CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/04/22
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02733118
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
4
Document Creation Date:
March 18, 2019
Document Release Date:
March 28, 2019
Publication Date:
April 22, 1951
File:
| Attachment | Size |
|---|---|
 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15587416].pdf [3] | 90.12 KB |
Body:
Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 602733118
1%pf� U lin
22 April 1951
Copy No. e -
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
5
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASSY
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANCED 'TO: TS toii'
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70-2,05,
DATE. 11414..:DREVIriVVER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Chinese Nationalists lack capability for mainland invasion (page 3).
2. Communist prisoners taken recently in Korea expect heavy support
for coming offensive (page 3).
NEAR EAST
2
3.3(h)(2)
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FAR EAST
1. Chinese Nationalists lack capability for mainland invasion
In,conversation with US UN delegate Gross, 3.3(h)(2)
T. F. Tsiang, head of the Chinese UN dele-
gation, who has just returned from Taiwan,
stated that responsible leaders on Taiwan do
not feel that the Chinese Nationalists have the capacity for a successful
invasion of the China mainland at this time. Tsiang added that of the
600, 000 ground forces now on the island approximately 300, 000 could
be considered as l'conibat effectives. "
Comment: In February, General Sun Li-jen,
Commanding General of the Nationalist ground forces, asserted that
in addition to logistic support, diversionary actions would have to be
undertaken elsewhere in China by military forces other' than Chinese
to insure success of a Nationalist mainland attack, and that operations
then in progress in Korea and Indochina were not sufficient for this
purpose.
2. Communist prisoners taken recently in Korea expect heavy support for
coming offensive:
1 r
North Korean and Chinese Communist prisor3.3(h)(2)
taken since late February have reported over-
hearing or being told that a great quantity of
air, armor, and artillery support was being
assembled in Manchuria to be sent into Korea to support a coming major
offensive. Estimates varied from 4,000 aircraft and 3, 000 tanks to a
vague reference to a "large number of tanks, artillery and 400 aircraft
to be received in time for the ?May offensive.'" CINCFE evaluates these
prisoner of war reports on increased Soviet supply of materiel and plans
for stronger air and armored support as "probably true. "
Comment: The large number of reports re-
ceived, not only from Korea but also from sources within China, con-
cerning the expected scale of Soviet materiel support for Communist
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TOP ET
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troops in Korea lends added credence to the probability that any future
offensive would be supported by additional heavy equipment, probably
manned by Chinese Communists or North Koreans.
NEAR EAST
3.3(h)(
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