WE COULD DETECT SPACE BOMB

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP70B00338R000300080043-0
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RIFPUB
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K
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3
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 9, 2006
Sequence Number: 
43
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Publication Date: 
December 15, 1966
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NSPR
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We Covuld Bo By Charles Nicodemus Of Our Washington Bureau WASHINGTON - Ameri- ca's sophisticated intelligence systems will "almost certainly" be able to detect, in advance, any Soviet nuclear weapon put into orbit in violation of the newly proposed "outer space" treaty. That will he the State De- partment's answer to any criti- cism from Capitol Hill that the new treaty-widely hailed by the administration--in reality has no "teeth" for enforce- ment. State Department officials acknowledged Thursday t h a t ---although it's been little noted in the public acclaim that met the treaty-the space pact has no provision for inspection of orbiting satellites or space sta- tions. So there will be no d i r e c t method of telling whether the treaty's key prohibition, against orbiting "weapons of mass de- struction," is being faithfully observed or not. There have been r e c e n t rumblings that this point will be made in Senate debate. ALSO UNNOTICED has been the fact that the treaty- while barring military tests and operations on "celestial bodies" such as the moon-includes no such ban in space itself. This means there is nothing to stop any nation from testing and perfecting, in space, all the hardware needed for a nu- clear weapons satellite bom- bardment system-as long as the nuclear weapon itself is not mounted in the satellite. In answer, top State Depart meet officials make these two points: variety of highly sophis- ticated American intelligence systems" makes it "a virtual certainty" that Russia c o u l d not now launch a satellite car- rying a nuclear weapon with- out the United States detecting it. While details of those intelli- gence sources are secret, it is known that they include infor- mation supplied by America's secret reconnaissance satellites; computer analysis of the "mass"-and thus the probable content-of foreign space ve- hicles; information supplied by radar, and by intelligence op- eratives monitoring Russian in- dustrial activity and space 15 DECEMBER 1966 (16) 000 200 1 / e rev ? This intelligence is so good. it is said, that Russia could not even make significant progress toward a complex satellite- borne nuclear bombardment program without the United States detecting it. State Department spokes- men are confident that these points, and the obvious merit of the treaty's many far-rang- ing provisions on co-operation in space, will win strong sup- port in the Senate, which must ratify the pact. The 17-part treaty, dratted primarily by he United States and Russia and approved by the United Nations' 28-meni- her Outer Space Committee, is expected to receive ratification shortly by the UN General Assembly - perhaps n c x t week. time to supply supersonic jet planes, but they did not rule out the possibility that there rnight be discussion of purchase of such aircraft for long-term future delivery. WASHINGTON STAR 1'5 DECEMBER 66 (16) NASA in 'What Next?' Quandry At this stage of the moon race, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration is like a dog chasing a very slow car. The dog in time will catch its quarry, but hasn't the vaguest idea of what it will do next. Two events are in point. First, the space agency had a Dec. 1 deadline to report to a congressional. committee on its plans for the years after Project Apollo reaches its climax in the manned lunar landing of 1969 or 1969. The night before the deadline, Deputy Space Administrator Robert C. Seamans made a grudging and rather devious admission that the date would :tot be met. Second, within hours after Seamans' explanation that "a long letter" was going to Capitol Hill in lieu of a poste Apollo report, newsmen were notified of a two-day manned space flight briefing to take place at Houston today and tomorrow. Not one syllable out of 13 hours and 5 minutes of concentrated talk was sched- uled on the topic, "After Apollo, What?" NASA, like the girl in the old barroom ballad, is more to be pitied than censured for this silence. The agency has been led down the primrose path by it big-spending gentleman from Texas who suddenly seems to have lost. Pttere ;t in the now-shopworn ingente. NASA has no plans because the big-speiAiing gentleman has permitted it to make divided on the need for a lunar base. As a contingency plan, NASA is working out ways to orbit a ma, n n e d research laboratory without spending a lot of new development mon- ey. However, this plan is open to criticism on grounds that its functions will duplicate those of the military's spy-sky space station, MOL (manned orbit- ing laboratory). By rational standards, the United States needs two space station programs about as badly as the dog needs the he is chasing-but there seems a fair chance that both programs will go ahead. Fortunately for NASA, the military program will be clas- sified so secret that there will be no way of obtaining a valid public judgment about the nec- essity for several billions' worth of duplication. Meanwhile, it is likely that the most promising area of space research--unmanned exploration of the universe- will continue to be starved. The astonishing results from Project Orbiter, including that unforgettable picture of the cra?.er Copernicus, are being used for propaganda but apparently for little else. A high official on the un- manned side of the space program made the point recently that man is always "in the loop" during a space mission. Sometimes he can do the job best in a spacesuit, and sometimes best in