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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
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17 JAN. 1962
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1. Dominican Republic
A. Yesterday's changeover, engineered
by a. military group led by General-Rbdtiguez
Echavarria to forestall a feared move
by the UCN against the military, has
produced a new 7-man civilian-military
Council of State. Balaguer is out,
'(a new president has apparently not yet
been named) but so is Bonnelly, who was
slated to succeed him. The build-up in
tension in Santo Domingo. all day yester-
day-triggered theAuove.
B. The ousted members of the Council
are under arrest
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C. The new Council has announced that
it will remain in power until February
1963 and that, in the meantime, it
will work to achieve "real democracy."
D. Although Balaguer is gone, Rodriguez
remains, though not a member of the
Council, and a new round of violence
is in the offing.
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3. Soviets begin partial
release of conscripts
the Cubans have scheduled some kind of
o eration against the Base 50X1
While Castro would like to QUA]
dramatize the issue on the eve of the
OAS meeting, the kind of military move
which the rumors point to would hardly
serve his purpose. More probably, they
are of a piece with other harrassment
moves, which have been on the increase
lately, against the Base's Cuban employees.
Evidence has begun to appear
in East Germany
Lt-ht at least some of,the conscripts
who have completed their 3-year terms
are being demobilized and sent home.
While the move does suggest some
relaxation of the abnormally high
state of readiness which has been in
effect in Soviet forces in East Ger-
many, the number of troops we think
are thus far involved is too small
to warrant any speculation regarding
possible change in the Soviet nego-
tiating position or tactics on Berlin.
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4. Key Ecuadorean elements Military leaders, joined by the Defense
seek Arosomena resigna- and Foreign Ministers, are insisting
tion that he shift direction or step down
in favor of Vice President Varea, a
middle-of-the-roader. Their chief
demands are for a break with Cuba
and the removal of leftists from the
government. Arosomena's popular
support, except from the left, has gone
downhill steadily since he took over
in November, and it looks as though
he no longer has the political re-
sources to hold out.
5. Congo
A. Gizenga has informed his representa-
tive in Cairo that he plans to leave
for Leopoldville on Saturday, which, in
the circumstances, is probably a firmer
PssilynnoP t1i7n those he gave earlier.
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B. Our Embassy in Moscow sees signs
that Soviet disenchantment with U Thant
has begun to 'set in as a result of the
UN's position on Gizenga. At the same
time, Moscow's continuing "go-easy"
tack toward the Adoula government seems
to reflect "Soviet appreciation of the
realities of the current situation."
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NOTES
A. Harriman saw Souvanna in Geneva yesterday to sound out his ideas
on breaking the Boun Oum-Phoumi impasse. Souvanna agreed to
come up with more concrete proposals on composition of a govern-
ment, which if acceptable to us, would give us more leverage
against Boun Oum.
B. New Delhi, maneuvering to sidetrack Pakistan's move to bring the
Kashmir issue before the Security Council, at least until after
the Indian elections, is hinting that, if debate does take place,
Krishna Menon will be India's man and that tempers on both sides
would be bound to flare.
C. The East German regime is making little or headwa i ettin
he doldrums
the party still much troubled by the amount of static 50X1
it is picking up, particularly as a result of worsening economic
conditions.
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D. Uruguayan Communists are planning "gigantic" demonstrations,
accompanied by strikes, during the Punta del Este conference.
An influx of comrades from Chile, Argentina, Venezuela, Peru, Co-
Rubio, and Brazil may give them a pretty good turn-out, but
Uruaguayan security officials are not looking for any un-
manageable problems.
E. The Saudis, with some urging from us, are considering an effort
to mediate the Pakistan-Afghan dispute, based on an appeal from
King Saud to both "Muslim brothers."
F. An aide of Lebanese President Shihab, whose nerves remain very
much on edge, has hinted to a US representative in Beirut that
Lebanon would appreciate help from the US in getting the British
and Jordanians "off Lebanon's back."
P"r TI Dr.c:ele.n+ (In is,-Tesm carrot
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I.
II.
DOCUMENTS OF INTEREST
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
50.'4
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