NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FRIDAY 30 JULY 1982

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84T00301R000400010004-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 5, 2007
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: July 30, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

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Director of Top Secret
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National Intelligence Daily
Friday
30 July 1982
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If France-Namibia-Angola: French Views on Cuban Withdrawal . . 6
9 Somalia: Efforts To Ease Internal Strains. . . . . . . . . . 10
30 July 1982
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French officials are increasing public and private criticism
of proposals to Zink a negotiated settlement in Namibia to withdrawal
of Cuban troops from Angola.
Foreign Minister Cheysson, in a recent radio inter-
view, called such proposals "scandalous." He agreed it
would be an equally intolerable violation of Angolan
sovereignty for parties outside Angola to pose conditions
on the future of the insurgent National Union for the
Total Independence of Angola. According to press accounts,
Cooperation Minister Cot echoed Cheysson's comments during
a just-completed visit to Angola.
Comment: The French apparently believe efforts to
link explicitly a settlement on Namibia to Cuban with-
drawal from Angola represent a South African tactic to
delay progress in the negotiations. Paris favors a Cuban
withdrawal but maintains the Angolan Government will be
inclined to request such action only after a Namibian
settlement.
The French are unlikely to withdraw from the five-
country Western Contact Group. They probably calculate,
however, that their recent statements on the linkage
issue will strengthen relations with the Frontline States?
especially Angola--and with Nujoma.
30 July 1982
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I'6JSOMALIA: Efforts To Ease Internal Strains
President Siad is trying to allay tribal unrest and
improve the Army's morale, which has been damaged by
Ethiopia's occupation of Somali border villages. Siad
plans to announce on Sunday the release of most of the
students arrested earlier this year during antigovernment
riots in the north.
Comment: Siad's announcement probably will empha-
size the arrival of US arms shipments as a sign of his
ability to obtain Washington's support. Although he also
may announce limited political and economic reforms, they
are likely to be superficial. The President's moves will
buy the regime a little more time, but fundamental changes
30 July 1982
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