TRUCK PRODUCTION IN THE SOVIET UNION

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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17
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 23, 2007
Sequence Number: 
2
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Publication Date: 
September 1, 1982
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83TOO853ROO0100,60002-7 nirartnrota of ecre Intelligence Truck Production in the Soviet Union Secret SOV 82-10133 September 1982 Copy 4 0 9 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Directorate of I ecret Intelligence I Truck Production in the Soviet Union was repared by -his pager I of the Defe Office of Soviet Analysis, with contributions from I lof the Defense Industries Division, Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief. Defense Industries Division, SOVA, Secret SOV 82-10133 September 1982 25 25) Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret Overview Information available as of I August 1982 was used in this report. 0 As a result of its 15-year truck manufacturing expansion program, the Soviet Union ranks third behind Japan and the United States in truck production. Although this production is only about half that of the United States, the USSR produces almost 20 times as many trucks for the military as does the United States. Soviet truck manufacturers build more for the military because of a larger armed service, a heavy reliance on trucks for logistic support, and shorter truck service lives. Approximately 98 percent of the almost 800,000 trucks built in the USSR during 1980 were produced in seven plants. These plants-excluding the Kama River Plant, which began operation in 1976-were expanded mainly during the 1970s. By 1980 the seven plants had an estimated capacity of 880,000 units. The expansion and modernization program has been aided substantially by Western financing and technology. The value of equip- ment and technology imported from the West since 1965 for this program is estimated to be at least $2 billion in 1980 prices. Most of the Western equipment and technology was used in building and equipping the Kama River Plant. Expansion is continuing at three of the plants, and the capacity of the truck industry is scheduled to increase to more than a million trucks a year by 1985. The rate of growth in truck production for military use in the USSR has exceeded that of civilian truck production, with procurement of trucks for the military growing at an estimated average annual rate of nearly 5 percent a year in 1971-80 compared with a growth rate of 3 percent for trucks slated for civilian sectors. If the rate of military truck production continues to outpace civilian truck output, truck shortages in the civilian sectors will be exacerbated. The rate of growth in overall truck production has been slowing, and in 1981 output did not increase at all. Secret SOV 82-10133 September 1982 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 II ability of controlling such transfer. At least $2 billion in Western truck manufacturing equipment and technology has been transferred to the USSR since the mid-1960s as part of a major program to modernize and expand truck production in the USSR. Because trucks-often the same models-are used in both the military and civilian sectors, this "dual use" aspect has frequently been on the frontier of controversy in public discussions and disputes concerning the transfer of Western truck technology to the USSR, especially the advis- This research paper is designed to provide the reader with basic facts about the production of trucks in the USSR, the recent 15-year plant expansion program, the role played by Western technology in that program, and finally the rapid growth in deliveries to the military. The production of other military vehicles is not discussed, although they may be produced in the truck manufacturing plants mentioned in the paper. Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret 0 25 the Soviet Union 0 Background Over the past 50 years, Soviet truck production increased from under 10,000 vehicles a year to almost 800,000 (figure 1). Foreign capital, technology, and equipment were critical to the development of the Soviet motor vehicle industry before and following World War II. After a lull in plant construction and a slowdown in the growth of truck production in the 1950s and early 1960s, a 15-year transportation mod- ernization plan was adopted. The Soviet truck indus- try entered into a period of steady growth that continued throughout the 1970s. The centerpiece of the program was the Kama River Motor Vehicle Plant, the world's largest single facility (in floorspace) for producing trucks. This plant obtained the latest tooling and manufacturing processes from the West, particularly the United States. Major Truck Producers Approximately 98 percent of the roughly 800,000 trucks built yearly in the Soviet Union are produced in plants belonging to seven major associations. They Figure 1 USSR: Production of Trucks and Jeepsa I IAI I I . I I I I I I , I I I I I I 25 0 19.30 40 50 60 70 80 a Production figures include Jeep-like vehicles built by Ul'yanovsk Motor Vehicle Plant (UAZ). Official Soviet figures excluded these until 1973. assemble trucks for both civilian and military end use. These plants are: ? Gor'kiy Motor Vehicle Plant (GAZ). ? Likhachev Motor