304083A000100120014-7 SEirrr .. 5 , III. 'THE SITUATION AND THE THREAT Doctrine on, counterinsurgency must begin by considering the reasons why the underdevelaped world is vulnerable to insurgency, the role of insurgency in Communist strategy, and the threat which Communist-directed insurgency poses to US and free world interests. A. THE SITUATION The central forces at work and juxtraposed in varying degrees of intensity throughout the underdeveloped world are (a) the stresses and st7ains of the modernization process?the revolutionary breaks with the traditional past and the uncertain and uneven prog- ress toward no and more modern forms of political, social, and .economic orgAnization, and (b) the contest between Communism and the Free World generally for primary influence over the direction and outcoma of the modernization process. It i6 central to our problem that modernization generates targets of exploitable Communist opportunity and that all develop- ing countries are therefore susceptible to Communist subversion and insurgency in varying degree. Dissidence, dissatisfaction, and disequilibrium are the minimum concomitants of a modernizing society, especially a loosely-structured society with weak govern- mental institutions. ' Thew' are the vulnerabilities of modernizing societies on which Comunism and other enemies of controlled revolutionary progress prey in an effort to subvert and redirect modernization to their Approved For Release 20.1/04A22': CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7. , Approvecrrbr Release 2ppt/9/92 : CIA-RDP80B01583A000100120014-7 a 6 to their purposes. Furthermore, Communism exerts appeals to certain innovators and intellectuals within the new countries: it represents a proven route to modernization if human liberties and consumer wants are disregarded. 14/V-4 In some areas the threat of insurgency is active (e.g., Laos, Vietnam, Colombia); in others it is lasiamt (e.g., Northeast Thailand, northeast Brazil, Bolivia, Guatemala, Venezuela); and elsewhere it is and will remain at least latent until each modern !zing nation develops a firm national unity, a popular consensus in support of the general purposes and direction of the national government, and a capability to defend itself internally. Each modernizing society is to some extent unique in its culture, origins, structure, aspirations end progress toward modernity. It is therefore difficult to generalize on the modernization process: It must be studied in the geographic, 7:iztoric, ethnic and political context of the individual society. Yet certain generalizations bearing on the causes of insurgency cansafely be ventured. B. THE CAUSES OF INSURGENCY All insurgency, ?to succeed, must have an active indigenous base and some form of political direction and structure; and advanced stages of insurgency will have both an active domestic base of popular support and a politico-military structure, i.e., a proto- government in opposition to the central government which either competes with it for support or resists its writ (e.g., Laos, South Vietnam, Colombia). Insurgency is SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083000100120014=7 Approved?ror Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8013M83A000100120014-7 SECRET . 7 . Insurgency is grounded in the allegiances and attitudes of people within a modernizing society. Its origins are domestic and its support must remain largely domestic if it is to succeed without resort to large-scale foreign support of a typo which could change its character and scale. The causes of insurgency are there- fore really the inadequacies of the local government to requite, contain or remove popular or class dissatisfactions released .a breaking from the traditional mold and social structure. In the interim between shattering the old mold and consolidating a viable modern state of popularly accepted and supported institutional etrength, the modernizing state expoaes its vulnerability to insurgency most acutely. Politically and soclIlly, a typical transitional society will exhibit many of these divisive forces and attitudes at work: Deep rifts between the urban centers and the rural messes, complicated by an essential lack of communication between the central government and the countryside; lack of social cohesion stemming from inequities of the old class structure and often exacerbated by racial problems, social discrimination, and religious differences; mass illiteracy but, nonetheless, the dim stirrings of hope aaong the underprivileged for a better life and greater participation in the society; an inadequate educational system; weak governmental institutions and administrative capacities, an inadequate civil bureaucracy, and semi-corrupt political leaders; a government which is not or cannot be, adequately responsive to the aspirations of Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 ,? Approved?Fer Release 2005.6,01W-t CIA-RDP80B04483A000100120014-7 - 8 - aspirations of the people; a political process in which the military are the ultimate arbiters of power, often in league with the traditional oligarchs; fragmented political parties, - which complicate the formation of stable governments and the functioning of representative institutions; no firm cense of purpose, direction or achieTement; a frustrated and articulate segment of the youth and liberal intelligentsia. (often foreign- . educated) which aspires to merz! radici solutions to speed modernization; a developing middle cics which cannot yet control ? .:the political process and extremes of Right and Left which contest its rise to political and economic power. Es9nomi_sajay, the society may exhibit these divisive forces and attitudes: ?Widespread poverty and an ir!luitable distribution of wealth and income; an inadequate system of lend tenure and agricultural production, with little progress toward land reform or the development of a sturdy peasantry; an inadequate and unbalanced industrial structure with no coherent plan for economic growth which will confer equitable social benefits; inadequate economic and social infrastructure;' inadequate ability to mobilize domest resources or to marehal and re- invest savings; balance of peyments difficulties; overdependence on exports of primary products; dissatisfaction with foreign private investment yet great dependence on foreign capital assistance for economic growth; inadequate urban housing, especially low-cost housin; an inadequate tax and tax collection system; an unhealthy concentration of wealth SECRE'r Al3p*roved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014.77 ? Approved PorRelease 2005/04/t/Fick-RDP80B049.83A000100120014-7 - 9, of wealth and economic power in an upper class or in a few individuals or families; large-scale unemployment and under- employment, including the dangerous youth segment of the educated unemployed. Nilitarilx, most modernizing states are vulnerable in these respects: They have underestimated the internal threat and over- estimated and overprepared for an external threat; they do not have an adequately balanced military-police structure to maintain internal security in both the cities and the countryside (in many Latin American countries, military units cannot leave the cities lest a security vacuum be created); the military--becaume of excessive demands on the budget, repressive measures, participation in unpopular or oppressive governments, or lack of good works--are eetrz?ngad from the people; and, the military have not made the contribution of which they are capable in promoting nation-build-i and social cohesion (civic action, good works in the countryside, statecraft in government, training of conscripts in literacy and vocations). Ilycholozically, few of the modernizing states have won the battle against the blandishments and false hopes aroused by Communism among the students, educated youth, intelligentsia, the rural dispossessed and the urban underprivileged. Except in a few of the modernizing states with charismatic, articulate and social-minded leaders (e.g., Nehru) ; there is an abysmal psychological gap sEepET Approved For Release 2005/04/24e:DIA RDP80B01083A00010012001477 Approved Cbr Release 2005/04/22 ? CIA-RDP801301083A000100120014-7 SECRET ?????????=2.1.M.11.11. -10.