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The President's Daily Brief
July 28, 1975
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 513(1).12),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
July 28, 1975
Table of Contents
Turkey: The government is beginning to implement
Its decision to take control of US bases, but
Turkish officials still do not seem sure how
far they wish to modify defense relationships
with the US and are leaving themselves room
for maneuver. (Page 1)
Portugal: The installation of an executive trium-
virate--presumably to reduce differences within
the ruling military--is more likely to heighten
those disagreements. (Page 3)
?Latin America - Cuba: The OAS seems certain to move
tomorrow on the Cuba sanctions issue. (Page 5)
Notes: Angola; USSR; China (Page 6)
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TURKEY
The Turkish government is begin-
ning to implement its decision to take
control of US bases and has asked for
assurances that operational activity
at the bases has been suspended. Turk-
ish officials still do not seem sure
about the extent to which they want
to modify defense relations with the
US, however, and they are leaving
themselves room for maneuver.
Operations related to the primary mission of
four US-run common defense installations ceased
yesterday in response to the Turkish note of last
Friday. All activities at the Incirlik installa-
tion are continuing, however, because of the diffi-
culty in distinguishing between NATO-related acti-
vities which are permitted by the Turkish note and
others that are prohibited. Other US installations
and facilities are continuing to operate normally.
Turkish commanders are set to take over control
of the four designated in-
stallations tomorrow., Director General for Inter-
national Security Affairs Yavuzalp told Ambassador
Macomber yesterday that instructions to Turkish
commanders call on them to treat US military per-
sonnel as "members of a friendly and allied force."
US officials in Turkey are particularly con-
cerned that the Turks will insist on having access
to highly sensitive areas within the installations.
According to a Turkish radio broadcast, the
Turkish government has called for an extraordinary
meeting of the NATO Council to explain its actions
against the US bases.
Operations were continued at the bases through
Saturday when it appeared that the Turkish govern-
ment--having made a major publicity impact by its
announcement of the suspension and takeover--would
refrain from zealously implementing its decision.
An inquiry by the acting chief of the General Staff
about the status of operational activity on Saturday,
however, led to the suspension of operations yester-
day.
(continued)
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Turkish officials have thus far been vague about
other steps they will take. Yavuzalp, for example,
told the US ambassador yesterday that the extent of
the shutdown did not "exceed" Turkish requirements,
but he did not elaborate. Nor did he comment when
the ambassador informed him that the cessation of
operational activity has been delayed by a day and
that all activities were continuing at Incirlik.
Prime Minister Demirel appears to have left the
details of altering Turkey's defense relationship
with the US in the hands of the Turkish General
Staff. The General Staff has usually argued for
moderation in reacting to the embargo, but pique
may cause them to take actions that will be diffi-
cult to reverse when passions cool.
According to a preliminary embassy assessment,
the ability of the US forces to carry out their
mission will depend as much on the zeal with which
the new restrictions are interpreted and carried
out as on the restrictions themselves.
Reaction by the political opposition and press
has been outrage at the decision of the US House of
Representatives to continue the embargo. The
opposition has given grudging approval to the moves
of the Demirel government against the bases. Prin-
cipal opposition leader Ecevit called for even
stronger measures and for a general review of Turk-
ish foreign policy.
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PORTUGAL
The installation of an executive tri-
umvirate--presumably to reduce differences
within the ruling military?is more likely
to heighten those disagreements.
Present evidence suggests that differences be-
tween security chief Otelo de Carvalho and Prime
Minister Goncalves are wide and unbridgeable. This
is probably no less true of Otelo and the third mem-
ber of the triumvirate, President Costa Gomes, who
appealed in the assembly meeting for a slowdown in
the revolution because it was out of touch with the
people.
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Reaction to the new triumvirate from the Com-
munists--whose support for the latest change was
lukewarm at best--suggests that they may be appre-
hensive about the elevation of Otelo--whom they have
good reason to fear--to such a position of author-
ity. It must also be evident to the Communists
that not only has their future become directly
linked with that of Goncalves, but also that the
moderates--both in the military and in the demo-
cratic parties--are far from ready to capitulate.
It remains unclear at this point how the mod-
erate military officers will move. Aware that
their effort to unseat Goncalves would fail in the
radical assembly last week, key moderate officers
refused to attend despite entreaties by Costa Gomes
and others. Instead, they held their own meeting
at the foreign ministry.
