INDONESIA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00890A000200030011-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 11, 2002
• Sequence Number: 11
• Publication Date: January 14, 1954
• Content Type: BRIEF

parliamentary action or a rightist military coup fade.
- Approve r2P21,W,
LIV
NSC BRIEFING
pgal,R00.890A000200030011-0
INDONESIA
14 Januar 1934
? The trend in Indonesia favoring the Communists is continuing
uninterrupted as prospects for the cabinet's overthrow
. The Communists are infiltrating the governnent
and subverting the National_ Party which heads it.
cc
Lt/ B. They are also undermining the political opposition
r-
tt
I in Parliament and anti-Communist elements in the army.
- ?
soon this process will so firmly establish their
over-all position that it will be almost impossible
-r_
to reverse their progress toward seizure of full
control.
The cabinet seems certain of maintaining indefinitely a
parliamentary 4a!ority.
A. There is no immediate prtapect of any issue tluzt
will cause defection of its small party supporters.
B. Sven if these small parties defect, the governmein,
could rely on the communist vote to insure a italori y.
III. Anti-CommuniiFt elements in the army appear unc,ble to
organize for forceful action.
A. They lack political support.
B. Several anti-Communist territorial cosmanders are
also cautious becaufle of disunity in their comm,nds.
IV. Major factor in present situation is President Sukarno's
full support of government.
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even pre-Coanatunst.
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B. Re has been considered only as being naive in his
confidence to use and control the Communists.
C. But his recent actions and reported contacts
with the Communists suggest he has a closer
relation to them than= heretofore believed.
1.
the parliamentary leader Of the Conminist
Party is now Sukarno's chief adviser.
2. Sukarno dealt heavy blow to auti-Coaeurists in
army by siding with pro-Communist defense
minister in dispute over latter s
Other strong ion in Indonea.a, notably Vice President aatta
and a former defense minister, the Sultan of Jogjakarta,
staying aloof in present situation.
A. Reported they hope to create popular impression
they are above politics.
B. But it is lack of leadership, which such men
could provide that leaves government's opposi-
titn ineffective.
disrupt setur
Brigade of the Police, now under anti-Communist leadership.
Mobile Brigade, with American equipment and
training, is most effective security force
forces will be
next move of Cov.uists to
o tamper with the Mobile
in Indonesia.
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25X1
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Approved For Release 200210811r CIA-RDP79R00890A000200030011-0
VII. Before present gove
11
took office had been
first national. elections, then scheduled for this year,
would give moderate parties cleat mandate.
A. Elections now tentatively scl4eduled for 15.
B. Chances for moderate parties getting progressively
worse.
C. Ey next year, National karty and Communist will
probably have things well organized enough tG
insure their success at the polls.
T
Approved For Release 2002/08/12 : C - tR00890A000200030011-0