DISSIDENCE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR RESISTANCE IN COMMUNIST CHINA

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CIA-RDP79T00472A000300020006-1
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September 10, 2003
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6
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December 7, 1965
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SECRET / i c cc, ApproveolwFor Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A000300020006-1 7 December 1965 OCI No. 3088/65 Copy No. f DISSIDENCE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR RESISTANCE IN COMMUNIST CHINA DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Office of Current Intelligence INTELLIGENCE STUDY 25X1 GROUP 1 Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Approved For Release ~ 25X1 Nr:GRE Approv(Wor Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79I 472A000300020006-1 WARNING ofinformation This the a the United States Nationall Defense contains within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Approved For Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A000300020006-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A000300020006-1 Approved For Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A000300020006-1 25X1 Ap CONTENTS 25X1 Page II. RESISTANCE 1957-1962 .................. 3 Resistance of Intellectuals and Students, May-June 1957 ............. 3 Peasant Resistance in Honan Prov- ince, 1960 .......................... 4 The Exodus of Young Industrial and Farm Workers from Kwangtung Prov- ince to Hong Kong, May 1962 ......... 5 Basic Factors of Resistance ........... 7 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ..................... I. INTRODUCTION .......................... III. DISSIDENCE 1962-1965 9 Youth ................................ Intellectuals .. 9 17 21 IV, IMPLICATIONS .......................... 27 Map Eastern Communist China..follows page.. ^ 25X1 Apprc----' b--- ^ ---- 1~61#-RE)P:79TO04:72A 25X1 Ap rov or ReleaSE.I Q.IA-RDP79 472A000300020006-1 I SUMMARY AND, CONCLUSIONS Excluding troubles in the ethnic minority regions of China, the Communist regime has been confronted with major outbreaks of resistance on three occasions during the past decade. These out- breaks--during the "Hundred Flowers" campaign of May 1957, in Honan Province during the severe food shartage of 1960, and across the Kwangtung-- Hong Kong border in May 1962--at no time seriously threatened the regime's strong and pervasive secu- rity controls, On each occasion the dissident ele- ments of the population demonstrated a strong sen- sitivity to the threat of suppression by force. These same examples, however, show that large unorganized groups of intellectuals, youth, and peasants in China have a somewhat unique capability of acting in a coordinated way to take advantage of basic weakness in the regime?s control appara- tus. In mid-1962 Peking showed its recognition of this capability and the presence of control weak- ness when it began the extensive reindoctrination effort that continues today. The mass campaigns of the past three years have focused on the above groups with particular emphasis upon basic-level peasant cadres. There is strong evidence that Peking's effort has failed to reduce the general level of dissidence throughout China. Top level leaders have been un- usually frank about the great amount of dissidence that continues, and the tempo and content of the campaigns of the past three years have reflected a sense of frustration among the leaders. In view of the earlier outbreaks of resist- ance, perhaps the most important development of the past three years has been the over-extension and straining of the control apparatus that the regime's reindoctrination efforts have involved. This has brought top-level changes in the party's organizations for control of youth and intellec- tuals and the revival of peasant associations to 25X1 Ap 25X1 VEGRET Not. Ap rove or Release - 000300020006-1 supplement the basic-level rural cadres, but it is probable that fundamental weakness remains. If control weakness continues, it may again combine with food shortages or inadequate leader- ship to cause dissident elements to resist openly. When this occurs, though, it is probable that lack of organization for resistance and the innate self-limitation of Chinese acting in groups will prevent a Hungarian-style revolt, so long as over- whelming force is still available to the Communist regime. While the regime at present can command com- pliance and obedience, it is unable to arouse the population from its political apathy. Since the failure of the Great Leap Forward and the economic disasters of 1959-1961, the gap between the revolu- tionary goals of the leadership and the individual materialistic goals of the people has widened. The regime would like to recover some measure of the revolutionary elan that the populace and the lower level cadres once had and has been conducting per- sistent and intense political indoctrination pro- grams for this purpose. It is clear, however, that these programs have been largely ineffective and that dissidence remains high, 25X1 Appro 0300020006-1 i 4M Approved For Release 2003/09/2,SEt472A00030Q020006-1 25X1 DISSIDENCE RESIS I TANCE ORGANIZED