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The President's Daily Brief
June 30, 1976
2
25X1
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of EO. 11652
exemption category 513(1),(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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.1-
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June 30, 1976
Table of Contents
Lebanon: The battle for Tall Zatar refugee camp threatens to set
off a major confrontation between the Muslim and Christian
sectors of Beirut. (Page 1)
Libyan Prime Minister Jallud, who has been trying to arrange
the entry of the Arab security force into Lebanon, yesterday
announced the end of his mediation mission. (Page 1)
USSR-Jordan: Some details on the air defense package the Soviet
Union offered King Husayn are now available. (Page 2)
USSR: General Secretary Brezhnev made no case for Moscow's
primacy in his speech at the European communist party con-
ference, but he made clear that the Soviet Union still con-
siders "proletarian internationalism" a concept that should
shape relations in the communist world. (Page 3)
Greece-Turkey: Tensions are rising again as the Turks prepare
to send a seismic research vessel into the contested Aegean
Sea. (Page 5)
Note: Hungary (Page 6)
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. _ _
LEBANON: Palestinian
and leftist forces that
were trying to relieve
the defenders of Tall
Zatar refugee camp were
reportedly driven back
yesterday. The Chris-
tians have taken over
Jisr al-Basha camp, and
the leftists have begun
shelling the Christian
captors.
The Arab League foreign
ministers meet today in
Cairo--at Egypt's in-
stigation--to consider
again ways to halt the
fighting in Lebanon.
Libyan Prime Minister
Jallud, who has been
trying to arrange the
entry of the league
force, yesterday an-
nounced the end of his
mediation mission.
The battle for Tall Zatar threat-
ens to set off a major confronta-
tion between the Muslim-controlled
western sector of the city and
Christian-held east Beirut. The
US embassy reported yesterday that
the area around the embassy and
the American University of Beirut
is already under increased artil-
lery shelling and mortar fire.
Egypt wants to demonstrate to the
other Arab states that Syria is
responsible for preventing talks
among the Lebanese parties, and
that Syria is responsible for
hindering the Arab peacekeeping
effort.
The Egyptians may succeed in a
closed forum in focusing the blame
on Syria, and the forum may be
able to promote quiet pressure on
Damascus to halt the Christian of-
fensive. It is unlikely, however,
that the Arab foreign ministers
will directly condemn Syria. They
will reiterate the need for an Arab
security force in Lebanon, but
they will probably be unable to
remove the obstacles that have so
far hindered its formation.
Jallud blamed virtually all the
Arab states for the failure of his
efforts, and warned that Libya
will now give full support to the
Palestinian and leftist cause in
--continued
1
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J. NJ 16. J. Al
USSR-JORDAN: Some de-
tails on the air defense
package the Soviet Union
offered King Husayn are
now available.
Lebanon. He also announced with-
out explanation that the arrival
of Saudi and Sudanese contingents
of the pan-Arab force, originally
scheduled for today, had been post-
poned indefinitely.
Although Jallud accomplished little
during three weeks of shuttling
between Beirut and Damascus, he
was the only channel for bargain-
ing among the Syrians, Christians,
and Palestinians.
A special Arab League representa-
tive and the recently appointed
commander of the league security
force arrived in Beirut yesterday
and apparently will try to resume
the work Jallud was doing. Both
men, however, are Egyptians with
little standing outside the league
organization. Neither is expected
to have any influence over the
Syrians.
According to the chief of Jordan's
air force, Moscow has offered Jor-
dan 40 "regiments"--which we pre-
sume to be launch batteries--of
SA-2, SA-3, and SA-6 surface-to-
air missiles, plus 600 shoulder-
fired SA-7 missiles and an unknown
quantity of ZSU-23/4 self-propelled
antiaircraft guns.
Jordan's commander in chief has
said that the Soviets have given
the Jordanians a reasonable time
to consider the offer.
would be
trained initially in the USSR and
Syria if the deal goes through,
after which the Jordanians would
assume responsibility for training.
In addition, some Soviet advisers
and technicians most likely would
have to be stationed in Jordan.
--continued
2
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USSR: General Secre-
tary Brezhnev specifi-
cally referred to "pro-
letarian international-
ism" in his speech yes-
terday at the European
communist party confer-
ence and made clear
that Moscow still con-
siders it a relevant
concept that should
shape relations in the
communist world. He
made no case, however,
for Moscow's primacy.
Compared to the 14 batteries of
Hawk missiles Jordan was to receive
from the US, the Soviet missiles
have more firepower--362 launch
rails for the Soviet weapons and
252 launch rails for the Hawks--
and offer greater protection at all
altitudes. In addition, the SA-6
would give Jordan the mobile battle-
field system it has wanted for pro-
tecting its troops in combat.