Although a
move by the moderates could come this week, they
may delay a decision until Foreign Minister Antunes,
who will accompany Costa Gomes to Helsinki, returns
to Portugal.
(continued)
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Both the Socialists and the moderate leftist
Popular Democratic Party have expressed opposition
to the new triumvirate. The Socialists sought to
identify the party with the pro-Western remarks
made by Costa Gomes during the assembly, while both
the Socialists and the Popular Democrats denounced
the new governing body as illegal.
A Socialist protest rally on Saturday night
in Evora--some 75 miles east of Lisbon?was attacked
by the Communists, resulting in dozens of injuries.
Portuguese troops were required to intervene as some
6,000 Socialists and Communists battled with clubs
and rocks. Yesterday Socialist leader Mario Soares
addressed another protest demonstration in the north,
and Catholics in the far northern town of Braganca
defied the military by holding a rally protesting
the seizure of the church radio. The Popular Demo-
crats were said to be planning a rally on the island
of Madeira.
Whether the triumvirate can temporarily bridge
the differences within the government may become
clear when and if a new cabinet is announced, either
today or tomorrow. Any respite in the country's
turmoil is likely to be brief, given the economic
problems that are expected to come to a head in the
next few weeks and the problems in the Azores and
Angola.
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LATIN AMERICA - CUBA
The OAS seems certain to move
tomorrow on the Cuba sanctions issue.
The resolution being offered to the
OAS foreign ministers, who will be
meeting at San Jose, Costa Rica, will
grant freedom of action to treaty
signatories regarding their conduct of
relations with Cuba. A second devel-
opment affecting Cuba's relationship
with Latin America will be a meeting
in Panama, also tomorrow, which is to
establish a new regional economic
group.
The resolution that will be presented at San
Jose will ignore the substance of the 1964 charges
against Havana. Relations with Cuba would become
a bilateral matter rather than one controlled by
the OAS.
Representatives of about 15 governments, in-
cluding Cuba, will meet in Panama to create a
purely Latin American association--the Latin Ameri-
can Economic System--that in some ways will parallel
the OAS. One of the functions of the new organiza-
tion will be to serve as a forum for Latin and
Caribbean governments to work out their differences
so that they can present unified positions to the
US in the OAS.
Despite its obviously improved status, Cuba
is a long way from respectability in Central and
South America. Strongly anti-communist governments,
particularly Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay, will
continue to regard Castro as a pariah. Other govern-
ments that are less hostile but nevertheless cool
toward Havana will critically examine Cuba's con-
duct within Latin organizations such as the new
economic group.
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ANGOLA
Li12
NGO
Brazz I
Pobiint
!r4
Kinshasa
Cabind
12--
.16 --
Luluabourg
Luand
ATLANTIC
OCEAN
Nova Redondo
Lobito
Benguel
havuma
Cassin
558252 7-75
(vOndangua
SOU H-WEST AFRICA
(Intern tional Territory)
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NOTES
The National Front for the Liberation of
Angola does not appear to have moved its forces
much beyond the town of Caxito that it captured
last week.
The Front's plans for further action may be
determined partly by the need for continued logistic
support from Zaire and the results of fighting
elsewhere in Angola with forces of the rival Popular
Movement for the Liberation of Angola. The Portu-
guese have switched signals since last week when the
Portuguese commander ordered his troops to establish
a perimeter around the city to protect it against
an offensive by the Front. The Portuguese high
commissioner told the US consul general on Saturday
that he intended to follow a policy of strict
neutrality, implying that the Front would not be
opposed. He said he doubted that the Front had
the strength to enter Luanda.
Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko has made clear
to Ambassador StoesseZ that Moscow will try to
avoid taking a position on the question of Israeli
expulsion or suspension from the UN.
Gromyko claimed that Moscow had no firm advance
warning of Arab intentions to press for Israeli
expulsion. He argued that any General Assembly
decision to exclude Israel from its sessions--either
by expulsion or suspension--would go against the
UN Charter. Gromyko said the UN Charter must be
preserved as it stands. He reiterated Moscow's
view that Israel should seek its security in the
territorial guarantees of the "strongest powers."
The Chinese placed an earth satellite in orbit
on Saturday.
This is
the third satellite the Chinese have launched. The
other two were launched in 1970 and 1971
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,
Top Secret'
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