Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
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The President's Daily Brief
21 May 1971
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
21 May 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Cambodi
(Page 1)
(Page 3)
Communist China's internal politics are discussed
on Page 4.
The mass exodus of refugees from East Pakistan to
India threatens to bring relations between the two
countries to the boiling point. (Page 6)
In addressing the National Assembly yesterday Sadat
avoided new initiatives in foreign policy but prom-
ised domestic reforms. (Page 7)
Communist China's new Mao-class submarine may have
nuclear propulsion. (Page 8)
Peking is improving its space facilities. (Page 9)
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CAMBODIA
(continued)
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USSR
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COMMUNIST CHINA
It is apparently now widely accepted in China that
Chen Po-ta, Mao's personal secretary and fourth-
ranking member of the regime's ruling politburo,
has become the first major victim of the complex
infighting which has been in progress within the
politburo for the last year.
a recent article
in the party theoretical journal Red Flag condemn-
ing "idealist apriorism" was an attack on Chen,
even though he was not directly named. The article,
given wide publicity on 15 May, excoriated sham
Marxists who dispute Mao's view that theory must
not be divorced from practice. Chen has long been
the regime's leading theoretician, and the article
is evidently intended to serve formal notice that
Chen has been silenced.
Chenls political demise clearly results from the
long-standing dispute' between radical ideologues--
part of Mao's inner circle since the beginning of
the.Cultural Revolution?and a more vague grouping,
of proponents of relative moderation in domestic
and foreign policy whose principal spokesman ap-
pears to be Premier Chou En-.Zai.
Chen is reported to have gotten into serious trou-
ble because of his association with the notorious
"May' 16 Corps," an extremist organization that Was
denounced as "counterrevolutionary" in 1967 for its
attacks on Chou En-Zai, a number of his vice pre-
miePs, and several major regional military figures
who are now on the politburo. An investigation of
the activities of this group has been under way
for sometime. It apparently is a major effort,
perhaps backed by Chou, to undercut the power of
leftist elements in the politburo. The crackdown
has affected nearly all levels of. the central party
and government and may soon reach a climax.
Other important leaders are probably implicated.
Kang Sheng, the regime's top political security
specialist, has been out of public view since last
November, and he
and, to a much ,lesser extent, Madame Mao were crit-
icized along with Chen Po-ta for "extremist" ac-
tivities at a.major party gathering last fall.
(continued)
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Because both Chen and Kang have close personal and
philosophic ties with Mao, the scope of the investi-
gation raises serious questions as to the role of
Mao himself. Evidently he has been persuaded that
these leaders were working against him, but their
eclipse will tarnish Mao's image and cast doubt on
many of the aims and objectives of the Cultural Rev-
olution.
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INDIA-PAKISTAN
Ambassador Farland comments from Islamabad that
the mass exodus of refugees from East Pakistan to
India may be bringing relations between the two coun-
tries to the boiling point, He notes New Delhi's
warning to the Pakistanis last weekend that the
"deliberate expulsion" of Bengalis was "leading to
a threat to peace in the region." This he believes
is designed in part to lay the groundwork for any
forceful action India might eventually decide to
take to cope with the situation0
a number of strongly worded articles appearing in
the local press yesterday were clearly inspired by
a Foreign Office briefing. The thrust of the
stories was that India will be forced to act to
protect its national interests if other nations
fail to bring enough pressure on Islamabad to end
the crisis in East Pakistan.
New Delhi is trying to give impetus to
its current diplomatic offensiveagainst-.
Islamabad. /
/Although some refugee relief
aid has already been channeled to India
through volunteer organizations, the In-
dians believe that much more will be
needed and ?that the situation may become
desperate.
Notwithstanding their sympathy for--and
aid to--the Bengali dissidents, the In-
dians almost certainly hope that an armed
conflict with Pakistan can be avoided.
/a growing number of In-
dian officials view armed intervention
as a real possibility.
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EGYPT
In his address to the National Assembly yester-
day, Sadat put forth no new initiatives in foreign
policy. He reiterated Cairo's position that Egyp-
tian forces must be allowed to cross the canal under
any interim settlement with Israel and that a partial
Israeli withdrawal must be tied to an over-all set-
tlement. He praised Egypt's "honest and sincere
friend, the Soviet Union" in an effort to reassure
? Moscow on the status of Soviet interests following
the major upheaval in the Egyptian? Government. He
also urged the US to "squeeze Israel" to break the
impasse in the negotiations.
Sadat again stressed his policy of liberalizing
Egypt's political institutions. He directed his
government to draft a permanent constitution, a
goal, that Nasir had deferred until after a settle-
ment with Israel. He also pledged to rebuild "from
top to bottom" the Arab Socialist Union, Egypt's
only political party, whose top leadership fell
victim to last week's purge.
Sadat's dramatic announcement that he
would not seek another term presumably
was meant to underline his call for
"continuous rejuvenation" of higher of-
ficials. Inasmuch as his own current
term does not expire until 19763 this
self-denying statement does not carry
much weight now.
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COMMUNIST CHINA
China's new submarine has recently been seen
again in satellite photography at the north China
shipyard where it was first observed in January.
A large section of hull plating evidently has been
removed ?from the pressure hull.
The pressure hull opening is in the ap-
proximate area where a nuclear reactor
would be located and is the kind necessary
for fueling a reactor. This evidence,
however, is not sufficient to permit a
firm determination that the submarine is
to have nuclear propulsion.
The submarine--designated the Mao class--
is expected to be ready for sea trials
within the next year. Itis.the first
submarine of Chinese design and has a hull
form suitable for high-speed operation.
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NOTES
Communist China: Satellite photography shows
that the Chinese are building a fourth permanent
tracking facility near Kun-ming. The new installa-
tion apparently will have a large dish antenna simi-
lar to those at two other tracking stations, one
west of Peking and the other near Shanghai. The re-
maining tracking station is in west China. Chinese
space launch facilities have also been improved re-
cently by the completion of a new launch site called
B-2, at the Shuang-cheng-tzu missile test range.
The new site can accommodate larger space boosters
than the site from which both of China's satellites
were apparently launched.
Egypt-Romania:
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Top Secret
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