NOTE(SANITIZED) FROM LIONEL OLMER

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83T00966R000100090009-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 5, 2007
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: November 10, 1982
• Content Type: LETTER

TRANSMITTAL SLIP
v g
ase 20
TO:
Dave Cohen, DD/OGI
rt
RO$V NU.
BUILDING
3G00
I Hqs.
REMARKS:
As promised
FROM:
Harry Rowen, C/NIC
ROOM NO.
7E62
BUILDING
Hqs.
i OF RA 5S 24 REPLACES FORM 36-I
WHICH MAY BE USED.
?
2
 Approved For Release 2007/04/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100090009-3
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
? ___ ?
S
.
.
Attached are the papers I told you my staff
was working on in an attempt to identify the
trade effects of the LDC debt situation. These
are working drafts but I hope you will find
them useful. I welcome your comments or
suggestions and hope to continue working with
you on this.
Talalar W77al POay co+a* Ig6+71
p7 o" 3124-2 yKpr r.x 12aa?aWR
-. JJ H
11 E0 U rd
-ri 0) V. n. 0) LS
+J .,q 41
ro J-) ro H
m N (d N R. +~J
CN Q) U) 4J
N a) 0 iJ
? 0 U -ri a) 0
'0 r--I 'ri 11 0 11
^I CO 4J a w w
r-1 ON (13 0 O
r I r-l )a u) (1) (1)
(Ti 0 > k
a - a) 0 ?r1 ?.i ro
U'' N U U 41 1J
a) JJ ?ri W (o ?r1 U)
? 14 > O ) Ul 0
co 00c) a, a) 'O a) 0, a
ON ax) 1 (Ti (0P m
0)
1J ). W
0 A - U) ()
?rl 0' U) a) U) ?r? .0
0 'o H -s N
~ .` COQ co O ' --I
0
aro;? ro 0 (0
X h 0 4J ro 0
a) a.) A M U U. U
? 4-) 4-4 'UU CO ?rUi U 'o
N 4J 0 0 0) 1>?.
1i 0 C 3 u) v
s..
.0 a 1Ui ~ 0 A V U
0 0 a) x 1?I 0) C 0
1-? C) 11. 1.1 'r) Cl ro .1
-
'ul u~ t'~a1) a
If) tD
O O N a
N (14 ? O O
1 1 rr1 N C' N 1 Z -4 2 N N
a a)
r, a
 Approved For Release 2007/04/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100090009-3
? ?
JAN-AUG JAN-AUG % CHANGE AUG AUG % CHANGE
1980 1981 1981 1982 1981 1982
U.S. EXPORTS (FAS)
20 L.A. REPUBLICS 36.03 38.95 26.71
LAFTA - 11
MEXICO
VENEZUELA
BRAZIL
ARGENTINA
COLUMBIA
PERU
CHILE
OTHER
32.27 35.26 24.14 19.40
15.14 17.79 12.09 9.00
4.57 5.44 3.58 3.56
4.34 3.80 2.73 2.46
2.63 2.19 1.64 0.92
1.74 1.77 1.15 1.23
1.17 1.49 1.04 0.78
1.35 1.47 1.01 0.62
2.93 2.39 -18%
-20% 2.63 2.11 -20%
-26% 1.31 0.80 -40%
- 1% 0.40 0.46 +15%
-10% 0.27 0.32 +19%
-44% 0.19 0.08 -58%
+ 6% 0.13 0.17 +30%
-25% 0.10 0.10 - 0%
-39% 0.12 0.07 .-41%
JAN-AUG JAN-AUG % CHANGE AUG AUG % CHANGE
1980 1981 1981 1982 1981 1982
U.S. IMPORTS (CIF)
20 L.A. REPUBLICS 31.32 33.54 22.00
+81
INK
LAFTA - 11
MEXICO
VENEZUELA.