RESISTANCE UNOR. ANIZ ED RESIS ANCE ACTIVE RESISTANCE a state of mind involving discontent or disaffection with the regime. dissidence translated into action,. resistance which is carried out by a group of individuals who have accepted a common purpose, agreed upon leader- ship, and worked out a communications system. resistance carried out by individual or loosely associated groups which may have been formed spontaneously for certain limited objectives, without over-all plan or strategy. resistance, organized or unorganized, which is conducted within the frame- work of the resister's normal life and duties, and involves deliberate non- performance or malperformance of acts which would benefit the regime, or de- liberate nonconformity with standards of conduct established by the regime. resistance, organized or unorganiz'ed, which expresses itself in positiiive acts against the regime. It may or may not: involve violence, and may be conducted openly or clandestinely. It may take such forms as intelligence collection, psychological warfare, sabotage, guerrilla warfare, assist- ance in escape and evasion, open de- fiance of authority, or preparatory activity for any of the above. Approved Fo 25X1 25X1 Appro For ReleasgKOCORE, TA-RDP79"0472A000300020006-1 7 1:14`':': )YOCTION 25X1 Past examples of resistance to Chinese Com- munist rule provide a useful background for analy- sis of the dissidence and potential resistance that currently appears to be of major concern to Peking,* On three occasions in the past 10 years --during the period of "blooming and contending" in May 1957; in the fall of 1960 in Honan province; and in May 1962 on the Kwangtung - lon;; Long; border-- dissident groups actively resisted authority with some effectiveness for significant periods of tine.** In each case control was restored without great difficulty, but not before fundamental weakness had been revealed in the Communist regime's control apparatus. The three dissident groups of the past are the same ones toward which the regime is directing its greatest indoctrination effort today-- the intellectuals, the youth, and the peasants. The task of identifying resistance in China, particularly at the time it is happening, is a dif- ficult one. Many months passed before refugee re- ports revealed the extent of student resistance in May-June 19570 A full year passed after the large- scale open resistance in Honan in the fall of 1960 had been qunnressed before word of it reached the outside The exo us from Kwangtung Province to Hong ADVIIII as, of course, closely observed from the beginning, but early in- formation about possible reverberations elsewhere in China was not available. In order better to foresee and identify resistance in Communist China existing definitions need to be filled out through analysis of actual resistance. *See facing page for definitions of key terns. **.This study does not address the problem of dissidence and resistance among ethnic minority groups in Tibet, Sinkiang, and other ;carts of China . 25X1 Appr 25X1 Approved Fo 1 r 06-1 The three cases analyzed here have been studied in some detail with the benefit of hindsight. The following resumds attempt to bring out in a few words the extent to which Peking was untuned to the amount of dissidence in the groups concerned and initially unclear on the amount of resistance being generated. From these case studies certain conclusions are drawn about basic factors of re- s~istance in Communist China. 25X1 Approved F r Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A0003000 0006-1 25X1 u 25X1 II. RESISTANCE 1957-1962 Resistance of Intellectuals and Students, May-June 1957 At the beginning of May 1957 Peking launched a major "rectification" campaign with an invitation to intellectuals to criticize the working style of party cadres. The resultant criticism got badly out of hand and led students to resist authority with violence. The first step in the campaign was to convene forums among leaders of the non--Communist "opposition" parties, outstanding professional people, and academicians. These gatherings were kept small and it was probably assumed by the regime that only such evils as bureaucratism, subjectivism, and party sectarianism would be criticized and not basic Communist policies and programs. Criticism did begin cautiously, but it remained within the usual limits only for a few days. By the middle of May it had become a torrent of outspoken criticism by a large number of intellectuals aimed at the regime's basic policies and programs as well as the working style of its officials. The worst of the criticism was confined to the discussion groups, but enough of it appeared in newspapers throughout China to make it clear to all that Peking had badly misjudged the tractability of the country's intel- lectuals. Student criticism caused Palzing the greatest embarrassment and trouble, for it was entirely spontaneous and soon led to violence which spread rapidly from Peking University to widely scattered colleges and middle schools. Students had not been encouraged to engage in the criticism of party cadres and no special forums had been organized for them. Nevertheless, students at Peking Univer- sity began on May 19 to peat up posters voicing their objections to school. administration. This quickly led to open criticism of the