WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 109-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010011-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 14, 2005
• Sequence Number: 11
• Publication Date: July 15, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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ARGENTINA: THE OPPONENTS OF LOPEZ REGA, THE CONTROVERSIAL
ADVISER TO ARGENTINA'S PRESIDENT PERON, ARE CONTINUING THEIR
EFFORTS TO ASSURE THAT HIS REMOVAL FROM THE GOVERNMENT DURING
WEEK OF JULY ?, 1975 IS COMPLETE-Y
LOPEZ REGA WAS FORMALLY ACCUSED ON JULY 14, 1975 OF
MASTERMINDING THE ARGENTINE ANTI-COMMUNIST ALLIANCE, A
RIGHT-WING GROUP THAT REP^RTEDL.Y HAS ENGAGED IN POLITICAL
ASSASSINATIONS; THE CHARGE GROWS OUT OF AN ARMY INVESTIGATION.
DURING WEEK OF JULY 7, L975, A MEMBER OF CONGRESS CALLED FOR
LOPEZ REGA'S IMPEACHMENT ON SIMILAR GROUNDS-Y
WHILE MANY ARGENTINES HAVE LONG THOUGHT LOPEZ REGA WAS
BEHIND THE ALLIANCE; FEW HAVE DARED TO ACCUSE HIM, EVEN
INDIIRECTLY, FOR FEAR OF RETALIATION- THE FORMAL CHARGE
SEEMS DESIGNED TO MAKE IT AS DIFFICULT AS POSSIBLE FOR HIM
TO INFLUENCE THOSE REMAINING GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS IDENTIFIED
WITH HIM- THE ACCUSATION WILL INCREASE PRESSURE ON THE
PRESIDENT NOT TO RELY ON HIM ANY LONGER IN ANY CAPACITY.
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MRS. PERON IS ALSO UNDER PRESSURE FROM THOSE MEMBERS
OF HER PERONIST PARTY WHO HAVE LONG BEEN DISSATISFIED WITH
HER FOR EXCLUDING THEM FROM DECISION-MAKING AND FOR ALLOWING
THE PARTY HIERARCHY TO WITHER. SOME DISSIDENTS REPORTEDLY
ARE SEEKING TO OUST MRS. PERON AS PARTY CHIEF. THEY APPARENTLY
HAVE BEEN EMBOLDENED BY THE ACTION AGAINST LOPEZ REGA, TPE
MAN INITIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE EXCLUSION OF PARTY LEADERS
FROM THE PRESIDENT'S INNER CIRCLE.
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INTRODUCED, AT THE ISLAMIC FOREIGN MINISTERS! CONFERENCE IiV JIDDA-,
A DRAFT RESOLUTION CALLING FOR THE SUSPENSION OF ISRAEL FROM THE UN
GENERAL ASSEMBLY. CITING ISRAELI FAILURE TO IMPLEMENT UN RESOLUTIONS,
THE DRAFT RESOLUTION CALLED FOR ISRAEL TO BE BARRED AS WELL
FROM ALL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES UNDER UN AUSPICES.Y
THE SAUDI CHAIRMAN OF THE CONFERENCE REPORTEDLY MANAGED TO
KEEP THE RESOLUTION OFF THE AGENDA, BUT NO ARAB COUNTRY HILL
OPENLY OPPOSE THE RESOLUTION IF IT COMES TO A VOTE.Y
THIS LATEST MOVE BY DAMASCUS STEMS FROM SYRIAN FEARS THAT
PROGRESS TOWARD A FURTHER SINAI DISENGAGEMENT WILL MAKE-ANY
AGREEMENT ON THE GOLAN HEIGHTS INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT- AN
EDITORIAL IN SHE DAMASCUS DAILY AL-THAWRA OF JULY ]2
0013153SAYS THAT THE ARABS HAVE GONE TOO FAR IN THEIR DESIRE FOR At
POLITICAL SETTLEMENT AND HAVE SACRIFICED TINE NEEDLESSLY. TIT
EDITORIAL, DESCRIBED BY THE EMBASSY AS HAVING OVERTONES OF
OFFICIAL INSPIRATION, CALLS FOR THE RE-EVALUATION OF T::E
RELE\,.,4p,pr, ..yed For Release 2005/Q6V,,gA;,,Ql&,.II~P86T00608R00030001 Qp?~1T;7AT:NG OFFICER
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RESULTS OF THE POLICY PURSUING A SETTLEMEf`1T? THROUGH POLITICAL
ACTIVITY AND CITES THE NEED FOR THE ARAIJS TO RELY MORE ON
THEIR OWN EFFORTS.