BRAZIL
PERU
ARGENTINA
ECUADOR
COLUMBIA
CHILE
OTHER
22.04 +0
27.86 30.22 19.78 20.05 +2%
12.84 14.01 8.99 10.30 +15%
5.57 5.80 3.98 3.10 -22%
4.00 4.85 3.12 2.96 - 5%
1.44 1.28 0.93 0.72 -23%
0.79 1.21 0.76 0.82 + 8%
0.95 1.10 0.60 0.85 +42%
1.33 0.90 0.62 0.57 - 8%
0.59 0.66 0.45 0.53 +18%
JAN-AUG JAN-AUG
1980 1981 1981 1982
ADE BALANCE 20 L.A. 4.71 +5.41 +4.71 -0.44
BILLIONS
NG#3268Q
2.51 2.73 + 9%
1.14 1.45 + 27%
0.54 0.29 - 46%
0.39 0.42 + 8%
0.13 0.12 - 12%
0.09 0.09 0%
0.07 0.16 +129%
0.06 0.09 + 50%
0.06 0.07 + 16%
AUG AUG
1981 1982
 Approved For Release 2007/04/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100090009-3
m V' NNQN 01 N U1 . T 01 -4 V
tD
Ot M
m
r
? N
0
+
- W
f-
co
&n 14
.0
%D co en Ln %.0
of M-4 m r v ?-~ -
N 1 .4 r N. O) .?4
N 1 +
er
r
m I.4
v
+
1 1 1 1 1
1
1 1
w
Y
.4 u
N
-
.4 O 1D 01 N
m
r
-1 x
0% en -W en
ONUI m 9; m1'1 m
Q'
'
C)
N
0% co f- to
-W Ln CD r-
U, 6%
4j .
v N
N A O4 tOf min a
.4 .? _ : Q in
.
4
1-1 ri r'1 01
01
N
N O
01m r.4 U 19 N
.4 co fn N at
P) r O'N
cm
.4 4
N
m r r 19
~4 co Ir to
N .4 r r4
N e 1!1
N tD N
0' L
co
SQ7,
- W
NC' to ? r N tDN
m N 01 m C as 0
y U
p7
01m V' 101'.4 tD r N r U1 O% lei .4 ? to N
1'?1 N I m
N mm1D O in r'1 '4
+ N ' 1 N N ttoo In -4 '? .4 +
' I
?
'
v
,
+
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 C
1
a ..44
y
.1 .4
.0
44 10
.4
01 C
.4 O
.0
14
O O.4 V'U1N co -Z to in r- en U1 N01 w
Aj
L
-4
b1
w
in '7 N ' -4 n co of N N ~
C
?1 in d
v
ip
r
en
.I'.
~
.
v
t
n
0 b tD
1o0mNvV' mN sr T
~
r -4 O.4 1D 'a .4 O r) N in v v r .4 1'f v to .4 to
row
R
1
A W
.?4 r.f ..1 4t .4 ? N N b r
ON
4J -4
.ai wu ?.1
It
14
w
1D
N
co
~a
a
I44rw.1
a% -W 0 NO01 Afr O U) .4 to O .?4 N
r 1) 01"1 tow U).4 .4 O r.) -W
.4 v r'1 r tD co 01 01 01 r- cz co
m
O
r
O rt"DOm0'. .4 ri.1F 01 01 s} Ul U1
W
In w
- N C; P1 .4 N N ttoo 0 _I
W
14
O 1.
C
w
.a 1.
W
.I
V
f
"3 9
u
t
n
(/1
15 O
t
d
>1
~
D' O
0
fo
?
~q co
000
1
i
CO
4J
Y.
N
V)
a
2 q $
0
u
m
.
.
1.4 u xcU.
:3
w 44
a
O .1 w
?
N
I
N 140 W y >v . ta -4 G w
Aj 41
0
y
0
a
U
0
V1 01
G
Q
3
.
G
4
0 0
p
O
,,
H .1 E,4 Ij 14
011,
1
u
H g ~r E'
4J 4
1 AJ
O
111) .0 W H
0
4
W
V
~
Cl rr
0
61 01-
0
4'4
15*4 7
1
0
~
'
.
-
H
H
.
S1 N N
i E
u
a?4 1'+4 7 x G
p
'404%). W M
w
N
w
Approved For Release 2007/04/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100090009-3