Approved for Release: 2019/10/29 C06826746
CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Threatening Antidissident Campaign
Prague apparently is preparing to tighten the screws on dissidents in
response to rising criticism of the regime's resistance to reform. The
official media last week warned that activists have exceeded the
regime's patience and alluded to US complicity in attempts to
destabilize Prague. The regime also expelled a US Embassy officer for
allegedly participating in illegal gatherings and linked several men
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r t
CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Conviction of Havel Isolates Regime
The conviction of Vaclav Havel on Tuesday shows the regime's
determination to confront the recent upsurge in dissent, but the move
will lead to more Western and Soviet criticism and will increase
tensions between hardliners and pragmatists in the party. Police also
arrested Charter 77 spokesman Tomas Hradilck on Wednesday for
"incitement." and seven other dissidents were convicted yesterday.
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�1---1' I-1
1
EAST GERMANY: Opposition Group Prepares for Action
New Forum, the country's largest opposition group, is using grassroots
debates and an open recruitment of workers to build pressure for reform;
large demonstrations planned for nest week might force the new
leadership to choose between repression and fresh concessions.
A crowd of at least _
staged a peaceful protest in Dresden last night
Planning continues
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POLAND: Non-Communist Government To Be Announced
After meeting parliamentary leaders yesterday. President Jaruzelski
reportedly agreed to a landmark coalition government to be led by a
non-Communist and dominated by Solidarity, the crucial choice of
prime minister will be announced soon.
Jaruzelski has agreed to a Solidarity
proposal tor the opposition and the United Peasants' and Dcmocr ti
Parties to form a coalition government committed to reform.
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USSR: Succession in the Ukraine
Ukrainian party boss Shcherbitskiy, removed from the Politburo in
the major shakeup at this week's Central Committee plenum, almost
certainly will be replaced by a Ukrainian mon sympathetic to reform
and to local nationalist demands.
the Ukrainian Central Committee today will convene to
choose a new first secretary.
Comment: The plenum showed that General Secretary Gorbachev is
intent on pushing political reform while moo: aggressively managing
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6.2(d)
EAST GERMANY: Political Vacuum in the Making
Premier Modrow and other democratically minded forces are
scrambling to develop an alternative political structure as Communist
rule crumbles in East Germany.
The State Council yesterday named Liberal Democratic Party leader
Manfred Gerlach the country's first non-Communist president,
replacing Egon Krcnz. The Peasants' Party and Gerlach's Liberal
Democrats have followed the Christian Democrats in withdrawing
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Special Analysis
USSR: The Option of Force in the Rallies
The central party leadership is likely to persist in granting the Baltic
republics greater autonomy while warning strongly against secession.
President Gorbachev is gambling that a flexible and constructive
approach to demands for autonomy eventually will erode secessionist
sentiment, enabling him to or a show offorce that would cripple
his reform program and cost him international good will. Moscow
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HUNGARY: Tension With Orthodox Neighbors Growing
Hungary's reform-oriented leaders find the attitudes of the orthodox
regimes in Romania and Czechoslovakia increasingly threatening and
are reassessing Hungarian national security interests.
Budapest believes Prague and Bucharest have jointly targeted their
security services against Hungary
Moreover
Romanian officials warned the Hungarians an armed
clash could not be excluded if Budapest continues to press Bucharest
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-rav-svaa_
6.2(d
USSR: Foreign Ministry Says Baffles to Be Independent �
3.3(b)(1;
6.2(d)
The MFA expects both
republics to declare independence after republic elections in February
and March and hopes an eight-year transition period can bc worked
out during which agreements can be reached on such defense and
foreign policy issues as the stationing of troops and basing rights in
the republics Moscow will not use force to prevent
independence in the Ba!tics.
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is Ii r i f
'_'O
ROMANIA: ROMANIA: Situation Report
Struggling To
Form a Government
Ceausescu's Fate
Soviet Response
Ion Iliescu, former Foreign Minister Corneliu Manescu, and
prominent dissident Doina Cornea have joincd in a provisional
government called the National Salvation Front. They have issued a
sweeping program that calls for a free election in April and continued
participation in the Warsaw Pact. Scattered resistance by Ceausescu
FOIA