Vehicle Plant (ZIL). ? Ul'yanovsk Motor Vehicle Plant (UAZ). ? Kama River Motor Vehicle Plant (KaMAZ). ? Ural Motor Vehicle Plant (UralAZ). ? Minsk Motor Vehicle Plant (MAZ). ? Kremenchug Motor Vehicle Plant (KrAZ). All of these facilities are in the western USSR (figure 2). They vary considerably with respect to capacity, employment levels, and size Four other facilities-the Belorussian, Kurgan, Ku- taisi, and Mogilev Motor Vehicle Plants-build spe- cialized trucks for agriculture, construction, and min- ing. The other 40 or so plants involved in Soviet truck manu- facturing perform a variety of functions that include the production of spare parts and the assembly of specialized chassis for such vehicles as fuel tankers and cement mixers. Truck Types Produced Analysis of open literature and truck specifications indicate Soviet facilities produce about 90 truck mod- els, but diversity is more apparent than real. Only 20 models account for over 90 percent of all output. The remaining models are built in small numbers for specialized tasks such as mining and agriculture. For 25 25 25 25 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Figure 2 Major Truck-Producing Plants in the Soviet Union Gn Naberezhnyye Chelny Boundary representation is not necessarily authoritative. --- .l - UI'yanovskfip Miasswp )f Ul'yanovsk Motor Ural Motor Vehicle Plant Vehicle,Plant Vehicle -Plant ~ pon ~. Liar, of Cnrtrul Pakistan" _1? India Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret the most part, specialized trucks consist of special- purpose bodies joined to a standardized chassis. There is little choice of alternative engine sizes and trans- mission gearings, or of most of the other optional features that characterize truck production in the West. On the contrary, the Soviets strive for the manufacture of standardized models with standard- ized components over long production runs. This approach tends to lower costs to producers through economies of scale and the "learning curve" effect, but it raises ownership costs to truck purchasers since they must operate trucks that may not meet their specific needs. Each manufacturer produces only two or three basic models (figure 3). Two plants, GAZ and ZIL, produce the two models that are in greatest demand-the 2- ton GAZ-66, an all-wheel drive truck for off-highway use that has been in continuous production since 1964, and the ZIL-130 (figure 4), a 5-ton highway truck first produced in 1964.1 In figure 5, major models, arrayed in descending order of production shares, are shown for three cargo capacity tonnage classes: light (less than 2 tons), medium (2 to 5 tons), and heavy (over 5 tons).' All- wheel drive models are also distinguished from models that do not have this capability. This figure shows that virtually all Soviet output of trucks with a cargo capacity of 5 tons or less is from three plants-UAZ, GAZ, and ZIL. UAZ produces most of the light trucks, and GAZ and ZIL are the main producers of medium trucks. MAZ, UralAZ, and KrAZ historical- ly have produced the bulk of the heavy trucks- mainly all-wheel drive vehicles-but KamAZ heavy truck output has been growing rapidly and will even- tually exceed that of the other plants. All-wheel drive vehicles account for a relatively large share of produc- tion because they are required to provide all-terrain mobility for military operations and for agricultural use in regions where good roads are scarce. 'The definitions of light, medium, and heavy cargo capacity tonnage classes in this paper are those commonly used in the USSR; they differ from those used in the United States.r Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Figure 3 USSR: Selected Truck Production by Plant, 1980 ZIL 130 131 157K 133 UAZ 451 469 452 KamAZ 5320 5410, Ural 375 377 4320 MAZ 503 500 516 5 10 15 Share of total output (percent) Western Assistance A particular feature of the 15-year (1966-80) expan- sion plan was the extensive use of Western technology and capital. A significant portion of the capital that was needed to expand existing plants, build a new complex, install modern tooling, and import Western manufacturing processes was provided by Western financial institutions backed by government guaran- tees. Western technology and expertise enabled the Soviets to adapt Western manufacturing processes to their plants and to improve their automotive designs and management techniques in truck manufacturing. We estimate that from 1965 to 1980, the Soviet Union spent at least $2 billion (1980 prices) on Western truck manufacturing equipment and technol- ogy, including known imports of about $1.5 billion for 25X 25X Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret Table 3 USSR: Imports of Western Machinery and Tooling for Truck Plants Since 1965 a the Kama River Truck Plant. The truck manufactur- ers spent at least $700 million for US equipment alone. Some of the other truck manufacturers that benefited from Western equipment and technology were ZIL, GAZ, UAZ, MAZ, and the Bryansk Motor Vehicle Plant (BAZ).Z The figures in table 3 indicate a total of about $1.7 billion, but we believe this substantially understates the actual amount. Western trade data frequently are not disaggregated sufficiently to identify specialized equipment such as that used for truck manufacturing. Moreover, export regulations in most Western countries do not require the identification