- psychological gap between the central government and the masses, the students, the laborers and those who for various reasons foal estranged from the government and the society as a whole. Where the central government is Lagging behind the tides of popular dis- content, this gap is a very dangerous vulnerability. This partial enumeration of vulnerabilities illustrates the magnitudes of the Communist threat in canalizing and directing popular disaffection for subversive ends. Nor is this the whole story. Too rapid a tempo of modernization can be as dangerous as too little movement unless the new institutional mold is strong enough, and its leaders wise enough, to contain the powerful new social thrusts released in the process (e.g., the non- Communist social revolution of Bolivia in 1952). Just as failure to move rapidly enough encourages popular opposition and the aspirations of alternative leadership, which often takes power through a violent "social revolution" (cf. Mexico in 1910, Bolivia in 1952, Egypt under Nasser, Cuba in 1956, Iraq in 1958), so does movement forward sow the seeds of future crisis as the underprivileged reach out for more. Thus the modernization process is un7-ertain and treacherous and few societies have attained modernity without bloodshed and reliance on authoritarian techniques at some point enroute. C. THE THREAT: COMMUNIST DOCTRINE AND TACT/CS . The Communists make no secret of their intention of expanding control to those societies of the Free World which they can subvert (Czechoslovakia), SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 ? CIA-RDP806010-8-3A000100120014-7 SteRET - 11 - (Czechoslovakia), take over through internal war (China), or capture from within after an essentially nationalistic social revolution (Cuba). We must start from a premise that Communism threatens all modernizing societies. A second premise is that the Communists by doctrine and. practice are equipped to press their objectives along the whole gf the insurgency spectrum: they study and exploit the vulners-lailities of societies, they are expert in political maneuver from indigenous footholds, and they understand and practice the various forms of internal war. They regard all modernizing societies as candidates for internal war at some stage of their developmtmt, which will be the final stage in the class struggle within the society. They plan to set the stage for these "wars of national liberation" and to support them; and these wars, we have been told publicly, are the "just" and "sacred" wars which they must support in order that the society may eliminate all foreign influences and leave Communism in control of the modernization process. Communism has from its origins posed this threat. But the threat is more credible and poignant as of today for two reasons: First, the number and diversity of the modernizing societies have proliferated enormously eras imposes additional burdens on those, like ourselves, who would permit the .new societies to perfect existing institutions and to fashion their own system and pace of modernisation, SECRET ? Approved .For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved Por Release now% CIA-RDP80B044183A000100120014-7 - 12 - modernization, instead of ruthlessly imposing the predetermined institutional blue-prints of Communism). Second, in view of the general strategic stalemate and the dangers of direct Bloc-Western military confrontations, the Communists' "wave of the future" strategy is now based primarily on insurgency rather than overt aggression across international borders. (This accords with the general lesson of history since the Korean War and a probable Communist assessment that "wars of national liberation" can be supported without running the unacceptable risks of Western nuclear retaliation). A further aspect of the Communist threat is doctrinally important: Consolidating and exploiting active domestic insurgency bases, both in the cities and the countryside, are valuable moans of accomplishing two Communist purposes: Building power bases for future political takeovers, and arresting a state's forward movemmt. Hence, urban strongholds within disaffected student and labor groups, and guerrilla bases in the countryside may be developed, held and utilized not for purposes of an immediate drive to power but for purposes of sowing confusion, adding to the drain on domestic resources, and widening the base of political pewer for an ultimate assault on the state when the time is deemed right. The guerrilla is especially suited for this purpose: A guerrilla expresses action emotions and tberfore has a strong psychological appeal to a part of the populace even when he opposes a moderately unpopular regime; he strikes at the economy and social cohesion of a country Approved For Release 20 : CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7 ?: - Approved Filar Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8OBOA83A000100120014-7 SECRET 13 4, a country and thereby weakens the government; in suitable terrain, be occupies the attention of many times his number in conventional soldiers who may further contribute to the government's unpopularity by reprisals, inept tactics, or failure to think back to first causes; and he is a costly thing to eliminate. The Communists have thus refined subversive insurgency as an instrument of political warfare which can be destructively applied to underdeveloped countries at almost all points of vulnerability. Andin organizing massively for subversion in all forms, they also systematically seek to align themselves with the three great forces atwork in modernizing societies?nationalism, anticolonialism and the revolution of rising expectations. Their threat is formidable and all-pervasivn, but it cannot succeed without the support of people. It can be bluntad and defeated only if we and other free nations make it crystal clear in action and deed that Communism can never align with .the finer instincts of human nature because it is not a political system which fulfills the aspirations of men who prefer to find their own independent ways in a world community of free nations. IV. TEE CENTRAL FRAMMORR OF US POLICY AND STRATEGY US policy and strategy toward the Communist threat are designed to aafeguard the modernization process in order that the deeper aspirations of men and nations to remain free and to fashion their own ways of modern life may be fulfilled. ? A. US POLICY AND OBJECTIVES TOWAPJ) MODERNIZING SOCIETIES The BNSP is our guide for US policy and objectives toward the underdeveloped world. Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083AW1M26014-7 Approved Fbckr Release 2005/_914M : CIA-RDP80B0,113,83A000100120014-7 SECRET 14 Our broad interests in the underdeveloped world are three: --144 have a gsgaisa. and Itelo.Lical., interest that the free modernizing nations evolve in directions which will afford a congenial world environment for fruitful international cooperation and our own way of life. --Wo have a military interest that their manpower and resources not fall under Communist control and that they maintcin the minimum essential military capabilities to preserve their internal security and independence from Dn.-type aggression, or to combine with foreign assistance in meeting overt external aggression. --144 have an economic interest that their resources and markets remain available to us and to the other industrialized nations of the Free World. Doctrinally, our strategy points toward extricating ourwelves from being wholly reactive to Communist initiatives by getting on more positively with the constructive tasks of encouraging and safeguarding the modernization process. This requires our recognizing that assisting modernization (the positive thrust of US policy) and assisting in its defense are two sides of the same coin. The task of safeguarding the modernization process involves assisting transitional nations upward through the modernization . barrier with all available resources and counsel at our disposal, and acceptable to them, while simultaneously improving their dapabilities of internal defense across the entire spectrum of ? politico-military activity. Our objective Approved For Release 200511A-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7 Approved pzr Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601483A000100120014-7 SECRET ? 