shirt- sleeves at a console in Pasa- d a y erttt. plans no. come out of the so-called Sr.' o know they often For more than two years "science" kitty. get wrong answers in their Space Administrator James E. Astronomers already have experitr:eata because they ask Webb has been warning that a said they would prefer a large the wry questions. In the break in continuity in space telaseope in earth orbit to one context of astronaut space plans could he disastrous. on the moon. The biggest spectaculars after 1970, may- A a s o c i a t e Administrator enthusiasts for prolonged be the right question is not George E. Mueller has sound- lunar exploration are the "Aft ll " er o, What? but Approved Fr I@Mt20 ( V*: 74)80083 030008 , Why?" WASHINGTON STAR 15 E'ECEMBER 66 (16) Peru Air Force Wants U.S. Jets Peru was reported today to be;dor Celso Pastor said "their interested in eventually acquir-'visit is pretty much of a routine ing for its air force six or seven' matter." supersonic jet planes-a type of U. S. officials said Washington aircraft the United States has so I ' l- . ._.._ is not prepared at this .. u p America. Two Peruvian Air Force generals are headed here to survey the possibility of such purchases, but Peru's Ambassa- Dy WILLIAM HINES man government-industrial organization is already begin- ning to fall apart in the ab- sence of a firm post-Apollo program. In the nature of things, a post-Apollo program (to NASA) means something big- not just more-of-same; some- thing different. The agency's advance planners are looking yearningly at Mars in the 1980s or 1990s, and when men and Mars are mentioned in the same breath it means money -lots of money. Dr. Jerome Wiesner, the late President Kennedy's science adviser, once. publicly estimated the cost of a manned Mars expedition-in terms of both time and money -as 30 to 35 years and $100 billion. Wiesner was never particularly sold on space spectaculars, however, so his estimate may have been biased with pessimism. But even the wildest space enthusiasts acknowledge that it would take 15 or 20 years and $50 billion to $60 billion to send a landing party to Mars. To meet the most favorable launching opportunity in this century (1986) would mean an immediate, significant boost in space spending. And that- as everyone in the space business knows-is not going to happen. Barring Mars, what looks interesting after Apollo? Colonizing the moon comes to mined, but there are serious scientific objections to wasting lunar base-especially when this money would necess ril F-111'3 ... coAPPr d For Release 2006/01f/30t- CIAO DP 080033., Qrq 0 from Gnum- possihle reconfiguration of the missile With irdustrv," Swceneti said. "How man's facility in C'alvertun, N.Y. Per- itself. -I he Navy stated that the studies do von coordinalc major contractor, Iormance and carrier s litahility tests on were completed and Naze's answer to sshen. you have a contract v,vith each 4 and S will help the Navy decide on Andrews seems t:; rule out any other We must define more cier:a the area; initial procurement. 1-he P-12 will not platform for the Phoenix-AMCS than of responsibility of contractors to each he installed on 4 or S, hut is programmed the F-I11B. other. We rust ne certain that the for No. 6 and subsequent. Along with In commenting on the weight prob- engine. iii ssile, control sVstem, and air- the added thrust of the 11-12 engine, the lcm, Admiral Sweeney said that further craft c: pahilities and interface demands Navt believes improvements in the drag reduction "becomes a matter of cost are contpatihle. If the specifications arc of the airplane will he made. effectiveness. The aircraft could be definitive and the schedules realistic, I ests of the Phoenix missile on the operated well at its present weight." He then we h:eve an aircraft that will fly on F-I I 113 have just been initiated with has testified that the catapults and ar- the target date we shoot for." - "atislactors results. I hose tests will con- resting gear aboard carters arc capable Many target dates have not been met. time on ttre early F-11 I Bs. This pro- of handling heavier aircraft ban the Although Sweeney says there has been gram will lead into the tests on airplanes F-f I I B and that the Navy will have to no one pacing :tern, he does admit to 6 through 9 in 196!; and 1969. These make no improvements on the deck has ng earlier difficulties in the develop- are the crucial tests, along with carrier structure to accommodate the plane. plane. of th-? Phoenix missile system.. suitability trials, which will indicate fleet Sweeney is impressed by the designed "This i; because we had too compressed operability status. maintainability of the aircraft and its a schedule. We are really working on an One of the most ideI discussed re systems. are b rust e and mrnta dvanced system, learning as we de- quirements of the I I I B is its loiter ca- turization are being used to the maxi- velop. When we discovered the schedule pability. This is of critical importance mum, as well as built-in self-test. The was too compressed, we opened it up. for it is basic to the nature of the air- F2A and A6A are complex weapons Last nianih the Phoenix was tested sue- craft needed to fill its multi-purpose systems by comparison. cessfully from an I-I 1 I h in its first live role aboard an aircraft carrier. The Management of the development and shot at the Navy's missile test range it June report of the Bird Engineering production progran-is has been a pt Ivtugu, Calif." Research Associates, Inc., stated that groundbreaking experience. Sweeney That the planes-the As and the Bs-- that capability has not yet been evi- participated in the project management are being, built and flying is a man- deuced. Admiral Sweeney counters with of the F6F, F7F and F8F Navy air- agerial miracle, considering the com- his own opinion: craft, and was even involved with the plexitics of the contracting arrange "We may not meet all the perform- 13ell P59 Airacomet and Northrop P79 mcnts. It is also indicative of