EAST ASIA BRIEF 162-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010064-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 15, 2005
• Sequence Number: 64
• Publication Date: October 20, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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2 ? // PAPUA tJEW GUINEA: AFTER ONLY ONEuI!a~~l~ MOf1TN OF
INDEPc~JDENCE, THE GOVERNf1EN'f OF PAPUA NEiJ GUINEA IS E3EING FOt:CE13 TO
COf~~ TO GRIPS WITH THE SECESSIONIST PRODLEM IN ITJ 11051' IMPO~ TAN
REVEtdUE-PRODUCING T1:PfZITORY?i BOUGAINVILLE ISLAND.//'~
//DURING THE LAST TWO IJECKS, LEADERS IN PORT ri0i1RESEY IIAVE
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LEARNED THAT THE SECESSIONIST f10VEh1ENT IS FAR STROIVGEF' AND 110RE
DAi~iGEf',OUa TNAN PREVIOUSLY BELIEVED. THE f?tOVEMCNT REF'OnTEDLY IS 6lELL
ORGA`~I :ZED !'~T ALL LEVELS, WELL FINANCIED BY PKIVATF BUCI~IESS11Ei~J, AP1D
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SUPP,4i'.TEP BY h10ST OF TI?IE ISLAND'S POPULATIOt?1. //M
14CTING PRJh1E MINT.STER KIKT SUSPENDED T1?fE DOUGA_-.?1~JZLLf~
~:
osxic:
UNIT:
E!(.'.
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?t.ta;.\^, t rCkn Ct~ON?~Y~ti1NU ORIICCN~ AUTII~NTIC~TIN6 boFlf. t:'1
~~?~~??"''''? ,? 4?-REPRf1~UC1'ION BY OTHER THADI Tl~E IS;UIN~ nf?'FICF IS PROHIBITED E 2 I1'Ai'D T
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Pf:OVSilCI/',L COVi:RiJi~IENT ON OCTO~c' 1b? THIS PRESUf1A~LY i1EP-PJ S TFIAT 'fl~lE
CEP~i'i RA! GOVEI~PJME~J'f TS Ii1POSI~lG ~Ii'ECT RULE Ai~1D 'Pi~A i LOCAL F'RJVIiJC:~AL
OFFICALS, MOST of liH0i~1 AP,E :;EI.~:EVEn TO SUPPORT SECESSioiJ, ARE SUPf~C'~I:D
TO STOP PERFORMING THEIR DUiTES?//~
//A SUE3STANTIAL Pi~OPORT?0ri OF TfIE PROVINCIAL OFF:CCI~-LS OPJ
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BOLIGA:IP1~l:.iiLLE ARE LIKELY TO P.ESIST THE SUSPENSION, GIVING POf'T MOf;ES[iY
ITS FIrST SEVERE TEST SINCE ?'i'JLEPENDENCE?
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1 ? POI;'f'EjGAL ~ OrJE OF THE MOST MILITtiNT ANll LEST ARi`icD EXTf:E ~?!-:-
LEFT Gi;OUPS ;~.N POR'PLIGAL liAS CNALLEWGED THE GOVE.t?rJi1ENT' S f`IE~J D~:Yc ~'; TUE
AI11cD AT P,EC!~VERING ILLEGAL AR11S ? TH:tS IS THE LA'PEST :tN A SEI?t:CE\ OF
ATZ'EhiPTS TC :UNDERCUT THE GOVERNMENT'S AUTHOf'IT1', AND IT COULD SIGF!/~!.
A DECISIVE TEST OF STREPJ'~~:?i FOR THE RECIMF.M
A SPOKESi1AN FOR THE P,EVOLUTIONhRY PARTY OF TI?IE PROLET{1i~IAT -
P.EVOLUTICNI'IR'i BRIGADES S iD IT WOULD IGPJORE THE GOVERP1i1ENT'S ORDER
OF Li,ST FC~iDAY GIVING AIMED MILITIA GROUnS EIGHT DAYS TO Fil'IND OV%n
ILLEGAL b1EAPONS? HE SAID THAT TFIE GOVERNMENT LACKED TIDE ST('Eh1G'fl-I
..