15 - Our objective is that modernizing countries remain independent of Communism, and free from Communist footholds (especially in the critical rural, student and labor union sectors), in order that they may progressively assume roles of dignity and responsibility in an expanding world community of free nations and. pluralistic values; and our purpose is to assist them to become free and unified nations capable of internal defense, gouvernance by consent, and self-generating economic growth within indigenous modernization systems representative of their own cultures and aspirations. The central focus of this policy is to assure an environment of sustained progress toward higher standards of economic welfare, social justice, individual liberties, and popularly based govern- ments--an enterprise in which the risks and responsibilities will normally be shared with other nations and international groupings, including the United Nations, though in terms of financial aesistance and military support, ours will doubtless remain the dominant role in large parts of the world in the decade ahead. B. THE US INTEREST IN INTERNAL DEFENSE As long as the Communists and their partisans and proxies continue to exert external and internal pressure on free societies, %we must devote attention and resources to the defense of these 'societies because (a) a sense of security, and (b) a demonstrated capacity to SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved EA r Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8060103A000100120014-7 SECRET - 16 - capacity to defend its vital interests are minimum conditions for the creative modernization of any free society. Since Communist policy is systematically geared to create and exploit vulnerabilities offered by political unrest, economic sluggishness, diplomatic disarray, and military weakness within the free community, we must, in addition to maintaining a full spectrum of military capabilities which will make the CommunistL hesitate to employ force at any level (including guerrilla warfare and urban insurrection ), seek to minimize the emergence of circum- stances and situations which permit Communist pressures and manipula- tion, with special attention to those sectors cn which the Communists traditionally devote major efforts--the countryside, the students and educational system, and the labor unions. In this endeavor, the preventative aspect of US and indigenous capabilities cannot be overemphasized. It is in the long run far less costly materially and in terms of damage to the society to prevent insurgency than to defeat it after its appearance. The dreadful arithmetic of counter-guerrilla operations, where history indicates 10 to 15 soldiers are required to cope successfully with each guerrilla, issomething which every modernizing society should maks efforts to avoid at all costs. C. US COUNTERINSURGENCY OBJECTIVES The over.-all US purpose in the field of counterinsurgenly is to assist the transitional states to develop balanced capabilities for the totil SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved Per Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601483A000100120014-7 SECRET - 17 - for the total defense of their societies against internal and external threats, this to be done with minimum diamonds on domestic re- sources required for internal development. To this end, US internal defense objectives are: 1. To contribute to the systematic immunization of vulnerable societies not yet seriously threatened by Communist subversion. 2. To assist countries where insurgency is incipient (e.g., Thailand, Brazil) to defe't the threat by removing its political, social and economic causes before the invurgency becomes active-. 3. In countries where insurgency is active (South Vietnam, Colombia), to assist the government under attack with military as well as non-military means, consistent with the US interest as determined in each case. 4. To minimize the possibility of direct US military involvement in internal war by maximizing indigenous capabilities of countering and defeating insurgency. 5. To minimize the risk of encalation (without deferring to this risk) of insurgency toward conventional or nuclear war. V. GENERALIZED CONCEPT FOR THE EMPLOYMENT OF US RESOURCES In countering insurgency, the major effort in terms of US interests, must always be indigenous. We have noted that insurgency is a uniquely local problem affecting the aspirations an allegiance of'local people. In putting down insurgency, it is only ine local government which SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved F.ctr Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01453A000100120014-7 SECRET - 18 - government which can remove its causes, win back the support of the insurgents, and strengthen the society's cohesiveness. In internal war it is always better for one national to kill another than for a foreigners-especially one with a different skin )colorii. ation--to do so. The active participation of non-indigenous (especially US) forces in internal defense operations can be counterproductive LI that it (a) dilutes the nationalist appeal, and hence the accept- ability, of the local government, (b) makes the United States a more obvious target for anticolonialism than it already is, and (c) permits the Communists more easily to associate themselves with the forces of nationalism and anti-Westernism. The US effort abroad must therefore relate primarily to advice, assistance and the training of indigenous capabilities. We must always begin this effort by knowing, what the local problem is and learning to see its distinctive local context. A. THE LOCAL PROBLEM The local problem is that modernization generates insurgency in some form and poses cruel choices of tempo and of how best to reconcile opposing forces at work within the society-of bringing tolerable order and unity out of relative dishevelment as smoothly and securely as Possible. This is nothing less than the problem of building and defending a nation against its internal tensions and upheavals and those incited from abroad. A large ....part Approved For Release 2605/USEXIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved FAT Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601103A000100120014-7 SECRET ? 19 - A large part of the local problem is that the new leaders have an imperfect view of the consequences of their acts and an imperfect vision of where to lead and how to get there. Their inexperience contributes to their difficulty in seeing the totality of theirnational problem, since the society is in flux and also under attack: the forces of flux open the avenues of attack and forward movement will depend on the skillful employment and orc7-1m- tration of all constructive national capabilities, energies and resources, both creative and defensive.. A major contributing source of this difficulty is their imperfect understanding of the political structure of insurgency, even armed insurgency, and their failure to appreciate that a creative combination of politics and force (active or potential) is required to eliminate the root causes of insurgency as opposed to the mere, and often temporary, repression of its symptoms. B. THE US PROBLEM The US problem is to involve ourselves constructively and acceptably in the local problem in order that we may cooperate with and assist the local government in resolving as wide a range of subsidiary problems as possible. This requires our developing and refining several capabilities on the part of our Country Teams: ..An ability to acquaint ourselves thoroughly with the totality of the local problem in all its distinctive qualities (its stage of modernization, the points of strength and weakness, the sources of SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-Eor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80614083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 20 sources of dissidence, the external vs. the internal threat, the probable consequences or action or inaction). ..An ability Co assist the local government, together with the society's innovators and constructive alternative leaders, to see more clearly the interaction of modernization and insurgency and the blend of politics and force required for an adequate internal defense