THE NAMIBIA SETTLEMENT PROCESS: OBSTACLES AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83S00855R000100140008-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 26, 2007
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: August 20, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/01/26: CIA-RDP83S00855R000100140008-2
S-E-C-R-E-T
Central Intelligence Agency
August 20, 1982
MEMORANDUM FOR: The Vice President
The White House
SUBJECT: The Namibia Settlement Process: Obstacles
and Regional Implications
1. Attached is a DDI assessment of critical issues in Namibia and
Angola which Mr. Casey agreed we should prepare following the cancellation
of the Special National Intelligence Estimate on the same subject. The
paper examines the interrelated issues of a Namibia settlement, the pros-
pects for a withdrawal of Cuban forces from Angola, and the outlook for
Jonas Savimbi's insurgency in Angola.
2. At Mr. Casey's request, we have included substantial additional
intelligence information on the military capabilities of the various
parties and a detailed review of recent military moves in the Namibia-
Angola border area. We also examine in detail the fundamental interests
and military options available to all parties.
? 3. Because of the sensitive nature of the subject matter, we are
sending by courier copies of the paper to 11 named recipients only and
we are closely controlling each copy of the paper internally. We would
appreciate your closely holding the paper's existence and contents.
John N. McMahon
Ac`'t`1ng Director of Central Intelligence
Attachment:
As stated
Approved For Release 2007/01/26: CIA-R DP83S00855R000100140008-2
 Approved For Release 2007/01/26: CIA-RDP83S00855R000100140008-2
Dissemination List for The Namibia Settlement Process: Obstacles
and Regional Implications
The Vice President
The White House
The Honorable William P. Clark
Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
The Honorable Caspar W. Weinberger
The Secretary of Defense
The Honorable George P. Shultz
The Secretary of State
Chester Crocker
Assistant Secretary for African Affairs
Department of State
Hugh Montgomery
Director, Bureau of Intelligence and Research
Department of State
Assistant Vice Director tor Estimates
Defense Intelligence Agency
Frank G. Wisner
Deputy Assistant Secretary for African Affairs
Department of State
Defense Intelligence Officer for Africa
Defense Intelligence Agency
Frederick L. Wettering
Director of African Affairs
National Security Council
C. Thomas Thorne, Jr.
Director, Office of Analysis for Africa, INR
Department of State
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