The equipment also would be compat-
ible with Soviet air defense sys-
tems provided to other Arab states.
This would facilitate coordination
on the battlefield and make it
easier for Jordan to replenish its
stocks during combat.
The Jordanian commander in chief
said he still hopes his country's
air defense system will be a US and
not a Soviet system, but he made
clear that Jordan is not interested
in any arrangement that includes
the British-built Rapier missile
system. The general believes that
it is now up to the US and not the
Saudis to keep Amman from buying
from Moscow.
Brezhnev noted that individual par-
ties were principally responsible
to their own working classes, and
that relations among the parties
should be governed by equality and
respect for each other's indepen-
dence. He said that "no one" had
proposed an "organizational center"
for the world communist movement.
Although the Soviets have expressed
such sentiments before, they will
not convince the independents, who
will reiterate their own views on
interparty relationships.
--continued
3
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--.____---7-===.,_
- -__ ____.
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Brezhnev made passing
swipes at China and
Chairman Mao, but made
no effort to read the
Chinese out of the move-
ment.
Brezhnev pledged efforts
to improve relations
with the US, but ex-
pressed irritation with
the delay in strategic
arms limitation talks
caused by "responsible
circles" in the US.
He probably wanted to avoid stimu-
lating a defense of the Chinese by
any independent-minded party.
Moreover, with the prospect of
Mao's death very much on their
mind, the Soviet leaders may have
decided not to push hard on anti-
Chinese themes.
In discussing last year's European
security conference, Brezhnev ar-
gued that the USSR and its allies
were doing better than the West in
living up to its humanitarian and
cultural exchange provisions and
that Moscow would insist on its
own interpretation of what are ap-
propriate ideas to be exchanged.
Brezhnev was positive on "detente"
and said that the parties should
help make it "irreversible."
Brezhnev indicated that reduced
tension had helped promote advances
by "progressives" in Europe and
setbacks to "fascism" in Portugal,
Greece, and Spain. He went out of
his way to cite the "outstanding
success" of the Italian communists
in the recent election.
He referred to the increase in the
US defense budget as evidence of
forces working against the relaxa-
tion of tension. Although Brezh-
nev's remarks on SALT were some-
what sharper than heretofore, his
overall approach was consistent
with his Soviet party congress
speeches and subsequent Soviet com-
mentary on a cooling in Soviet-US
relations.
4
--continued
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The Aegean Area
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559981 6-76
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.1 Li 1. I N. LI L., .1 .L.J.L-LL V LI A
GREECE-TURKEY: Tensions
between the two coun-
tries are rising again
as the Turks prepare to
send a seismic research
vessel into the con-
tested Aegean Sea.
Turkish officials said last week
that the ship, which is now at Is-
tanbul, would enter the Aegean on
July 7. Ankara is using the ves-
sel to assert its claim to a share
of the potentially mineral-rich
seabed and to offset opposition
charges that the Demirel govern-
ment has not vigorously pressed
Turkish rights in the Aegean.
Athens will view seriously any
Turkish incursions. Last week,
for example, the Greeks made a de-
marche to US officials expressing
concern that a Turkish air exer-
cise off Izmir scheduled for July
6 and 7 might be timed to coincide
with the ship's activities. Greek
Aegean forces reportedly will be
in an increased state of readiness
when the ship enters contested
waters, although they probably
will be under orders to avoid a
confrontation.
There are indications, meanwhile,
that the Turks may choose to make
only token thrusts into disputed
waters in the hope of minimizing
the danger of a Greek reaction.
The Turks have assured the US em-
bassy that they do not intend to
provoke the Greeks, and that they
do not plan to give the vessel a
military escort. Nonetheless, it
is possible that either side could
miscalculate and spark serious
trouble.
--continued
5
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JL
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Last week's riots in
Poland present the Hun-
garian leadership with
the difficult decision
of whether to implement
the price increases on
meat products scheduled
to take effect tomorrow.
NOTE
The Hungarian price hikes, which
average 33 percent, were announced
last November and have since re-
ceived only occasional public men-
tion. The finance minister indi-
cated last week that planned in-
creases would be put into effect.
The leadership may now have second
thoughts.
For purely domestic reasons, Buda-
pest may not wish to damage its
credibility by retracting a deci-
sion that has been on the public
record for so long. The economic
necessity for such increases is
still present, and the measures
are mild when compared to the Pol-
ish price proposals.
6
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,
Top Secret
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