a superbly once parameters we are aiming for but in 1943 ("1 wanted to tell my classmates cooperative industrial-military team. there is a good probability that the at CalTech that 1 had seen an airplane 'the Navv, for instance, met with de- F-11113 will provide the specified `time that had no propellers. I couldn't, teat when it attempted to develop and on station.' I also believe that the but they wouldn't have believed me pioduc.e similarly the Seahawk project, F-I I IB will he a satisfactory home for anyway."). which is now officially declared "dead" the missile fire control system and that The management problems involving (although some valuable research and it will he at good launch platform for the the F-I I I B are unusual. "We've dis- development was salvaged). Phoenix missile. When one considers covered so many unique things in this the power and environmental control re- program that people confronted with Best (Government Contracting? quirements of the missile and its fire future programs of bi--service develop- As a result of his F-I I I B experiences control system, this is a noteworthy ment should take advantage of our with fixed price R & D contracts, accomplishment." experience and examine what we have Sweeney has had some second thoughts What then is the prognosis for the done." Sweeney operates out of Wright- on government contracting and has re- F- I I 1 B? Congress-particularly Sen. Patterson with two dozen officers in the discovered it well--known fact: that not John L. McClellan of the Permanent various offices of the Systems Program all contractors agree on the "proper" Investigations Subcommittee-is not Office. He also has help in Washington, types of contracts the government wedded to the I'-I11B. The Senate ap- some 80 officers and civilians of the Air should be awarding. Frequently fiscal proved a rider to the Defense Depart- and Ordnance Systems Commands, a]- realities force a contractor to delay de- ment's 1967 fiscal appropriation bill most all of whom are part time workers cision on a given problem until he can which barred the allocation of added on the F-I lIB. determine the least expensive way of money for the production of the B. The The Air Force acts as executive meeting specifications instead of using House permitted a miniscule amount agent for the Department of Defense the most expedient solution, regardless (by comparison) for long lead-time pro- in administering the overall F-III pro- of cost. in order to get the job done. duction items so that if the aircraft wins gram contract. The Air Force System This approach has a slowing action on eventual approval there will be no ma- Command's Aeronautical Systems Di- research and development. or slippage in schedule because of de- vision, Wright-Patterson. acts as man- There are, too, many problems he- lay'; in development. ager for both services (Maj. Gen. tween prime contractor and subcontrac- Barring unexpected failure in even- Zoeckler). tors. "A good prime must he aware of teal performances of the aircraft, the General Dynamics, through its Fort progress or lack of progress in subcon- F-t I 1 B has the support of Secretary Worth Division, is F-I I l program prime tracts," Sweeney said. "We should be Nitze whose declarative stamp of ap- contractor. Grumman Aircraft Engi- aware of problem areas hefore they proval was not voiced loudly until last neering Corp., as associate and principal develop too tar.- August. subcontractor, assembles and flight tests The flights of the F- I I is so far have The most persuasive argument that is the B's. Hughes Aircraft Company of been successful. The military, the con- voiced by Secretary Nitze is: the Navy Culver City, Calif., produces the Phoe- tractors, and the military/company test does not now have-even on the hoards nix missile system under a separate pilots who have flown the aircraft are --any aircraft that comes near the ca- direct contract with the Navy. Pratt delighted with the success of the variable pabilities of the F-1 1113. And this saga- and Whitney Aircraft Division' ivision of East sweep wing. A sample comment from hility is urgently needed by the Navy. Hartford, Conn., produces the TF-30 veteran Grumman test pilot John "The B's Phoenix missile system is turbofan jet engines for the F-111As Norris: "This is a wonderful way to the most advanced air-to-air weapons and the early Bs and is developing the build an airplane. It's like sitting on system in the world today," Admiral P.12 version that will be installed in the front porch of a house, it flies so Sweeney said. He admits that enthu-. later Bs. P&W develops and produces steady. There is almost no change in siasm for the B throughout the uni-- all engines for the F-11 1 program by noise level flying from subsonic to su- formed Navy is not widespread, nor direct contract with the Navy. personic. The idea of putting the wings particularly noticeable. There are 15 other firms under direct where you want them is hard to beat." Still, it is the only such capability contracts from GD to supply major About a dozen Navy test pilots have that the Navy has and is likely to have subsystems for the F- l l ls, including flown the F-I I 113; their reactions are in the foreseeable future. And this, if McDonnell Aircraft Corp. at St. Louis. reported to he uniform: the plane is for no other reason, might dictate the McDonnell builds the two-man com- ..easy to fl " Navy's acceptance-reluctant or full-- bination cockpit a AfDp tt id Fort-Releasp 7vCl#sRDPTQB0O33&RQWBOOO80043-0 ? modules. N WILL S1 ffla"finlin D MEEBMIFif ?C NFIDENTIAL SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP TO NAME AND ADDRESS DATE 1 1 1 L I Mr. John Warner 2 Legislative Counsel 7D01 3 4 5 6 ACTION DIRECT REPLY PREPARE REPLY APPROVAL DISPATCH RECOMMENDATION COMMENT FILE RETURN CONCURREN E INFORMATION SIGNATURE Remarks: L AN FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER FROM: NAME, ADDRESS AND PHONE NO. DATE Frovpcl p~ g 0 Ap 43-0 FORM To. 237 Use previous editions (40)