WILTON PARK SPEECH

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CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3
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RIPPUB
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K
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10
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December 19, 2016
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August 24, 2005
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1
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Publication Date: 
December 10, 1976
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SPEECH
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10 DEC 7 6 Approved Foielease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B0150003700200001-3 WILTON PARK SPEECH May I welcome you and invite you to introduce our session; An Atlantic Approach, which is deliberately a broad title which allows you to say whatever you like. Thank yu. Feeling as a part of the group rather than an outside speaker, and if you will permit, I will sit and discourse with you rather than stand and talk at you. isn't a problem--that there isn't a problem of a soft underbelly--but you today. If I recall Mr. Hibbard's thesis, it was that: "The Mediterranean The question that was raised so cogently yesterday morning by Mr. Hibbard was "Is the Mediterranean an Atlantic problem?", and I thought he presented a very interesting set of cases. I was sorry that I could not stay for all of his discussion because I disagreed with some of his points and would like to have debated them. But, on the other hand, I was pleased that I had to leave or I'd have had nothing left to say to the Mediterranean is a series of problems which are not particularly connected to each other; the problems in which the Atlantic community, or Europe, does have an interest but not a vital interest; that the soft underbelly of Europe is not critical to the center of Europe, because Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved Foelease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B015V 003700200001-3 Europe is not likely to be invaded from the South; that NATO could survive; could survive without its Southern Flank because the Southern Flank is not the primary line of contact between NATO and the Warsaw Pact." Now, if that is his thesis as I understood it, I must this morning disagree with it. I would think that the analogy would be that here is a Britain who is saying that he can retreat behind fortress Germany and the analogy would be for an American to say we can retreat behind the barrier of the Atlantic Ocean. Its a sociological phenomenon of self-interest, I think. That a Britain has come to you--a man from a nation with a long history of great involvement; a history of finding incidents around the world in tens of thousands of miles from London that became cause celebres' and national problems; and is yet saying that today Britain can retreat into a fortress Central Europe. And yet, today you have an American coming to you who comes from a nation of a history of isolationism, a history of awakening far to late in 1914 and 1939 to recognize finally--to agree its national interests were involved with those of Europe. I would contend to you this morning that the world has become multi-national in its security concerns. The Western World, the world of both of us who represent a sense of independence for our nations, a Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved Fcelease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B0150003700200001-3 sense of freedom for the individual, as we generally define it in the Western World. I think that we members of this western community perhaps do not recognize the change that has taken place in the past thirty years in terms of the internationalizing--the placing of a multi-national basis of our security interests (and let me hasten to assure I'm not speaking of military security here). I'm talking about the political sense of security that permits our nations to pursue their independent courses and our economic sense of freedom that permits our nations and our individuals to pursue their economic destiny within reasonable bounds of independence; and, of course, around ..those economic and political senses of security we unfortunately, perhaps, find it necessary still in this world to have a military sense of security to protect them. Well, let me give an example of how multi-national this sense of security has become. First, on the military side. In my present capacity I am strictly a NATO official. I'm responsible to General Haig in Brussels, who is the Supreme Allied Commander Europe. I'm responsible for the Southern part of NATO but I report not to any American authorities. I report only to NATO authorities. In time of war, I would command forces from Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved FSelease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B015W003700200001-3 Turkey, Greece, Italy, the United Kingdom, the United States, and happily, France. It's a very multi-national effort and yesterday we talked a great deal here about the European Economic Community, which is our principal multi-national effort on the economic security side. Mr. Hibbard pointed out that while the community is nine, it has relations with the other members of the southern side of NATO: Portugal, Spain, Greece, Turkey - who are not actual members and, in fact, negotiations are going on with all of them for various degrees of membership within the EEC. But, Mr. Hibbard was concerned that the possible extension of the EEC to these nations would involve the Northern members of the EEC in events they might not want to get involved in and would produce strains within the community. I would suggest to you that is inevitable, that is necessary, that is desirable. It is desirable that the northern tier of EEC nations be drawn into the problems, the relationships that exist in the southern tier of nations that are related to the economic community by that same sense of freedom of economic endeavor. Why? The one reason is that although we are all in the habit of thinking primarily in terms of an east-west economic axis, we are being forced more and more today to think in terms of a north-south economic axis. 4 Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved F*elea$e 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B015W003700200001-3 Perhaps its too facile to talk only about the oil from the Middle East or the problem of recycling the petro