CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/06/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02929518
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: June 3, 1953

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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CLASS. CHANCED TO: T3 ittC)61
NEXT REVIEW DATE-
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATiZatri, _REVIEWER:
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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CURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
�
,omment on fall of Indonesian cabinet (page 3).
..tr Air supply to Li Mi's forces in Burma reportedly continues (page 3).
. Philippine president's illness will hamper his election campaign
(page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Mossadeq reportedly orders arrest of antigovernment mullahs
(page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
5. British and French to oppose any Soviet effort to revive control
council in Germany (page 4).
4�1.-
. Slim majority seen for De Gasperi in 7 June elections (page 5).
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CURITY INFORMATION
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
I. Comment on fall of Indonesian cabinet:
Indonesia's coalition cabinet, headed by
Wilopo of the National Party, fell on 2 June following a split on the
issue of land distribution in North Sumatra,
The National Party and the Masjumi, the
principal parties in the coalition, have consistently differed on basic
issues. The opportunistic tactics of the National Party, which included
increasing cooperation with the Communists, also contributed to a situa-
tion of chronic instability.
A succeeding cabinet is likely to include the
National Party but will not necessarily be more to the left than the
Wilopo government. President Sukarno may ask the conservative wing
of the Masjumi, unrepresented in the Wilopo cabinet, to cooperate with
the National Party in forming a new government. The possibility that
Vice President Hatta might be asked to form a nonpolitical cabinet, as
recently reported, is believed to be remote. Previous experience indi-
cates that a considerable period may elapse before a new government is
formed.
2. Air supply to Li Mi's forces in Burma reportedly continues,:
The American army attache in Taipei has been 3.3(h)(2)
reliably informed that a plane of the Fushing
Airways left Taipei on 28 May carrying supplies
to Mong Hsat, headquarters of the Chinese
Nationalist troops in Burma.
Comment: This is the third report indicating
that Taipei is continuing to supply Li Mi's troops in Burma by air since
negotiations for their evacuation began in February.
Meanwhile, work of the committee in Bangkok
which has been attempting to arrange the evacuation of Li Mi's troops
has been suspended as a result of the Chinese representative's recall
to Formosa in connection with Admiral Radford's visit there.
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3.
Philippine president's illness will hamper his election campaign:
3.3(h)(2)
Ambassador Spruance in Manila believes that
Philippine president Quirino's present condi-
tion, though not critical, will prevent him from
campaigning actively in the near future and that
his opponents for the presidency
will capitalize on his illness.
4.
Comment: Should Quirino die, Vice President
Lopez, who is currently supporting Romulo's candidacy, would become
president and by virtue of his office would be in a strong position to name
a new Liberal nominee.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Comment: Since last May, Kashani has re-
portedly been trying to organize religious opposition to the prime minister.
The police also claimed evidence that Kashani supported the group that
murdered the former pro-Mossadeq police chief Afshartus. If Mossadeq
moves against religious leaders, he will risk the development of widespread
and serious popular antagonism.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. British and French to oppose any Soviet effort to revive control council
in Germany:
Both the British and French high commissioners 3.3(h)(2)
in Bonn recommend that the Allies block any
effort by Moscow to renew the operations of the
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Allied Control Council, which governed Germany from 1945 to 1948.
They believe that the recent changes in the Soviet administration in
East Germany may presage a new Soviet effort to re-establish the
control council by requesting Allied-Soviet high commissioners' meet-
ings to deal with specific problems.
Comment: Although the Allied Control
Council, in which each of the four countries had the power of veto,
ceased to function when Soviet representatives withdrew in March
1948, the council was never formally abolished.
6. Slim majority seen for De Gasperi in 7 June elections:
The American embassy in Rome still believes 3.3(h)(2)
that Premier de Gasperi's center bloc of parties
will win the 7 June elections by a "rather slim
margin" and obtain a majority in both the Senate
an am eputies. The embassy states that the current wave
of pessimism may be partly ascribed to a government tactic to bring out
a maximum vote as the only means to avoid defeat with ensuing political
chaos.
Comment: Under the recently passed electoral
law, the De Gasperi bloc, by winning a bare majority of the popular vote,
would gain almost two thirds of the seats in the Chamber of Deputies.
This law does not apply to the Senate, however, and a bare majority there
would leave the government parties severely handicapped by rightist and
leftist opposition.
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