of the final destinations of goods exported. Consequently, the data are incomplete, both with respect to total value of the equipment imported by the USSR and the end users of the Western equipment. The United States equipped almost the entire Kama plant's iron, steel, and nonferrous foundries and its diesel engine assembly facility. West Germany fully equipped the transmission plant. The other leading Western suppliers-France, Italy, the United King- dom, Japan, Sweden, and Switzerland-provided equipment that was installed in portions of the truck assembly plant, the press and stamping plant, the forge plant, and in the tool and repair plant. Similarly, the United States and other Western na- tions provided equipment and technical support to other major plants, but not on as large a scale. Estimated Value Estimated of Imports Share From From West United States (million (percent) 1980 dollars) Total 1,736 43 Kama River Motor Vehicle Plant (KamAZ) 1,500 40 Likhachev Motor Vehicle Plant (ZIL) 140 Gor'kiy Motor Vehicle Plant (GAZ) 80 Ul'yanovsk Motor Vehicle Plant (UAZ) 8 Minsk Motor Vehicle Plant (MAZ) 1 Bryansk Motor Vehicle Plant (BAZ) 7 100 25 Specific instances include: ? Expansion of ZIL's capability through a US com- puter-controlled assembly conveyor system and a Japanese spot welding robot line for truck cabins 25 (see figure 6). ? Improved engine and drive train components by US firms and the design of an air-cooled engine by Porsche for GAZ. ? Purchase of US gear-cutting machine tools for the UAZ plant. Current Production' As a result of the expansion and modernization of production plants, output of trucks increased more than one-third during the 1970c 25 25 25 25 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Figure 5 USSR: Selected Truck Production as a Share of Total Output, 1980 GAZ 66 ZIL-130 ZIL-131 GAZ-53 ZIL-157 K GAZ-52 KamAZ-5320 Ural-375 KrAZ-255B ZIL-133 MAZ-503 KamAZ-5410 MAZ-500 Ural-377 KrAZ-257,258 Ural-4320 Less than 2 tons 2-5 tons More than 5 tons Some modernization continues, and by 1985 truck manufacturing capacity is scheduled to exceed 1.2 million units. We estimate truck produc- tion in all Soviet plants to have increased from 380,000 in 1965 when the 15-year expansion plan was initiated to 787,000 in 1980, bringing the USSR to third place in the world behind Japan and the United States in total trucks and first in trucks exceeding 2 tons' capacity.1 ' Total production figures given here include Jeep-type vehicles built by UAZ. Official Soviet figures excluded these vehicles until 1973 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret In addition to increasing total production, the Soviets changed the mix of trucks they produced. Between 1965 and 1980 the manufacture of light and heavy trucks increased relative to that of medium trucks he increased share of heavy truck production was primarily related to greater output of heavy trucks at the KrAZ and Ura1AZ plants and the start of production at the Kama River Plant in 1976. The large increase in heavy truck production was caused by the demand for more long-distance hauling capacity by the civilian sector and a doubling of heavy trucks in military fleets since 1970. (Figure 7 shows a convoy of heavy KamAZ trucks in Kabul, Afghani- stan.) Although the share of production devoted to medium trucks declined by more than 20 percentage points between 1965 and 1980, the Soviet Union still produced more of this type than any other. Increased 25 production of light trucks was attributable to Jeep- type vehicles for the military. The civilian market for light trucks is relatively small, mainly because of the underdeveloped Soviet service sector.' ' US manufacturers supply the needs of a more advanced service industry. Consequently, 80 percent of US truck p roduction consists of light pickup trucks and vans. 25 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Production for the Military The military establishment in the Soviet Union has first claim on the output of the truck manufacturing industry. t itary output was less than Soviet truck manufacturers build more trucks for the military because of the substantially larger size of the Soviet armed forces, a heavy reliance by ground forces on trucks for logistic support, and shorter service lives. oviet mi itary trucks normally are replaced to about eight years. US military trucks often are operated for longer peri- ods-up to 20 years in some cases for tactical vehi- cles. The Soviets nonetheless have been able to replace older trucks and increase the size of their military fleets as well. percent ot the 1.6 million trucks built in the United States in 1980. The Soviets thus bqilt almost 20 times as many trucks for their military.' 6 Rough estimates indicate that the Soviet military maintains an inventory of nearly 800,000 trucks-about one out of every five trucks in the USSR 25X 25X 25X 25X 25X 25X Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 The rate of growth in military trucks produced for the 25X military in the Uri ded that d liv d the civilian secto 25X 25X I Continued growth in military truck production may exacerbate truck short- in the civilian sectors if, as it now appears, ages overall truck production continues to level off. Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7 Secret Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP83T00853R000100160002-7