SOVIET METHODOLOGY FOR FORECASTING LATIN AMERICAN INTERSTATE RELATIONS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01554R003400110037-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
2
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 11, 2006
Sequence Number: 
37
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 8, 1978
Content Type: 
MF
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01554R003400110037-7.pdf50.07 KB
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Approved For Re!Vse 2006/09/25: CIA-RDP80BO1554ROO3400110037-7 3 M,1 AY 1978 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: Soviet Methodology for Forecasting Latin American Interstate Relations 1. I has noted that a March report from FBIS drawn from Soviet and Eastern European periodicals indicates that one E. V. Levykin explained the Soviet methodology for forecasting interstate relations in a Latin American area. I'm attaching a copy of the translation. He points out that this is a good example of Soviet intellectual confidence that disciplined Socialist thought will, in the long run, displace the confused thinking of the Bourgeois political leadership in Latin America. 2. If we were to do a study criticizing this methodology and assessing the probabilities discussed in the article, and assuming we come to a different conclusion, it might be an interesting and useful exercise. Perhaps it's one that we could release through a Congressional committee. Perhaps it's neither feasible nor worth the effort, but I drop it on the table for your consideration. y~TSFIELD TURNER E2 IMPDET CL BY DCI Approved For Release 2006/09/25,.: CIA-RDP80.BO1554R003400110037-7 Approved For ReIea a 2006/09/25: CIA-RDP80BO1554R003400110037-7 8 jAAY 1978 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Resource Management FROM: Director of Central Intelligence I talked with Secretary Brown about not having a zero-sum game with the budget. He is in agreement with that. He understanding with 0MB STANSFIELD TURNER E2 IMPDET CL BY DCI Approved For Releclse.2006/09/25 CIA-RDP80BO1554R003400110037-7