THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 5 NOVEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466890
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 5, 1976

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000300040005-1
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The President's Daily Brief
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November 5, 1976
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E 0 11652
exemption category 56(1).(2).(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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Iran:
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
November 5, 1976
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Table of Contents
(Page 1)
Rhodesia:
(Page 2)
Mozambique-Rhodesia: The Machel government has reacted with re-
straint to attacks this week by Rhodesian security forces
on guerrilla bases in Mozambique, apparently in an effort to
avoid action that might damage chances for agreement in Ge-
neva. (Page 3)
Japan: Deputy Prime Minister Fukuda's resignation virtually en-
sures an attempt to oust Prime Minister Miki next month
(Page 4)
Poland-USSR:
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USSR: The MIRV-equipped SS-18 ICBM may now be operational.
(Page 6)
Notes: Lebanon; USSR-Egypt; Philippines (Pages 7 and 8)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
IRAN:
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
RHODESIA
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
MOZAMBIQUE-RHODESIA:
The Machel government
has reacted with re-
straint to attacks this
week by Rhodesian secu-
rity forces on guerrilla
bases in Mozambique, ap-
parently in an effort
to avoid action that
might damage chances
for agreement in Geneva.
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Foreign Minister Chissano on
Wednesday expressed concern over
the situation to the diplomatic
corps but did not appeal for mili-
tary assistance, as Mozambique had
done after earlier Rhodesian at-
tacks.
Chissano met separately with the
US ambassador and asserted that
such raids are bound to "compli-
cate" the negotiations in Geneva.
He said he hoped the US would make
that point to Rhodesian Prime Min-
ister Smith.
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Concern over the Rhodesian attacks
apparently has led Machel to ask
for a meeting of the "front-line"
African presidents. Tanzanian
President Nyerere and Zambian Pres-
ident Kaunda have agreed to meet
with Machel on Saturday in Dar es
Salaam. Angolan President Neto
also is to be invited; Botswanan
President Khama appar- 25X1
ently will not attend.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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/press reports
/the Rhodesian op-
erations covered a
wider area than past
attacks in Mozambique,
and that the security
forces captured or de-
stroyed large quanti-
ties of arms and equip-
ment.
JAPAN: Deputy Prime
Minister Fukuda's res-
ignation today?reflect-
ing his decision to
move into open opposi-
tion to Prime Minister
Miki--virtually ensures
that the anti-Miki camp
will make a serious ef-
fort to oust the Prime
Minister following the
lower house election
next month.
The Rhodesians penetrated up to
60 kilometers (38 miles) into Mo-
zambique along a front stretching
some 240 kilometers (150 miles).
They say special precautions were
taken to avoid civilians.and Mo-
zambican troops.
Fukuda had been under considerable
pressure to resign since last week.
Then nearly two-thirds of the rul-
ing Liberal Democratic Party's
Diet members publicly endorsed
Miki's removal--and Fukuda's in-
stallation as party president and
prime minister. Anti-Miki leaders
agreed to postpone such a direct
challenge for the time being, how-
ever, because of sentiment in the
party that the leadership issue
should be resolved after the lower
house election.
Fukuda has preferred all along
that Miki be removed by negotia-
tion rather than an open battle,
and his refusal to confront the
Prime Minister has caused problems
in the anti-Miki ranks. At this
point, however, Fukuda has little
to lose by resigning.
The Diet has passed the required
economic legislation this session--
in part Fukuda's responsibility
as director of the economic plan-
ning agency, from which he has ,
also resigned--and in any case the
entire cabinet must by law resign
following the general election.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
POLAND-USSR: Polish
party leader Gierek
will visit the Soviet
Union for one week be-
ginning November 9.
Tensions within Poland
remain high.
The Poles need Soviet economic as-
sistance, and the Soviets will use
the trip to show the extent of
their support for the current Po-
lish leadership. Despite concern
about Polish economic practices
and the way in which the price in-
creases in June were handled, Mos-
cow has apparently decided to
throw its weight behind Gierek.
To do otherwise would risk further
political instability in Poland.
In late October, eight Western am-
bassadors in Warsaw in an assess-
ment of the Polish domestic situa-
tion since the June riots said
that the current "crisis" is more
serious than the crises of 1956
and 1970 because:
--there is no visible alterna-
tive to the present leadership;
--there is a strong--even bit-
ter--rejection of the regime by
a broad, informal opposition,
which embraces industrial work-
ers, peasants, intellectuals,
university students, the church,
and reformist communists;
--the government is at an im-
passe and has failed to develop
new policies.
The most dangerous time in the
near term will come in the weeks
before Christmas, when the Polish
people traditionally stock up on
food and other goods. The govern-
ment normally reserves sufficient
quantities of meat for the occa-
sion and is expected to try to do
the same this year.
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feet(meters)
160 (30.49)
1. 80(24.38)
80,(1829)
40(12.19)
20(6.10)
SS-18
C) SS-18 Complex
620631 11-76 CIA
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR: The MIRV-equipped
SS-18 ICBM may now be
operational. This ver-
sion of the SS-18 is
the Soviet's largest
MIRV missile and has
been tested with as
many as 10 re-entry ve-
hicles.
The Soviets appear to have com-
pleted the conversion of two more
groups of SS-9 silos for the SS-18.
Each of these groups contains six
silos; at one location the Soviets
late last year apparently began
stockpiling warheads used with
MIRV systems. No warhead canis-
ters of any type have been ob-
served at the location of the
other group.
The Soviets now have 48 opera-
tional SS-18 launchers and are
working on 86 more. The conver-
sion program probably will be com-
pleted in 1980, giving them 308
operational SS-18 launchers. Most
of these launchers will probably
be equipped with the MIRV version
of the SS-18.
The MIRV-equipped SS-18 has been
tested with varying numbers of re-
entry vehicles. On most of its
early test flights it carried
eight re-entry vehicles--four large
and four small. Since mid-1975
most of the missiles have carried
10 of the smaller re-entry vehicles.
Both the eight- and ten-re-entry ve-
hicle types have been tested exten-
sively, suggesting that both will
be fielded.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Lebanese President Sar-
kis has named one of
his closest advisers to
be the commander of the
Arab League peace-keep-
ing force.
Soviet Foreign Minister
Gromyko and Egyptian
Foreign Minister Fahmi
agreed to continue dis-
cussions on bilateral
issues following their
talks Wednesday and
yesterday in Sofia, Bul-
garia.
Philippines
NOTES
The announcement of Colonel Ahmad
al-Haj's appointment gave no new
information on when additional
peace-keeping troops will arrive
in Lebanon or how they will be de-
ployed.
Rival Lebanese factions in Beirut
have been regularly violating the
cease-fire during the past 48
hours; however, the truce is hold-
ing in all other parts of the
country.
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The decision to continue talking
is all that can be expected at
this stage of the Soviet-Egyptian
impasse.
The next opportunities for such
exchanges will be when a Soviet
trade delegation arrives in Cairo
later this month and a Soviet of-
ficial at the UN goes to Egypt
for talks in December. 25X1
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Renegotiation of the US military
bases agreement began last Apri125X1
at the Philippines' request.
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Agreement was reached on some
points, but when the talks were
informally recessed in mid-August,
major issues were left unresolved.
A basic problem is the amount of
military aid the Philippines wants
in return for continued US use of
the bases. Another is Manila's
request for increased controls
over the US bases. Marcos has ad-
mitted that the Philippines has
devised no formula for Philippine
sovereignty over the bases without
impinging on US military operations.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Top Secret
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