TO EPlFOP,CE ITS BAN, AND ADDED THAT IF THERE WERE A CONFi;OiJTAT.T.OiV,
THE GOVERNMENT WOULD LOSE . 4'
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r~LRAbN00-/IC/A ~ COOIIOINATINO O~/1C~IH AUTNtNTI~:ATIN60FfICR11
c~A~s~?:c.-~:v "`REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE 15 PROHIFi1TEU E ~ Ir/{i'13L'?1'
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a ,~..,~.4. x
T!~IS IaAS BEEPJ TILE ONLY PUBLIC REACTION TO THE: GOVERNMEPI'P' S
DIREC'T'IVE SO FAR, BUT OTHER, GROUPS ON THE EXTREt1E LEFT ANA TNJOSE
SUPPORTED BY THE COt111UNIST PARTY CAN BE EXPECTED TO OFFEP. RESISTANCE.
THE SPOKESMAN F01' THE REVOLUTIONARI' BRIGADES SAID WOPKERS APJD
PEdSAhJTS COUNCILS AND THE NEIGHBOP.IJOOD COUNCILS WOULD A~.SO REFUSE
TO HA"JD OVER THEIR ARMS ? THESE COUNCILS ARE GROUPS 'SET IJP BY
ADHERENTS OF THE FAR LEFT IN AN ATTEMPT TO DESTROY PORTUGAL'S t1A~JOR
POLITICAL PARTIES.M
h1EANWHILE, OVER THE WEEKEND THERE WAS AN IPJDICATIUN THAT 'i'I?IE
RECEI~JT EXCESSES OF THEti FAR LEFT AND THE COMMUNISTS MAY 3E COP!-
TF;II3UTING TO A SHIFT IN POPULAR .SENTIMENT TO THE RIGHT. M
IN POftTO ON SATURDAY', ],S,OOD PEOPLE ATTENDED A RALLY HELD
BY THE CENTER-RIGHT PARTY, THE SOCIAL DEMOCPATIC CENTER. TWE
RALLY PP.OCEEDED WITHOUT INCIDENT, DESPITE APPEALS DY SEVERAL
FAR.-LEFT GROUPS THAT IT BE DISRUPTED. BECAUSE OF THE LARGE
COt~JScf'VATIVE TURNOUT, LEFTIST MILI'T'ANTS FELT OBLIGED TO PRO'T'ECT
TI-IET.P, O:dN HEADGJUART~RS.M
SPEAKIIJG AT THE RALLY, SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC CENTER LEADCf;S-~-
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~t.tAS~MQ O~PIC[II COOIIO~NAtINO O/SIC/M A~~TMEN7~pATIN': G. /IC~11
e~ASSi.~eA=iar REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE .S PROHIBITED ~ 2 IMPDET
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ORDEt' ;"!D RESTORE t1ILITfIRY D?SCTPLTt!E ? 4'
THE R,~LL Y OtJ SATUR^AY l!hS It?: ~"~RKED CON'PRAST TO A S?:h1TLAR
Ir!cLil^~::;;G SEVERAL L';i~~ ,~:;UE CAE?1 L:I:~;i;ED T4 f~GRt1ER, f~RcSIDF.rJ'f SF'~iJOI..I~'S
PLr,~:S T C? ~;t"TURN FF;C`~~i EX2LE 'i 0 +-!EA7 ;~ RIG!?i'i'IST REGI1IE--TOUTED TI-IF
P~\RTY' S GEC>~J:[iJG STREI;GTi-~ i~?J Ci:i:'i'P,nL A?:D i:~~?'PFIERPJ F'ORTI.IGAI.. ? AL i i-!~?!..!GH
tJOT :'E?:~E3Et~JTED IN TJi= PiZESE.~;T ~~'rVEr~Nt1ENT, Pi~RTY LEADERS SA:~:b T(-IEY
lrERE ?.ADY TO SUr'PO?'P T!'E GO'?E?;',i'~i;'i' IF IT COULD h1,AIPJT.IIPJ ?Ua_':C
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MEE T:I~'JG ;;ELD IN JAPlUAP,Y, UHcr! LEFTIST DEPiOPJSTRATORS dES'rEGED THr~
COU E?=~.CE HALL AMD P..RTICIPat;TS, ItvCLUDJiJG SEVERAL PP.OPIINEN'f
FORIcG?; 0^SERVERS, HA*?.TO 3E P.ESCUED 9Y THE MxL:tTAP.Y F'OI.ICE?