same basic policies and programs being attacked by the country's in- tellectuals. Disciplinary actions within the schools brought student demonstrations and these led to violence, which was ultimately suppressed by force in several places. Subsequently, three student leaders at a middle school in the Wuhan area were qpp nvarl Ear Ralaaca 9MR/fl 9R CJD_RIlp79TMd77An 25X1 ~-0300020006-1 d la 00472A0003 00 020006-1 Approved For Release 2003/09/S F7 I ublicly executed in a show of the regime's concern or preventing any revival of the traditional role f Chinese students in resistance. By the middle of June the criticism of intel- ectuals and student:, had been silenced, but the arsh antirightist campaign which followed served o point up the fundamental gaps and weaknesses hat had caused the rectification campaign to get Out of hand. Peking's assessment of the amount of nti-Communist feeling near the surface among in- ellectuals had been completely wrong. In addition, is reliance on cadres in many institutions, in- cluding the schools, to keep the criticism within pounds was misplaced. The leaders, themselves, bowed initial confusion and disbelief in dealing with the unexpected response to their invitation. Finally, the transparent effort in the antiright- st campaign to identify an organization and a plot behind the resistance, and to blame certain rominent non-Communist Party men for leading it, bowed Peking's embarrassment over the fact that so any dissidents had been able to act spontaneously in the same way, at the same time. Peasant Resistance in Honan Province, 1960 In the late summer and early fall of 1960 resistance took place in many parts of Honan Prov- nce as a result of severe food shortages. Large groups of people were involved, but their resistance vas essentially unorganized and remained in pockets. n some cases leadership was provided by disaffected ilitia units, while in others militia men turned andits provoked the resistance of peasants. In ost cases the resistance involved raids on state rain stocks and open defiance of authority. Henan as but one of several provinces which had severe ood shortages in 1959-60, but the Honan peasants load suffered particularly under the national pattern of extreme change in collectivization and experi rientation in agriculture and industry. The hard- hip in Honan was probably traceable, in part, to ivalry at the top level of provincial authority. Approved For 25X1 006-1 25X1 In October 1960 the resistance in one county of Honan reached a scale that brought forceful: sup- pression throughout the province. The 19Hsin-yang Incident" probably involved the killing of several hundred peasants and it prompted Peking to make a high-level investigation of the security situation throughout Honan, and to dispatch army work units to the "disaster areas." The investigation in Honan and other provinces revea e i a state of.de- terioration in the militia that shocked Peking into dismantling the militia organization through- out China. The process of restoring control in Honan brought out the great demoralization that had occurred in the ranks of the lower-level cadres.' It also showed that it was the deterioration of local authority that had emboldened the peasants to express their dissident feelings in resistance over a period of several months. The Exodus of Young Industrial and Farm workers From wang ung Province to Hong Kong, ay In May 1962 the program for relieving urban population pressure in Kwangtung Province got out of hand and revelled that dissidence among young industrial and farm workers was both widespread and easily surfaced. T grin had ordered Kwangtung officials to reduce urban population in the.province by some 30 percent--without resorting to force. Officials tried to meet this insoluble problem in part by encouraging further emigration to Hong Kong, mainly of unemployed relatives of Overseas Chinese. The granting of exit permits from Kwangtung to a selected portion of the population had in- creased steadily since the fall of 1961 as the program for moving surplus urban residents to the rural areas became bogged down in the face of their resistance. The imposition of new high quotas for urban depopulation in April 1962 caused Kwangtung authorities to encourage further emigration. Heavy issuance of exit permits by the cadres concerned brought a clogging of the normal emigration route through Canton by land to Macao and by sea to Hong Kong. In an effort to facilitate the movement of authorized emigrants, the holders of exit permits were encouraged to cross the land border to Hong Kong in numbers far exceeding the quasi-official Ap Appro' ,quota acceptable to the Hong Kong Government. All normal restrictions on this exit route were ,lifted by the Communists on the first of May. News of this change spread quickly through t the counties adjacent to Hong Kong and within three weeks some 100,000 people had surged toward the 'border. In the same period, the emigrant group'; came to be dominated by young people without exit authorization leaving from the rural counties it the border areas. A total of more than 50,000 people from Kwangtung made it through the weak controls on the Hong Kong side before these were greatly tightened and rumors of a clamp down by kwangtung authorities caused the flow to slacken. On 24-25 May