THE SITUATION IN VIETNAM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00826A001000010031-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 29
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 18, 2006
• Sequence Number: 31
• Publication Date: July 13, 1966
• Content Type: MEMO

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CE NT.RA'L 'I NTELLIGENCE
State Dept. review completed
103
AGENCY
PREPARED. FOR THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL
FURTHER DISSEMINATION OE INFORMATION.
CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT AUTHORIZED
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'T00826A001000010031-0
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 Ap
13 July 1966
Premier Ky announced today a series of changes
in his cabinet. No reaction to these changes has
been noted either from government functionaries or
from Buddhist elements. The North Vietnamese remain
determined to continue the war, according to reports
attributed to French diplomat Jean Sainteny who talked
with Ho Chi Minh on 5 and 6 July.
I. The Military Situation in South Vietnam:
Another North Vietnamese regiment has been accepted
by MACV in northernmost Quang Tri Province (Paras.
3-4). Weekly review of South Vietnam battle statis-
tics (Para. 6).
II. Political Developments in South Vietnam:
Premier Ky announced expected revisions in his cabinet
on 13 July (Paras. 1-4). Thich Tam Chau, the chair-
man of the Buddhist Institute, has used another ploy
in his attempt to avoid a confrontation with the
militant faction within the Buddhist clerical hier-
archy (Paras. 5-6). Tam Chau's announced two month
leave for reasons of health may provide Buddhist
militants aligned with Tri Quang the opportunity to
press for a Buddhist boycott of the forthcoming elec-
tions (Para. 7).
III. Military Developments in North Vietnam:
One MIG-17 was downed in an engagement with US Navy
aircraft over North Vietnam (Para. 1). Recent
photography has disclosed additional MIG-21s at
North Vietnam's Phuc Yen Airfield (Paras, 2-3).
IV. Other Communist Military Developments:
There is nothing of significance to report.
Approv
 Approve
V. Communist Political Developments: French
diplomat Jean Sainteny is reported to have found Ho
Chi Minh adamant on the impossibility of negotia-
tions at present (Paras. 1-3).
13 July 1966
Approv4
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NORTH ?Dong Hoi
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SOUTH VIETNAM
CURRENT SITUATION
0 25 50 75 100Mdes
0 25 50 75 160 Kilometers
63048
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1. US forces are participating in ten of 27
battalion-sized or larger ground operations cur-
rently in progress in South Vietnam. Ground combat
activity is reported to be at a low level of inten-
sity.
2. South Vietnamese Operation THANG LONG 243
ended yesterday after six days in central Darlac
Province. South Vietnamese forces killed 104 Viet
Cong and captured one. Friendly losses included 18
South Vietnamese killed and 52 wounded.
3. MACV has accepted another North Vietnamese
Army regiment--the 812th--in South Vietnam. The 812th
Regiment has a strength of 1,500 men and was last
located in an area about 20 miles west of Quang Tri
city. It is the sixteenth confirmed NVA regiment
to date in South Vietnam. The parent unit of the
812th Regiment is the 324th Division. T o other in-
fantry regiments of this division--the 90-hh and 803rd
--are reported in South Vietnam in the same general
area as the 812th, but MACV cannot substantiate their
acceptance at this time from information now avail-
able. The 812th Regiment left North Vietnam around
30 May and arrived in Quang Tri Province on 20 June.
4. Total confirmed NVA strength in South Viet-
nam now stands at 34,910. Another 4,500 men in var-
ious units are carried in the probable or possible
categories. In addition, there are a number of units
--such as the two other regiments of the 324th Divi-
sion--which have been reported by prisoners, re-
turnees, and in captured documents, but which are
not included in the above-mentioned categories.
13 July 1966
Ap
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CURRENT OPERATIONAL STATUS OF MAJOR TRANSPORTATION ROUTES AND COASTAL RAILROAD
t~ Section of operable railroad
Section of inoperable road
Note: Routes are inoperable primarily
because of Viet Cong sabotage/
interdiction efforts.
