CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/22

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018013
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: November 22, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018013
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SECURIT 'FORMATION
22 November 1952
Copy No.
r 7
9
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO 740
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NEXT REVIEW DATE:
Office of Current Intelligence 9.47
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet UN delegates noncommittal on Indian truce proposal
(nacrel RI
2.
FAR EAST
3. Broad gauge Soviet rolling stock adapted for standard gauge
Chinese railroads (MP a
4.
the US (page 4).
rearmament pressure from
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Split in Indonesian Army brings threat of civil war (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6.
7. A raps urge Iranian cooperation in German-Israeli reparations
dispute (page 7).
8. Arabs expect greater US support from Republican administration
(page 8).
EASTERN EUROPE
9. Czech trial prepares way for Party Conference (page 9).
WESTERN EUROPE
10. Austrian Government facing hard trade bargaining from Poles
(narrp
11.
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GENERAL
1. Soviet UN delegates noncommittal on Indian truce proposal:
Premier Nehru told Ambassador Bowles
on 19 November that Indian representatives
had "several conversations" with Soviet
representatives to the United Nations and
"full discussions".with the Peiping regime in regard to India's Korean
truce plan. Nehru stated that both the Russians and the Chinese
had been "noncommittal."
Comment: Premier Chou En-lai's
statement to the Indian Ambassador in late October regarding the
release of the POW's from American control is reflected in the Indian
truce plan.
Soviet and Chinese Communist spokesmen
suggested privately during October that a compromise on the POW
issue was possible, but on 21 November Pravda attacked the Indian
resolution as supporting the US position on repatriation of prisoners.
A Colombian UN delegate, who talked with
Indian representatives on 20 November, reported that India planned
to judge proposed amendments to its Korean plan "entirely" on the
basis of their acceptability to Peiping.
2. British vessels make up half of shipping in China trade:
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3. Broad gauge Soviet rolling stock adapted for standard gauge Chinese
railroads:
FAR EAST
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'broad gauge Soviet tank cars
and freight cars may be operating on the
standard gauge Chinese rail system, thanks
to a technique of respacing the wheels on their axles. It may thus
be possible for Soviet supply trains to operate across Manchuria
to Vladivostok without transloading at border points. From
Vladivostok, supplies can move into northeast Korea by way of the
recently completed rail line through Kraskino.
Comment: 3.3(h)(2)
since early 1952 referring to the rental by China of Soviet rolling
stock have suggested that Soviet railway cars were being adapted for
use on the Chinese system. At transloading stations on their
European border, the Russians occasionally replace wheels and
axles to fit the gauge of the Satellite rail systems,
rearmament pressure from the US:
/General Eisenhower's
campaign proposal to replace American
with South Korean troops in the front
lines in Korea.is an indication of the policy
wmcn wiii De pursued by the United States with respect to Japan's
defense.
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Comment: The Japanese Government
has resisted US efforts to speed up the rearmament program,
maintaining that the nation's economy must be strengthened first.
General Eisenhower's statement has aroused considerable discussion
in the Japanese press over the possibility that the US will not
only urge faster rearmament, but request the participation of
Japanese forces in the Korean war.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Split in Indonesian Army brings threat of civil war:
The territorial commanders of the Indonesian
Army in East Java and in East Indonesia,
both of whom recently declared their
divisions' support for President Sukarno and
renounced their allegiance to army headauarters in Djakarta have
formed a military alliance, The
commanders have decided on a Line, running north and south through
Java, on which they will fight if forces under the Djakarta command
approach or cross the line. (See map, p. 6)
If any action is taken against the East
Indonesian army staff, it will secede from the Djakarta government
and proclaim an Islamic state.
increased guerrilla
action may be expected in West Java and that the Darul Islam, an
armed Moslem dissident group there, is fully prepared to take
advantage of the situation.
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6.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Arabs urge Iranian cooperation in German-Israeli reparations
dispute:
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Comment: In their present mood, the
Arab governments will probably promote a maximum amount of
opposition to the reparations agreement.
Iran and Germany signed agreements in
Tune extending their current trade pact to May 1953. An Arab
approach on an economic boycott of Germany would pose a diffi-
cult choice for the Iranian Government: it would be caught between
a desperate need for foreign trade and its interest in maintaining
Moslem unity.
8. Arabs expect greater US support from Republican administration:
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American observers in Jordan and neigh-
ng Arab states have noted a widespread optimism among "Arabs
in all strata of society" that the change of administration in Wash-
ington portends a radical change of US policy toward Israel.
Ambassador Green in Amman, in reporting this information; stated
he foresees a "possibility of strong anti-American reaction in
case of unalleviated disillusionment."
Comment: During the recent Arab
League meetings, General Nagib indicated his belief that a personal
trip to the United States to see General Eisenhower might solve
the Arab dispute over the German-Israel restitution agreement.
Ambassador Caffery dissuaded him from taking such a trip.
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EASTERN EUROPE
9. Czech trial prepares way for Party Conference:
The American Embassy in Prague
believes that the Moscow Party Congress
decided to order the trial of the fourteen
former Czech Communist leaders now in
o c ear t e way for the forthcoming Czech Communist Party
Conference.
The Embassy points out that while anti-
Zionism is one of the major themes of the trial, the accusation
against Slansky as a Zionist is no more plausible tha.h the charge that
he is a potential Tito. Slansky refused in 1948 to give any assistance�
to Jews emigrating from Czechoslovakia, while Premier Zapotocky
was at first quite cooperative.
Comment: The Czech Government is
trying to place on Slansky and his fellow defendants the blame for
the shortcomings of the regime in the social and economic fields.
WESTERN EUROPE
:W. Austrian Government facing hard trade bargaining from Poles:
Polish trade negotiators are insisting
that any trade agreement with Austria
be conditional on delivery of strategic
ball bearings. Although willing to
nt agreement to 1 March, the Poles are currently
demanding that Austria fulfill back orders for $180, 000 worth
of the embargoed bearings, pay free dollars for Polish coal,
and accept Polish wheat as a means of eliminating its favorable
clearing balance with the Poles.
These conditions are not acceptable
to the Austrians, who consider a temporary agreement unsatis-
factory.
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Comment; Austria has previously
received Battle Act exceion List I bearings required to fill
back orders, provided a satisfactory agreement is signed with
the Poles and the total bearing commitment does not exceed
$500, 000.
Although the Austrians have previously
considered their favorable balance would be an advantage, the
Poles are apparently using it as a means of thrusting unneeded
goods on the Austrians.
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