the flow of people toward the land border was suddenly shut off altogether with no great difficulty, but by then Peking's initial miscalculation of the people's readiness to act, and basic weakness in the provincial control ap- paratus had been made clear. When the land bar-. tiers were thrown up again on the Kwangtung side, any of the would-be emigrants who held exit per- its were siphoned off through the cleared-up Macao route despite increased efforts of the Hong Kon$, police to prevent illegal entry by water. The i"rus- ration of tr, these who had hoped to leave with- Out exit permits led to rioting in Canton during the first week of June, but the actions of regular security forces and the conspicuous presence of"' regular army troops kept the situation there under control. The rapid subsidence of the surge toward the border from adjacent rural areas tended to con- firm the basic tractability of the peasants that had probably weighed heavily, along with the natural difficulties of the overland route and the c;:-_C_ dation of effective Hong Kong deterrence, in the' initial decision to open the Kwangtung border. The 4pontaneous rush for the border by so many young eople had clearly not been anticipated, and it is doubtful that a clear, picture of this development in the exodus got through quickly to the top leaders in Peking. They were apparently preoccupied with Other problems at the time, but the major reindoc- O't,rination effort initiated in the following Sep t'ember showed that the Kwangtung exodus had been 25X1 Approved Fo Release 2003/09/26 : CIA-RDP79T00472A0003000 0006-1 25X1 25X1 A - A000300020006-1 r7 recognized by Peking as an important example of the problem of dissidence and control in China. Basic Factors of Resistance The above cases of resistance have certain aspects in common. In all three cases Peking's leaders miscalculated the people's readiness to go against the expectations of the regime and also their alertness to the opportunities for doing so., which local circumstances offered. Delay in top- level recognition of the extent of people's.ac- tions in each case probably stemmed from reluct-. ance to admit basic miscalculation of the amount of dissidence being manifested, but it may also have been due in part to misinformation. In all three cases above, the same basic factor caused the resistance to get going, to de- velop its momentum, and to subside. This was the propensity of the people involved to act in the same way at the same time without plans, organiza- tion, or more than word-of-mouth coordination. During the period of "blooming and contending" in- tellectuals and students sensed that the opportunity had come for them to criticize the regitme"s basic policies with relative impunity. Once the chain re- action started the multiplication of participants was very rapid. In the same way, though, group in- stinct caused the atmosphere of resistance to evaporate once the re;:;. ?._a' signal of counterat- tack was sounded. This cycle can be seen also in the Kwangtung exodus. A great many people hit the road for the border on the assumption that many others would be doing the same, at the same time, and that local authorities would be temporarily overwhelmed. Then, when rumors of a clamp-down spread and time appeared to be running out, the pressure behind the flow suddenly dropped. In the case of peasant resistance in Ronan, the in- stinct for survival probably had the effect of limiting group action in many parts of the prov- ince. At the same time, there undoubtedly were in- stances other than the "Hsin-yang Incident" when sheer hunger and the chain reaction of mutual en- couragement among peasants simply went to completion and brought forceful suppression. A mob, after all, is a mob anywhere in the world. The examples above 25X1 Apprnvpd For Pplpacp M31(L F ? r14j_PnP79TMd790(1 Approved For .. 20006-1 indicate, however, that group instinct for self- limitation in the face of superior force may be particularly well developed in China. The amount of multiplication and limitation' of resistance in the above examples indicates that the terms "passive resistance" and "active resist- ~nce" may have special meaning as applied to Com- munist China. In these examples, dissident in- dividuals engaged in .alperfornance of required ac- (ions or openly resisted authority, with limited nmediate objectives, but their sensitivity as a roup to weakness in the control apparatus con- siderably magnified their resistance efforts. At the first sign of strong suppressive action, how. ever, contraction of the group's "active" resist- ance was accelerated by the individual's basically passive instincts. The examples show that the Communist regime's control apparatus had been effective in preventing t e formation of significant resistance organiza- tions in China, but that it was not able to pre .. v nt dissidence from 'becoming resistance under cer- t in circumstances. In the three cases the cir- c instances triggering the resistance ranged from the regime's own misjudgment to severe food short- akes. All the examples had one thing in common-- the presence of weakness among government and party c dres at the basic level of direct contact with the people. Approved F 25X1 25X1 25X1 M. DISSIDENCE, 1.962-1965 ' 'he najor developments in the control process over th