capability. . ..An ability to convince the local leaders that within transitional societies insurgency' is part of the political process and must be dealt with in this context rather than as a compartment- alized problem for the police or the military. ..An ability to coordinate and orchestrate US resources:, and to develop techniques adapted to the unqiue local context, toward the end of strengthening .the local capability of defense against insurgency with minimal damage to the society and the momentum of modernization. C. A GENERALIZED CONCEPT CP US JOINT OPERATIONS Though the US contribution should be ancillary and as inconspicuous as possible, each operational arm. of US policy represented at the Country Team level has unique and indispensable capabilities and resources to employ in supporting the counter-insurgency operations of a friendly government. What is needed is more precise advanced planning and preparation for the contingencies of their use, greater coordination in SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 20944041,4 : CIA-RDP80604083A000100120014-7 - 21., coordination in their use when emergencies arise, and greater sophistication in applying our resources in a variety of distinctive situations and contingencies.. In short, though we may generalize on strategy, we should not generalize on tactics, which must always be tailored to the local situation. Abroad, the US concept of joint US counterinsurgency operations in a society whose government accepts our involvement in its problems, and our assistance in their solution, should be to pool US resources in reaching a joint determination on the critical vulnerabilitiea of the oociety; to refine our judgment on this determination by discussing thp3c vulnerabilities and what can be done about them, with the loccl government and, as appropriate, others within the society; and to apply US resources as necessary, in coordination with those of the local government, on the basis of a conzaon plan, if possible, 4 in any event, on the basis of a coordinated US plan of action in which each US resource will maximally contribute to the cohesiveness and internal defense capabilities of the society. US Country Teams should prepare and have before them at all times two "terrain" or "situation" mops?one which represents the long-term development plan of the country, i.e., where the country plans to go along the modernization spectrum in the next three to five years; and one which plots the "'counterinsurgency geography" of the country, 'Ise., a country plan which plots the vulnerabilities that the country's modernizing activities will foreseeably ameliorate or exacerbate. Ideally, these SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved..For Release 2005/Q4/2Z: CIA-RDP8012.14083A0001001200-t4-7 IL14..11EE - 22 ? Ideally, these maps, especially the strategic development plan, should be prepared in concert with the local government. But regardless of local cooperation, it is essential that our Country Teams jointly prepare such documents since, in their absence, we have no clear picture of our strategy in a particular country and no frame in which to coordinate US resources,. Only if we proceed in this fashion, with each component of the Country Team knowing the other's business and capabilities will we be able to match the objective studies which the Communists make of local vulnerabilities and the versatility of Communist personnel in politics, psychological operations, and insurgency. These projections will serve other indispensable purposes: 1. Their preparation and periodic upeating will make all members of the Country Team more acutelyeware of the state of health of the local political organism: individually an as a team, we will learn to look through a socinty instead of at it. 2. Our increasing ability to spot the malEunctions of the local political organism should sharpen our ability tc forecast dangerous trends and suggest remedies. Our diagnosis oE the local fever chart will suggest the main outlines of how US rescmrces should be employed to anticipate insurgency, prevent deterioratioa, or prepare for serious trouble ahead. It will give us the ind:spenable knowledge required to assess programs suggested by the local government or to persuade the local government to different courses of action. 3. Agreoment SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801394483A000100120014-7 SECRET - 23 r 3. Agreement at the Country Team level on these matters will greatly facilitate the coordination and approval of country strategies at the national level in Washington. Coordination of this effort at the Country Team level will be the responsibility of the Ambassador. At the national level, the employment of US resources in specified critical countries will be coordinated by the Special Group (Counter-Insurgency). In countries which are not specified as critical, the Department of State will coordinate plans and resources at the national level under procedures which should *urgently be refined (see Section VI). . VI, STRATEGIC DOCTRINE Against the foregoing analysis of US policy and the complexities of the modernization process, this section seeks to fix the strategic framework in-which all components Of the Country Team 4;witld act .integrally in making their unique and interrelated contributions: it is the body of common doctrine which should generally guide the formulation of programs and their execution, as contrasted with operational guidance to components of the Country Team (Section VII). A. THE BROAD US PURPOSE 1. Area of competition with-Communism. A fundamental objective of US strategy in the 1960's must be to perfect capabilities of offsetting or counterini--the Communiat threat at all levels of violence--tbrough the eisrmonuclear deterrent as well as in tactical nuclear, conventional SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approveclikor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 24 - nuclear, conventional limited, guerrilla and other forms of . ambiguouS politico-military werfare--and to confine the struggle to political and socio-economic competition. This will require adequate personnel, properly trained and broadly knowledgeable of the range of US capabilities, to cope with sub-conventional violence in cooperation with modernizing societies. If Khrushchev's and Mao's strategy in the underdeveloped world is to be aborted, major changes will be required in ours at the sub-Korean level of conflict. 2. The US interest in assisting free modernizing societies to maintain adequate counterinsurgency capabilities stems from (a) our national objective of keeping them independent of Communism and free to develop in their own ways, and (b) our recognition that all modernizing societies face internal threats in varying degrees because of the interaction of modernization and insurgency. 3. The central US purpose is to assist governments responsive to our influence with program guidance and US resources which will. counter, or preferably prevent, insurgency while, at the same tips, looking to first causes and effecting the necessary internal reforms to remove them. 4. .91abglit of modernizing societies. The principal arct,a of political and social conflict with Communism will be the under,- developed areas. Here our central problem is to assist countries in remaining SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved+or Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801304,083A000100120014-7 SECRET -25- in remaining free to fashion their own modernization systems under conditions of reasonable stability. Their stability, in turn, will depend on their achieving relative security against internal and external threats and their developing governments which respond to the aspirations and needs of their peoples. To the extent we assist in this process, we simultaneously improve their capabilities of internal defense. The central focus of US resources in the long run is not. to fight Communism as such but to develop ways in which our programs can make free governments secure against domestic enemies and politically attractive to a working majority of their people. This done, we will accept the strategic gamble that the new states will opt to remain independent of the Communist system and will progressively lean toward the Western way of life and its values. 