ADDITIONAL COMMENTS ON PERSPECTIVES FOR INTELLIGENCE, 1975-1980

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01495R000400020036-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 18, 2006
• Sequence Number: 36
• Publication Date: July 1, 1974
• Content Type: MF

E . R NDUM FOR: Executive Assistant/DD/SAT
Approved For Release 2006/1 t5T19 CIA RDP08OtW1495f0004000200.
DDI-2 O0-
-SUBJECT Additional Comments on-Perspectives for Intelligence,
.1 M7 L- 7 r%ran
`. = Its forcrtlati~g our long range plans for R&O'-work- we have, Identi-
fied world, food production, supply, demand,. control','..and 'distribution as
1 ikely future :=problems- important to the, Intel l"igence Community., We
recommend that additional ecansicleratitan begi to--the . in "Persil Ives
for: Intel
2 As, world pc nilatlon:.and affluence have increased and food.con-
sumpt1"ort has outpaced per. capita produc ion., food reserves have
decreased ., Thee equivalent' grain -reserves as,' 'a share 'of'=the total' 'grain
consumption has decreased ,fror; 26% in ' l951 .to -l A%: ,in -1973 (8% projected
for 1974). Low food es?:rves leave the world in a dangerous short-terra::
position- i.n the. event' of-adverse' crop-years.. Moreover; l.imatologists .
predict' ' with high :confidence that average earth temperatures: will , decrease
in future years-'i ea di ng to a reducti on in crop yields of as: much a 30%.
3:. The-food." problem could be emphasized In the paper by,adding thefollowing ; x
Page 3,. first sentence: change to read "The changing balance
between :'the. wor'ld`s supply of and demand,for natural resources
and food and the increase in -population will strain the.-world's
Page 9, insert after first full sentence and before ' last
sentence of paragraph 8: "Food shortages triggered by
regional crop failures and/or long-term climatic changes com-
pounded by, shrinking., world food reserves could`cause'dlspro-
p+ortionate deaths and economic and political upheavals for
some of the Third World nations."
1
Director o Research & 'Development
25X.T'.
..Idf,::f
Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP8G$01495R00040.0020036-0
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