CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/05/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02901120
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: May 27, 1953

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27 May 1953
Copy No. 6 7
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN /
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Office of Current Intelligence
CEN'TRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
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GENERAL
\VComment on Soviet refusal to resume Austrian treaty talks (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
2. Tet light bombers moved to Kamchatka (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Vietnamese in Thailand recruited by Viet Minh (page 4).
4( Negotiations for evacuating Nationalists from Burma may soon
be stalled (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5, Arab Legion reported regrouping on Israeli frontier (page 5).
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GENERAL
1. Comment on Soviet refusal to resume Austrian treaty talks:
The Soviet rejection of a bid for four-power
discussion of an Austrian treaty appears to be primarily a delaying
action. By emphasizing the futility of further discussion on the deputies'
level, the USSR may be attempting to retain its bargaining position for
higher-level talks where broader issues can be negotiated. The USSR
may also be hoping through a prolonged exchange of notes to promote
further dissension among the Allies.
Pravda recently stressed that the Soviet Union
could not accept any preconditions to discussions of major world issues.
The Soviet refusal, therefore, also reflects the new government's sensi-
tivity to being "forced" into negotiations.
The Kremlin may consider that it can conduct
Its present "peace offensive" by a continuation of minor conciliatory
gestures, and through the Korean negotiations, without making major
concessions in Europe.
SOVIET UNION
2. Set light bombers moved to Kamchatka; 3.3(h)(2)
IL-zts jet itgrit DomuerS
have been transferred from Khabarovsk and
Sokol to the Elizovo area of Kamchatka.
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the total may be much higher and that the movement is continuing.
Comment: Indications that the bomber division
based in the Elizovo area near Petropavlovsk was being supplied with jet
light bombers were first noted in late April.
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The IL-28 has an operational range of about
700 nautical miles. Deployment of IL-28's to known airfields on
Kamchatka would bring at least one US air base in the Aleutians within
their range and, in addition, permit Soviet reconnaissance of air and
sea lanes in the area.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Vietnamese in Thailand recruited by Viet Minh:
3.3(h)(2)
a, Thai town across the 3.3(h)(2)
border from Paksane is reportedly the group-
ing point for Viet Minh recruits from Thailand.
The message mentions that the approximately 750 recruits there were
drawn from several Thai border provinces. 3.3(h)(2)
grenades,
medicine and clothing, as well as recruits, are being sent to the Viet
Minh in Laos by Vietnamese residing in northeastern Thailand.
In the event of a resumed Viet Minh campaign
in Laos next fall, the Vietnamese population in Thailand, which numbers
approximately 50,000, could constitute an important source of supplies,
manpower and intelligence.
3.3(h)(2)
4. Negotiations for evacuating Nationalists from Burma may soon be stalled:
Chinese Nationalist foreign minister George Yeh
has termed "absurd" the Burmese plan for estab-
lishing a temporary safety zone for Nationalist
troops in the Mong Hsat area. He told the Ameri-
can charge is Impossible for the mixed committee to visit Mong Hsat
until the Burmese order a general cease-fire. In addition, according to the
foreign minister, General Li Mi ref uses to order his troops to cooperate in
any evacuation before a general cease-fire.
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Yeh also made it clear that both he and Chiang
Kai-shek shared Li Mi's views, explaining that it would be impossible
for Mong Hsat to be "isolated" in a safety zone while the Burmese con-
tinued to attack subordinate units elsewhere.
Comment: According to reports from the
American embassy in Bangkok, there is very little more the committee
can do until the Nationalists arrange for it to proceed to Mong Hsat.
The Burmese have steadfastly refused to con-
sider a general cease-fire, although they have agreed to one in the
evacuation areas.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Arab Legion reported regrouping on Israeli frontier:
Ambassador Green reports that the situation 3.3(h)(2)
along the Israeli-Jordanian border is "more
potentially explosive" now than at any time in
the past 10 months. He has been authoritatively
informed that Arab Legion units on the border are being reinforced and
regrouped in preparation for any eventuality.
The ambassador warns that his counsel of
moderation may fall on deaf ears because the Jordanian prime minister
appears to lack his predecessor's restraint.
Comment: In the past the presence of the
Arab Legion, which is under British control, has been a moderating
influence in Jordan's relations with Israel. This fact, along with the
superior strength of the Israeli forces, suggests that the legion's moves
are precautionary.
On the diplomatic front, the Jordanian govern-
ment has asked the United States, as a guarantor of the status quo, to
take steps against Israel's "aggressive activities."
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