6. The central focus of US counterinsurmEsimma.ms should, at every level of violence, be to combine civil and military (police) capabilities for purposes of defeating the insurgamcy and te contribute to the cohesiveness of the society by encouraging the local government ? to redress the legitimate grievances of the insurgmts. Insurgency_ can seldom be uprooted unless this is done. All forme of violence should be dealt with in this manner, and collila they &re in an elementary .form, before they degrade into armed insurgency or guerilla warfare. In, this process of putting down violence and also elimilating its causes, there SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005?MtaCIA-RDP8OB?4083A000100120014-7 - 26 - causes, there will rarely be a pure civil or military action: each will interact with the other in support of the common purpose; 7. Correct counterinsurgency programs will advance US ,foreign policy ,oblectives in a vulnerable society and should be designed to do so. Counterinsurgency strategy should always interact on modernization strategy and be utilized to advance and stabilize the modernization process. The preventive (defensive) aspects of our diplomatic, military, economic, informational and covert prograus , which point directly at preventing or defeating Communist-elrected- fmsurgency involve broader objectives; since each is intended to safeguard and permit social, economic, and political progress in the country involved, each is closely related to the totality of US foreign policy toward the country. 8. The basic US posture must be that of guardian of the modernization process rather than, as all too often in the past, that of custodian of the status quo. We must never commit ourselves wholeheartedly to a regime simply because it is anti-Communist. Our purpose is to defeat Communism through the progressive modernization of societies which are vulnerable to Communism as long as they remain politically dishevelled, economically stagnant, and socially divided. 9. Short-run relations vs. _1211:nsislo2,12a2i221. If we are to induce the tough structural changes in the existing order required in many states (e.g., Iran and many Latin American republics), we must not sacrifice.long-rangs purposes to short-run relations with the transitional SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved.Eor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80139.1083A000100120014-7 SXCRET - 27 - the transitional oligarchies. We must bear in mind that the oligarchies have no rational alternative to going along with our policy of the progressive liberalization and modernization of transitional societies. We must give hardnosed realism priority over diplomatic niceties and be prepared to risk the displeasure of governments and classes currently holding power. And we must use our varied array of overt and covert resources more imaginatively and effectively than in the past to influence change in directions which serve long-range US interests. 10. Alliance with modernization. Our aligning US foreign policy with the major forces of modernizatim st work within under' developed countries means that we must come to terms with the major. forces at work within these countries: nationalism (often of an irrational and irresponsible type), anticolonialiam (Which includes the problem of powerlessness adjusting to the Great Powera of the Free World in new relationships), and the revolution of rising expectations. It must be a major US purpose to coordinate colnterm insurgency programs on a pragmatic basis to deny Communist expllitation of these forces. ? 11. Fuller capitalization on US itstettsm.? Certain Communist asymmetries Which now, work against us can be counterbalanced if we more systematically employ US resources to capitalize on four advantages we hold over the Communists:. (a) our ability to involve ourselves more deeply and cooperatively in the internal affairs of the new SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8012/24,083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 28 the new states on matters affecting modernization and internal defense; (b) the fact that we do not threaten their independence or freedom to fashion their *own modernization systems and that, therefore, our long-range interests basically coincide with theirs; (c) our willingness to assist them in an empiric quest for moderniza- tion within the framework of their own unique problems, culture and aspirations (our fully exploiting this advantage will nevertheless entail adjustments in US attitudes toward mixed economies, state. owned enterprise, the role of private capital, Lnd reliance on authoritarianism during modernization crisas); and (d) the demonstrable failures of Communism in enlisting the deep-seated incentives which appeal to human nature?notably the failure of Communism to solve the problem of agriculture. B. THE US POSTURE TOWARD HON.-COMMUNIST INSURCRICY 1. The initial US response. The United State*: cannot afford to be against violence or revolution, 2..w. se, 48 historic agents of_ change. The right to change governments, economic systems and social structures by revolution is recognized in international law and the laze of force to overthrow non-Communist government? is not always contrary to US interests. Situations will doubtless' arise where we shall want to Support (or inspire) internal movements against established govern- ments or colonial powers. Where there is no provision for a peaaeful transfer of. power, a change brought about through force by mu-Communist elements may be a SECRET ' Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801394083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 29 - may be a preferable alternative to prolonged deterioration of governmental effectiveness or to a continuation of a situation in which increasing discontent and repression interact to breed each other, thus building toward a more dangerous climax (e.g., Batista's Cuba, Trujillo's Dominican Republic, Angola). Each case of latent, incipient, or active nom-Communist insurgency must therefore be examined On its merits in the light oi US interests before we become involved on either side. We must avoid jumping to easy conclusions that the insurgency is Communiat-inspired, remembering that the Communists will seek to exploit purely nationalistic breakdowns of order and that many legitimate nationalistic protests for social improvement need not get out of band or become exploitable Communist targets if the local government takes timely political corrective action. Our initial role should be that of counseling the local government to examine objectively the grievances of insurgents, even those under Communist influence, before resorting to force, unless there is no practicable alternative. 2. Repression vs. reform. If force is required, we must make it clear that the mere repression of insurgency at most usually does no more than buy time which, unless put to political advantage, may work in favor of the dissidents or of their Communist mentors on the sidelines. It is always better to uproot insurgency than merely to repress it, SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801244,083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 30 - repress it, especially when the insurgency is aligned with a popular cause. In the transitional societies, insurgency is a time-hallowed form of political expression and often the only available political pressure which can be brought to bear to effect needed reforms. It should be so regarded by the local government. 