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2 ? SPIN: GEi;EP,hL F~'A;JCC IS SUFFEI'ING -FROG A 11ILD ATTAC!?: C'`
FLU, A GOVER;J"ErJT SOU~ :E AF;~JOL;~;C~D SATURDAY ?"
'i ~;_ SPO ESt1t~N SA. ~ D THE ILl`l.S:, IS PJOT CONSIDERED SEI:IOi:S,
BUT T~~ 'E :~aE P,Ui10RS TFI;T ~,E TS SU=FERIt~;G FROt9 COPJSI't'%C'iIOP! (~'r
THE COi":Ci;,1r;Y VESSELS. iris DOCTOP,a ;iAVE PRESCRZ[3ED E:~GFiT ~t~YS
OF REST, ~tiCCORDI~JG TO A NE'.!S REP4RT.M
DATE:
ORIG:
UYIT:
EXT:
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^~ ~?~epprotired For Release 2005/a~~~?~QI~t~RD~P86T00608R0003000100fs4~9~~~~~~ ~"???~F
u.a.? _,-.: ?. REPRODJCTIO?I BY 07HER THE!; T4_ 155~J1NGAFFICE IS PROHIBITED ~ 2 IP:7~_l:?T
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AN AT'P ;'~: OF' FL,U FOiZ TI-ifi U?-'rE;;i;-OLD FRA~~CO CANNO'P L1E TAi:~:i~l
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LIG>~{TLY.
FRAP;CO'S SUDDEIJ tLL~iESS PiAY CCiIPLICATE THE HANTiLI(~G OF Ti~l~
PPESS.iNG FRO?LEMS OF TEP,RORISii AiJD MOROCCO'S CLAIfi TO SPAId~:SH
SAHARA? HE HAS. BEEN TAKI~~G ni~J kCTiVE ROLE IN TiECISION-i1AK'1'PJG IN
RECENT tiONTHS, WIDEN TrIE GO'JEF':fi1~:.~JT HAS MAD TO CFIOOSE FROM A11C~~Jt~
VAP.IOUS COURSES OF ACTIOi;.
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' //AR~Ft1TINA: ARGG~dTIi~JE PRCSIDEf4T r~ARxA I~STEL+'- nEROif AF~PEARS
T7 i~AVE ~OJC~eT SOtiE T:Cr'i:, FG~~ ~4E'R GOVERrt11E,r~T t~tlTl~ T~9F NOfJ-C4i~!-
TC~OVERSIAL ADDP.r"".SJ $Ns' SAVE o~ otroaE~ Z? AT A' MAJOi; I~i~I~0'.Ia't RALLY .//'
//PE~;O'f ADr1f!';ED CLOSELY TO A !'~Rirs Af! ~U TCXT~ C~U:CO11::~I.Y APPIZt?~JETi
Itr A7fVAr~CE Y PERO!~ZS'i A~!D nILI'PAI'Y IEAD~RS? .IT TO~1CiiF.:D Oft T~'Rl;:r:
i~OPi1LA~ THC~1"S--EVOicIr:G ;iFE: ~r!1S~Ar~D?S ClENO^Y, DCyOtlrlClf~ Trf'!~t!?TSn~
A;?.I v PROnISxNf StIPPORY FOR TNT: ARMED FORCES I.: THEIR FTf~c~rT ALAI"6'~T
St;!3VRRSIOY? i,l A.IyDITiON, SiIE REPEATED Ate eAr'llEtz PRO~tISr TO ;~f:S-1r7E
THE DIALOGJl: WITH ALL t'OLrTICAL 61i0UPS T!~AT ~lAS t3ECUhl I:?Y JiJAN F~Et4'i.//4
//T!~IE RElIAItKS WEaE TELL ZzCCCIV4D 9Y A CRO~JD OF AKrOtJ T ?13 ~'.i'ZO
PEROI~ISTS; A LARGEI` ATTEPJDArVCE E?IAD aFEN HOPED FOR. POC'CE At~D l.A~OR
OFFICIALS I1AD TAKE~Y ;:XTEcJSIVE SECURITY PRECAtITiOr~~ xr l~ESPOrJS: TG
TERRORIST. T~~REAYS+ A~~JD TNERi: WERE NO MAJOP, INCIDEN'f5 ?,!/~~
/TYNE SURFACE CALM IS LIKELY TO f3E TEl1PORARY? Tr~1: (ZETU,:tf 4f
ENE WTDELY DISCiiEDITED PFCSYDEIiT UNDOi1t3TEDLY WILL EX.ACERi~ATE POLIM
novcnENt.