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2. SPANISH SAHARA: MADRID'S EFFORTS TO SETTLE THE DISPUTE OVER
THE FUTURE OF SPANISH SAHARA ARE BEING FRUSTRATED BY THE DELAYING
TACTICS OF f",OROCCO AND MAURITANIA OVER A FOUR-POWER CONFERENCE AND
RENEWED VIOLENCE IN THE TERRITORY.Y
SPAIN'S INABILITY TO PERSUADE MOROCCO, ALGERJ:P,, AND
MAURITANIA TO ATTEND A CONFERENCE IN MADRID ON JULY `J HAS [.$J)
THE SPANISH GOVEPNNENT TO INSTRUCT ITS UN REPRESENTATIVE.
TO URGE SECRETARY GENERAL IWALDHEIM TO CONVOKE FOUR--POWER TALKS
ON SPANISH SAHARA UNDER HIS AUSPICES. SPANISH OFFICIALS TOPE
THAT DIRECT UN INVCLVEMENT IN THE DISPUTE DILL DETER THE
THREE POWERS FROM ENGAGING IN AGGRESSIVE ACTIONS AGAINST
THE SA11ARA WHILE TALKS ARE IN PROGRE',S ? Ir
THE THREE AFRICAN STATES flAY 3E 1.10 110;;E RESPONSIVE TO A
REQUEST BY THE UN SECRETARY GENERAL THAN THEY IJr f\1E TO SPAIN' S
EARLIER INVITATION TO MEET IN MADRID. RA'3AT IS l.a:;'E-_Y TO 4 E
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OPPOSED, PROBABLY CITING THE PENDING DECISION BY THE INTERNATIONAL
COURT OF JUSTICE EXPECTED IN OCTOBER. MAURITANIA [JILL PR03ADLY
STRADDLE THE FENCE AND SIIiPLY NOT REPLY. THE ALGERIANS ARE
LIKELY TO FAVOR THE CONFERENCE. IF ACTION IS NOT FORTHCOMING
AND VIOLENCE CONTINUES, MADRID IS LIKELY AGAIN TO THREATEN
UNILATERAL WITHDRAWAL FROM SPANISH SAHARA-Y
MEANWHILE, THERE WAS RENEWED VIOLENCE IN SPANISH SAHARA
OVER THE WEEKEND- THREE POLICEMEN IN EL AAIUN, THE
SAHARAN CAPITAL-, WERE KILLED AND A FOURTH SERIOUSLY INJURED
BY A BOMB ALLEGEDLY PLANTED BY FOLLOWERS OF THE
PRO-INDEPENDENCE POLISARIC FRONT BACKED BY ALGIERS. IN
ANOTHER INCIDENT, THE SON OF THE LEADER OF THE SPANISH-BACKED
SAHARAN NATIONAL UNION PARTY WAS KILLED WHEN A BOMB DEMOLISHED
A CAR. ACCORDING TO PRESS REPORTS, POLICE ARRESTED MORE THAN
150 PERSONS IN EL AAIUN SUSPECTED OF SUPPORTING THE POL:SARIO
FR0NIT - 4'
THESE BOMBINI,S, AND A STATEMENT ISSUED ON JULY 7 BY A
POLISARIO FRONT REPRESENTATIVE IN PARIS DEiIANDIi'JG
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SELF-DETERMINATION, CAST FURTHER DOUBT ON-THE RECENT STATEMEM
BY MOROCCO AND ALGERIA THAT THEY HAD REACHED AN UNDERSTANDING
ON THE FUTURE OF SPANISH SAHARA- THIS UNDERSTANDING WOULD
ENVISAGE PARTITION OF THE DISPUTED TERRITORY BETWEEN MOROCCO
AND MAURITAN.CA UITHOUT RECOURSE TO A REFERENDUM.
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3. ANGOLA: ACCORDING TO PRESS REPORS FROM ZAIRE, AGOSTINHO
VETO, PRESIDENT OF THE POPULAR MOVEMENT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA,
HAS BEEN DEPOSED BY MITO ALVES, A TOP MILITARY COMMANDER OF THE
MOVEMENT WHO HAS CONSISTENTLY PUSHED FOR A TOUGH MILITARY CAMPAIGN
AGAINSHT THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA. THIS
REPORT COMES ASD HEAVY FIGHTING RESUMED IN LUANDA BETWEEN THE
TWO LIBERATION GROUPS. MONDAY NIGHT, HOWEVER, LISBON RADIO REPORTED
THAT NETO LED A DELEGATION FROM THE POPULAR MOVEMENT TO A MEETING XIA
WITH PORTUGUESE FOREIGN 11INISTER ANTUNES-Y
WE CANNOT CONFIRM THAT NETO HAS BEEN DEPOSED, BUT THE INTENSITY
OF THE POPULAR MOVEMENT'S CURRENT MILITARY! CAMPAIGN IS CONSISTENT
UITh THE TOUGH LINE ADVOCATED 8U MAJOR ALVES- ALVES APPEARS TO BE
IN FULL COMMAND OF THE CAMPAIGN. Y
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THE i1OVEMENT APPEAR ALONG.1 ITN FO T TO DR VE
OFFICIALS REPORTEDLY HAVE FLED TO ZAIRE.Y
LISBON'S ALARM OVER THE DETERIORATING SITUATION IN ANGOLA
WAS REFLECTED IN THE SUDDEN DEPARTURE OF ANTUNES FOR LUANDA ON
SUNDAY. ANTUNES, A KEY MODERATE, HAS BEEN PLAYING A CENTRAL
ROLE IN THE POWER STRUGGLE TAKING PLACE IN THE PORTUGUESE CAPITAL.
THE PRESTIGE OF PORTUGAL'S MILITARY LEADERS RESTS HEAVILY UPON
THE SUCCESS OF ITS DECOLONIALIZATION POLICY, NOIJ THREATENED BY
THE RENEWED FIGHTING AND THE GROWING TIDE OF PORTUGUESE REFUGEES.Y
ANTUNES SAID THAT LISBON HAD "REACHED ITS LIMIT" IN EFFORTS
TO BRING.PEACE TO ANGOLA AND THAT IT MIGHT NOW SEEK INTERVENTION
BY SOME INTERNATIONAL BODY. WHILE NOT BLAMING ANY ANGOLAN
FACTION, ANTUNES PROMISED THAT PORTUGUESE FORCES WOULD PLAY A
MORE ENERGETIC ROLE IN RESTORING ORDER. TWO COMPANIES OF
PORTUGUESE COMMANDOS HAVE BEEN ORDERED INTO THE CENT ER OF LUANDA
TO RESTORE ORDER?Y
IF THE PORTUGUESE DO NOT STEP IN, THE POPULAR 110VEMENT' S
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OFFENSIVE MAY WELL DEFEAT THE NATIONAL FRONT. IT WOULD THEN
PROBABLY BE ONLY A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THE MOVEMENT PROCEEDED
AGAINST THE NATIONAL UNION FOR THE TOTAL INDEPENDENCE OF ANGOLA,
THE THIRD OF THE TERRITORY'S LIBERATION GROUPS. REPORTS NO11
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REACHING LUANDA, IN FACT, INDICATE THAT THE MOVEMENT DID ATTACK
TWO SMALL GARRISONS OF THE NATIONAL UNION ON SUNDAY-
4. INDIA: THE INDIAN SUPREME COURT YESTERDAY SET AUGUST 13, AS
THE DATE TO BEGIN HEARING ORAL ARGUMENTS ON PRIME MINISTER GANDHI'S
APPEAL OF HER RECENT CONVICTION FOR CORRUPT ELECTION PRACTICES IN
1971-Y
THE FINAL DECISION PROBABLY WILL NOT BE REACHED UNTIL
LATE SUMMER OR EARLY FALL. IN THE INTERIM, MRS. GANDHI CAN
CONTINUE TO FUNCTION AS PRIME MINISTER BUT NOT VOTE IN
PARLIAMENT, WHICH IS TO RECONVENE NEXT MONDAY FOR A WEEK OR
EVEN IF THE COURT RULES AGAINST MRS. GANDHI, SHE MAY
UELL REMAIN IN OFFICE. SHE COULD, FOR INSTANCE, HAVE THE
ELECTION COMMISSIONER, WHOM SHE APPOINTED, LIFT THE PENALTY
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ATTACHED .TO HER CONVICTION, WHICH CALLS FOR HER EXCLUSION
FROM PUBLIC OFFICE FOR SIX YEARS.Y
INFORMATION ON BOTH 'THE PARLIAMENTARY SESSION AND THE
COURT CASE WILL BE SCARCE IN COMING WEEKS. MEDIA COVERAGE OF
BOTH EVENTS IS NOW PROSCRIBED, AS ARE STATEMENTS BY
REPRESENTATIVES OF ANY OF THE 26 EXTREMIST ORGANIZATIONS
BANNED ON JULY 4? THE GOVERNMENT HAS TIGHTENED CENSORSHIP
REGULATIONS, AND THERE APPEARS TO BE INCREASING LIKELIHOOD
THAT SEVERAL MORE FOREIGN CORRESPONDENTS WILL BE EXPELLED.
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1. PORTUGAL: THE PORTUGUESE ARMED FORCES GENERAL ASSEMBLY 13331
SESSION SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY HAS BEEN PUT OFF UNTIL FRIDAY, POSSIBLY
BECAUSE OF THE LIKELY DEPARTURE OF THE CENTER-LEFT POPULAR
DEMOCRATS FROM THE COALITION GOVERNMENT ON WEDNESDAY.Y
ACCORDING TO POPULAR DEMOCRATIC LEADER BALSEMAO, PARTY
HEAD GUERREIRO WAS TOLD ON MONDAY BY PRIME MINISTER
GONCALVES THAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL NOT ACCEPT THE CONDITIONS
PRESENTED TO PRESIDENT COSTA GOMES LAST FRIDAY BY THE POPULAR
IF'
DEMOCRATS. THE CONDITIONS, WHICH GUERREIRO SAID WOULD
DETERMINE WHETHER OR NOT THE POPULAR DEMOCRATS WOULD
WITHDRAW FROM THE GOVERNMENT, INCLUDED GUARANTEES FOR A
FREE PRESS, MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS, AND MOVEMENT SUPPORT FOR
THE MODERATE-DOMINATED CONSTITUENT ASSEMBLY. BALSEMAO IS
CONVINCED THAT COSTA GOMES-AFTER CONSULTATION WITH THE
REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL-WILL REJECT THE PROPOSALS WHEN PARTY
LEADERS MEET WITH HIM TOMORROW, LEAVING THE POPULAR
DEMOCRATS NO CHOICE BUT TO PULL OUT OF TIME COVE RNMENT.Y
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A WITHDRAWAL BY THE POPULAR DEMOCRATS-LESS THAN ONE
WEEK AFTER THE SOCIALISTS PULLED OUT-COULD PROMP MILITARY
LEADERS TO DISSOLVE THE REMAINS OF THE COALITION GOVERNMENT
RATHER THAN CONTINUE WITH,, ONLY COMMUNIST SUPPORT. ONE
LEFT-WING SPLINTER PARTY USUALLY SYMPATHETIC TO THE
COi1MUNISTS HAS CALLED FOR THE FORMATION OF A ^NONCOALZTION
REVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT" WITHOUT NONPARTISAN CIVILIAN
PARTICIPATION. THIS CONCEPT MIGHT APPEAL TO THE MOVEMENT
AS A COMPLEMENTARY STRUCTURE FOR THEIR PLANNED PYRAMID OF
POPULAR ASSEMBLIES. ANOTHER OPTION UOULD BE SIMPLY TO
APPOINT AN ALL-MILITARY GOVERNMENT.Y
THE OUTSPOKEN OPPOSITION TO THESE "DIRECT LINKS" WITH
THE PEOPLE THROUGH "POPULAR ASSEMBLIES" Ai-'EARS TO BE
AGGRAVATING DIVISIONS WITHIN THE MILITARY AND HAS GENERATED
EFFORTS TO REASSURE THE PEOPLE THAT THE MILITARY DOES NOT -
INTEND TO ASSUME DICTATORIAL POWERS.Y
IN A TELEVISED DISCUSSION ON SUNDAY THAT WAS CHARACTERIZED
AS "DEFENSIVE" BY THE COMMUNIST-DOMINATED PRESS, FOUR
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COUNCIL MEMBERS SAID THAT THJE PLAN IS NOT
DEFINITIVE AND NEEDS FURTHER DISCUSSION. THEY SAID THE PLAN
WAS DESIGNED TO INCREASE'POLITICAL PARTICIPATION BY THE PEOPLE
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AND WOULD PROCEED AT A PACE DETERMINED BY POPULAR UILL.
2. PORTUGAL - USSR: THE SOVIET MEDIA ARE FIRMLY SUPPORTI.IG TFIE
RECENT ACTIONS OF THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT, INCLUD-
ING THE CREATION OF POPULAR COUNCILS AND THE DE
FACTO SEIZURE OF THE SOCIALIST PARTY'S NEWSPAPER?Y
THE SOVIETS HAVE FAITHFULLY REITERATED PORTU-
GUESE COMMUNIST STATEMENTS ENDORSING THE ARMED
FORCES MOVEMENT'S ACTIONS AS PROVIDING A NEW BASIS
FOR UNITY BETUEEN THE "POPULAR MASSES" AND THE MFA,
FACILITATING THE REVOLUTIONARY PROCESS AND COUNTER-
ING THE "SU3VERSIVE" SCHEMES OF "COUNTERREVOLUTIONARY"
FORCES SUPPORTED BY "FOREIGN IMPERIALISTS." THHE
PORTUGUESE SOCIALISTS HAVE NOIJ BEEN OPENLY LABELED AS
"COUNTERREVOLUTIONARY," AND THEE' ACTIONS BRANDED AS
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"SABOTAGE" AIMED AT UNDERMINING THE REVOLUTION ? 8
3? YUGOSLAVIA: BELGRADE HAS AGAIN STATED ITS OBJECTIONS TO
BALKAN COOPERATION SCHEMES THAT UOULD INVOLVE BUL-
GARIA.Y
A RECENT ARTICLE IN AN AUTHORITATIVE FOREIGN
AFFAIRS JOURNAL ARGUES THAT THE REGIONAL INITIATIVES
OF THE KARAMANLIS GOVERNMENT WILL MAKE NO SIGNIFI-
CANT PROGRESS UNTIL ALL ISSUES DIVIDING INDIVIDUAL
BALKAN COUNTRIES ARE RESOLVED. ANY ATTEMPT TO MOVE
f'
TOWARD MULTILATERALISM PREMATURELY WOULD RISK HARM
THEREFORE COULD ACTUALLY DISCREDIT THE CAUSE OF
BULGARIA IS STILL THE PROBLEM. THE ARTICLE
CONTENDS THAT BULGARIA'S UNCOMPROMISING APPROACH TO
THE MACEDONIAN MINORITY PR03LEM BURDENS NOT ONLY
RELATIONS WITH BELGRADE, OUT ALSO THE POLITICAL
ATMOSPHERE OF THE Ei; T IRE REGIO'J ? THE ARTICLE
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THE GREAT POWER INTERESTS OF THE USSR, AND OULGARIA CANNOT DE
I I'1u L- I _uirL.LL.S I t1A I I IIL UULGAN.AN REGIME SERVES
REGARDED AS AN INDEPENDENT COUNTRY PURSUING ITS OWN
REGIONAL SELF-INTERESTS.M
THE ASSERTIVE TONE MAY DELL BE BELGRADE'S RE-
ACTION TO THE STRONG PUBLIC SUPPORT FOR CLOSER
REGIONAL COOPERATION THAT ACCOMPANIED PREMIER
KARAMANLIS' RECENT VISIT TO BULGARIA. THE YUGOSLAV
REGIME PRESUMABLY FEELS THE TIME FOR HOLDING ITS
TONGUE IN DEFERENCE TO THE NEW GREEK GOVERNMENT IS
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