3. Persuasion of .82..vertmuentalleaders. :it is vital that US Country Teams develop insurgency maps into country plans in order that they may assess what position we shomld take when insurgency occurs. For situations will doubtlese arise when we may wish overtly or covertly to throw our suppcort behind the insurgents in an effort to bring pressure on or to replace the local government. When insurgency can be anticipated, US diplomacy' and other resources should seek to keep the governmental leaders from delaying until a real crisis is upon them, in whi,..1 case their alternatives are more limited and the use of form will be more imperative. ' The persuasion of local 1 aders to act in the interests of their society before the Communists obtain footholds is a ciraplex and subtle business and cannot succeed unless we know the facto and are willing to contest certain facts that the local goverment ' may wish to sweep under the rug. It is therefore essential that our County) SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-gor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP8013511.083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 31 - our Country Teams determine where the points of strength and vulnerability lie. This done, we can determine bow to strengthen thowelements labia' most effectively support our objectives and haw best to ease the tensions which have created the vulnerabilities. C. US INVOLVEMENT IN COMMUNIST-DIRECTED INSURGENCY 1. The scale of US involvement at the level of force should 'be as limited as possible and ancillary to the indigenous effort. It is important for the United States to remain in the background, and where possible to limit its support to training, advice and material, lest we prejudice the acceptability of the local government and complicate its task of gaining the allegiance of the insurgents, and lest we expose ourselves unnecessarily to the "colonial coloration" of Communist propaganda. 2. US strategv toward insurgency. Where insurgency is latent or incipient (a Stage I situation), the US strategy ahould be directed toward its elimination lest it provide Communist footholds and escalate into active insurgency (a Stage /I situation), in a Stage 1 situation, every effort must be made to immunize the critical sectors frac' Communism and to eradicate Communist footholds therein (see following section). Where Communist influence or control is established in a Stage I situation, steps rhould be taken to eliminate it through practicable reform measures and informational programs designed to evidence the SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B94083A000100120014-7 SECRET 32 evidence the concern and interest of the central government (e.g., ''tie programs now underway in Northeast Brazil). In Stage II situations the US involvement will be intensified, indigenous force will be required, and the offensive support capabilities of the US military and of CIA may be necessary adjuncts to the local effort. In these situations, US programs should be designed to make the indigenous military response as rapid and incisive as possible on the hardcore insurgents and to parallel this with reforms directed at ameliorating the insurgency. 3. The Philippine model. The Philippine campaign against the Huks, as led by Hagsaysay, is a model of countering insurgency, winning the allegiance of the demer/zic popular base from the Communists, and destroying the foundations of Co=munist-directed guerrilla action. Hagsaysay's strategy of the do gist fist of force and the extended palm of conciliation and reform reveals what can be accompliehed by an enlightened, energetic and imaginative central government which 'combines force with reform in defeating insurgency. It is a pattern of action which should be implanted, with whatever local modifications are necessary, wherever possible to other vulnerable underdeveloped countries facing the reality or threat of Communist-directed insurgency. It should also be studied in detail by all US civil and military officers concerned with counter. insurgency operations as a model of SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B94.083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 33 - a model of how US resources--civil, military and covert'.-can , inconspicuously, yet vitally, support an energetic domestic effort. , 4. Coordination of civil and military, resources. Anticipating, preventing and suppressing Communist-direeted insurgency requires a blend of military and non-military capabilities and actions to which each US agency at the Country Team leve can and must contributc In the battle of safeguarding the modernization process, carefully evaluated intelligence, the ability to penetrate the enemy's stronv? holds, the training of adequate and balanced military and police capabilities, developmental assistance and advice, information programs designed to ameliorate and bring understanding to local problems--these are all indispensable components of an effective "development diplomacy" adequate to the problems of the 196013. Preventing and defeating Communist-directed insurgency is therefore a total program for the local government?with its positive and defensive sides--and for US resources in support thereof. Success will depend on a careful *valuation of known facts and on a unifying concept of operations based on a country plan tailored to the local context in which applied civil and military resources interact and overlap. D. THE CRITICAL SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved,g,Qr Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B0 83A000100120014-7 SECRET - 34'. p. TBE CRITICAL SECTORS 1. The vital' sectors within modernizing societies on which programs must be orchestrated are the rural sector; the labor 'front; the student and youth organizations, including the educated unemployed; the communications and informmtional media; the military,. police; the civil bureaucracy; the variant; middle-class elites *(entrepreneurs, artists, academicians); and the political particJ, including often a legal Communist Party but invariably an illegal Communist apparat operating underground or through various fronts. The Communists seek to subvert all these sectors but are generally less successful than we in exerting major influence over governmental leaders, the civil bureaucracy, the military and police, and the middle class in general, including the centrist political parties: 2. The critical sectors from the atandpoint of US interests are generally the countryside, the students and youth (including the educational system), the labor unions and educated unemployed, and the communications and information meCia. This is not to say that the other sectors are entirely secure or that greater US across-the-board efforts are not required. But in the typical underdeveloped country, disaffected middle class or Communist organizers are most likely to organize insurmnicy within the ranks of the peasants, laborers, students, and the inemployed and under,- privileged in general. 3. Urban vs. SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 200W21CIA-RDP801304483A000100120014-7 ? 35 - 3. Urban vs. rural sectors. Insurgency must be guarded against in both the cities and the countryside. In loosely.? structured countries where the cities are beachheads for the outside world, the economy is predominantly agricultural, the central government has not gripped and led the peasantry, a passive, detached rural population, capable of being terrorized or enflamed, is the more important and rewarding target for Communist political activity (e.g., South Vietnam, Northeast Brazil). In these situations, the battle must be joined at the village level, which normally represents the lowest social and political organiza- tional level. Discontented urban ...opulations may be the more fertile . ground for Communist activities if the country is in the uneasy . throes of early industrialization and urbanization (e.g., Egypt, Iran) or is undergoing a political and social renovation from the evils of dictatorship and mismcnagement (e.g., Venezuela). Or the Communist thrust may come through the exploitation of rural canorities which may have footholds in provincial capitals (e.g., the Kurdish minorities in Iraq, Iran and Turkey).? 