dollars from the Middle East. We should also remember the growing crest of the underdeveloped or lesser developed nations of the world for the manufactured goods of the more developed nations. And,.in turn, the requirements of the more developed nations for the raw materials--the increasing requirements for raw materials--from lesser developed countries. How many times today do we hear the cacophony of command from lesser developed countries for a reallocation of the world's economic resources? Of these problems-- these problems of assuring a flow of energy to the world; of assuring a proper recycling of these excess petro dollars; of grappling with the moral as well as economic problems of the distribution of wealth between the poorer and the richer nations of the world--there is no way these can be handled on anything but a multi-national basis. They are bigger problems than anyone of the members of the EEC or even just the nine full members of the EEC can grapple with. These members of the EEC particularly need the Southern nations of Europe to help them handle those problems because it is the Southern Flank of NATO that is the window; the bridge for the rest of the Atlantic community into the Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved Foelease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B0156003700200001-3 Middle East and into North Africa. The Mediterranean Sea is the conduit by which much of this increasing intercourse between the north and the south, particularly between the European North and the Middle Eastern and African South, takes place. It is the Southern Flank of NATO based on Turkey, Greece, and Italy that provides the military security for that conduit because without those three countries, there is no way we can ensure that that conduit will always be open for this increasing trade. I am getting ahead of myself onto the military side of things, but there is a growing threat to that conduit in the form of the increasing Soviet naval presence in the Mediterranean. A presence which is not related to this increasing economic access between the north and the south, and is not related to legitimate needs of the Soviet Union for the use of this sea line of communication. But, that sea line--whether you believe what I'm saying about the north-south trend in economic affairs or not--the facts are that that sea line is of growing importance every day to all of the NATO and Atlantic communities. The commerce that is carried in the Mediterranean is increasing regularly. There are fifteen hundred merchant ships afloat there today, twelve hundred of them belong to NATO nations and twenty percent of the energy that comes to Northern Europe touches the Mediterranean, in one form or another, from the pipelines in the Middle East or from Approved For Release 2005/09/28 :4IA-RDP801301554R003700200001-3 Approved F~elease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B015M003700200001-3 North Africa. And that is likely to increase with continued expansion of the Suez Canal in sight and with the opening before long, if I'm not incorrect--Mr. Tassan--of the new pipeline from Iraq across Southern Turkey to near Iskenderun. But from a purely economic standpoint, the southern side of NATO, the Southern Flank, is becoming more integral, more critical, to all the members of the Atlantic community today. Now, I said to Mr. Hibbard yesterday, that since he had talked a lot in military terms I'd probably talk in economic and political ones. Let me now move to my own sphere because I think the same thing prevails in the military side. It is true that an invasion of Central Europe through the soft underbelly is an unlikely event. We, of course, think that any form of war in the European theater is an improbable and unlikely event. We certainly hope so and that is why we maintain NATO's military forces--to deter. But, we want to be able to stand up and be counted. We must be able to stand up and feel confident. While I don't want to sound like a cold warrior, we must remind ourselves that the purely military threat posed against all of the Atlantic community today is ? considerable. I don't know why the Soviet Union continues to invest 13 to 15% of its gross national product in military forces when the United States invests less than 6% and Europe, on the average, 3%. I would suggest that the threat is greater than any one of our nations--be Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : f~,lA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 Approved F*elease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80B01* 003700200001-3 it the United States, the Federal Republic of Germany, or the Netherlands-- can stand up to and face the Soviet Union on its own. It must be faced and it can be faced on a multi-national basis. That is why we have our Alliance. But, there is the temptation that we heard yesterday from Mr. Hibbard to believe that the Center and the North of NATO, in association with the United States, can go it alone and that that would be an adequate multi-national basis. I would like to take two examples of the problems we have on the Southern Region of NATO today and discuss them with you to show why I think they bring out the. fact that you can't go it alone in the Center and North--that we have one fabric of which the Southern hem is an integral part and holds it together. Two examples are delicate ones. They are: the situation in Italy (and I hope my Italian friends will forebear with me if I speak of their country and its problems with its partito communista); and then there are the problems between Greece and Turkey on the Eastern extremity (and I hope again our Greek and Turkish friends will forebear if I am forthright--but, I hope balanced--in my views of that problem). Looking at the Italian situation and its implications for the rest of the Atlantic community - I am not in a position to judge what Eurocommunism means and whether the Italian Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003700200001-3 G ? Approved Fcelease 2005/09/28: CIA-RDP80BO15 0 003700200001-3 Communists are sincere or how much you have to have participation of the Italian Communist Party in order to govern Italy today. However, I do have two legitimate military concerns - the first of which is the security of NATO's classified information. Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003700200001-3 STAT Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003700200001-3 Approved For Release 2005/09/28 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003700200001-3