Note: Bridges are st ll out along
National Rout I in Phu Yen,
Khanh Hoa,, Ni h Thuan, and
Binh Thuan Pr vinces; how-
ever, bypasses re available.
Information as of 9 July /966
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 Appr
Status of Major Lines of Communications
5. The operational status of South Vietnam's
major highways remained about the same during the
week of 2-9 July. Route 1 was reopened in portions
of Phu Yen and Khanh Hoa provinces. Route 14 was
closed north of Dak To in Kontum Province. Route 8
in Kien Giang Province and Route 4 in Bac Lieu
Province both were reopened. Interprovincial Route
4 in Vinh Binh Province was also reopened. The na-
tion's coastal railway was closed in portions of
Binh Dinh Province.
Weekly Review of South Vietnam Battle
6. The week of 2-9 July compared with the week
of 26 June - 2 July:
I. Viet Cong Incidents
Time At- Regimental Battalion Company Harass- Ter-
Period tacks size size size ment rorism
26 June- 27 1 1 4 -- 576
2 July
2-9 July 19 1 0 2 434 39
Time Anti- Total
Period Sabotage Propaganda Aircraft Incidents
26 June- 39 24 112 778
2 July
2-9 July 69
VC/PAVN GVN
26 June-2 July 2-9 July 26 June-2 July 2-9 July
Killed
Wounded
1', 270
Missing/Captured 114
1,349
TOTALS 1,384 1,420
251 165
459 316
58 106
768 587
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 Appro
II. Casualties (continued)
Killed
Wounded
Missing/Captured
TOTALS
26 June-2 July
2-9 July
115
110
487
620
9
5
611
735
III, Weapons Captured
26 June-2 July
2-9 July
12
12
0
24
VC/PAVN
GV
N
26 June-2 July 2-9 July
26 June-2 July
2-9 July
Individual
295
382
279
147
Crew-served
53
58
3
4
TOTALS
348
440
151
13 July 1966
25X1
Appr~
 1. On'13 July,Pr_ime Minister Ky annduhced'the
following changes in his cabinet (Certrzl Executive
Committee):
App
Dr. Nguyen Luu Vien -- Deputy Prime Minis-,~er in
charge of Social and Cul-
turai Affairs (new post)
Major General Linh -- Minister of Security (new
Quang Vier: post to replace dissolved
Ministry of Interior)
Major General
Nguyen Bao Tri
Nguyen Van Truong
Tran Luu Cang
Nguyen Huu Hung
Nguyen Xuan Phong
Tran Minh Tiet
Nguyen Van Tuyen
-- Minister of Information and
Open Arms (replaced Dinh
Trinh Chinh)
-- Minister of Inspection (ap-
parently replacing Ngo Trong
Anh)
-- Secretary of State for Edu-
cation (replacing Dr. Tran
Ngoc Ninh)
-- Under Secretary of State for
Education
-- Secretary of State for Labor
(replacing Nguyen Xuan Phong)
-- Minister of Justice (replacing
Lu Van Vi)
-- Special Commissioner for Ad-
ministration (attached to Minis-
try of Revolutionary Development)
2. One significant aspect of the revisions involves
the removal of the minister of education and the inspector
general, both Buddhists informally endorsed by the Institute.
Neither of them has been assigned another government job as
was lawyer Dinh Trinh Chinh, the replaced information minis-
ter.
Apptl
12 July 1966
 Approvo
3. No reactions to the cabinet changes have
been reported either from government functionaries
or from the remnants of the Buddhist Institute,
which might be expected to register a complaint
that some of the last vestiges of Buddhist influ-
ence in the government have been removed.
4. The appointment of Dr. Nguyen Luu Vien as
a second deputy along with General Co appears in
part to be another attempt to give the militarily
controlled regime a more civilian appearance. Dr.
Vien's appointment also reflects an attempt by gov-
ernment leaders to gain the sympathy of the south-
ern non-Institute Buddhists, with whom Vien is in-
formally affiliated.