4. Special Problems of the Countryside. The underdeveloped world is predominantly agricultural, with 75 per cent of its people living co the land, often under feudal or semi-feudal conditions (e.g., Ecuador, Peru), yet not immune .from the modernizing influences of SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved.Sor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80604483A000100120014-7 SECRET - 36 - influences of the cities and the Communists-,who place a high priority on organising peasant land-reform leagues even in the more enlightened of the modernizing societies (e.g., India). The fact that the Communists have for so long held a virtual monopoly of urging land for the peasants suggests the necessity of our placing land reform, community development, and increased agricultural productivity at the top of our agenda for counter* insurgency programs. But there are other cogeat reasons. Land reform can or Cannot contribute to increased agricultural productivity, depending =bow effectively it is administered from the standpoint of credit and technical assistance. But it can be made to contribute to increased agricultural productivity and the latter is a strategic objective for modernizing societies in order to (a) create market relations between't3e cities and the countryside, thus strengthening the cohesiveness of the society, (b) proviee a base of rural puntbasing power for urban manufactured products, and (c) eat,e the country's balance of payments problem by contributing to its agricultural.self-sufficieacy. -Regardless of whether the country is adapted to guerrilla warfare,- re-should therefore place special eppbasis.on land reform and increased agricultural production in ortht to seal off the country- side from Communism and bring the normally coLnervative peasant, which. Communism has SEC= Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved?Epr Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80BW83A000100120014-7 Si_ggiaa Communism has traditionally used but distrusted, into the main- stream of his society and its market economy. Community development is a vital adjunct to the political .,and social development of a loosely- structured country for the reason that it takes government to the countryside and establishes channels of communication and response between the rural sector and central government. It is thus a reinsurance policy against insurgency in the countryside and a mechanism for making government responsive to the people's needs. For these reasons, US strategy should emphasize defense of the countryside through sound land reform, increased agricultural productivity, and community devel,;?mc.7.t programs. This process can be helpfully accelerated, as it hos ia many countries (e.g., Mexico, Turkey) by civic action programs On the part of the local military, thus carrying the central writ to the country in expressions of interest and concern of a type which strengthen a society. , 5. Special urban problems. Within modernizing societies, labor and youth will continue to present problems of dissatisfaction and disaffection, as they have in most countries, including the Soviet ,Union. Yet a greal deal more can be done to focus US programs and resources on explaining to both the trials and troubles of the modernization process and the pitfalls of turning to Communism as an alternative to fighting for progress as loyal nationalists. We must SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approves:11'pr Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601883A000100120014-7 SECRET - 38 - We must especially devote more attention to the educational systems of the new states, to assist them in improving the quality of their curricula and teachers, and in supplying text- books which will prepare students for the modern democratic world. The dissidence of the urban discontented can also be ameliorated considerably through emphasis on the types of programs envisaged under the Alliance for Progress (e.g., low cost housing, potable water supplies, sanitation measures, construction of schools, etc.). The importance of youth end labor to US interests is illustrated by a recent despatt Embassy Quito which states that the students' and labor fe.,orztions of Ecuador--a country on the brink of insurgency?are more politically powerful than any one of the existing political parties. 6. Assets on which to build. While getting ourselves in shape to deal more effectively with the critical sectors, we must not neglect to build more constructively on those assets which now 'generally lean toward US objectives?the military and police, the civil bureaucracy, the middle class generally, and the political leadership. We shou1d find ways of making greater use of our ability to train indigenous officers corps in nation-building and state- craft, bearing in mind that our military train more foreign nationals in military SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 39 - in military sciences than all other US government training programa ? combined. Our strategy should be to make the local military and police surrogates of US-Free World interests and officers with whom we can cooperate fruitfully in the politico-military intracacies of safeguarding the modernization process. Such would create an asymmetry in our favor which could go farther than vie have gon in the past to offset Communist advantages of being able to operate through indigenous political parties. It is similarly strategically critical that we devote 'iota attention and resources to training avil bureaucrato. in administrative practices and problems of modernization. 7. The middle class. Ours is predominantly a middle-class society and our strategy vis-a-vis the modernizing socinties is in actuality one of converting them into open, permissive middle-class societies. We have not in the past always clearly seen this as our real purpose. We have too often been timid in risking the disfavor or enmity of oligarchic leaders who, though they claim ta as brothers, have no appetite for our advice. In a society which is in flux, we must accept the fact that we cannot please all ctasses or all persons; what we must therefore do is to remain true to ourselves and project the image of a liberal dtmocracy SECRET Approved-Far Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 40 - democracy in action which stands for the strengthening of the middle class in all sectors of modernizing societies, and in the countryside as well as in the cities. Similarly, vis-a-vis a government which may veer dangerously toward Communist norms in its socialist experiments, we must be patient and understaAing, bearing in mind that excesses often correct themselves (e.g., India, Guinea) and that no nationalist government can survive indefinitely or without trouble on a completely conservative politic 21 program. In these situations, we still must act with confidence according to our own standards, keep to our middle-class strategy, cald take care that we do not drive the government farther to the Left, or into dependency on the Bloc, by cutting off avenues of assistance and advice (e.g., our support of Bolivia since the 1.9\52 revolution). E. INTERVENTION VS. COOPERATIVE INVOLVEMENT "Development diplomacy" differs materially from traditional *diplomacy as practiced with the advanced countries of the North, or with hostile states. The essence of development diplomacy is that we develop the capability and the capacity to involve ourselves deeply in the internal affairs of modernizing states in order to assist them with advice and resources. While we will SECRET n.Appro,ved_For.Release 2005/04/22: CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approvect.gor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801304,083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 41 - While we will continue to eschew unwanted intervention, we must bear in mind that the doctrine of non-intervention applies only to unwanted or unwelcomed forms of intervention, notably armed intervention. There is no doctrine against the deep and intricate involvement of one or more states in the modernization and internal .defense problems of another, though obviously the practitioners of ? development diplomacy must proceed in recognition of the sensitifities of the host government. This is an additional reason why US represent- atives abroad must be grounded in the factual tcrrain of the society .in which they serve. F. THE ULTIMATE TAXGET--PEO " In counterin3 insurgency, 1..t especially ia suppressing internal ' war, we must kcep in mind the ultimate and deciaive target: the people, who are mo,--e decisive to the outcome thce the territory captured or the insursc.nts killed. In internal war, society does not retreat to the aidelines and leave the battle to the zoldiers: aociety itself is at war and the resources, motives and ta,tgez, of the struggle are found almost wholly within the local society. The terrain on which the ultimate battle is won or lost is the support of the people. Viewed in this light, insurgency