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],. LE3APJOrJ: SNIPEF; Flt?E. AND I:TDNAPIMGS COtJTIPJUE L' 1:t! RET,(~tl'f OVe;f?:
TEIE !~1c.E1:END. CLASI?IES EJE1't~IEE?PJ CHF?IST:[Af~1S I~ND f1USl."~rl;ti 1~1E(,E: t.:r.I1I'i r.: ~>
ICJ 5CGFE?, 1~01~1EVER, ANA 1'NEF;E"_ l:IEI~E NO ,110VES TO PE:fJU1:LD 1';IF
BAPKIC.~,DES?4'
AS OF SATURDAY Tl~E Ir1C~EASE IN VIOLr"_fJCE I-If1D t~JOT S~ftZOUSt.Y
DAi'iPr=r;ED THE ECONOPIIC RESURGENCE IN THE C/~f~'1'TAL llJ(~!:>:CH (3EGAh1 I_ATf:
LAS i I;EE:K ? MOST SHOPS ArJD EAPJKS WEP,E Ot~EtJ?, AND fi4S T f=of,i~S t~1~:(;t~
PASS S.~LE ? 4
Tr?IE t~EETIPJG OF TFf!" aPCi.TT:CCAL REFOP.M SUUCOFI(7ITTEE: Ot" THE tJAT?'G(Jr;l..
.?
DIA!_OGLiE COMMITTEE OPJ SATURDAY REPORTEDLY WAS M".i;r?~D S3Y L'"F~'P
DIFFEP.ENCES EiETidEEN LEFTIST LEADER KAMAL JUt'iEILA"fi' AND PHAI.ArJG:CtiT
LCh~ER PIERRE: JUfiAYYII..? THw LATTER IS CoNT7.Nt1.iNC 1'0 IrJ~z:;'i 1'll~~.r
S~EC~J`?:iTY MUST Eat f;ES i Of?EA BEFORE REFOf?T1 Ch.~l E1E I>1SCUSSCA? TI~1'
SU~C4~~?1TTTEE :CS SCHEDULED TO (1E;:T AGlt]:tJ 1'0:1)AY ?'~'
t~; ~?r;LY COiJCE:ALEIi ARMS PF'OC:.IRE:MENT AC1'IVI'i:~CS f~ ~' 'i ~i,: c:(if:J:S'I' ~. {~PJS i?li;`Ji.:
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D?~~:'Jti. CRITI.ISM FI?OM JIJ(iL1LAT I ~ WJ~O MAC ALLEGED US ArJn l.!~[1P,h;r::il:
GO~1c.~i:t'iCNT COMPLICITY 1N THc DCLtV'ERIF.:S.
F!"AA~p~o fed For Release 2005/06/22N~~G~IA `RD,P86T00608R000300010064;~9 ~Ih,.OFP1:Y.p
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2 ~ MOJ:000O-SPAIN: MOROCCU IS PKO'f,ES'PING SPAJ.M' ` APp('/,L 4f`
SATU~DY FORA MEETING OF THE lJ'J `:ECURITY COUNCIL. TO 1~J:SCUS::
Kir~G ~-IlISSAIJ'S PLAI~INED MASS MAF;CF1 INTO SPANISH SAHARA?~ 1'(iE SECU(?:~:TY
COl1i~lC.ii. t~JPETS ON MONDAY TO DISCUSa MADRID'S. KEQUkS'I'.4~
k (^OROCCAN C0~"MUNS2UE ACCU~FD MADRIll OF D.[STOItTIF:G T(IE
FACTS IN ITS APPEAL TO THE UF! AND CH?AKGED THAT SNA:~iI ALOfdE IJ
RESPO?!SI^ul.E FOR THE P(~ESENT SITUATION. TFIE STATE(1t:P('I' DtPJIE.I)
THA'I' THE PLANNED MARCH GF 35f~?rOC)Ct UNARi1ED MORUCCAIdS WOUL>i
COrlSTITUTE AN ''INVASION. "M
MO~GCCAN AUTHOP.ITIES ARE ,CONTINUING Pf;tPARATIONS FOr; TI?IE
MARCH A(~?JD CLAIM TO HAVE RECRUITED ENGUGFI VOLUNTEERS. w:PEC:[tiL