Buddhist Institute Chairman Tam Chau Under Pressure
From Buddhist Council
5. In response to an ultimatum from the Bud-
dhist Institute Council, Institute chairman Tam Chau
announced his intention today to take two months'
sick leave from his duties, according to press ac-
counts. Chau reportedly informed the council, how-
ever, that he intends to remain as chairman of the
Institute and to retain his veto power over offi-
cial Institute pronouncements in spite of its sug-
gestion that he turn over his responsibilities to
Chairman of Clerical Affairs Thich Tri Quang.
6. The Institute council, apparently under
the firm influence of the militant faction, yester-
day had served a three-point ultimatum to Tam Chau
to be answered in 24 hours.
7. Chau had apparently not been attending the
council's meetings, feigning ill health. The coun-
cil also informed Chau that it has decided to post-
pone the convening of an extraordinary congress of
the Unified Buddhist Association, thus further erod-
ing his mitigating control over Buddhist affairs.
The US Embassy suggests that the council letter to
Chau may indicate that Institute extremists are
nearing a fait accompli of ousting Chau.
13 July 1966
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 Approved
8. Tam Chau's absence from the scene until
after the September elections may provide militant
members of the Institute council with the opportu~-
nity to press for an election boycott, especially
since one of Chau's two deputy chairmen. Thi.'ch
Phap.Tri, is the Institute representative to the
"All-Religions Citizen Front." The "Front," com-
posed of some notable religious dissidents includ-
ing Catholic Father Hoang Quynh, attacked the gov-
ernment and its proposed September elections in a
press conference on 12 July.
13 July 1966
Appro
 25X1
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 App
1. Four US Navy aircraft were involved in three
air engagements with DRV MIGs following today's sec-
ond strike on the Co Trai rail and highway bridge 21
miles south of Hanoi. One of the six MIG-17 Frescos
encountered was downed by a Sidewinder missile from
an F4B Phantom. The US airmen observed that the MIG
pilots evidenced good training and air discipline.
2. Recent drone photography has revealed that
additional MIG-21 Fishbed fighters have been de-
livered to North Vietnam. The DRV had been credited
Phuc Yen
The arriva o additional MIG-21 aircra --
a ong with air-to-air missiles--has been expected
for some time to replace losses suffered by the DRV
Air Force in aerial engagements with US fighters.
3. The same photographic mission also disclosed
that the four recently delivered Hook heavy trans-
port helicopters were being assembled at Haiphong/
Kien An Airfield. North Vietnam had previously re-
ceived two of these heavy-duty helicopters.
13 July 1966
25X1 with 13 MIG-21s; however, 17 were photographed at
Appro
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 Appr4
1. There is nothing of significance to report.
13 July 1966
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V. COMMUNIST POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS
1. French diplomat Jean Sainteny is reported to
have found Ho Chi Minh and Pham Van Dong absolutely
adamant on the impossibility of negotiations at
present. Reports given to Western diplomats by French
representatives in Phnom Penh and New Delhi, who
talked with Sainteny..on.his way home from Hanoi, state
that the North Vietnamese leaders insisted on US
acceptance of Hanoi's four points. Sainteny is re-
ported to have stated his own view that only another
prolonged bombing pause with no appearance of con-
ditions would bring North Vietnam to a reconsidera-
tion of their decision that the time for talks had
not yet. arrived.
2. The North Vietnamese, according to these
sources,'gave the French diplomat a warm welcome.
Apparently they also made an effort in their talks
with him to hold out some conciliatory but noncom-
mittal prospects for the future. For example, they
told Sainteny that they are prepared to accept an
independent South Vietnamese government for "10,
20, or even 30 years."
3. The North Vietnamese leaders also expressed
their "deep fear" that the US would bomb the dams
on the Red River which would result in heavy loss
of life and devastating damage to crops. Sainteny
felt, however, that even this would not force Hanoi
to the negotiating table. He mentioned that many
parts of Hanoi are being evacuated and that an all-
out effort is being made to mobilize all available
human and material resources for the continuation
of the war.
13 July 1966
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SOUTH V~ TNAM 11-TTLE STATISTICS
HP ?O E3' 3- 9 JULY 1966
4 Viet Cong/PAVN
US only
Total Personnel Losses
(Killed in Action, Captured or Missing in Action, excluding Wounded in Action)
-GVN /US/other Free World
US Combat Casualties in Vietnam
(including North Vietnam)
Fatalities Non-fatal Wounds Captured Missing
Cumulative, 1961-1964
Cumulative, 1965
Cumulative, 1966 to date
TOTAL
255
1365
2619
10
15
9
34
12
136
99
247
1524
6110
1,5777
' 287
JULY AUG SEP 1 OCT N V DEC JAN 6 FEB
MAC APR MAY IJUNE JULY 1
Total Friendly Forces Personnel Losses
(US/GVN/Other Free World)
Killed in action ~ Missing or Captured in action Wounded in action
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25X1
 SOUTH VIE WMd I? Lse?TKfl~ ill CIA-RDP79T0082&01000010031-0
Viet Cong Incidents
Terrorism {
r { ( __ Antiaircraft Fire
1{( Prooaaanda i I I
MAR
* COMUSMACV has added the Harassment category to the weekly report on battle statistics. It covers incidents in
which the primary objective is to disrupt temporarily the activities of a unit installation; village, or hamlet rather
than to inflict serious casualties or damage, The use of this new category will result in a general trend reduction
in the Terrorism category, However, many incidents formerly reported as terrorism were in reality acts of harass
ment The new category was established to correct this discrepancy
Company and battalion sized attacks
{
.~Battalion sized (and larger) attacks only
IlIi{!I
Weapons Losses
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Ifjlllj:
25X
 Approved Fore 10'01000010031-0
South Vietnamese and Viet Cong Casualties and
Weapons Losses: 1962 - 30 June 1966
Viet Killed Wounded
Cong in in
Time Inci- Action Action
Period dents GVN VC GVN VC
Captured Total Weapons
or missing Casualties Losses
GVN VC GVN VC GVN VC
1962 1825 299 1294 475 212 116 390 890 1896
Jan 1963 927 453 1754 908 318 102 379 1463 2451 457 683
1964 1770 343 1223 913 - 555 240 1811 1463 917 532
1965 2206 904 2203 1938 - 471 565 3313 2768 1700 711
1966 3914 747 2648 1557 - 450 588 2754 3236 935 979
1962 1460 244 1205 300 316 124 353 668 1874
Feb 1963 788 379 1082 656 303 82 292 1117 1677 253 399
1964 2078 374 1055 916 - 303 289 1593 1344 708 471
1965 1982 880 1564 1840 - 1394 309 4114 1873 2454 620
1966 3100 1015 4727 2095 - 477 508 3587 5235 1076 1219
1962 1961 523 1456 737 551 140 523 1400 2530
Mar 1963 1282 410 1443 851 368 66 222 1327 2033 467 367
1964 2160 439 1456 1249 - 345 531 2033 1987 814 532
1965 2056 751 2022 1633 - 720 394 3104 2416 1442 698
1966 3670 938 5685 1961 - 466 604 3365 6289 1393 1632
1962 1933 387 1596 532 292 151 415 1070 2303
Apr 1963 1331 506 1660 878 256 96 388 1440 2304 797 468
1964 2284 594 1671 1584 - 398 245 2576 1916 990 424
1965 1860 591 1909 1650 - 232 529 2473 2438 757 973
1966 3235 573 2818 1522 - 121 483 2216 3301 594 829
1962 1825 390 1756 509 352 94
May 1963 1208 435 1895 889 295 94
1964 2143 458 1135 987 - 202
1965 2263 1049 1975 2143 - 873
1966 3566 661 4239 1454 - 196
524 993 2632
695 1418 2885
242 1647 1377
548 4065 2523
652 2311 4891
463 564
723 281
1701 831
493 1087
1962 1477 325 1666 613 413 77
Jun 1963 1311 389 1863 772 310 90
1964 2062 494 1005 1145 - 313
1965 2597 1211 2208 1920 - 1260
1966 3359 860 4815 1800 - 183
441 1015 2520
437 1251 2609
230 1952 1235
189 4391 2397
752 2843 5567
1962 1564 384 1544 686 424 212 542 1282 2510
580 394
718 387
2387 793
735 3761
Jul 1963 1368 529 1918 1071 372 306 387 1906 2677 663 374
1964 3045 900 1427 1812 - 510 219 3222 1646 1889 447
1965 2520 1160 2980 1591 - 540 580 3425 3560 1375 882
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Time
Period
1962
Aug 1963
1964
1965
1962
Sep 1963
1964
1965
1962
Oct 1963
1964
1965
1962
Nov 1963
1964
1965
1962
Dec 1963
1964
1965
Viet Killed
Cong in
Inci- Action
dents GVN VC
1642 377
1349 411
2580 721
2498 808
1375 419
1763 672
3091 819
2473 655
1357 365
1422 428
2827 739
3330 961
1311 410
3182 664
1982 574
3638 1034
1346 294
1921 389
2504 1002
4106 1239
Wounded
in
Action
GVN VC
2271 626 367
1685 804 237
1449 1612
3624 1945
2218 646 365
1982 1155 234
1187 1759
3485 1724
1967 619 286
1520 989 244
1617 1583
3874 2416
1982 834 368
2333 1554 373
1747 1404
5516 2056
2203 618 289
1440 961 191
1813 2053
4076 2262
Captured Total
or Missing Casualties
GVN VC GVN VC
63 669 1066 3307
352 482 1567 2404
478 282 2811 1731
287 606 3040 4230
59 446 1124 3029
566 347 2393 2563
737 230 3315 1417
266 838 2645 4323
64 373 1048 2626
398 236 1815 2000
693 576 3015 2193
225 660 3602 4534
92 561 1336 2911
665 252 2883 2958
410 570 2388 2317
520 592 3610 6108
78 463 990 2955
320 190 1670 1821
1092 503 4147 2316
926 516 4427 4592
Composite Annual Totals
VC
Time Inci-
Period dents
1962 19076
1963 17852
1964 28526
1965 31529
**l966 20844
KIA
GVN VC
4417 21158
5665 20575
7457 16785
11243 35436
4794 24932
WIA
GVN VC
7195 4235
11488 3501
17017
23118
10389
Captured Total
or missing Casualties
GVN VC GVN VC
1270 5700 12882 31093
3137 4307 20290 28383
6036 4157 30510 20942
7848 6326 42209 41762
1893 3587 17076 28519
*Monthly data unavailable for 1962 Weapons Losses.
**Through 30 June 1966
Weapons
Losses
GVN VC
637 428
1106 619
705 1074
878 389
1465 525
778 838
753 330
1510 482
762 1013
1595 455
1104 515
1126 2164
724 546
2111 666
1728 1158
Weapons
Losses
GVN VC
5195 4049*
8267 5397
14055 5881
16915 11755
5226 9507
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 Approved for Relea
P0826AO01000010931-0 y
2. Viet Cong Incidents: 1962 - 30 June 1966
Time
Viet Cong
S
mall-
Bn
Size
Pr
opa-
Anti-
Period
Incidents
S
cale
Co.
Size
or
Larger
ga
nda
Aircraft
1962 1825
528
21
549
839
180
257
Jan 1963 927
242
8
252
447
49
179
1964
1770
218
2
223
1244
129
174
1965
2206
57
5
63
1489
272
170
212
1966
3914
42
23
70
2490
312
299
743
1962
1460
480
20
0
500
613
137
210
Feb
1963
788
181
13
1
195
433
69
91
1964
2078
211
3
3
217
1389
210
271
1965
1982
73
6
3
82
1411
267
91
131
1966
3100
50
10
9
69
1829
201
172
829
1962 1961
561
27
0
588
660
290
423
Mar 1963 1282
333
11
0
344
653
131
154
1964 2160
198
4
1
203
1632
158
167
1965 2056
80
3
3
86
1476
240
90
164
1966 3670
32
10
10
52
2332
212
154
920
1962 1933
470
27
0
497
1024
220
192
-
Apr 1963 1331
371
9
3
383
688
105
155
-
1964 2284
211
6
3
220
1738
169
157
-
1965 1860
38
1
4
43
1407
149
96
165
1966 3235
61
7
9
77
2238
252
110
513
1962 1825
490
28
0
528
892
154
251
-
May 1963 1208
344
13
0
357
608
93
150
-
1964 2143
170
3
2
175
418
217
140
193
1965 2263
40
7
11
58
1558
365
115
170
1966 3566
37
9
7
53
2552
295
106
560
1962 1477
339
23
0
362
736
157
222
-
Jun 1963 1311
398
11
1
410
652
107
142
-
1964 2062
128
10
2
140
1390
176
162
194
1965 2597
62
1
6
69
1784
469
103
172
*1966 3359
47
10
11
68
2382
211
110
588
S-3
25X1
Approved For Re
 Approved For Releas
2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79Td
0826A0010000100.31-0 i
A T T A C K S
Time Viet Cong Small- Bn. Size Propa- Anti-
Period Incidents Scale Co. Size and Larger Total Terrorism Sabotage ganda Aircraft
1962 1564 437 10 1 448 735 158 223 -
Jul 1963 1368 398 8 1 407 698 80 183 -
1964 3045 166 12 7 185 2132 286 224 218
1965 2520 42 0 6 48 1706 400 154 212
1962 1642 368 10 0 378 885 146 233 -
Aug 1963 1349 356 11 1 368 647 113 221 -
1964 2580 107 3 3 113 1775 315 173 204
1965 2498 38 9 5 52 1597 349 200 300
1962 1375 382 9 0 391 624 178 182 -
Sep 1963 1763 483 17 3 503 889 164 207 -
1964 3091 110 4 4 118 1938 482 178 375
1965 2473 19 7 5 31 1530 278 185 449
1962 1357 406 12 1 419 583 189 166 -
Oct 1963 1422 359 6 0 365 802 105 150 -
1964 2827 75 2 6 83 1790 480 197 277
1965 3330 24 8 12 44 1969 415 198 704
1962 1311 411 7 3 421 614 144 132 -
Nov 1963 3182 631 11 3 645 1990 269 278 -
1964 1982 57 2 1 60 1391 247 109 175
1965 3638 26 16 10 52 2234 486 255 611
1962 1346 375 8 1 384 670 107 185 -
Dec 1963 1921 258 3 0 261 1298 111 251 -
1964 2504 81 9 6 96 1719 318 128 243
1965 4106 32 18 7 57 2572 442 317 718
Composite Annual Totals
1962 19076 5247 212 6 5465 8875 2060 2676 No Data
1963 17852 4354 121 15 4490 9805 1396 2161 No Data
1964 28526 1732 60 41 1833 19556 3178 2080 1879
1965 31529 531 81 73 685 20730 4132 1974 4008
*1966 20844 269 51 69 389 13868 1483 951 4153
*Through 30 June 1966
?
Approved For Releas$ 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00426A001000010031-0
 Approved For Release 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001000010031-0
Available
Approved For Release 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001000010031-0
 Approved For Reloas 2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79T00826AO00010031-0
25X1
Approved For Release 2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79T00826AO0'COO 01UU31=-0
 Approved For Re(e4e 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826A 00010031-0
25X1
V[IETNIA.M; BATTLE STATISTICS:,
MONTHLY REPORT
ApprovedFor Releas- 2017/03106 CIA--RDP79-T00826A$010000100-31-0
 Approved For ReI2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO 0010031-0
25X1
Approved For Release- 2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79T00826~1000040034-0
 Approved For ReI a e 2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79T00826A000010031-0
Totals
14,465:
12;_552
1,0 247
25X1
Approved For Release 2007/03/06: CIA-RDP79T00826AO01000010031-0
 Approved For Ree 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826A~00010031-0
e
MZMU
GVN statistics t 'difft ieritiate.between deserters who eventually return or enlist in other government units,
remain AWOL, or defect to the Viet Cong. Statistics do show that 53% of the regular force desertions are among
draftees who comprise 13% of the regular force strength,
Approved For Release 2007/03/06 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001000010D31=0Y'
25X1