and interntl war--if they cannot be avoided by timely political action?offer opportunities to strengthen the society and point it toward modernization vita greater social immunization against SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved.g.or Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80BJ111983A000100120014-7 SECRET immunization against Communism (e.g., the Philippine model, Malaya). It is just as important to attack the inner political and psychological structure of :insurgency as it is to attack its exterior manifestations of violence, and the attacks should always be mutually reenforcing in dangerous situations. G. COUNTER-IDEAS AND COUNTER-' ORGANIZATIONS Because insurgency, especially Communist-directed insurgenc), is always rooted in attitudes and a political structure, there is need, in the political struggle against Communism, both for counter ideas and countereorganizations. For ideas to have political force, they must be supported by some form of organization-- something the Communists understand well. Soma form of organization whLeb permits outlets for confused emotions and somewhat inchoate political ' aspirations is especially important to overcome the feeling of rootlessness of people who have been uprooted from their traditional way of life and are caught in the flux of modernization, industrial- ization and urbanization. This explains part of the appeal of Communism in transitional societies. . US programs and resources should be more systematically geared, therefore, to the development of counter-ideas and counter-organizations. All arms of US policy represented abroad can contribute to this strategic objective, but especially our military and police training missions, CIA and USIA. SECRET no STRATEGIC Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved-For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801304083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 43 - H. STRATEGIC ASSIGNWENTS (NEES AED MISSIONS). 1. The Counta Team concept. The Country Teem, beaded by the Ambassador as the President's principal representative in a country, is the forum for preparing and coordinating the execution of counterinsurgency programs abroad for these reasons: a. The modernization process in underdeveloped countries involves the entire range of governmental and public activity: it is the purpose of government and ubiquitously affects the internal and external policies of the state in its relations with its own people and with the outside world. Everything we do will affect this process in some way. It is therefore vital that we coordinate the US effort in modernizing societies on be basis of a central US strategy which will be a combination of the country's development plan and a country plan for coping with the country's vulnerabilities to insurgency. b. The country plan aLduld evolve towazd a US strategic plan for seeing the country through it:: difficulties with minimum risks of insurgency--a combination of the type Of counterinsurgency plan developed for South Vietnam and of the type of strategic plan we are seeking to develop in key Latin American countries to determine how US resources can be brought to bear on key points of leverage to induce progress toward Alliance 1(47 7.1rogress goals. This is a matter to which SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B01083A0- 00100120014-7 Approved.Ror Release 2005104/.7.2,,: CIA-RDP801304.083A000100120014-7 444 to which all US agencies at the Country Team level must contribute both in preparation and execution. c. The Country Team mechanism should therefore be systematically employed for developing country plans and coordinating the employment of US resources in their execution. It should aimilarly be utilized as a forum in which to educate all participants in the complexities of the others' buoiness, thus achieving a greater coordination of effort and s7,11,-,-astzb t-77, the local government, to&e.ther with a greater versatility 2. Coordination at the natimv, level. A similar need for coordination exists at the national level. The Special Group (C-I) fulfills this need in respect of couutries certified to iL as critical. The Task Force mechanism under the chairmanship of the Department of State is a 7.artial answer to the need. But beneath the level of critie=lit: Atli which the Speci-1 Cup (C-I) and the Task Forces are col:cox-AA, there are a wide of countries whose insurgency probleLJ a.ro. dealt with on a less m cint and effective basis from the standpoint of coordination. Mc. Department of State should .therefore take a lead in devising mc.ce effective methods of those coordinating at the national level/c7ourit?erinsurgency programs recommended to it by the Country Team. 3. Strateds roles of the Country Team. Strategically, the Country Team should strive toward these capabilities in support of the Amhavsadorse SEClET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approvedogor Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B0403A000100120014-7 SECRET - 45 - the Ambassador's and Department of State's over-all responsibilities for the conduct of US foreign relations: a. Adequately trained personnel generally indoctrinated in the entire range of problems confronted by the various US agencies in a moderning society, including the problem of subversive insurgency. .8 b. Carefully evaluated intelligence on a society7Foints of strength and vulnerability and on its leaders, innovators and dissidents, including Communists and Communist organizers and fronts. All US agencies can make uniqu-.... 1.:.:..mts to our intelligence map of a society. c. The widest posaible contacts with all sectezs of the society, including the opposition. All US agencies should systematically widen contacts in the sectors of their principal interest. d. A capacity to understand and to discuss the country's problems in depth with all classes of people. A consistent dialogue on the country's problems should be a strategic purpose of all US agencies, both because it will divulge attitudes and intelligence and because it will assist us in mastering the complexities of the local scene. e. A capability of coordinating US resources in support of centrist political groupings capable of assuming political power and of transferring it through orderly processes. f. An ability SECI!.T Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved for Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80B0rf083A000100120014-7 SECRET - 46 - f. An ability to work with the, local government in ekplaining its programs and probleml to the people at large. g. An ability to influence the local military toward a balanced mix of external and internal defense capabilities which will assure a total defense of the society with minimum drains on local resources. b. An ability to influence the critical sectors suLeptible to Communist influences in Free World values and purposes vis-a-vis their society. i. An ability to influence political and social develop- ment more effectively throu3b 4avc1opmental and military assistance and training. 4. azelIE_Fnt of in the field, the Amlassador and Department of State perzonzi c.ttcched to his staff sbould take the lead in encGtIging end pereUrls the strategic roles of the Country Tccm, as env,::crated above, nrA in 3iving tactical counzel to other US agencies. The Ambassedor and one or more counterinsurgency specialists assigned to his staff- should also take the lead iLN putting together the country plan, in coordinating its executioA, and in integrating the plan into the totality of US foreign policy a maintained and coordinated at the country level by the Aizbaasado):. 5. The De 4_20.E.L._:tccart. SECRET Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP80601083A000100120014-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/22 : CIA-RDP801304083A000100120014-7 szon -47- 5. The rnt of Defenoe. The strategic role of Defence, in cooperation with AID and CIA, is n3 local country in developing a balanced security gc :a, -.72.th minimal 1=ands on internal resources, which will country a of military (police) security against 5,171=n, czternal threat. Defense (AID, CIA) can make contributions of gz.-, imp-w:tance by (a) in the coaplexit cf the =:,:a:.zatitya te local of thc inter- relationship oZ clodernisation 4nd insurgency: