IS A SPLIT DEVELOPING BETWEEN PEKING AND HANOI?

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CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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70
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December 19, 2016
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August 14, 2000
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7
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December 1, 1968
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 25X1 C 25X1 C Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY December 1968 IS A SPLIT DEVELOPING BETWEEN PEKING AND HANOI? Observers of the Far East scene are concluding with increasing assur- ance that Hanoi and Peking are having their differences and that the dif- ferences are even more deep-seated than those that would arise naturally from their long term donor-dependent relationship. There is considerable direct evidence of serious quarrels, such as their openly opposed stands on certain major issues and the increasingly polemical turn of their pub- lic references to one another. There is other evidence which can most logically be explained in terms of a quarrel between the two countries, such as the withdrawal of Chinese technicians and military personnel from North Vietnam, and the prolonged absences of North Vietnam's diplomatic personnel from Peking. Divided Views Over Soviet Invasion of Czechoslovakia The most significant recent example of serious differences between Hanoi and Peking occurred when the two nations took diametrically oppo- site views on the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia. Hanoi leapt in im- mediately to give unqualified support to the USSR, even going so far as to repeat verbatim the lengthy TASS justification of the invasion. This move gave Hanoi a black eye not just in the free world, but also in the view of leftist organizations which ordinarily support Hanoi in the Vietnam war. Moreover, Hanoi's support for Moscow has estranged her from the great majority of the fraternal Communist parties which strongly condemned the USSR. Hanoi's endorsement of the Soviet action may be an indication that she has decided to follow Soviet rather than Chinese leadership of the world Communist movement; it could be that Moscow had extracted from Hanoi a promise of support for an action the USSR knew would bring down world censure; it could be that Hanoi hoped the inva- sion would put a crimp in any possible U.S.-USSR detente, or that Czechoslovakia's fate would bring Moscow's Eastern European satellites into line on other issues, including more help to Hanoi. It is possible that Hanoi's decision was primarily based on ideological grounds since the Lao Dong, as one of the most conservative ruling Communist parties in the world, would rejoice to see the stamping out of what it undoubt- edly viewed as dangerous revisionist tendencies on the part of Czecho- slovakia. As for China's view of the attack on Czechoslovakia, CHOU En-lai and a number of China's leaders used North Vietnamese National Day celebrations to criticize Soviet intervention in Czechoslovakia and to flail Hanoi for her defense of the Soviet move, Peking was not by any means defending the down-trodden, out-powered Czechs; she was merely taking another opportunity to excoriate her erstwhile ally, Moscow, and to charge that the invasion is evidence of a Soviet-U.S. bargain on "spheres of influence" giving Moscow a free hand in Eastern Europe in return for a U.S. free hand in Southeast Asia. Whatever the reasons for Hanoi's and Peking's respective defense and attack on Moscow, the drama of Czechoslovakia revealed a definite schism between these formerly closeknit allies. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Paris Peace Talks China's brief appearance as a critic of aggression and invasion in Europe would have been more impressive had it not been for her attitude in April and May of 1968 when North Vietnam agreed to meet U.S. repre- sentatives in Paris for peace negotiations. Chinese leaders roundly and openly criticized the North Vietnamese for agreeing to participate in the talks. Reports came out of the Chinese mainland in mid-June that Red Guards had demonstrated outside the three North Vietnamese consulates in China -- at Canton, Nanning and Kunming. The demonstrations were osten- sibly in support of the continued Vietnamese "struggle," but seasoned observers viewed them as a further condemnation by China of the Paris talks on Vietnam. On 29 June, the International Herald Tribune (Paris) reported that "public demonstrations against local North Vietnamese diplomatic officials" in China had supported demands that "these officials repudiate the Paris talks," and an Indian press agency report from New Delhi on 22 June said "it is presumed that they (Red Guards) were demonstrating against North Vietnam's talks with the United States." Two days after Foreign Minister CHEN Yi attacked the announcement that peace negotiations were to begin in Paris, Ngo Minh Loan, the North Vietnamess Ambassador to China, abruptly departed from Peking. On 8 July, the deputy chief of the National. Liberation Front mission in Peking, Nguyen Minh Phuong, was recalled and has not returned to China, Evidence of split or the inevitable results of problems confronting allies?.,, It doesn't actually matter into which category the foregoing evidence falls. However these factors may be categorized, they seem to indicate a deterioration cot the close relations which existed between Hanoi and Peking a. year ago, Other Indications of Possible Rift Newspaper men in Hanoi have expressed the opinion that the Chinese are ? Withdrawing their troops from North "Iietnarn as a result of Hanoi's conviction that the bombing will. not be resumed. Rumors have also been circulating in Paris that the Chinese have withdrawn 40% of their tech- nical and paramilitary personnel from North Vietnam, including bridge builders, railroad engineers and anti-aircraft units. (Chinese manpower in North Vietnam in the past has been estimated by military observers as between 30,000 and 50,000,) The withdrawal of these Chinese may be by mutual agreement between Hanoi and Peking On the other hand there may be another explanation, Numerous stories are circulating in Hanoi, in fact,?that the Chinese were evacuated at. North Vietnam's insistence because of Chinese _ins~;=teri;e on distributing Mao badges and propaganda material including the "`i.,.i_rtle Red Book of Quotations." The Hong Kong South China Morning Post., of 2 May reported that the North Vietnamese had barred Mao badges and becks and that Chinese seamen had been warned not to wear their badges ashore. Despite these warnings, there have been reports that. Chinese sailors have been. seeking to create incidents among the crews of other shipping at Haiphong. A few months ago, when the Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 2 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Chinese offered to repair the Paul Doumer Bridge in Hanoi again, the North Vietnamese refused the offer, recalling the last repair job on the bridge carried out by the Chinese in December 1967 when the Chinese workmen put up a flagrant display of Mao posters for all of Hanoi to see. It has been recalled -- in the general context of withdrawal of technicians and ad- visors -- that the first sign of the Sino-Soviet split was the withdrawal of Soviet technicians from China in 1960, heralding the eventual cut-off of Soviet economic aid to China. Arrangements for negotiating economic aid from China to North Vietnam were markedly changed this year when Le Thanh Nghi's economic delegation (which in past years went first to China) signed its first agreement in Hungary, after which it went to Bulgaria, Poland, Rumania, Czechoslovakia, East Germany and the USSR. The Peking-Hanoi agreement on further economic and technical aid to North Vietnam was eventually signed in an atmosphere of mutual misgivings, primarily caused by the continued hold-up in China of supplies for Vietnam. Fifteen convoys of Soviet aid and military equip- ment were reportedly bogged down in Chinese territory at the very time the economic protocols were. being signed. Small wonder that the North Vietnamese tried other nations before falling back on an ally whose inter- nal chaos makes cross country rail transportation so uncertain. The 15 Soviet convoys were believed to be caught on the south:rn border of Kwangsi province, which was then riven by factional disorders finally brought under control by the Red Army. But can the Red Army maintain order, manufacture the goods Peking has just promised Hanoi, keep the railroads running to deliver the goods Eastern Europe countries have promised Hanoi and serve the real functions of an Army? For that matter, how can China claim to be in the protective, guiding hands of Communism when all that keeps order in the country and maintains the Party in power is the Army? Hanoi's unflattering views on her Chinese ally have been indicated directly or obliquely in her public statements, in her news media cover- age of Chinese affairs, in the statements of her diplomats and consular officials, and sometimes in her very failure to comment on such vital factors as the Cultural Revolution on the Chinese scene. China has revealed her own unflattering views on Hanoi in similar fashion: in the recent protests in Yunnan and Kwangsi provinces against the shipping of scarce goods such as rice and medical supplies to North Vietnam, and in her open resentment over the growing warmth of the Hanoi- Moscow relationship and over Hanoi's apparent ingratitude for what Peking has done for her. The objective viewer could say "small wonder" in either situation, considering the polemics and the extremist behavior indulged in by both Hanoi and Peking. Peking's resentment against such an inconstant ally is comprehensible, as'is Hanoi's concern over what the war is costing in North Vietnamese lives -- an entire generation, which can never be replaced. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Hanoi is also certainly worried about what China plans to extract from North Vietnam in ultimate payment for her assistance during this long war. And while Hanoi worries over paying her mounting debts to China, she will have to consider that the further she moves towards Moscow, the further in debt she will be there. She is already, in fact, mortgaging her future to two nations, the USSR and China, both of which have repeatedly demonstrated that they will exploit to the hilt any obligations owed them. Whether the quarrels between Hanoi and her giant Chinese neighbor and "benefactor" eventually lead to serious rifts or not, she is in a position few countries in Asia or Europe would envy. She has only to look to Czechoslovakia to see a vivid example of the price the small debtor must pay to a Communist- style friend. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17: CIA-RDP78-03061A0004000306&-RGH PHILIPPINES HERALD T 4 October 1968 North' Vietnam Is Talking with` U.S. in Paris AginsUComjnjnjs ' thing's Advice 'PARIS (UPI) -- Diplo- the Mainich, newspaper talk-fight policy of the that the Soviet. Union, i matic sources in Pa- of Tokyo in an interview Vietnamese, which they following its policy ' of de- iris have backed up chief recorded last week and used so successfully ag- tente with the United U.S. delegate W. Avereli released this week. ainst the French, is not In States urged the North ;H a r riman's contention The sources said that agreement w i t h the Vietnamese to negotlaU 4 .that North Vietnam is Peking made it clear In thoughts of Mao Tse- an end to the Vietnam talking ' with the United May when the conversa- tung on' the fighting: of war with the U.S. !States against the wishes tions began in Paris that wars of national libera- The North Vietnamese tof the Chinese Commu- they were unhappy that tion. probably a r e allowing !flist. Hanoi had agreed to talk. The Chinese want the themselves to be influ "They (the North Viet- At' that time the Chinese Vietnamese to keep fight-" enced by the Soviet Union' Aamese) are in Paris with recalled their press re- Ing and to win on the bat- as a' means of decreasing the support of the Soviet presentatives in Paris and tlefield, thus p r o v i n g Chinese influence and government and. against have ignored the talked again that Mao Is right, pressure on North Viet- ''the advice and pressure of ever since. the sources said. nam, the sources specula.; yoking," Fiarrinaian told The. fiources said? that _ , -,The same sources said ted... WASHINGTON POST 1 October 1968 ` Concern Over Moscow Rises Peking Celebration`; Downgrades, Hanoi' By Stanley Karnow washinaton Poet Foreign Service i Oct. The, Chinese communists have sig-i nificantly downgraded their ,expressions of support for `North Vietnam and the Viet ,cong while displaying In- ,creased 'concern at the poss- ibility of a clash with the So- viet Ux=i". This was apparent today in major statements delivered by both Premier Chou En-lai and ,Lin - Piao, China's Defense Minister, at Peking celebra- tions marking the Chinese Communist regime's 19th year) In power. The two Chinese leaders al-I so indicated domestic policiesi ra on ea urea 17735 n i wife Chiang Ching, and other luminaries. Notably missing for the sec- ond straight year was Li Shao-chi, the head of state who has been repeatedly de flounced as "China's Khrush chev" for allegedly having fa vored such Soviet-style "revs i sionist" reforms as material rewards for workers and peas ants. But the presence or ab- sence of key figures, though usually a revealing clue to the status of Communist hierarch ies, appeared to analysts her to be less important today than the style of the anniver pointing to the further decline of Mao Tse-tung's Cultura,I !substance of its oratory. pect The most important aspect Revolution and the rise of moderate military and civilian Authority in China. Held in Peking's Tien-an Men Square-the, Plaza of of the celebration, in the view of these analysts, was the shift in focus by the Chinese away from the Vietnam war to the potential danger of collision with the Soviet Union. CPYRGH 1 CPYRGH This switch is thought to re- sion and for national salvo-'y fleet increasingly strained re? tion." lations between Peking and ' asTa sloganedu ing I stryear's! Hanoi and, at the same time,' anniversary ' demonstrations. mirror growing Chinese fears 1 None of the slogans in the cur that the Russians may violate .rent celebration has men- chrir northern and western tinned Vietnam, however. borders just as they invaded I Similarly, speaking at recep?I Czechoslovakia. tion In Peking last night, Chou! Peking's attitudes towards En-lai referred to Vietnam; Hanoi and Moscow are linked, perfunctorily, placing Chinese moreover. since the Vietnam- support for the "heroic Viet ese Communists backed Soviet namese" after Peking's devo-. int-rvention in Czechoslovakia tion to the "fraternal Albanian. while the Chinese bitterly ex- people." coriated the Russians for their Last year, Chou not only action. / matched Lin Piao's promise of The new change in their, "resolute support" for Hanoi utlook, some experts here and the Vietcong but also; uggest, may also mean that j stressed that China would he Chinese are now less wor- ied by the threat of war with he United States than they ere earlier this year, when American aircraft were bomb- ng close to their southern ordefs. - Speaking at this morning's ally In Peking, Lin Piao ointedly omitted any refer- nee to the Vietnam conflict, "maximum na-tio?nal sacrifices" in its determination to aid' them. In another speech yesterday, Chou voiced Peking's appre- hension at the possibility of Russian attack, accusing Mos. cow of encircling China by "staltioning massive troops along The Sino-Soviet and nd instead called on Chinese) ~ina-iviongoilan borders" and coops to "remain vigilant" "even more frequently send- nd strengthen their country's, ing planes to violate China's i airspace." defenses." ." On Sept. 16, in their first ex. At last year's celebration, in change of protests on the sub-~ ontrast, Lin urged China to ject, the Chinese complained' ive "resolute support'to the to Moscow against 29 Intru.. Vietnamese people in their lions over their territory by' reat war against U.S.,aggres-, Sovieteircraft. -RDP78-03061 A000400030007-9 Approve or Release . ~ The Al Ci~iQf~s PeSl t~ S/~ ai~ZtioS'il~ilD~t~tfj030wou 9%0400Q3007-9 Pnmar~ly advanced phasis on Vietnam was also evident last night in the order ,of prominence accorded the "distingulsed? foreign guests" who attended the National Day reception given by Chou .irn Peking. il, As listed In an official New 'China News Agency dispatch received here, the two North' Vietnamese vice-minsters and? a Vietcong Central Committee member present at the recep-- tion were outrankd by half a dozen Albanians, four mem- bers of a Pakistan delegation, a Burmese and an Indonesian. mmunist, and a Communist from Auckland, New Zealand. At last year's celebration, the Hanoi and Vietcong repre- sentatives were. second only, to the Albanians. Meanwhile today the gov-, ernment press rimade It clear:' that the drive to curb the Cul- WASHINGTON POST 22 October 1968 Red Guard activities will con- elements among the industrial The official editorial said ] that "the working class must exercise leadership In every. thing", insisting that workers and peasants mobilized Into ,so-called "Mao Tse-tung's Thought Propaganda Teams" would play a predominant role In schools, offices, factories and other enterprises. These teams, essentially dis- ciplinary platoons organized to crack down on unruly Red Guards and other agitators, are Instruments of the army,- which now rules the country through Revolutionary Com- mittees set up In all of China's 29 provinces and special mu- nicipalities. The editorial indicated that at'tention' may soon be tuyned towards constructing a new Communist Party apparatus. "New blood" in the apparatus ;workers," the newspapers said.. It is unlikely that the mod-' crate military and civilian :leaders now in the ascendency will call a party congress to make such a change until they are able to reinforce their con- trol down to the country's low est levels. I This appears to be their objective In their program to establish Revolutionary Com- mittees in every town, county, school, factory, office and; ,other enterprise in the coun- try. Judging from the subdued tone of the National Day cele i bration,, they are evidently ap- proaching this challenge with, a .sobriety starkly different, from the demonstrations of two years ago, when Mao en . couraged disorder and vio- lease. CPYRGH jI~nOiVC Split Seen on Reply By Stanley Karnow Divergent Views - 'tle -to show for years of'sac., Washington Post Foreign Service These differences hav rifice. e This apprehension hasd HONG KONG, Oct. 22-_~ b+'r'n brought to the fore by been reflected, for exampleNorth Vietnamese and Viet- the White House proposal, in Front propaganda attack',' cong leaders appear to West which the factions view ei- ing figures like Gen. Duong ther as a hazard or an op- Van Minh, a former South ern ; analysts here to be di ,portunity, ' depending on Vietnamese Premier now in vided in their efforts to their particular hopes, fears Saigon, whom Hanoi spokesw" shape a response to Presi- or dogmas. men publicly treat with re-: dent Johnson. reported pack- - The Communist group $Peet and privately concedei age plan to break the dead- most sensitive to the nego to be a potential member of' lock in the Paris peace nego- tiatlons is the National Lib an acceptable coalition, tiations. eration Front, the official` A sharper sign of nervous- 'In the opinion of these an- arm of the Vietcong, which ness was mirrored today in a; alysts, the Communists are, seems to fear that its inter- statement by the Front that united in their determina- ests may be forgotten by the jumped the gun on Hanoi in tion to "talk I and fight," North Vietnamese as they' seemingly rejecting Mr. which means they have no seek a settlement favorable. Johnson's offer. intention of either quitting Apparently striving town-! Paris or stopping military : to themselves. dercuit any 'deal between, operations in South Viet- In contrast to ' Hanoi, Washington and Hanoi to in-. nam. : whose basic aim Is eventual elude the Saigon regime in' They, are apparently split,, unification of Vietnam, the peacg talks, the Front as-. however, on the key ques- Front puts its focus on gain- sorted that the "puppet ad-. tion of how much emphasis ing political power in the ministration .... does not to place on diplomatic ac-, South. represent anybody." tion as a way to achieve. Front's Apprehension Three Hanoi Factions their objectives. ' Hence the Southern Com In the estimation of Doug- This crucial question, munists appear aPPre ']as- Pike, a foremost Ameri-`'. which will largely decide slue that Hanoi may strike, can authority here on Viet-' whether the Communists ac- bargain with the United' Jnam, there are roughly cept or, reject the Johnson States that relegates the !three factions in Hanoi that, Administration's reported Front to a relatively minor have long been pressing to offer, is complicated by the position in a ? Saigon coali. Impose their strategies. 'fact that Communist fac- tion. ,tions in North' and' outhI - All, Pike has pointed out,' Such a Possibility, the fundamentally agree that Vietnam evidently. advocate Fronts leaders realize,- "revolutionary.'violence" is `different tactics to attain would demoralize their fol' the proper approach against 'different coals.. lo 'mies. But they differ over' .methods. One Faction's View One faction; according to? Pike, is headed by the Pol?it~+ buro member Truong Chinh, who has .argued for "pro-: tracted warfare" on 'the grounds that time Is on the side of the Communists. ' Chino has stressed the ne-' cessity -to "shift to the de-" fensive to gain time, dis- hearten the enemy and build up our forces for a new offAnsive." This line apparently bass brought Chinh close to 'the' Front, which also favors' slow, small-scale -tactics, and, it has earned him the repu-~ Cation of being pro-Chinese,, since "protracted warfare" is a pet theory of Mao Tse- tung. Over the past year, how, ever, the Chinh approach' has been overhsadowed bye -that of Gen. Vo Nguyen.. ;Giap, the North Vietnamese, Defense Minister, who in Pike's view Is the predom:i-' nant Communist strategist; In Hanoi. .Giap's Contention Presumably backed by. President Ho Chi Minh and Premier Pham Van Dong, wers, who would ~i? have - to Giap contended that the Approved For Release 2005lit 8/17: Gf'A-F~ .i~6 00&@40.mo7o&id ;lot ;af-p 1- i aril fiord a pi?Xte ppiac aSe 0 a t Fla [ff .war" In the face of over. headed,-by Foreign Mintsterl has been matched by a stale-, whelming American might. Nguyen Duy Trinh ,seel~inq 'mate in Vietnam, and Hanoi; Thus he launched the dew-1 (to increase North Vietnam's ' is now facing the problem of :t astating Tet offensive in] options py pushing fox' a dfp? onfriving a new doctrine. 'hopes of a decisive victory: lomatic offensive. ' It can, as. Truong Chine In the shortest possible 11 1 Approach E. G advises, phase back to gxier~, time, regardless of casual- /rilla war and fight forever' Since spring, the: North -or it can dilute Its de- Vietnamese have been pro-I ?hnands and 'make eonees- , ties. That offensive seams to',' moting a dual approach,,. sions to Washington In, an" have had a far greater polit- combining: Map's battlefxeld'~ attempt to turn a political thrust *4h Trinh's dipto- settlement in its favor.' ~icai 'and . psycholog1ea matic drive, the two being+ These are the alternatives" paet In the 'United., 4t'atc.1,1 1 related, in the sense that, the North Vietnames'e'- anct ?progress at the conferencefi Vietcong have undoubtedly;'. and elsewhere than It had militarily. table would reflect military ,been debating. Their choice That Jmpaci , yidex ty...le progress: remains to be;'seen s z SAIGON POST 15 August 1968 CPYRGH T I Bombing, Troops, Advisers BY V14 T EMN, ,. at! CPYRG 1 THAT AMERICA is willing to help North Vietnam economically is set forth in the joint communique between Presidents Johnson and Thieu of South Vietnam, dated in Honolulu July 21, 1968, as follows : . Questo ricat- o delta fame, a dire 11 vero, non osca. Ma tutto lascia prevedere he to sara .fatalmente dopo it 17 ovembre, se it PCI non si alli- eerh. "- a'' *-06 LE MONDE, 2i October 1968 Mme Jeannette Thor Nee le 26 novembre 1910 4 Lille, Lucie Marie Bite Jean- nette Vermeersch a douze ans lorsqu'elle entre comma tisse- rande dans une usine de tex- tiles du Nord ; elle a dix-huit ans lorsqu'elle adhere au parti communists ; ells en a vingt- trois lorsqu'elle rencontre, au ours d'un meeting de la jeu- nesse communiste, Maurice I'hores, qui est depuis trots ans aeretaire general du parti .ommuniste. Devenue sa com- agne, cite a de tut trots en- ants, Jean, Paul at Pierre nes espectivement en 1935, en 1941 t en 1946, at l'epouse en 1947. Membre du secretariat des eunesses conam.unistes du Nord (1930-1931), puffs ae ;c? eommis- ion rationale des jeunes syn- iques de Ia. C.G.T.U. (1931- 932, ells accede a.u bureau na- tonal des jeunesses commu- istes, oft ells siege de 1932 1934; De 1935 a 1939 ells onde puts dirige avec Danielle asanova et Marie -Claude Vaillant-Couturier a l'Union as feunes filtes de France a. M. Roger Ga Ne d Marseille le 17 juillet 913, M. Roger Garaudy est grege de philosophic at doc- eur es lettres. Apres trente mois d'interne- ent dans un camp de concen- ration allemand, it regagne la rance. Depute du Tarn our eux Assemblees constituantes 1945-1946), it est elu membre e la premiere Assemblee ationale, mais ne conserve pas on mandat le 17 juin 1951. 11 retrouve an 1956 comme de- ute de la Seine. Vice-presi- ant de I'Assemblee rationale e 1956.4 1958, it siege ensuite u Senat d'avril 1959 4 novem- re 1962, date 4 laquelle if bandonne son mandat pour se onsaerer d Ia philosophic, qu'UI nseigne actuellement d Ia fa- ults des lettres de Poitiers. Membre du F.C.F. depuis z-Vermeersch guerre mop a e, qu e e pass en U.R.S.S., ells entre en 194, au comite central du P.C.F. qui d'elira en 1950 membre di bureau politique du parti. A sein de la direction ells adopt souvent des positions intran- sigeantes, notamment au mo- ment des manifestations anti- americaines de 1952 at de noz-- veau apres le XX, con res, preeonisant alors une desta- linisation tres lente at . pru- dente. La mdladie et I'absence du secretaire general, dont elle est l'agent de liaison avec Ia direction du P.C.F. et au nom duquel ells s'exprime avec au- torite, l'amene d intervenir, non sans se heurter parfois avec tel on tel dirigeant, dans le re- glement des successives u a/- faires a Tillon, Marty, Lecceur qui seeouent entre 1950 at 1956 l'etat-major du parti. Membre des deux Assemblees constituantes (1945-1946), puffs depute de la Seine de 1946 d 1959, ells siege ensuite au Senat d'avril 1959 jusqu'au 22 sep- tembre 1968, date d laquelle ,elle ne sollicite pas le renou- aady 1933, it entre au comitd centre en 1945. Membre suppleant d? bureau politique de 1956 d 1961 it y siege d a part entiere depuis lors. Directeur des a Cahiers d communisme a at du Centre d'etudes at de recherche marxistes (C.E,R.M.), it est l'au teur de plusieurs livres parm lesquels, l'Humanisme marxiste De Vanatheme au dialogue Marxisme du vingtieme siecle If a public tout recemmen Prague 1968 : Ia llberte en cur sis (voir le Monde des 6-7 oc tobre) et vient de faire parat tre, Pour un modele frangal du socialisme (voir le lylond du 16 octobre). M. Roger Garaudy est do teur As sciences de i'Institut d philosophic de I'Academie de sciences d'U.R.S.S.. po, oltreApprdQediFOPii @ 2405/08/17: CIA-RDP78-03061A000 favore lie finanze-esauste: e cioe CPYRGH T CPYRGH T CPYRGH T suscitare un certo risentlmen Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 EXCERPTS FROM L'ESPRESSO, Rome 27 October 1968 (PCI Objects to Soviet Pressures) by Mino Monicelli "The roots of evil lie in via delle Botteghe Oscure [Italian Communist Party headquarters.] Even at the cost of a serious mutila- tion it must be eradicated before it is too late." This statement, which was made in Moscow by a Soviet leader, marked the beginning of the decisive offensive against the Italian Communist Party [PCI]. Autumn promises to be fraught with unknown factors for the PCI. Stormy clouds are gathering on the horizon. They are clouds which are moving in along with anonymous letters and pamphlets from Dresden, Warsaw, East Berlin, and the Warsaw Pact countries. They form an avalanche of propaganda against the PCI which, together with the ma- terial distributed by the Soviet and Polish Embassies in Rome and by the USSR Novosty news agency, is spilling onto the regional sections and the houses of the rank and file militants. After having practi- cally liquidated the new Czechoslovak leadership, the Soviet Union is determined to get rid of the Italian heretics. The top PCI leaders are convinced of this. They know that November will be the month of truth; the crucial date is 17 November when the conference preparatory to the Congress of the Communist Parties called by Moscow will be held in Budapest. It is possible that by that time the Kremlin will definitely have succeeded in controlling the Prague heresy and that Bilak and Indra or any other stray puppet will have replaced Dubcek and his comrades in the push button room. In that case, the Italian communist leaders will have to face the final offensive of the "tank drivers" [carristi] with their backs practically to the wall. They already know that Moscow is ready for anything, even an ultimatum, excommunication, or a break, as long as it can destroy the hotbed of infection which is lodged in via delle Botteghe Oscure, and that the party will only have one alternative: either to surrender shamefully or to expose itself to mutilation, the importance and consequences of which are unpredictable at this time.... The statements uttered at the Central Committee on Saturday, 19 October -- an outright explicit one by D'Onofrio, and the more toned down, but perhaps more insidious one by Secchia -- undoubtedly reflect a situation with which they are well acquainted and which they have been closely following for some time. Perhaps it will be these two men who will officially bring about the explosion of the crisis and point out that the proclaimed unity of the Italian communist gov- erning group no longer exists. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Donini had also voiced his reservations, as it was said, at the last but one Central Committee meeting, but Donini never has been a summit man. He is an intellectual, with greater ties to the Kremlin that to via delle Botteghe Oscure, but without any following. In the case of Secchia and D'Oncfrio the situation is different: Secchia has been deputy secretary of the party, the number two man immediately after Togliatti; D'Onofrio is an old, still influential militant. A former member of the secretariat, for years he directed the PCI cadres office, that is, the Russian inquisition organ, Donini's speech was a matter of letting off steam. more than anything else. The speech by Secchia, and particularly that of D'Onofrio, assume quite a different meaning because behind them lies a long-term politi- cal plan. Edoardo D'Onofrio wculd now like to be the interpreter of the wave of criticism coming from the Stalinist rank and file. It must be said that his papers are in perfect order for seeking this leadership. His pro-.Soviet stand is not an intellectual stance, but a basic instinct. His Communist past, as a militant who has been in jail and who has spent many years in exile in Moscow, is unimpeachable. D'Onofrio never did hide, even at the most difficult moments (such as during the Hungar- ian events) his unshakable loyalty to the Soviet Union. He has always openly said that he does not share the doubts and the perplexities of many of his comrades in the party leadership (even those with the great- est prestige, such as Palmirc Togliatti), but he rejects the attribute of "Tank Driver," However, as soon as he learned that the PCI leader- ship had condemned the Soviet intervention in Czechoslovakia (he was .in Bulgaria at the time), he sent a protest letter to Longo. Today D'Onofrio is convinced that the time has come to make his voice heard. He is well aware that the rank and file do not share the PCI leadership's stand with regard to the USSR, and it is obvious that he would like to become the leader of this dissenting group. It is a dissention which for the time being is spcntaneous, but which nothing prevents from becoming an organized faction inside the party (for the time being) because D'Onofric is not alone, He has many friends and it would not be difficult for him to proselytise among the Mao, Guevara, Marcuse type dissidents and among all the malcontents who recall the revolutionary and working class origins of the party..., However, the signs of the imminent and very grave crisis which threatens the PCI are not restricted to the statements read by Secchia and D'Onofrio at the latest PCI Central Committee meeting, We have referred to the flood of propaganda from Polish, East German, and Soviet sources in which the party's regional organizations and many comrades are being immersed. They are kinds of bulletins, open letters, and anonymous pamphlets in which the Czechoslovak leaders are attacked, and indirectly those who support them. The influx of such material has Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 2 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 in recent weeks increased to such an extent that of late L'UNITA had to issue an article warning its comrades and to denounce these "inadmissable methods." In this propaganda pounding, of particular importance was a series of open letters to the comrades violently denouncing Longo's policy. To these forms of pressure another more fraught with consequences has been recently added. It is well known that the Kremlin has already begun to cut off its subsidies to the French Communist Party, which until two months ago was considered the most orthodox of western communist . parties. This measure of reprisal for "reproaching" the Soviet interven- tion in Czechoslovakia, which was publicly reported by the French commu- nists, has created a crisis inside several enterprises controlled by the French Communist Party whose existence depended on exchanges with the Soviet Union (for example the Interagra, which specialized in the trade of grain products, or the CDLP [Centre de Diffusion du Livre et de la Press] which had a monopoly on Soviet publications. The Moscow sanctions have aggravated an already precarious financial situation as a result of which Waldeck Rochet is now faced with the prob- lem of reaching a compromise with Moscow which will allow him to avoid the worst, that is, bankruptcy. A sign of this incipient availability for a compromise on the part of the French Communist Party is the ap- peasement offered to the Soviets with the "censure" of Roger Garaudy, the leader of the party's pro-Czechoslovak faction. The suppression, officially attributed to financial motives, of the journal Democratie Nouvelle, which backs the Prague cuase, might serve the same purpose. There is a rumor in this connection that the existence of Lettres Francaises, directed by Aragon, who issued an extremely violent condem- nation of the Soviet intervention, is also threatened. In any case, to all these financial pressures is now added the political blackmail of the resignation from the party by Jeannette Vermeersch, Maurice Thorez' widow and the standardbearer of the "unconditional" pro-Soviet faction. It is obvious that in the case of the French Communist Party, it is a matter of signs that are more than disquieting and, in fact, they have not failed to deeply alarm those responsible for the PCI's financial situation, particularly the administrators of the party organ. The possibility that Moscow might cut off its subsidy to the PCI would also have grave consequences, if one remembers that already several years ago there was talk of abolishing the Rome edition of L'Unita. If the PCI does not yield to a compromise, it is certain that the Rome edition will be abolished and the number of the pages in the Weekly Rinascita reduced. The alarm created by these possibilities can be seen from the Central Committee speeches Anelito Barontini and Luciano Barca who em- phasized that the party must mobilize in order to meet the economic de- mands. Actually, the appeal to the party also had a purpose other than that of mobilizing it in favor of the exhausted funds and that was to arouse a certain.anti-Soviet resentment among the bureaucrats of the apparati whose personnel are threatened by having their salaries cut as Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA- DP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 a result of Moscow's financial blackmail. "So, comrades, no sooner had we displayed a little independence, than they want to starve us to our knees. To tell the truth, Moscow has not yet put this blackmail by starvation into practice, but there is every reason to believe that it will inevitable after 17 November, if the PCI does not fall into line...." Approved For Release 2005/08/17 4 CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 17 Octob(tpplrgtid For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 000 QED20 Go aom0 cog 1100 Canrosso 0 CPYRGH T Diamo qui di segufto un ampio re? soconto del rapporto svolto dal coni- pagno Alessandro Natta at Comitato Centraie. distrutt.ore, e pesano anche le diffl? colt,il dcll'azione unitaria dello stesso sch:eramento di pace e antimpe? rialistico. Questa consapevo-ezza dei dart nuovi, complessi e contraddit- tors dells realty del mondo a dells In questa sessione del CC e del- ' mo decidere sulla move, de11'emergere dl question- la CCC convocazione dobbiadel XII congresso del rco deve Impegno del ells nostro base del dlbattlno- o e ? r essuale partito per it quale proponiamo la s e to co g data del 26 gennaio e in sede di rendiamo . conto the @ una Bologna. La direzione ha prepara? in forte atte tesa eel partito nelle altre la nostra politica, 1.autonomia e l'internazionallsmo del nostro par- i tito e la profonda units dei gruppi dlrigenti e del complesso del par- tito su questa Linea. Un d c.c ento to tin progetto di documento po? forte politiche, tra I lavoratort e litico the occorre ora discutere a nell' Il progetto di documento nostro pubbl Qong ressodemocr esso non propone, tuttavia, un ri- definire e the dovrA quindi costl? per it opinione un chiamo sistematico a tutti tuire la piattaforma del congresso. not ci t accingiamo . muovendo Ad da esso not I segni dei tempi indicano gran- ben saldo retroterra. Il terreno so- bali o azione ti dells nostra cla? di a sconvolgcnti avvenimenti. Una lido, da cut guardiamo le cose nuo? Lando doneell'attpolitics de tin hi- crisl, tin complesso di ribellioni e ve per compiere passi in avanti, a sncio per del parti? di scontri - ultimo quello tragico to. Avrcmo, per 1'approfon- quello dell'elaborazione teorica e dimento, tin rapporto di atti- &l Messico - fanno gravare it sun- delle lotte sulla via itallana al so- s.; di tin sommovimento profondo. cialismo; i7 terreno 8 quello dei fate vits del partito chc sari con- Le splnte sempre p1b imperiose ai? ti the abbiamo saputo promuove- gresso. so a disposizione cnn- la pace,' alla liberty delle nazioni, re, con la direzione del compagno reucziose intcso the o f. ~mpec sffronla Di alN liberazione dell'uomo - the Longo, confermando la validity del- con j i t docurnento p Do- sollecitano la lotta di forze sem- in nostra linea politica e la fun- c chc p pre piu imponenti e nuove - si zione di avanguardia del nostro pone per ii t congresso c scontrano con Il sistema e la po. partito, fatti the hanno trovato ? quello di misurarci In me- litica dell'imperialismo e .del capi espresslone it 19 maggio eel suc- -do aperto con I dati nuovi, tal:smo, ma to vie " della ?loro at- cesso nostro e dello schleramento e a di verificare in avamodo nti nti critico sono faticose, comples? un-tario delle sinistre; Il terreno b a' port it no so, e su dl esse pesa innanzi tutto quello del fatti che, pill recente- felclile epolitics Hello bbia 11 condizionamento delle arm- ato? mento," di fronte alla crisi di Ce- ilo Per questo a documento miche ed iI rlschio del loro tuoco cos~lovacchia hanno testimonlato la mo teso ad tin d g I Patti decisivi Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A00046863Vd8gf ARgrovNtJ A Relp~Rug jg,~tg8/jj :& g77j0306IAOAO4Q(QQ3QpQ?ist$azione del e indica:sse, a is i o prohlematico, le tendcnze di carattere stesso delta guerra, del lavoratori, di riscossa dal co- lonialismo la costruzione di ll , t d tutti gli aspetti e the delta nostra linen politica richia- masse gel clcinenti esscnzia- li, tin documento, clue, can una piu accentuata impron- to politica per stimulate Ia ricerca a in discussione. Proponiamo, ciob, un congresso eftf terl/taat a da utq t ltititifiLO M1OI' to su problemi aperti, the stimu- li un piu largo jmpegno di elabo- razione anche - nel limite in cut b possibile - nel campo dell'Im? postazione teorica. II punto i quel- lo di unire In discussione nel par. tito all'iniziativa e alla battaglia politica. La saldatura d'altra parts b obbiigatoria di fronte alle sea- denze elettorall (turno di novem? lire), alle lotte operaic e contadi ne. agli impegni internazionall. lacco percn(b abbiamo bisogno dl un dibattito aperto alia partecipa' zione piu larga. in cut l'affermazio- na di unit precisa lines politica e l'unit& del partito su di essa corn- porta un confronto aperto e schietr to, in cui la poi=PrT ca ideate e pu? litica ha pie..:.a a.ittadinanza, men- tre non roc tin e non put) averna+ l ^+ntuta tra la ac scomunica> aaotura a. 1'1 quadro the alabiamo di cron? to quello, drammatico, di una rcfJtit in sommoviment0? Il pro- ea so fit trasformazione a f,omples- o :ton univoco. Le fiamn-*~ del? enuncia e delta prot.esta ., e accendono in part! diverse ban- no aliaa loro origine a conuiziont can re piu Intolierabili per I po- poll e per gli uomini, cletermina- P =i.alla loc,ica rel captalisirto. A zl as?sta radice occorre icondurre - lai denun!.i~- c venuta dalla stes? sa Chiesa cattolica - io sfrutta- rocrito a l'oppressione coloniale, 10 state di sottosviluppo, In fame, In esistenza al limite animale di tan- ta parte dell'umanith, 11 divario net- le risorse c eg'i Staatt. A questa ra- dice va ricondotta In politica con cut 1'imperaisrno e gii USA hall- no teso a 1-_occare e svuotare it moto di irriipendenza e (it libera- zione nazion.ale, ricorrendo aila vio- lenza, ail'attgresslone -- dine iiei Vietnam - rile guerre iucau, agii interventi armati. Questa lines ao- centua, d'altra parse. 'alI'internu del sistema impcriaiistico, le contrad- dizioni the diventanO sempre piu laceranti, da cui emergono poi le tenderize, the anche in un passe come l'Italia vengono in lute, alla concentrazione del potere economi- co e politico. ail'autoritarismo. ai- 10 svuotamento degli istituti e del diritti democratici. AIl'origine delta crisi dobbiamo pore it fatto nuovo the queste ten- denze aggressive e autoritarle si collocano nel quadro della condi- er. s arm e otere distruttivo monucleari per le stesse basi del. una potenra economics e In civilth. Siamo di Ironte ad un potenziale distruttivo the per In sus enormitd finisce per stimolare unas crescente concentrazione del pote- re e del meccanismi di decisione, find al punto di ridurre, in sostan- za, nelle mans di gruppi ristretti In sorte del popoli. L'umanith av. verve questo unite iaurosb, terrt- fieante chap oggi b posto at mote dl emancipazione e di progresso e vi n nello stesso tempo in coscien- za del contrasto assurdo e striden- to tra le conquiste dell'intelligenza umana, della scienza e della tecni- ca e 1'incapacith 'a creare un mon. do di pace, di liberth e di uguaglian- za del popoli f degli uomini. Scie zti e cuhhurc E vi b ancora In funzione e In 'collocazione nuova the in scienza e la cultura sono venute assurnen? do nelle societh avanzate, la co- scienza in strati notevoli dell'intel lettualith. nei giovani studenti di un nuovo ruolo the non pub e non vuole essere piu quello del tessuto connetti.?, del sistema capitalistico. Questa A nnizione nuova delta cultu? ra e dell'intellettualita entra in con- trasto con it sistema the l'ha evo- cats e stimolata e it capitalismo e i siuoi regimi si trovano di fronts al maturare di nuovi antagwJ.svi. Alcuni di questi problemi - co me quello dell'autonomia, delta 11 berth, delta funzione nuova della culture e della scienza - investo? no anche le societh socialiste, do va, del resto. si pongono anche esi- genze di sviluppo delta partecipa zione dells ma:.,e nella vita eta nori'ra e politica, in un quadro tuttavia the vede si sorgere contrad? dizioni, ma non antagonistiche s she sollecitano soluzioni organiche tegiate al processo storico, allo di, v:rnc c concrete condizAini rlei di- versl paesi socialiste. ' Un immediato impuiso a questa carica di liberth e di progresso a venuto dalla re- sistcnza a dally lotta del po- polo victnatnita, dal colpo cite esso ha Hato alla strate. gia. aggressiva degli USA, dal- la mohilitazione di soliclarie- th the quel moto di libera- zione nazionale ha deterini- nato net mondo. Ma piu a [undo - nella prospettiva storica - bisogna indicate iI mutamento del rapporti di forza net mondo, the ha alla sua origins In rivoiuzio. ne d'Ottobre, la costruzione del soeialismo in URSS, lo impulso. cite da qui a venuto militate, come quella sovicti- ca, the ha contribuito in mo- do decisive ad aprire nuove vie all'espansione dell'area e all'affermazione dells ides del socialismo. Intendiamo sottolineare - e chiaro - tin dato the non riguarda mulct ha steria di quoNti sin, quant`anni, ma 11 presente e I'avvenire; Il peso oggettivo, In funzione determinante del paesi socialisti a dell'URSS in primo luogo nello schicra- mento antimperialistico. La cosclenza di, tale peso ci fa guardare con preoccupazione ai ri- tardi nell'opera di rinnovamento aperta dal XX congresso, at con- trasts a alle divisioni the segnano is vita del campo socialista e del movimento comunista - dal con- trasto determinato dalle posizioni cinesi alla crisi cecoslovacca - the hanno senza dubbio indebolito an- che l'unith e 1'efficacia della lotta delle forze antimperialistiche e di pace. Questa consapevolezza stimo- Ia ad assumere sempre piu co- scienza delta neeessita per it no- stra movimento di affront :re e ri- solvere i problemi, the 1o stet- so sviluppo delle societh socialiste e delta nostra forza ci impone. Cib b Canto piu urgente net mo- mento in cut in crisi delta strats- gia imperialistica trova un limits net fatto the in questi v.nni Sono state colpiti I falsi miti del benes- sere, di tin capitalismo capace di correggere le proprie brutture e di farsi popolare. Siamo di fronte, su 'scala mondiale, ad un processo the preme verso una tra:,formazione pi?ofonda; ma b un processo nun lineare, ne univoco, in cui non so- no da escludere sbocchi Involutivi e soluzioni reazionarie, talvolta fe- roel (Indonesia, Grecia), in cui' it pericolo di una guerra di sterminio note b nb spezzato ne scongturatu. Ma tutto cib non fa the conferma- re - come hanno? confermato que- sti anni di lotte e di allargameti- to dcl1'opposizione antimperialisti. ca - In validity delle nostre teu- rie economiche e socials, dell'idea socialista dell'abolizione dello sirut- tamento dellfuomo sull'uomo e del- ta socializzazione del mezzi di pro- duzione, 1'idea del socialismo come ('espressione piu alta e compluta delta liberth e della democrazia. Vahbienivo kklk ,INce La lotta per it socialismo propo- no aIcur.1 grandl obiettivi. Al p:irno Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 ~4orov d For R o oeleasfe sse 2005/08/17: CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 posto not abba ndicato - e avvero la via realistica at. ]'Italia deve restare Hells NATO ribadiamo - l'obiettivo delta pace. traverso cui dovrebbe passare la per ragioni di sicurezza. Nessuno .Cl richiamiamo a tutta la nostra pace. Questo non b altro che it elaborazione e in particolare allo modo americano di intendere la Impegno che Togliatti pose nello coesistenza. mo ora vedere quail raglonl ab mo non renderci conto delle biano determinato un'attenuazione esigenze di difesa dci pas dell'iniziativa nostra. Per assicura- si socialisti, non possiamo nsmento atomico, eliminare dalle , , ti di posizioni che oggi, ncl- sempre presente, dell'urto e delta Patto di Varsavia, sembrano catastrofe termonucleare. Di qui ... voter riproporre, in seguito tutto it valore di necessity della ally crisi cecoslovacca, coil. Idea e dells lotta per la coesisten- cezioni sostanzialmente re? ea pacifica. II problema di fronte strittive del campo delle al quale ci troviamo non b quello forze socialiste ed antimpe- di una qualehe alternativa, perchd ' rialistiche, ed enuuciazioni se dovesse cadere la prospettiva di Irrigidimento del blocco della coesistenza pacifica cadrebbe socialista o di limitazione tutto it resto, tutte le ipotesi di dell'autonomia e sovranita,di liberty del popoli e di emancipa, ciasctuio Stato, in base a va- zione del lavoratorl. lutazioni della situazione in- II problema che abbiamo di fron ternazionale' e di quella in. to b quello dei contenuti attuall terns del paesc In questio- della lotta e dells forme dl lotta ne, valutazioni delle quail contro 1'aggressivith USA e delta non si sa chi e a qualc ti- bat.taglia ideale per distingu,~re cib tolo sarebbe giudice o arbi- che la coesistenza pacifica deve es- tro. Sono posizioni che ci ' sere da cib che coesistenza pacifi- appaiono in contraddizione ca non b. 11 documento richiama sia con 1'esigenza, dall'URSS a questo proposito una serie di te- piu volte affermata, di una si. A me importa ora sottolinea- lotta per la coesistenza the re solo l'idea fondamentale della veda partecipi, a su basi ai lotto per la coesistenza come un uguaglianza, tutti gli Stati processo the deve lnvestire tutti del mondo, sia con lc lines I camp! - politico, i.deale, econo- fissate dai PC d'Europa, mico - deve fondarsi sulla parte- a Karlovy Vary, per it sit- cipazione, come protagonisti, di peramento dci blocchi, sia tutti gli stati e i movimenti di li- con posizioni di principio berazione e di indipendenza nazio- tante volte affermate net no- nale; deve far leva sullo sviluppo stro movimento. del process! rivoluzionari e di rin- novamento dells diverse part! del La logica dei blocchi b stata quella mondo, delta guerra fredda. Il suo supera- Ii punto al quale soprattutto si mento b dunque obbiettivo essen- volge la nostra attenzione, nel mo- ziale della politica di coesistenza per i'autonomia e l'indipendenza dells mento presence, b quello del cost nazioni, per la liberty delle scelte delto a bipolarismo -a, la visione social! e politiche e per it libero cioi:, del rapport! e della politica Progresso di ogni paese. internazionale, secondo la logics Lc spinte in questa direzione so- del blocchi e, in essi, delle due mag- no cresciute, anche nell'ambito oc- giori poter,ze, E qui non importa cidentale. La realty che Ci trovia- tarito respingere i- come del resto mo di fronte non b pliz solo quella abbiamo fatto - l'attacco defor- del blocchi, ma anche quella di una mante calunnioso che permane, ma serie di esperienze da parte di pae- ha scarsa incidenza, da parte ci- si che hanno importanza e peso nese, ai fondamenti stessi della 1i? nell'Europa e nel mondo, I quail nez di coesistenza e alla politica sono venuti impegnandosi in una dell'URSS, in ogni suo atto, pre- politica attiva, autonoma, restando sentata costantemente, senza preoc- fuori, o allentando progressivamen- cupazione della verita o del vero- to i loro vincoli militari e politi- simile, come it frutto di un'intesa ci net blocco in cui erano inseriti. con 1'imperialismo americano. La I govern! italiani sono andati e insidia da respingere per un giu- vanno invece in una direzione op? sto orientamento dells lotta per la posta, anche con it centro-sinistra pace b soprattutto quella che viene e la presenza del socialist!. Nei net, nostro paese dai fautori incal- moment! decisivi ha sempre ope- liti dell'atlantismo ed oggi del suo rato it vincolo atlantico, la subor- rilahcio militare, che prospettano dinazione alla politica aggressiva In definitiva la politica del bloc- degli USA. Bisogna cambiare radi- chi, it a bipolarismo a come se Si calmente tale politica perchd I'Ita- trattasse di un equilibrio 'salutare, lia deve essere garantita contro it it Cu! turbamento porterebbe ad rischio di essere trascinata in guer- dells divergenze ideologi- una nuova guerra, come se questa ra. E' puro. pretesto affermare che che. La sofferta coscienza re- Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 minaccia, nessuno ha minacciato la nostra indipendenza. Il limite ve. ,ro, pesante, alla nostra sicurezza e alla nostra indipendenza a stato ed 'b questa politica di asservimento. Noi ci preoccupiamo e dobbia- mo preoccuparci dellu sorte delta Italia che vogliamo sia oggi e sin nell'avvenire, anche in un regime socialista, al di fuori di ogni a qualsiasi blocco. Noi rivendichiamo' per ]'Italia it bens primo della pa- ce, a ad ogni conto. Abbiamo alle spalle 1'esperienza tragica di due guerre. E' un'esperienza che non dove ripetersi. L'Italia non deve es- sere to scudo dell'impurialismo americano! L'Italia deve in ogni caso restar fuori da ogni conflitto. Al movi- menti politici e ideal!, ai social!- sti, ai cattolici che hanno vissuto le dure esperienze belliche del pas- s Sato, resistendo per I valor! delta pace e della neutrality, not rinno- viamo l'appello ad un'azione comu- ne per salvaguardare la pace del nostro paese. E' un, appello che" ha per not anche it senso di un impe- gno a non esitare, per quanto cl riguarda, a mobilitare le masse del lavoratori e del popolo e a guidar- le contro chiunque volesse trasci- narci in una guerra. Ma l'azione del governo italiano v.i nella direzione di un aggrava- mento della tensione come dimo- strano anche le ultime Iniziative per l'armamento atomico e la po- sizione circa la firma del trattato anti-H. La linea della coesistenza, la lot- ', to per una politica attiva di pace e di neutrality, alle quail sono stret- tamente legati it rinnovamento de- mocratico e l'avanzata al sociali- sm, del nostro paese, collocano chiaramente it PCI sul terreno de- gli interessi permanenti e fonda- mentali della nostra gente e to schierano nello stesso tempo nel grande movimento mondiale di lot- ta per in pace e contro l'imperia- lismo. Abbiamo dato - credo giu- stamente - grande rilievo alle novita che Si sono veri- ficate a Si verificano net mo- vimento cattolico. La svolta di Giovanni XXIII e del Concilio ha dato it via ad un processo che spinge mas- se cattoliche a lottare con- tro l'imperialismo e 11 colo- nialismo, per la pace, e a cercare tin rapporto nuovo, un dialogo con alLre forze, su obbiettivi pratici, al di la A pqroved FRr Relpise~g~~~~~ 03061AQQO,Q,QAA~-4 taus an ligiosa - it ~rflo apocu I? s o reb _ ni- dni tranmi stories a vivi co del cattolicesimo - giun- ge, da parte di avanguardie, find all'appello alts lotta ri voinzionaria. Non ci srugge eerie la complcssita c la con-, traddittorieta del processo., Vediamo i gesti di cautela,. di controllo pesante. di ritor?: no indietro delle piu alto ge?; rarchie. Ma le manifestazio- ni del dissenso cattolico, la contestazionc aperta di atti e poMhdlonl dello 0e+1"o pen tefice dicono anche quail po tenzialita democratichc_ esi- stone nelle masse cattoliche su scala mondiale e net no- stro paese. E' sulla base di questo giudizio the not riaffermiamo la validity dells nostra linea, volts alla ricer- ca di un avvicinamento, di un rap? porto, d.i un'intesa try movimento operaio di ispirazione marxista a movimento catttolico..Per questo not riteniamo di grande interesse it re- cente documento sul dialogo del se? gretariato per i non credenti, a it complesso delta sue affermazioni sul valore del pluralismo, sulla ma- turith e liberty c?ei1'uomo, sulla ve- rity come r.,Lato Bella ricerca e, ':oprattutto, ulla legittimith e pos- l~als?w del dialogo per fins pratici, .,el Campo deil'azione sociaie e po- stica. crisi delta s~c~~l~e1Gcraz~~ In tin ambito diverso europeo si i,ovs ii problema delle forze, e del r-sa?tit! socialisti e socialdemocrati- c:. Vediamo la crisi che investe og- F,i la politics delta socialdemocra- ata. Al. noaa si trovano i mitt tra- ;. =r a alt del riformismo e le a scel- te di civilty a the i, dirigenti social- democratici hanno compiuto schie- randosi su una lines, quella dello atlantismo, cite ha diviso l'Eurq- pa e the, con l'anticomunismo as- surdo, ha tolto ally classe operaia la possibiiita di esercitare davvero una funzione dirigente nell'azione per la pace e per ii socialismo. La crisi delle concezioni dell'in- tegrazione della classe operaia e della gestione del sistema capitali- stico, per razionalizzarlo e umaniz- zarlo, la crisi deli' atlantismo di stampo socialdemocratico hanno giy, avuto un riflesso net diversi paesi europei, incrinature vi sono state net tradizionale orientamento anticomunista, tra le masse del la- voratori, del militanti delta sociaide- mocrazia in Europa. t.'altro dato che occorre sottoli- neare a che not muoviamo sempre dalla valutazione della consistenza e dell'influenza reale in Europa del- tamento di rapporti di forza, per superare in politica del blocchi e I rischi reazionari. La nostra dura polemica contro la socialdemocra- zia non pub quindi prescindere mat dalla paziente ricerca della units. La visione dell'estendersi e del diversificarsi insieme delle forte (sti.ti, partiti, movimenti politici e idenll) the net divers! continent! riono venuti assumendo un sempre piu chiaro impegno di lotta antim- perialista e per 11 soclalismo fa sorgere it problema del punts di Iniziativa comune. Qui h gi~ pre- sente I'idea nosUm delie vie e del metodo dell'unith, che a not sem? bra opportuno riaffermaro, come un fatto necessario, una condizio- ne dello sviluppo rivoluzionario, di fronte aile dimensioni mondiali del nostro movimento, all'incoritro del- la nostra concezione marxista e le- ninista con civilty, con culture, con popoli 'dei diversi contintnti. Que- sta idea, che fonda l'unila sulla diversity., sulla realty effettuale che giy indica caratteristiche assai dif- ferenziate nello sviluppo di una se- rie di stati socialista - da quell! europei alla Gina, a Cuba, al Viet- nam, aila Corea - pur sulla base di rivolgimenti 'strutturali e di oblettivi comuni, e sulla autonomia des partiti e degli stati, a not ap- pare sempre pill un dato essenziale e irrinunciabile. ddel cc~ro - saasrc Il compagno Natta ha quindi for- nito al CC e alla CCC un'ampia analisi dells crisi economica socia- le e politica che travaglia la no- stra economia, e del fallimento del Centro sinistra. L'affermazione cen- trale che it documento sottolinea - ha detto Natta - e quella della improponibilith del centro sinistra. Su questo punto la nostra opposi- zione a netta e decisa. Di qua muo- ve it nostro appello a tutte le for- ze democratiche e di sinistra, lal- che e cattoliche, perche riflettano sullo stato di malessere, ' di ten- stone e perche cerchino, con since- rita, le vie nuove che bisogna. co- che; dal fatto ch ti3' is oc' on t che minciar a r r 1 Centro si- 1~'r ved`0orAelease 2 `05'~b,j`~ l~r-RSA78-03061A0004800 ~0~0 -~ biamo bisogno >. Quando parliamo di nuovo internazionaiismo vogliamo sottolineare i'avanzata di forze nuove e 1'estensionc dello schieramento antimpe- rialistico, e indicare una concezione dei rapporti, un modo nuovo di costruirc la units. Il nostro dissenso dagli altri partiti - quando c'e state - e. nato da uno questo to respingiamo. Ma pub essere units che si crci neella divcrsita a originality delle singole esperienze, si alimenti del rcciproco spiri? to critico, si rafforzi nella autonomia del singoli partiti. Riprendendo it tema dells Ceco- slovacchia it compagno Natta ha affermato le ragioni della nostra posizione di appoggio alla linea po- litica e all'impegno di rinnovamen- to e di sviluppo della democrazia socialista del PCC e del nostro dis- serlbp 0 riprovasiono dell'intervento militare del cinque paesi del patto di Varsavia. Ribadiamo tali posi- zioni - ha detto Natta - perchd tutti I fatti provano che era infon- data 1'ipotesi catastrofica sulfa gra- vitt, e imminenza del pericolo con- trorivoluzionario. Restano la nostra preoccupazione e la nostra ansia per uno stato di rose In cut la pro- senza In Cecoslovacchia delle trup- pe del patto di Varsavia. si riflet- te negativamente sulla autorit.l de- gll organisms legali, democratica- mente eletti, dello Stato e del Par- tito e sul libero svolgimento della lord attivith, e net rapporti tra I partiti comunisti. I! nostro partito ha sempre evi- tato la delineazione e la proposta di un modello astratto di sociali- smo. La via italiana a per not un processo rivoluzionario che muove dall'incapacity delle classi dirigenti, net sistema del capitalismo mono- , polistico di Stato, di risolvere I. problem! del paese - quells stori- ci e quelli nuovi - che fa levy sulla tensione sociaie, politica ed ideale e sulla combattivity delle masse, suite ' idee e sull'impegno socialista di un complesso di for- ze politiche e Ideali diverse, che nella prospettiva socialista vedono, ,oggi, in garanzia del progresso, del rinnovamento, della liberth e della indipendenza delta nazione. La va? lidith di questa lines emerge dal cammino che abbiamo compiuto in quest! anni ed h convalidata dalla realty attuale del nostro paese. servile cdinindir zzi~ ariruinc Imp ppeni iIi$~ La nostra critica a] mono- litismo, non critics c ri- fiuto dell'unita, ma critica e rifiuto di un crrore perche in quel modo si fa dell'uni- ta no fatto formale c autori? tario, illusoria quindi, alla prova des Patti. Su questa base teorica a politica giy all'VIII congresso Togliatti aveva affermato che l'unita si pub ottenere in due mo- di: come n risultato di una costrizione proveniente dal- I'esterno di una trasnnsizio- spirito di profonda soiidarie- Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 PLATFORM FOR 12TH PARTY CONGRESS PLANNED [Article; "Natta's Report on Draft Theses for 12th Party Congress"; Rome; L'Unita(organ of Italian CP), Italian, 17 October 1968, pp 5-6] "At this sessipn of the Central Committee and Central Control Commis- sion, we must decide when to convoke the party's 12th Congress: we propose that the Congress beheld on 26 January in Bologna. The Directorate (Executive Committee) has prepared a draft of the political document that must now be discussed and finalized and that will then be the platform of the congress..... THt; CRISIS OF SOCIAL D! 1OCRACY "The problem of the forces and the socialist and social-democratic parties is posed in a different.11u opean framework. We can see the crisis that today invests the policy of social democracy. At the center are found ,the traditional myths of reformism and the "choices for civilization" that the social-democratic leaders have made by aligning themselves with the line of Atlantism, which has divided 'Trope and, with an absurd anticoninunism, has prevented the working class from availing itself of the opportunity to exercise in fact a .eading role in the. action for peace and socialism. "The crisis of the conceptions concerning the integration of the working class and involving the administration of the capitalist system to rationalize and humanize it and the crisis of the Atlantism of the social democratic brand have already had a repercussion in various European states, and cracks have appeared in traditional anticommunist orientation among the masses of the workers and the militants Cactivists?]of social democracy in F grope. "We must also emphasize the following: we always proceed from an evaluation of the persistence and genuine influence in ikrope of the social ;democratic organizations; we proceed from the fact that the unity between socialists and communists would be a decisive element for determining a change in the balance of forces and surmounting the policy of blocs and reactionary risks. Our hard polemic against social democracy must then al- ways proceed with a view to a patient search for unity. "The extension and diversification of the forces (states, parties, political and ideological movements) that in this various continents have been assuming an ever-increasingly clear commitment to the anti-imperialist struggle and for socialism give rise to the problem of a common initiative. Hero we already find our idea about the ways toward and method of unity, which we feel it is time to reaffirm as a necessary fact and a condition oC revolutionary development, given the worldwide dimensions of our move- mont and the encounter of our Marxist and Leninist conception with cultures and peoples of diverse continents. This idea, which bases unity on diversity, on an effectual reality that is already indicating very different character- istics in the development of a series of socialist states -- from the European group to China, Cuba, Vietnam, and Korea --, although on the basis of structural changes and common objectives and on the autonomy of the parties and states -- this idea, it seems to us, is an essential and irrenounceable facto.- Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 1 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 . "Our criticism of monolithism is not a criticism of unity and its rejection. Rather it is the criticism and the rejection of an error bemuse, otherwise, unity becomes a formal and authoritarian fact, an illusion when nut to the test. On this theoretical and nolitical basis, Togliatti had affirmed back at the 8th Congress that unity can be attained in two ways: 'as a result of compulsion from the outside, of a-mechanical transposition or servile imitation of others' directions -- and this we reject. But there can be a unity that is created in the diversity and originality of single experiences; they nourish one another with a reciprocal critical spirit. And they are strengthened in the autonomy of the single parties. We neod this second unity.' "then we speak of a new internationalism, we wish to emphasize the advancement of new forces and the extension of the anti-imperialist align- ment and point out a way to conceive relations, a new way to build unity. Whenever we had a disagreement with other parties, it was born because of .a spirit of profound solidarity, the acknowledgement that our strength also :items from the historical and viable ties with the USSR and the other social- ist countries and communist parties in the world." Then returning to the subject of Czechoslovakia, Comrade Nata affirmed the reasons for our position of supporting the Czechoslovak Party's political line and its conmUtment to renewal and the development of socialist democracy and disapproving the military intervention of the five I;arsaw Pact countries, a" f; emphasize these positions," Natta said, "because all the facts concerning the imminent and grave danger of counterrevolution were without foundation Our preoccupation and anxiety persist because the presence of the 'iarsaw Pact troops in Czechoslovakia reflects adversely on the authority-of the legal, democratically elected organs of the state and party and on the uninhibited discharge of their, responsibilities, on the relations between communist parties. "Our parth has E.lways refrained from delineating and proposing an abstract model of socialism. The Italian path it for us a revolutionary process that proceeds from the inability of the :..eading classes in the system of state monopoly capitalism to. solve the countries problems, both historical, 3M new, that affect social, political, and ideological tensions'and the 4 ombativone ss of the manses, the ideas and socialist comnditmont of a complex of political forces and diverse ideals, which in the socialist prospect see today a guarantee of the progress, renewral, freedom, and independence of the nation. This line has been validated by the path we have traversed in recent years; it has been confirmed by the current reality of our country," Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 socialization of the means of production are not enough. Who in the end. has the power? For an answer I am given this euphemism: the workers and the peasants. But in Czechoslovakia, the working people wanted to seize power and this undertaking was denounced as counterrevolutionary by the occupying forces. I believe that the scientific and technical revolution is one of the essential conditions of a humane socialism. And this was the great merit of Professor Radovan Richta -- to show this in Czechoslovakia. But watch out: without democracy, the tech- nological revolution will not produce humane socialism, but a barracks communism." This Radovan Richta to whom Fischer refers is still un- known to the public at large. And yet this man in his 50's, .sick, tubercular, nervously exhausted, is in the process of ,splintering an ideological empire. One knows the name of Mr.Ota Sik or Mr. Dubcek. However, more than anyone else, this professor, the director of the Institute of Philosophy at the Academy of Sciences in Prague, where thousands of communist intellectuals like Roger Garaudy are being trained today, was indeed the great craftsman of the Czech experiment. . Six'years ago, when it was clear that the country was headed for bankruptcy and that for a Czechoslovakia deprived of raw materials and of ports, there was only one solution, "technological reconversion," Mr. Antonin Novotny turned to Professor Richta and asked him to study what might be a "model of technical civilization" within the framework of a socialist society. Richta recruited the best sociologists, economists and psychologists the country had and set to work. His "reports" were a series of bombshells. In January 1968 he saw his ideas triumph. The French Communist Party review Democratie nouvelle (New Democracy)had, in a special issue, set forth the essence of them, but this issue was never ,to see the light of day. The party saw fit to kill it. The editor in chief, Paul Noirot (communist), wrote in an intro- ductory article: "The basic idea of this new-path was that each. citizen of a socialist country should, finally, have not less, nor the same, but greater freedom of speech,.of expression, of assembly, of movement and of travel than the freedoms offered by the most fully developed bourgeois societies." And here is something which may at first glance seem idealistic and literary. But Richta's strength is in saying not "it must be so because this is good," but "it must be so or we will perish." Why? Because in a certain sense socialism was conceived within the framework of a civilization which is in the process of disappearing. "That civilization was based on two conflicting components: more and more powerful and complex machines, on the one hand, and ever larger armies of unskilled manpower, on the other. Now the technological revo- lution is tending to invert these terms completely." Can one still speak of "proletarian democracy" as in Moscow, when a ease !&A/0t O1J /08/17: CIA-I D078--0bb3061A000400030007 ever Approved or elease Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 vaster scale of basic manipulative functions carried out by man,"' when the tertiary sector is expanding increasingly? Complete automation., says Richta, requires "40 percent skilled workers, 40 percent of the personnel with secondary education, and 20 percent of the personnel with higher education." And in view of the future he adds: "In the course of the coming decades, it will be the work of regulation which will predominate in production (of the adjustment type). Later, this will yield to the preparatory phase, to technical manage- ment and to the drafting of plans (of the engineering type). By the end of the century, production will have'ceased to be a labor process in the sense it is today." In other words,, the very frontier which separates the "workers' class" from the "intelligentsia" is tending to dis,- appear. The most effective means of increasing the creative capacities of society is not production in itself, but invest- ment in man, education, and also "participation.`,' Finally, notes Richta, the "expansion of mass consumption is becoming quite as essential a condition for economic growth as the limita- tio?t-, of mass consumption was in the past." Each phrase here opens up vast horizons of consequences following one after the other: the strength of this "model" is that it is not merely moral, it does not appeal merely to an abstract concept of freedom. Richta sets forth with, rare scientific precision the fact that the socialism of tomorrow remains entirely to be defined. What can tanks do against that? In a month, for thousands of communists in the west, this vague apprehension has come to the forefront. In the issue of the French Communist Party review La Nouvelle Critique (The New Criticism) which will come out next mont , the ollow- ing lines will appear under the byline of~Andre Gisselbrecht: "The renewal of a concept of socialism saw the light of day within the Central Committee of the Czechoslovak Communist Party itself, through mutual understanding between statesmen.and m.en of science. Thus it involves something other than adding 'additional liberty' to a socialist model.. It is a matter of a scientific analysis of the development of productive forces." The discussion concerns not only communists, but con- temporary men as well.. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 CPYRGH Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDF78-03061A000400030007-9 L'EXPRESS, Paris 28 October 1968 Pourquoi les jeunes choisissent Che Guevara t Si vous voulez que le socialisme offrc de nouveau a la jeunesse son visage attrayant, vous devez denoncer Ics dirigeants t faillis s qui aouvorncnt aujourd'hul le Kremlin.* Failli : le mot a etc prononce par M. Roger Garaudy a la dernierc session du Comite central du P.c. francais. Et it n'y cut pcrsonne pour siftler, pro- tester ou taper du pied. En deux mois, cc qui etait blaspheme cst dcvenu bana- lite. Aujourd'hui, a Rome, a Helsinki, a Vienne comme a Paris, on no se pose deja plus la question : t Avec les Russes jusqu'ob ? s mais bien cello-ci e Le socialisme pour quoi faire ? s Un nouvcl accord de Moscou a etc signe. Los soldats sovictiques rcsteront on Tchecoslovaquie et M. Alexandre Dubcck n'obtiendra un sursis qu'a condition d'etre son propre geolier. e L'espoir d'une victoire immediate d'un socialismc attractif, democratique, Vest effondre s, nous dit, avec ? une infinic tristesse, Ernst Fischer, un des philosopher marxistes les plus connus daps Ic monde, ancien seeretaire d'Etat a la Culture a Vienne et membre du Comite central du P.c. autrichien, le t Garaudy local s. Qu'a signifie pour 'vous 1'annonce de l'intervention russe a Prague ? - J'ecrivais a cc moment, en toute quietude, un livre dans une petite vallce styrienne. Le 21 aout, a 7 heures du matin, ma femme entra, le visage dcfi- gure, mains tremblantes d'cmotion, Bans ma chambre. Elle portait un tran istor. t Suis-je folle? s'ecria-t-elle. .Ecoute done, cc West pas possible. s Et Ton cntendit. effectivement la nou- velle de l'intervention. J'ctais stupefait, consterne, cpouvante. Deux jours plus tard, je. dcclarais devant le Comite central de man parti qu'il s'agissait non seulement d'une faute, mais aussi d'un crime. s Grignotage. Depuis, insensibles aux protestations qui inontaient des tangs de leurs amis, les Sovietiques ont, semaine apres semaine, accentue lour pression. Le 27 septembre, a Budapest, Ics principaux partis communistes ctaient do nouveau rcunis on presence des Sovietiques pour mettre au point ]a prochaine conference au somniet prevue? a Moscou. M. Boris Ponomarev; le representant russe, ecarta toutes les critiques en arguant du danger d'une. troisicme guerre mondiale qui imposait des t precautions strategiqucs -s, et it repliqua a ceux qui' exprimaient 'leur trouble : < e ne vois pas pourquoi cc qui se passe on Tchecoslovaquie nous emp@cherait de resserrer nos rangs afin de faire face au revanchisme allemand ainsi qu'aux agressions americaines au Vietnam et au Moyen-Orient. s En fait, derriere cette apparente decontraction, it y a plus grave : les dirigeants russes croient par experience a la vertu du long grignotagc et ont commence do l'intericur un travail do recuperation au sein des P.c. eontesta- taires. L'affaire Jeannette Vermeersch (voir section France) n'en est- qu'un excmple. En Italic, on assists a un effort particulicr de propagandc on direction des federations communistes d'Emilic. En Finlande, alors quo la direction du Parti communiste a reprouve l'invasion, l'organisation locale du port do Turku l'approuva d'enthou- siasmc. La t Pravda s no voulut connaitre quo cette prise de position particulierc. M. Arvid Pclchc, membre t lctton s du Bureau politiquc du P.c. sovictique, se rcndit a Helsinki oil it tenta de s'appuyer sur I'ancien leader du Parti finlandais, M. Aimo Aaltoncn, trees lie a Moscou, contrc son president actuel plus ind6pc6dant',- M. Aarne Saarinen. Cos mano:uvres do division n'ont certainement pas aceru I'audicnce du P.c. finlandais, qui a subi un veri- table desastre au cours des elections municipales. Grandes manoeuvres. Autre exem- pie : alors que le secretaire general du P.c. sucdois, 'M. Carl-Henrik Hermans- son, condamnait vivement l'initiative sovictique, un quotidien du Parti public a Lulea, le c Norskens Flam- man s, continua d'approuver la ligne russe. Aussitot, Moscou fcignit de considercr M. Hcrmansson commc lc chef t d'un groupe rcvisionniste et la radio moscovite le qualifia de brail- lard intempcrant s. Comme si cola ne suffisait pas, le journal de Berlin-Est t Neues Deutsch- land a ccrivit quo a sa femme avait hcrite d'une fortune so chiffrant a un demi-million do couronnes s. Curicux prelude a la campagne electorale. Les communistes sucdois, qui espcraient un succes; s'effondrent et - se retrouvbnt avec trois deputes au lieu do huit. Plus dramatiquc encore : le P.c. grec a cclatc ct I'U.R.S.S. manipule une t directions extcricure presidee par M. Kostas Koliyannis, qui, naturelle- mcnt, a approuve le coup do Prague. 11 a fallu quo des milliers de commu- nistes emprisonnes au bagne do Laros -- dont Manolis Glezos, l'homme qui arracha pendant la guerre le drapcau CPYRGH T ecrivent acs Icttres indignccs pour faire savoir quc cette c directions no represeniait ricn. Jusqu'iei, Ics grander man uuvres cusses ont echoue. Et elks ont d'autant plus do chances do so revclcr vainer quo Ic probleme do 1'approbation ou do In reprobation est biers dcpasse. Cc dont on vicnt do prendre conscience on Occi- dent, c'est do I'absencc dramatiquc d'un modcle do socialismc qui soil simpic- ment credible Bans une socictc entrant dans 1'ere de la revolution technolo- gique. Vieux seh6mas. t La jeunesse, nous (lit encore Ernst Fischer, vcut sortir des vicux schemas. Ni la hierarchic catholiquc ni la hierarchic moscovite, avec (curs vicilies manicres de penser, no peuvent exercer unc attraction sur elie. C'cst pourquoi elle choisit Che Guevara ou Mao Tse-toung. Moi, je crois au communisme, mais pas a n'importe quel communisme. Le pou- voir politique et la socialisation des moyens de production, cola no suffit pas. A qui revient cc pouvoir ? On. me repond par cet cuphemisme : aux ouvriers et aux paysans. Mais, on Tchecoslovaquie, Ic peuple des travail- leurs a voulu prcndre Ic pouvoir et cette entreprise a etC taxer do contre- revolution par les occupants. Je crois ,quo la revolution scientifique et tech- nique est une des conditions essenticlles d'un socialismc humain. Et ce fut on Tchecoslovaquie le grand merite du Pr Radovan Richta quo de Ic montrcr. Mais attention : sans democratib, la revolution tcchnotogique no produira pas do socialisme humain, mais un communisme de caserne. y Cc nom de Radovan Richta, auquel Fischer fait allusion, est encore inconnu du grand public. Et pourtant, cot homme d'unc cinquantaine d'annees, malade, tuberculeux, fatigue nerveuse- ment, est en train do faire eclater un empire idcologique. On connait M. Ota Sik ou M. Dubcek. Et pourtant, plus que quiconque, cc professeur, dirce- teur de l'Institut do philosophic de I'Acadcmie des sciences a Prague, dont des milliers d'intcllectucls communistes, comme Roger Garaudy, so nourrisscnt aujourd'hui, fut bicn Ic grand artisan do I'expericncc tchCque. Il y a six ans, quand it fut clair quo le pays allait a la faillite, et que pour une Tchecoslovaquie dcpourvue . de matii res premieres et do ports it n'y avait qu'une solution, t la reconversion technolegique s, M. Antonin Novotny se tourna very- le Pr Richta et lui demanda d'ctudier cc quo pourrait titre un -g-modClc de civilisation techni- Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 cicnnc' dans Ic cadre d'une societ6 socialists. Richta s'cntoura des meil- leurs sociologues, economistes, psycho- logues que comptait le pays et Sc mit au travail. Bombes. Ses c communications furent une suite de bombes. Janvier 1968 vit lc triomphc de scs idees. La revue du P.c. franyais, . Democratic nouvelle >, on avait, dans un numero special, degage ('esprit : mais cc numero no verra jamais le jour. Le Parti a pre- fers tuer la revue. Son redacteur on chef (communists), Paul Noirot, ecri- vait dans le preambulc : c L'idec fonda- mentale de cc nouveau cours etait que chaque citoyen d'un pays socia- liste doit finalement disposer non pas dune plus petite, ou de la mcme, mais d'une plus grande liberte de parole, d'expression, de reunion, de mouve- ment et de deplacements que' cellos qu'offre la plus epanouie des societes bourgeoises. ' Voila qui peut paraitre a premiere vue idealiste et litteraire. Mais la force de Richta est de dire non pas : < 11 faut que cc soit ainsi parce que c'est bien *, mais : c 11 faut que ce soit ainsi, sans quoi nous perirons. s Pourquoi ? Parce qu'une certaine forme do socialisme a etc cor cue dans le cadre d'une civili- sation qui est on train de disparaitre : c Celle qui etait fondcc sur ces deux composantes on opposition, des machines de plus en plus puissantes et. complexes, d'une part, des armecs de plus on plus grandes de main-d'ceuvre humaine non qualifies d'autre part. Or, Is revolution tcchnologique tend renverser completement ces termes. s Petit-on encore paricr de r demo- cratic proletarienne a comme fi Moscou quand on va vcrs c l'abolition a une Cchellc do plus on plus vaste des fonc- tions fondamentales de manipulation exercecs par'I'homme 3~, quand le see- tour tertiaire s'etend de plus 'en plus ? L'automation complCte, dit Richta, exigc c 40 % d'ouvriers qualiftes,,40 % do personnel ayant recu une.formation secondaire et 20 % do personnel ayant regu une formation supcrieure :. Participation. Et it ajoute dans une vision prospective : r Au cours des prochaines decennies, c'est le travail de regulation qui dominera dans la pro- duction (type de 1'ajusteur) ; plus tard, it cedera la place a la phase prepara- toire, a Ia direction technique et a l'etablisscmcnt des projets (type do l'ingenicur). A la fin du siccle, la pro- duction aura cesse d'ctre un processus do travail au sens d'aujourd'hui. Autremcnt dit, la frontiers memo qui separc la a classe ouvriere do 1' ,intelligentsia . tend a disparaitre. Le moyen le plus efficace pour accroitre les capacites creatrices de la societe est non pas la production on soi, mais l'investissement dans l'hanune, l'cduca- tion, et aussi la a participation x. Enfin, note Richta, 1' < elargissemcnt de la consommation des masses devient tout autant une condition necessaire de la croissance economique que 1'etait prec-- demment la limitation de la consom- mation des masses *. Chaque phrase, ici, ouvrc tin champ infini do consequences en chains : Ia force de cc c modele * est qu'il n'est pas simplement moral, qu'il ne 'so reclame pas d'une We abstraite de la liberte. Richta constate avec une rare rigueur scientifique que le socialisme de demain reste totalement a definir... Quc peuvent les tanks contre cola ? En un mois, pour des millicrs de communist.:s en Occident,, cctte vague apprehension s'est transformee en evi- dence. Dans le numero de a La Nou- velle Critique >, revue du P.c. francais, qui paraltra le mois prochain, on pourra lire sous la signature d'Andre Gisselbrecht ces lignes : < Le renouvel lement de 1'idee du socialisme prit nais- sance dans le Comite central du P.c.; tcheque lui-mcme, par ('entente cntrc, hommes d'Etat et hdnimes do sciences.' 11 s'agissait done d'autre chose quo d'ajoutcr a un modele socialiste un < supplement de liberte A, il s'agissait d'une analyse scientifique de l'evolution des ' forces productives. s Le debat concerne non seulcment les communistes, ' mais enalement 1'hommc modern. J.-F. K. Itt Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 205/0 18l4\ DP78-03061A000400030007 II f)gcember 1968 RISING SOVIET NAVAL STRENGTH IN THE MEDITERRANEAN The conspicuous display of a Soviet naval-amphibious presence in the Mediterranean during and since the Arab-Israeli war in June 1967 has dram- atized to the West the Soviet Union's efforts to improve the mobility of its traditionally land-based military power. As early as 1964, however, the Soviets gradually began to establish a naval presence in the Mediter- ranean, using regular submarine patrols and other vessels during the Cyprus crisis. It was only after Brezhnev demanded withdrawal of the U.S. Sixth Fleet in April 1967, just before the Arab-Israeli conflict, that the ap- pearance of additional Soviet naval units in the eastern Mediterranean at- tracted widespread attention. The presence of a number of tank and troop- landing ships in the increased force of about thirty to forty combat and auxiliary vessels drew particular notice, for the Soviets thereby created the impression they were willing to intervene by means of local landing operations. This turned out to be merely a gesture, for even at the height of the six-day war the Soviets gave no sign of wishing to become militarily involved in Arab-Israeli fighting. Increase in Soviet Ships During 1967, 152 Soviet naval vessels entered the Mediterranean through the Dardanelles, and all but about forty of them entered after the Arab- Israeli war in June. According to the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, sixty-two of these ships have not re-entered the Black Sea, although some have probably left the Mediterranean via the Strait of Gibraltar to join the Pacific and Baltic fleets or to join whatever Soviet naval units may be in the Indian Ocean. Since the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia, important elements of the Soviet navy have entered the Mediterranean, also from the Black Sea, The addition of these ships reinforces the apparently permanent Soviet pres- ence in the Mediterranean to a total of over fifty warships, supply vessels and other auxiliaries. These include two cruisers, at least four fast es- cort vessels, a nuclear submarine plus several conventional submarines, and six intelligence collecting ships. Most significant was the appearance in mid-September of the first of the Soviet Union's helicopter carriers, Moskva, a 25,000 ton vessel commissioned last year, which can carry thirty heli- copters or operate V.T.O.L. aircraft. The Moskva,is also equipped with guided missiles, with the launchers on the forecastle. By late October there was an estimated total of sixty Soviet ships in the Mediterranean, although there have been indications that the Soviets may have altered or duplicated the numbers on some of the vessels, in an attempt to mislead Western observers. So far the ships have been operating in small groups rather than as a fleet, and in some instances becoming mixed up with Ameri- can naval units during the latter's maneuvers and.snooping on American radar or counter-radar wave-lengths. (Concurrently, the Soviet press has Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 carried direct attacks against the U,S.. Sixth Fleet, claiming that the So- viet naval buildup is in the interest of national security as it is intended to counter "foreign machinations" near USSR territory.) There have been recent rumors that there will soon be a major rotation of the Soviet ships, with the Moskva and three missile-armed units scheduled to return to the Black Sea, If true, the rotation will reduce the force level to between thirty and forty ships, which was the average number main- tained during the Arab-Israeli war Nevertheless, all evidence points to a. permanent Soviet presence and a long-term Soviet interest in the Mediter- ranean and North Africa. This evidence includes reports that the Soviets are building more helicopter carriers and other ships especially designed for use in the Mediterranean and African waters,, Moreover, the Soviets are developing an amphibious force, similar to the U.S. Marines, with special equipment for landing operations, (See attached Time article of 23 February 1968.) Soviets Seek Port Facilities In addition to their fleet buildup, the Soviets are seeking special facilities in North African ports besides the repair facilities already available to them in Alexandria and Port Said, Egypt, and in Latakia, Syria. These facilities, together with the provisions and fuel carried by their own supply vessels, greatly extend their capability for long-term cruising 'in the Mediterranean, .In October a Soviet military delegation arrived in Algeria, probably to discuss additional military assistance, (Algeria has already received some $235 million in military aid from the Soviet Union, and major economic agreements include Soviet assistance to the Algerian fishing industry and, over the next few years, purchase by the Soviets of five million hectoliters of Algerian wines.', It is believed that the Soviets also urged the Algerian government to agree to grant the Soviet fleet fuller use of the facilities at the former French strategic base of Mers-el-Kebir in the western Medi- terranean in return for Soviet maintenance of the base and Soviet training of the Algerian navy, Earlier, the Algerians had asked the French for assistance in reor- ganizing their navy, which is Soviet-equipped and tra.Lned, and in renovating Mers-el-Kebir as an Algerian naval base, but to date there has been no reply from Paris to this proposal. The French decided to quit the base Last, year, a decade earlier than agreed upon in 1962, and since then Alger- an officials have repeatedly emphasized that no power, Soviet or other- wise, would be allowed to establish a base anywhere in Algeria, Although units of the Soviet fleet have made a number of visits to Algeria in the past eighteen months, the use which they can currently make of Mers-el-Kebir facilities is limited, and they are not known to have used any of the available maintenance facilities in Algiers. As of mid-1968, total Communist military personnel in Algeria were estimated at between Approved For Release 2005/0 /17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 1500 and 3000, with probably no more than 60-100 Soviet technical advisers at Mers-el=Kebir. Thus, recent European press reports that the Soviets have assumed maintenance of Mers-el-Kebir and that there are now 10,000 to 18,000 Soviet civilian and military technicians in Algeria appear exaggerated. (On 23 October Izvestia published an article by its Algerian correspondent in which he ridiculed as a "desert mirage" an article appearing in the 8 October issue of the conservative French paper Aurore reporting 18,000 Soviet "military experts" in Algeria, but such a refutation from the Soviets may have been designed to counter the growing attention of the Western press to the increased Soviet presence in the Mediterranean.) While French officials doubt the accuracy of these press reports, at the same time they have expressed genuine concern over growing Soviet influ- ence on the Algerian economy and the increasing military dependence of Al- geria on the Soviets. Yet the costs involved, the basic political insta- bility of Algeria and pressure from various French interest groups would appear to restrict France's ability to compete with the Soviet Union in Algeria. The Soviets are also apparently interested in the Moroccan port of Casablanca, for they finally received permission from the Moroccan govern- ment for several ships to visit the port for the first time in mid-October. The usual routine of calls and entertainment was arranged for them, but in general their reception was only correct at best. It is rumored that at the time of the visit, the Moroccans were offered the necessary spare parts to recommission the dozen or so MLG fighter and trainer aircraft which the Soviets delivered to them in 1961, but which have not been operational since late 1965 for lack of spare parts. Apparently a number of Soviet military technicians who arrived with the fleet have remained in Morocco to survey maintenance requirements of the aircraft before servicing them. Widespread Concern over Soviet Presence In the meantime, there are indications of widespread growing concern in Europe, the Mediterranean and the Middle East over the Soviet naval thrust into the Mediterranean. At a mid-October meeting in Lisbon of the Atlantic Treaty Association, an organization' made up of private citizens interested in promoting understanding and support of alliance policies, General Lyman Lemnitzer, Supreme Commander, Allied Forces Europe, commented that the So- viet naval buildup was of "serious concern," but he did not endorse the alarmist view of it taken by the European press. Most recently the subject was raised before the five-day NATO meeting in Brussels, which was concerned with revising political and military plans as a consequence of the Soviet occupation of Czechoslovakia. U.S. Senator Henry M. Jackson told the meet- ing the Soviet Union was apparently building its forces not only in the Mediterranean, but in the Indian Ocean and Norwegian Sea as well. The Spanish press has reflected, if not helped to create, the anxiety of Spaniards over Soviet fleet operations in the Mediterranean, including Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-DP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 articles on the presence of Soviet ships a few miles from the joint U.S.- Spanish base at Rota. Spanish concern is heightened, moreover, by their awareness of the smallness of their own navy and their dependence on West- ern forces for their defense. Although Yugoslavia has allowed Soviet naval units to use shipyard repair facilities on its coast, it has recently been concentrating on rais- Ing the combat readiness of its navy since the invasion of Czechoslovakia and the reinforcement of the Soviet Mediterranean fleet, which could now be used to pressure either Yugoslavia or Albania for base facilities. (The Soviets lost a submarine base in Albania because of the Sino-Soviet conflict.) The Yugoslav government has also announced a supplementary defense alloca- tion of $32 million for 1968, citing the current world world situation as the reason. This brings the Yugoslav defense budget to approximately twenty percent above the 1967 allocation. Some observers see Moscow's next move, as part of its drive toward the Mediterranean, in using Bulgaria to pressure Yugoslavia over Macedonia. For some time Bulgarian newspapers have recalled old Bulgarian claims that much of Yugoslav territory is really Bulgarian. This press campaign has become more intense since the beginning of the Czech crisis. Last March Sofia commemorated the 90th anniversary of the 1878 Treaty of San Stefano, which aimed to create a "greater Bulgaria" in what is now Yugoslav and Greek territory. Intervention in that year by the Western powers and the resulting Berlin Treaty prevented most of Macedonia from coming under Bulgarian-Russian domination and denied to Russia an outlet on the Aegean Sea and control of the Turkish Straits, both traditional goals of its foreign policy. Thus, apprehension in Yugoslav Macedonia -- fed by the So- viet naval presence in the Mediterranean, Arab-Israeli tension and Soviet threats to Yugoslavia since the occupation of Czechoslovakia -- has now spread to Greek Macedonia. The fear there is that any Soviet-backed Bul- garian move against Yugoslav Macedonia could develop into a serious threat to itself'. Others reported to be concerned over the increased Soviet naval strength include the Tunisian government, whose fears of subversion or ag- gression by Algeria or Egypt -- since its boycott of the Arab League -- have been heightened by the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia and Tunisia's condemnation of it; also the Iranian government, whose concern is apparently based on the possibility that one of the Soviet goals in strengthening its naval forces is to reopen the Suez Canal, by which the Soviet presence could then be easily extended into the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf. In fact, it has been increasingly rumored that the Egyptians may have already agreed to a Soviet request to reopen the southern end of the Suez Canal. Counteraction by the Western alliance The Soviet fleet buildup in the Mediterranean has been watched closely, however, by both NATO and SHAPE, and the reports of additions to the Soviet fleet have coincided with the announcement that the Western alliance is Approved For Release 2005/081'17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 HAMBURGER ABENDBLATT, Hamburg 3 October 1968 Italians KQnimniteh im Osten niche beiiebt Die ? Konte'rrevolut ona" re" von Rom Eigener Bericht. Rom, 3.Oktobej Aus den Zeitungt.standen Moskaus, Warschaus and Ost-Berlins ist die ?Units" verschwunden. Das Organ der italienischen Kom- munisten, die sich neben den Russen and Chinesen immer mehr ais dritter B'ruder in der uneinigen Familie herauskristallisieren, wird ' im Osten gehalit and gefiirchtet Es ist in sein L it ik , e e art eln der, dritten Seite noch ,konterrevolutionlirer, , als es Dub kd e c.. an Cernik jemals zu sein wagten. Fast ist es zur Fahne der unter- driickten Freiheiten ,des Ostens geworden, auch wenn die wenigen Exemplare, die meist eine Woche alt rind, nur heimlich von Hand zu Hand gehen. L Blatt nicht ileben. Die Hartnt'ickig- keit, mit der es das Modell einer sozia- listischen Perspektive der Vlelzahl der Meinungen and der nationalen Eigen- arten vertritt, ist ihnen ungemein lastig. Obwohl man in Moskau jede Polemik mit,der Stellung der KPI vermeidet and Iman sie In Warschau and Ost-Berlin verdreht and zerredet, hat sick unter den Volksmassen der Ostlander die Wahrheit doch Behr schnell verbreitet. Man. spricht von Lugo wie von einem Apostel der sozialistischen Freiheit. Man sagt: ?Wir haben .den Sozialismus, aber nicht die Freiheit; in Westeuropa hat man die Freiheit, aber nicht den Sozia- lisrnus. Die KPI hingegen hat spit To- gliatti das Problem tier sozialistischen Demokratie, das heil3t der Freiheit aufs Tapet gebracht. Nur das kann der Weg- welser in die Zukunft spin." tlberall weil3 man auch, da13 seat. Ja- nusr niemand die Reformbestrebungen Dubceks mehr unterstutzt hatte als die italienlschen Kommunisten. Viele be- trachteten die CSSR als Vorfeld des ita- lienischen Experiments eines liberali= CPYRGH T ern un der,, die zar stischen ?raditionen Ruliland roten Orthodoxie wei:+ergeht. nennen, nannte Ingrao die Fatalitat de Der 21. August wurde vom Gros des !biirokratischen Zentralismus and de KPI-Parteivolks verurteilt. Es hatte Zusammendrangung der ganzen Macht i much gar./ nicht anders sein konnen, einem engen Staatsapparat. Dagegei nachdem die Parteilokale jahrelang mit babe Bich die CSSR zu Recht erhebe Schriften fiber einen Kommunismus wollen. Von Rom aus gesehen loge dii Uberschwemmt worden waren, der offen Gefahrenquelle fur den Sozialismu sein wollte zur ,Zusammenarbeit mit nicht 1m Prager Freiheitsstreben, . son den sozlalistischen and katholischen dern in den Methoden, die Moskau mi Volkskraften". Nur von den alten Par- den Panzern am Leben erhalte. crate Land aes oozialismus" noch immer Die Revolution steht auf dem Spiel im Blute liegt, kam Zustimmung zu dent russischen tlberfall. Ingrao schlol3: ?Wir verlangen da Ende der biirokratischen Degeneration. Suche nach ?neuen Ufern" Wir verlangen eine Ausweitung :der ?in.. Aber im KPI-Hauptquartier will man neren Parteidemokratie, and.rq'eshalfl den. Bruch zwischen den 'Generationen Dubcek. Deen wir die Gretipe um zd verhindern. Einheitlich solle die Partei Zukunft dec r Rev Revolution. gaht ,,die Strafe zu den neuen Ufern" suchen. marxistt R. Die ga Hinter dieser poetischen Sprache ver- sick piche nur h nurni auf die diehe Zustimmung mmign hat birgt sich die Notwendigkeit, eine Dok Bich nicht Zder trin and Taktik fir die Lander der, bewuBt.. Mobil si r ngern der ruck auf Arbeiterr fortgeschrittenen Industriekultur aus?~~ klasse asse und die kollekt r zuarbeiten, ?die in entsetzter Abweh allein scpferische ner ,sus der: dem ostlichen Kommunismus :die sk n Energien des; Uberstehen", gegen- 5ozialisrnus kommen kd konnen." Viele Beobachter mogen sich fragen Die Konsequenz solch scharf umrlsse.' , Wer heute, trotz, der eingedrungenen ob die Kampfansage Longos an die rus- per Thesen 1st kiar: Wenn sich der rus- rupsischen Panzer welter an einen sol- sische Gewaltherrschaft wirklich, auf- s'ische Block den Liberalisierungsforde= chen Kommunismus glaubt, setzt allein richtig oder nur taktisch ist. Wir zwei- rungen der italienischen Kommunisten auf die moralische Zugkraft der KPI. feln nicht an der Aufrichtigkeit, well, verschliel3t - and bis zum Augenblick Bich Longo bereits viel zu welt vorge-( tut er das hartnackig -, dann ward die 4-rgumente, aber keine Divisionen wagt hat, ads dal er noch zuriickkonnte. ideologische and organisatorische' Tren Itahens. KPI-Chef ist fiber Nacht fur aIl* nung von ihm unvermeidlich. Dartiber ,FUhlen sick die FUhrer des italieni- Trostsuchenden des Ostens zu elnem scheint sick Longo thit den franzosi schen Kommunismus stark genug, die in Mythos geworden, and von einem sol- schen, spanischen and englischen Ge- ale gesetzten Hoffnungen auch nur in then Mythos kann er sich nicht losen, nossen bereits einig zu:sein. Das Wort etwa zu erfi:illen? Zweifellos haben sie wenn er sich nicht selbst and seine Par Schisma ist nosh nicht gefallen, um die zahllose gultige Argumente, 'aber kelne tel einaschern Parteimasse, die in ih'tem Reifungsgrad Divisionen. Sip wissen Behr wohl, dal In der letzten Nummer der KPI-Wo zurtickgeblleben.1st, nicht in die .vollige der Kompromii3 von Moskau. nur pin chenzeitschrift ,Rinascita'griff der' Verwirrung zu sturzeri; aber in der hintercheiniger Waffenstillstand ist, j eo~g~7~g~~g }jfa ttllcklung bewegt sick die hinter dem ygy,hr;irYrCl6f?k~Fii a?9~i tiutllet 2 ergruppe darauf zu. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Der Weg wird lang ..; Der Weg wird lang and schulerig sein. Er wird um so schneller zuruckge legt, je scharfer sich der russische Druck auf die tschechoslowakische Freiheit, erweist, je mehr das Moskauer Diktat die ideologischen Motive des Marxis-; mus-Leninismus zusammenschlagt, je starker die Preasezensur and das Ver samrnlungsverbo den Bankrott des kommunistischen Messianismus um- schreiben. Mit 'Entsetzen beobachtet' man 1m KPI-Hauptquartier die fort- schreitende Prager Involution, die von den Gewaltherren fresh ?Nlormallsie rung" genannt wird. Ein Schlag nachi dem anderen kommt gegen das, was, Togliatti die ,Humanisierung des Sozia lismus",nannte. Die , Reaktidn der KPI' daraut ware nosh scharfer; wenh:I,,o'ngO nicht Angst hatter-derSozialdem6krati- sierung bezicbtfgt zu. werden.. Gut . do- $ert setst er,liesbalb?lneben _ipde;p- griff auf Moskau.elnen.Angrtff auf: den Westen. Die Furcht vor Sprungen ins Unge Wisse lahmt. Deshalb. ist es such noclt. nicht zur Einberufung einer Konferenz der kommunistischen Parteien Westeu- ropes gekommen, die man in Rom schon vor zwei Wochen ins Auge fatlte and zu der ich Bermut gten. Bisher hatemanl es bet zweiseitigen Zusammentreffenl bewen- den lassen. Aber wenn Moskau die eineschlage ne Stral3e weitergeht, wird die KPI ihre Position in einer autonomen 1 onferenz der westlichen Kommunisten bestatigen mussen; denn der Punkt, an dem sie angekommen 1st, wiirde Resignation, Verwirrung and schiieBlich Verfall Ve , deuten. Longo hat die ganze Zukunft seiner Partei auf die, Waagschale ge- Worfen. Nach solchem Wagemut kanner .nicht mehr'kapitulieren. Dr. Fritz Gor dia,ri Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 HAMBURGER ABENDBLATT, Hamburg 30 October 1968 ITALIAN COMMUNISTS NOT FAVORED IN THE EAST The "Counterrevolutionaries" of Rome L'Unita has disappeared from the newsstands of Moscow, Warsaw, and East Berlin. The organ of Italy's communists, who along with the Russians and Chinese are emerging more and more like a third brother in a disunited family, is hated and feared in the East. In its edi- torials of the third page it is even more "counterrevolutionary" than Dubcek and Cernik in their time dared to be. It is as if it has become the flag of the suppressed freedoms of the East, even though the few copies available (which usually are a week old) are passed secretly from hand to hand. "The fraternal parties" cannot like this paper. The persistence with which it represents the model of a socialist perspective based on a multitude of opinions and national peculiarities is uncommonly burdensome to them. Though Moscow avoids all polemics with the position of the Communist Party of Italy (PCI) and though Warsaw and East Berlin twisted and distorted its position, the truth nevertheless has quickly spread among the popular masses of the eastern countries. Longo is spoken of as an apostle of socialist freedom. In the East, people say: "We have socialism but not freedom; in Western Europe they have freedom but not socialism. But the PCI since Togliatti has brought to the fore the problem of socialist democracy, i.e., freedom. That is the only way to the future." It is known everywhere also that since January no one has supported Dubcek's efforts at reform more than the Italian communists. Many regarded Czechoslovakia as the testing ground for the Italian experiment of a liberalized, humanistic communism. Whoever currently, despite the intrusion of Russian tanks, can still believe in such a communism now must rely on the PCI's moral attraction alone. Arguments but no Divisions Do the leaders of Italian communist feel strong enough to fulfill substantially the hopes rested in them? They certainly have countless valid arguments, but no military divisions. They know very well that the Moscow compromise is only a fake armistice behind which the dramatic tug of war continues between the Prague reformers and Red orthodoxy. The 21st of August was massively condemned by the PCI rank-and-file. It could hardly be otherwise, after the local party units for years had Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 been. swamped with writings about a communism which claimed to be open to "cooperation with socialistic and Catholic forces." Only the old party members to whom Russia remains the "first land of socialism" could approve of the Russian invasion. Search for "New Shores" But the PCI headquarters wants to prevent the break between genera- tions. With unity the party is to seek "the way to new shores." Be- hind. this political language hides the necessity to work out the doc- trine and tactics of countries with an advanced industrial culture "which stand clear of Eastern communism in defensive disengagement." Many observers may ask whether Longo's challenge to Russian hegemony is genuine or merely tactical. We have no doubt as to its genuineness, because Longo has already ventured too far to be able to turn back. Italy's PCI chief has become overnight a mythical figure for all those in the East who are seeking solace, and he cannot destroy this myth without smashing himself and his party to smithereens. In the last issue of the PCI weekly journal Rinascita, the young party ideologic Ingrao made a frontal attack on the whole structure in the East. What others called the Czarist tradition of Russia, Ingrao called the fa- tal flaw of bureaucratic centralism and the concentration of all power in a narrow state apparatus. Czechoslovakia justifiably protested against it. From Rome's point of view the real danger of socialism was not to be found in Prague's strivings for freedom but in Moscow's methods, which it tries to keep alive with the help of tanks, according to Ingrao. The Revolution Is at Stake Ingrao concluded "we demand the end of bureaucratic degeneration, we demand an extension of inner party democracy and therefore we sup- port the group around Dubcek. For here the future of the revolution is being decided. The whole Marxist-Leninist tradition has based itself not only on the consent of the masses but also on the conscious mobili- zation of the working class and on collective work, out of which alone the creative energies of socialism can arise." The consequence of such sharply delineated theses is clear: if the Russiai bloc closes its mind to the liberalizing demands of the Italian communists -- and up to now it is doing just that and very stubbornly -- then an ideological and organizational parting of the ways will be inevi- table. In this, Longo already seems to be of one mind with the French, Spanish, and English comrades.. The word "schism" has not yet been men- tioned because it would throw the party masses, who lag behind in their degree of maturity, into complete confusion. But in terms of practical development, the intellectual leader group is moving in this direction. Approved For Release 2005/08/172: CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 The Revolution Will be Loner. ... The road will be long and difficult. But the road will be traversed so much the more quickly, the more sharply, Russian pressure is exerted on Czechoslovak freedom, the more the Moscow "diktat" smashes the ideo- logical motive force of Marxism-Leninism, the more strongly press cen- sorship and the ban on free assembly demonstrate the bankruptcy of commu- nist messianism. With horror, the PCI headquarters watched the continu- ing Prague-involution which the power lords impudently call "normaliza- tion." One blow after another is being delivered against what Togliatti called "the humanization of socialism." The reaction of the PCI would be even sharper if Longo were not afraid of being accused of being a social democrat. With even doses, he therefore accompanies every attack on Moscow with an attack on the West. The fear of a leap-into the unknown is paralyzing. For this reason it has not yet come to the point of convoking a conference of West Euro- pean communist parties, an idea which arose two weeks ago in Rome and which Belgrade and Bucharest independently encouraged. Before that, bi- lateral meetings were more the order of the day. But if Moscow persists in the course it has undertaken, the PCI will have to confirm its position in an autonomous conference of Western com- munists; for it has come to a point where resignation, confusion, and finally failure is to be expected. Longo has thrown the whole future of his party in the balance. After such boldness he can no longer capitu- late. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 I Approved nistra serve solo all'attuale gruppo dirigente delta DC. Se si vuol dun- que battere it prepotere dc occor? re far cadere.ogni tentativo, ogni velleity di ripresa o di rilanclo del. centro sinistra. In verity, quello the pg7l pre-: doinina nella discussione politica, b it problema del rapportocon not comunisti e con l'opposizione di sinistra. Si parla cost dell'csigenza I di far cadere it principio delta de? limitazione delta maggioranza, st; atrerms ohe sarebboro da instau- rare nuovi e corretti rapporti ira' maggioranza e opposizione; si di- ce che comunque sarebbe da ri- prendere quella sfida che l'gnore- vole Moro lancib baldanzosarpente :contra di noi net congresso Na- oh delta DC e che ha fatt una tine cosi miseranda. Non sottgvalu- iamo 41 travaglio di molti ' degli ominl politici che avanzano que- i9ta ipotesi, sia net PSU the nella? DC. Lssi testimoniano I'esaurimen- to del centro sinistra e is coscien- - zz, delta direzione in cut occorre' cercare una soluzione.. Ma proprio. pe, questo non possiamo in alcun -:~ ido avallare alibi o contribuire s.d alimentare equivoci. Dobbiamo denunciare ii tentati-, vo di quanti parlano di a corretti rapporti a con i comunisti o di su- peramento delta delimitazione del- la maggioranza, per ridare credito ally formula fallimentare del cen- tr, sinistra, per mascherare it loro cedimento. Vaneggia chi parla di volonty di Inserimento del comuni- sti net centro sinistra. Quests A una pure e semplice calunnia. Ben altro vogliamo. Per ben altro ci battiamo. It dibattito svoltosi in prepara? stone dell'imminente Congresso del partito socialista unificato ha la- sciato in ombra I problemi pill at- tuali delta vita economics e socia- le del Paese. Una discussione per formule, a volte astratta e incom- prensibile. Esciuse le posizioni del tut.to nette delta sinistra, tutte to altre tendevano a sfumarsi ed a lasciare aperte le pill diverse ipo- tesi per to combinazioni di vertice dopo it Congresso. Un dibattito che per cib non .poteva interessare le grandi masse, caratterizzato da me- tocU clientelari ed anche peggio sui quale it giudizio, per quanto se- vero, b superato da quello che gll stessi dirigenti del PSU sono coo-.- stretti ad esprimere. Costruire un'aItern hva bilancio sull'azione svoita in questi, ultimi anni e sui gua- sti che la rottura a sinistra e net moviinento operaio ha determinate. Quanti manten- gone vivi gli ideali del so- cialismo e le tradizioni del vecchio PSI dovranno riflet- Lere su quanto sia costata I'unificazione socialdemocra- tica in termini di cedimento c di abbandono di posizioni di principio. In questi mesi net- to file socln&INte sl 6 levato 1'allarme per I'offuscarsi del earattere socialista e classi- terna a di copertura a sine. stra delta D.C. A noi sembra indispensabile un riprnsa-, gii ha consentito di affermarsi co, me forza nazionale dirigente dally Resistenza ad oggi. Non siamo riu- sciti, 6 vero, ad impedire is restau- ionecadpminato dai un tipo di svi sviluppo nb ad imporre un diverso tipo di sviluppo basato sulle riforme di struttura, su trasformazioni demo- cratiche e socialiste delta societu. ` Ma abbiamo realizzato conquiste assat importanti slit piano econo? mico-sociale Partiito politico: e, sapratt,y zati co t a nb'vita del moviinento Belle masse. .Not dibattito congressuale tutto 11 sta del partito, per In poll. partito deve approfondire critica- politica, ideate e sociale delta so- clety itahana non C certo casuale. Rivendichiamo anche ails politica sti anni, pcrchb 11 PSU Po.';- ed all'azione del nostro partito una sa arrivare ad an cambia- parte importante del merito per mento di linea e dl impo- questo nuovo volto del nostro Pae. staiione. In questo sense, sa- se. Esso a stato investito in questi lutiamo fraternamente tutti anni da processi economici e socia- i compagni del PSU che av- It propri delle society capitalisti- vertono come is sconfitta che cosiddette avanzate, anche Be elettorale del loro partito it fenomeno si intreccia con anti- debba attribuirsi ad una po- che contraddizioni e squilibri. litica profondamente shaglia- Ma tutta 1'evoluzione dells situa- ta, sentono la necessity di zione di questi venticinque anni b cambiare, vogliono ricercare caratterizzata dalla presenza e dal- le strade per una nuova uni? la lotta del movimento operaio. su ti delle sinistre. lottare per una Linea strategica e - politica che t'avvenire socialista dcll'Ita- gli ha consentitd ?di affermarsi co. lia. me forza nazionale dirigente dalla all'ordlne ' Resistenza , ad oggi. Non siamo riu- Il problema mature, sciti, 6 vero, ad impedire"la restau- del giorno in Italia - ha continua razione ca stylistics ed un tipo di tics at centro sinistra. Questa emer. ge come necessity dai problemi del- la society italiana, dalle lotte dei Iavoratori, dallo sviluppo del pro- cesso unitario delle forze di sini- stra, laiche e cattoliche. Da quali condizioni nasce is possibility e ne- cessity di quest'alternativa? Come dare unity a forze politiche e so- ciali, a gruppi e movimenti auto- nomi diversi? Su quali obiettivi concentrare it movimento e la lotta? ne ad imporre un diverso tipo dl sviluppo basato sulie riforme dl struttura, su trasformazioni demo- cratiche e socialiste delta societu. Ma abbiamo realizzato conquiste assai importanti sul piano econo- mico-sociale e politico: siamo avan- zatl come Partito e, soprattutto, abbiamo fatto avanzare is coscien- za ' della necessity e ? it moth per un cambiamento profondo. L'impor- tanza di questa lotta si avverte og- gi, poichd di fronte at tipo di svi- La prima condizione 0 data dal- luppo economico monopolistico ed 1'amplezza, dalla profondith e dalle ale sue tendenze autoritarie, si al- novity del movimento delle masse. larga la combattivity democratica Net dibattito congressuale tutto it di masse sempre piii vaste e delta partito deve approfondire critica- gioventii. mente queste esperienze. Il quadro Siamo di fronte ad una vlgoro- di movimento, di lotte, di tensione sa ripresa unitaria Belle lotte ope- politica, ideate e sociale della so' rase, le quali abbracciano tutta la cietit Italians non a eerto casuale. condizione di fabbrica e riguarda- Rivendichiamo anche alla politica no anche it potere contrattuale del ed all'azione del nostro partito una sindacati e dei lavoratori. Si sono parte importante del merito per corseguiti notevoli risultati sul pia- questo nuovo volto del nostro Pae- no degli accordi aziendali. se. Esso a stato investito in questi Importanti movimenti si svilup- anm da processi economici e soda- pano inoltre sul problems delle It propri delle societu capitalists- pensioni, nelle lotte per rompere che cosiddette avanzate, anche se le gabble salariali, contro le smo- il fenomeno si intreccia con anti- bil'tazioni e i licenziamenti che Grave e seria b la respon- che contraddizioni e squilibri. provocano la reazione di intere cit- sability dei delegati che si Ma tutta 1'evoluzione delta situa- ty, da Trieste a Pisa, da Palermo riuniranno' per it I Congres- zione di questi venticinque anni e a Roma e a Napoli. so del PSU. Essi dovranno caratterizzata dalla presenza e dal- Mal redo i punts deboli in prime luogo, trarre un is lotto del mo mento operaio, he moviinento offre. un quadro questo com? Approved, For Release 2010 1 ' : tW- go 7AMMAn 000400030007-9 plessivo di unit c ApArg& i? elease 24RA/c% P78~0306Q~ 9to0j0(~10300 a ni e ad altri battaglie del 1969 per ii rinnovo dei contratti di lavoro. A queste lotte debbono guardare tutu colo-. to the ritengono ' necessario un cambiamento della situazione