TP,ATt~l.S n"dD .NEAP,4Y ~i,g00 TRUCKS WiLL l3E USED FGR 1'h/~,P.SNu!~'f
THE FIST CONriNGENTS OF MARCHERS 1`IAY QECxM 110v:~rlG To /1~;SE:f;,tr_Y
POID(TS IN SOUTHERN MOF;O~:CO TO(10RROW.V
,~
THE. ~i-ARCH COULD LEAD TO FIGHTING UIT(?I p12G-IIJDEF'4f'la:Ll~Ct:
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coo~row~nva o.rreaas aunriNnc?rrvo orriccw
eus..f:c.-~-_~ REPRODUCTIQN BY-0THER Tj1AN THE 15S11bVG OFFICE IS PROHI@IYcU
.. ... C ? IM~'J ~T
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1,J Iv I IL4'. q
S,4bIAr",AiJS EVEN IF THt~ St?Ai~;1:-,' Ti~;Y TO AVOID A CLASFI? ACCOF;D:CFIG
TO PF;ESS Ra=PORTS ('t'~M MADRT~, THE ALGEF;IAN-SUPPOi:Tt:D ~~Ol.?:;ARIO
FF'Oi;T Ai; 1: THE I.EAi~Ef' OF TH-c TcRFZ'i OP,Y'S GENE:('AL ASSi:I~IuLY H!lVE Sl~:[~:
THAT 'I'HEIfZ FOLLOWERS DILL GO TO TFIE E30P.DcR TO STOP THE t10R000At~lS
KING H;ASSAN HAS ALREADY UAF;'rr:D THAT MOROCCAN) I~JILL DEFtFID
THEI+S::LVES AGAINST A;JY iJOt;-SPAiJISN FORCES ? TfIE MOf;000AIJJ I?IAVE:
]-2,OOJ-15,000 TROOPa IN TNt SO~T4 AVAILABLE TO INTEf~VEPJf..
3? i,i~GOLA: THE POPULAy i~OV~MEPIT FOE; THE LIBERATION OF
ANGOLA-'i;~it DOMINAi~JT NA'rl'IO~JAL,iST GP.OUP IN TWE TEKRITORY-11.AY DE
..
MOV1~`;5 TOWARD A UPd1LATERAL, DECLARhTION OF INDEPEIJDENCE GEFORE
,~- ,
IJOV~t~~Lr;;~ 1~? THE DATE LIS80r, IS SCHEDULED TO TRANSFEf? SOVE:REZGNTY?
AF1 A T TES^PT TU SEIlE Fl1LL IDOL=T::CAL PO!!c R COULD CO(`Ik BEFOt2E ThE END
OF OCTOt3ER.'r'
l.. :~ SPEECH EARLIER THIS :;EEK ~~; LUAi~1DA, MOVEt9F:PJT i~f;=5IDE~~!T
AGOS'i 2`yy0 ilETO DECLARED TH:, i HIS ORGANIZATION WILL Pf;OCLAIM
:[PJDEPEi~i~EiJC.E FOP ANGOLA "L~T4"'tJ A FEW UEEY\S, COME WHAT MAY.`'' NETO
HAS rr,Eb~IOUSLY ASSERTED TE-I:~, i T}IE MOVEMENT 1~~0ULD StI2E POWEt: ONLY IF
DATE:
ORIG:
UNiT:
EXT:
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Vt~9a g~p00?/iC~? COOtlwF\6 D./~Gwf
~''?"'" ='"?? - REPRODUCTfO~ti DY OTHc4 THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE 13 PRONIDITED
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Tl?I~, FOr;'fUGUESE A'I'TtlirTcD TO Tl;';i; T4~E AIJuOLAt~I PROwLE:t1 0'/EF~ TU THE Ui'~.I~~
iJE'i 0' S RF~"IAR:S r?iAY M:+V=, l3i=:.'~ p'Oi~~?TED EiY A Gh't~l1lTtdG C01~lCf:.'F~i'd WiTHIW
H:[S 0'GA"!I7.ATTOt~! TH,~ T POhTUGAL ?'S STILL tJ0'f REA)~Y TO Tf;ANSFER
SOVE:i