po-' litica italiana. Senza tentativi di strunientalizzazione politica dells autonome battaglie sindacall, non pub tuttavia sfuggire the la spin- ta operaia tende a im,porre un nuovo tipo di sviluppo. Nel cor- so delle lotte the hanno mobilita- to milloni di lavoratori b andato avanti it processo di unlth sinda- cale: un problema the interessa tutta la democrazia italiana. Anche nelle campagne si b allar- gato it movimento dei lavoratori dells terra e del contadini. Dopo in elezioni it movimento ha cono- sciuto uno sviluppo nuovo e im- petuoso. La durezza e la difficolta incontrate da queste lotte deriva- no dal fatto the suite masse dei contadini e dei lavoratori .delta ter- ra a caduto it 'peso maggiore del processo di trasformazione delta society italiana. Ma pur ' in queste difficili condizioni mat b state am- mainata la bandiera della riforma a graria. Nuove furze sono scene in cam-pia rhaest'anno, a rivendicare una a !ova politica agraria di riforme e trasformazioni produttive. Ii mo- vimento per I'unitb del movimento c ontadlno b senza dubbio piu len- to e difficile. Tuttavia, anche qua registriarno fatti nuovi e' interes- ;intl. : i b rivelato inconsistente it ton- iativo scissionistico messo in plo? cis due anni fa dal PSU. Sintomi Ali crisl e difficoltb si sono avver? t1 neila confederazione bopomia- .a- Sono senza dubbio un altro .d;utomo delta situazione. Accanto able lotto dc?Ilc or- ganizzazioni lradizionall. opc- raic: e contadinc, it.movimen- to rcgistra la presenza atti- va di forze non organizzate nei Fiartiti a nei movimen 1 di classe, ma the tutlavia si pongono sul terreno del rinnovaniento dcmocratleo c socialista del Paesc: si trat- ta in prinio luogo del mo vimento studentcsco. La sua lotta ha conseguito importan- ti risultati. lfa dato un col- po ai propositi di ristruttu- razione conservatrice del cen- tro-sinistra, ha ratio emer- gere con forza la coscienza dells crisi strutturale delta nostra scuola. ha indcholito 11 sistema autoritario neile turata nello scontro la co. scienza del rapporto organi- co the deve esserci tra la hattaglia per ii rinnovamen- to Bella scuola con la ]otta generate contro it sistema ca- pitalistico. Noi abbiaino clalo it no- stro appoggio al movimento studentcsco, in un rapporto non solo di comprensione e per la scuola, ma per tutta la societal italiana. aluto, ma di diliattito apex. to, di collaborazionc critica. Vogliamo lavorare ad una ri- presa del moviniento, ad uno sviluppo (lei sun carattere di massa. Far crescere it movi- nieitto studentcsco a giovani. be, nella sua autonomic e net. In sua forza di massa, a una csigcnza cssenzialc non solo it fenomeno va oltre t] movimen- to studentesco. Investe to sviluppo Sidi circoli, di riviste, di gruppi di- versa net cameo cattolico e socia- lista, the esprimono una tenden- za generate all'estensione delta par. tecipazione alla vita politica, the cercano la via per imporre un cambiamento dells situazione ita- liana e un proprio ruolo autono- mo nella lotta per 11 socialismo. Nol esprimiamo una comprensio- ne profonda verso questl gruppi, It consideriamo forze partecipi del- l'incessante processo degli orienta- mentl e delta lotta per avanzare verso it socialismo. Nel vastissimo panorama fin qua considerato an- drebbero compresi altri lmpor tanti gruppi social!, come quelli del ceto medio produttivo dells cittb., the si muovono anch'essi su un terreno antimonopolistico. Accanto a] moto delle forze so- ciali, : guardiamo a quanto avvie. no nello schieramcnto politico, den- tro e fuori del centro-sinistra per individuaro le condizioni di una alternativa democratica. 11 succes so elettorale delle forte unitarie di sinistra ha confermato la giu. stezza dl una scelta del PCI, del PS'* UP e di altri gruppi volta ad operare un'inversione dt tenden- za per dare vita ad una base di aggregazione dl forte sociallste e dernocratiche. II processo a anda to e pub andare ancora piu avant.!. Ho gib detto del PST] - ha con- tinuato Natt.a - delle manovre per farlo tornare all'ovile dcl centro? sinistra, del deterio amento subito con l'unificazione slocialdcmocrati- ca. Non posslamo tuttavia dimen- ticare fatti important!, come la collaborazione tuttora esistente in tante amminlstrazioni comunali; net sindacati, nelle cooperative, nelle organizzazioni contadine. NO dimenticare come sin stata finora battuta, in gran parte dagli stes. si compagni socialisti, !'idea del u sindacato socialists a. In quests st*uazione rtteniamo the non saris realizzare it piano delta ripresa del centro-sinistra. Noi faremo co- munque iI possibile perchb questo non avvenga. LID a UN num ce t -ss~ QsC~1~ I fenomeni the caratterizzano it processo in atto nel movimento cat tolico investono ancho is D.C. L'ultirno consiglio nazionale ha dovuto registrare it fallimento del- ls linen seguita con it centro-sini- stra, riponoscere' 11 crescere di gruppi politici e di orient.amenti nuovi in gruppi come be ACLI the contestano ormai la concezione dell'interclassismo e in funziono stessa dells D. C. Ha visto In sinistra svolgere un duro attac- co contro le posizioni moderate e conservatrici del gruppo dirigen. to attuale e gli stessi personaggi dorotei formulare ipotesi the ave- vano, tutte, I'assillo di fare i cootj con la realtb del paese e con ii nostro partito. Oltre la a filosofia di luglio a, la DC non b finora an- data net definite una linea, men. tre ? sono cresciuti it disagio a la opposizione della sinistra. Quanto del resto sin aspro' it cammino per In ricucitura del centro-sini- ;strn to dimostrano tutte le ultimo vicende politico-parlamentarl. Tutto i1 partito dove avers chin- ro 11 senso di una battaglin aper- ta: nelle prossime settimane, b possibile far saltare i calcoli e le speranze delle forze conservatrici itallane, di Rumor e di Nenrii. E' possibile imporre un cam- ; biamento, far avviare la vita poli? ilea del Paese su una nuova stra- da, far crescere l'ondata del 19 magglo, contro la DC e contro it Centro sinistra. Ecco le bas! per un cam- biamento, a la costruzione df una alternativa democratica: sviluppo e allargamento (lei. le lotte operaic, contadinc, di tutte In form antimono- polistiche; presenza combat- tiva di movimenti autono. mi, cone quello studentesco; avanzamento del processo unitario era forze sociali di- verse in fnnzione antimono- polistica; collegamento ogget- tivo e ricerca di units fra forze politiche di sinistra Iai- che e cattolichc, interne ed esterne al centro-sinistra. Questo processo per. Ila for-. -azione di una nuova mag gioranza a per l'unita, Belle sinistre, non a ni; breve ne facile. Tuttavia pull essere portato avanti con un com. plesso e vario sviluppo di Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 6 detto fAPRr vie*JiP.~' ReLea*.fhi2QQr?604/1t7at4. PPW"3961A0004?O9&OOO a9 delta partcc- Innanzi tutto la riaffermazio? no piena del concetto leninl? sta e gramsciano del partito came organizzazione politica the fa politica in rapporto ,vivo con la reaitx, stimolan. do la partecipazione ally bat taglia del complesso del ? mi- litanti, formando, per via de- mocratica, una coscicnza uni? (aria e una volontx colletti? va del partito, agendo In modo the to grand! masse complano la propria espe? rienza e su questa base mi? surino e si convincano delta giustezza delta lines e delta direzione politica del par. tito. zioni industriali (Fiat-Citroen, Eni- Montedison) dimostra l'inesistenza di una programmazione economica net nostro Paese. Altro punto controverso b 11 giu- dizio sul tipo di sviluppo economi? ' co verificatosi in Italia in quest! anni, orientato sulfa ricerca del massimo profitto e non nell'int.e- resse del Paese. In questo indiriz- zo generale stanno le cause della' marginalizzazione crescente e del 1'aggravarsi dei problems dell'agri- coltura, dell'accresciuto squilibrio, fra Nord a Sud, dell'accantona- mento di ogni proposta di rifor? ma, delta mancata soluzione del problems delta scuola e dell'Uni- versitb,, ecc. Terzo punto, per not centrale, riguarda l'accrescersi de- gli squilibri sociali a danno degli opera!, di larghi strati di contadi- ni, delta povera gente. Non b pos- sibile, a nostro parere, parlare dT; allargamento del mercato interno, se non si parte da questo proble. ma, dagli intollerabili salari ope- iai, dalla poverth del reddito con- tadino. dai minima di fame delle ? pensions. Per porre fine al mali dl cut sof- fre it Paese, not proponiamo una politica di riforme the affronts organicamente le cause del di- storto sviluppo economico. Tale po- ,litica di riforme non significa rin?! viare la soluzione del problems in tempi lunghi. Una organica poll- `tea di riforme parte anti dalle question! immediate, per dar lavo- ro a chi non no ha, migliorare le condizioni di vita degli )perai e del contadini, per dare sdlievo at pensionati. Cib b anche ec)nomica- mente indisponsabile per l'allarga- mento del mercato internocor? ro inoltre una diversa scelta sugli investimenti, spostare to risorso verso le esigenze veramente essen? ziali a partire dalla difesa del sup. lo, dalle trasformazioni fondiarie, dall'irrigazione per rendere piu produttiva l'agricoltura. Questo si. gnifica programmaziono democra- tica e antimonopolistica, intesa co- me una linea. Qui giungiamo anche al carattere meridionalistico the deve avere la programmazione de- mocratica. Tutto questo significa dare pre- minenza al settore pubblico della economia assicurando la sua ge- stione democratica, ponendosi it problema di eliminare gii sprechi e di fare to riforme, in primp luo?_ go quella agraria e quells urban!-, sties. solo una esigenza al ronao per la progranunazione the not indichiamo, ma una ne? cessitl per In sviluppo del Paese in tuttt 1 campi. Queslo tema sottende a quello deci- sivo del rapporto fra - demo. crazia e socialismo, - e to sottolinciamo - non solo per dissipare equivoei sill carattere < pacifico > delta via italiana. non solo per ri? badire la visionc di essa come un processo di lotto di massa, tanto pia agevoli e decisive quanto pia it terre? no dl combattimento c quel- lo di un regime democratico. 11 sistema capitalistico, net sun sviluppo monopolistico e nella sua difesa di fronte she lotte sociali e politiche, reagisce non solo sill terre- no economico, ma su quel- In politico, con le tendenze autoritaric, to svuotamento degli istituti democratici e, nei momenti pia acuti, con 1'attacco reazionario. Riaffermare questo carattere del. partito b oggi importante. Questa .concezione del partito assume in- fatti un significato critico, di, fron- te ad altre esperienze. Inoltre, da una parte, b necessario respingere e battere le tenderize riaffioranti di tipo estremistico, the approda- no allo spontaneismo, al primiti? vismo organizzativo delle forma- zioni settarie; dail'altra dobbiamo respingere le spinte the emergono dal sistema economico in atto con- tro gal istituti democratici e 11 si- stema del partiti. , Net fenomeno positivo delta ri-: cerca ?di espressioni e forme nuove' deli'impegno politico c'b tuttavla anche 11 riflesso dei limit!, e degli. Impacci ad una reale e democrati- ca partecipazione alla vita a alla battaglia politics attraverso I par- titi. La polemics del giovani - no- riteniamo contrail e docisivi in que- sro momento riguardano una nuo- va politics estera di pace, di supe? ramento del blocchi e di neutral!- tb, attivita, a to sviluppo economico,; fI consolidamento e l'allargamento delta vita democratica. to rogra,913012e1P SIM Non Intendiamo fornire un giua- dro della situazione economics del Paese a indicare tutto II comples- so di proposte the not avanziamo. Intendiamo sottolineare I punt! sui quali b necessario premere per un cambiamento generale e com- plessivo e the costituiscono al tem po stesso obbiettivi immediati dei? movimento e della pressione delle ;masse lavoratrici. Il primo di quo sti punt! riguarda it naufeagio del programma di sviluppo economi- co del governo Moro-Nenni. A par- to la cifra dell'incremento del red- dito the si mantiene a stento, tut. ti ill altri dati del Piano Pierac- Le questions delta demo- crazia sono strcttamente Ic- gate a quelle dello sviluppo economico e delle riforme sociali. In questo legame sta uno del momenti essenziali di tutta la nostra strategia. D'altro canto, non solo neila clas- se operaia ma in. altri strati socia- li, tra I giovani, matura is persua- ,sione the le conquiste sul terreno sociale e delle riforme debbono saldarsi, per essere consistent!, ad un piu ampio intervento, democra- tico, a possibllitx di gestione e controllo da parte delle masse. Di qui ii valore di esperienze the, pur nei Toro limits net nostro Paese, ed anche net loro insuccessi come in Francis, hanno proposto f one nuove ed original! di partecipazio- no e di potere democratico nelle fabbriche, nelle universitik. After. miamo the non vi b contrasto tra t'obbiettivo del rinnovamento degli istituti della democrazia rappresen. tativa e is loro funzione, e la ricer- ca di forme ed istituti nuovi di de- mocrazia diretta; al contrasio, le due, esigenze sono inseparabili e connesse l'una con 1'altra. Su questa lines ss - muovono he proposte nostre, volte a far cresce- re la partecipazione democratica e a realizzare degli spostamenti net rapport! di forza. Qui sono gli ob- biettivi della lotta per it rinnova- mento o to sviluppo della democra- zia, per una riforma democratica dello State. E qui sono nello stes- so tempo he leve per la crescita di un movimento democratico e po- polare articolato, vivo e di - tale ampiezza da riuscire a garantire successo aile conquiste sociali, al- la lotta per to riforme e da esse- re in grado di far fronte alle rea-- zioni del gruppi dirigenti capitali- stici e di batterie, quale the fosse it terreno su cut volessero avventu- rarsi, Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 7 torah del 19 maggio? Not lavoria? mo per mandare avanti it processo di' unity fra tutte le forte di sini? stra laiche' e cattoliche, fra forze politiche e socials diverse, gruppi e i t ti t E' hi h men au . onom c aro t e II pericolo del ricorso ally vio?: mov lenza. a agli attentati antidemocra? 11 PCI e questo schieramento han? tic] b sempre aperto e politicamen- no una funzlone decisiva nelle bat.: to attuale. Occorre non sottpvalu? taglie di opposizione. Noi ci batt.ia- tarlo. Occorre essere pronti alts ri? mo perb anche ~sul piano parla- sposta. Ma la garanzia prima per mentare per soluzioni Cho non s1- evitare it rischio b lo sviluppo con- gnifichino alcun ritorno, comunque seguente della lotta e delle istitu? inascherato, al centro-sinistra, ma zioni democratiche, dela orgafi!zza? zione polilica e sindacale. #ella segnino un passo avant! per l'av combattivita e partecipazione 4elle vie a soluzione del piu urgent! pro? larghe masse del lavoratori e'. del blemi del Paese e del lavoratori, popolo. Il valore di rottura the og? e ' verso la ,formazione di una nuo? gi sempre piu assumono le rifor- va maggioranza. Per questo sumo nee net regime di capitalismo mo- disposti a discutere con tutte Is nbpolistico di Stato, la spinta e le forze di sinistra, animati solo dal. dsperienze nuove sul terreno dells partecipazione ci riconducono a la volonta di far progredire la so quel panto nodale della nostra luzione del problems della society strategic the a it rapporto tea ri-' italiana, clegli operai, del contadini, forme e democrazia, tea riforme e di tutti i lavoratori, pronti a spe- rivoluzione, Ribadiamo the qui b - rimentare forme nuove di units e quells di un profondn, audace svi- luppo democratico, della partecipa? zione del pii.l grande numero pos? sibile di militants comunisti fills sceite a alla lotta del partito. la ragione di radicale differenza anche soltanto di convergenze a di tra la nostra strategia rivoluziona? ria e le tradizionali imnostazioni collaborazione, a tutti i livelli, e del riformismo. Le vicende di que? in tutte Is assemblee elettive, dal sti anni ci scmbra confermino un comuni al Parlamento. giudizio the tuttavia deve essere I punt! programmatici the not aperto aI dibattito, ma la nostra nostante In grande prova di fidu- lotta - anche sul terreno teorico' cia del 19 maggio -- investe anche -- deve sempre piu riuscire a spe- IT nostro partito e coglie problemi rimentare questa the b in verita ed esigenzc real! the sarebbe gra. dells via italiana al socialismo. ve se non val itaasimo giust.amente. A conclusions del suo rap-, Siamo in verith di fronto a si- porto s1 compagno Natta ha tuazioni move per i] ranporto fra tl partito a 11 complesso del mo- affrontato I problemi del vimenti, delie organizzazioni a del partito, Bella sus organizza? gruppi politics e culturali the si zione e dells sua vita inter- collocano sul terrero delta lotta na. Qucllo the occorre - ha democratica e socialista. Per que- Iotte,. di convergenze units. sto b necessaria una forte azione He e momenti di collahora? di orientamento del partito perchb zione anche su obbiettivi li? emerga con pia ehiarcz7a the tut. mitati a parziali. Qucsto ' ii to la nostra lines politica esiae compito, urgente e attuale, un rafforzamentn della funzione di- (lei comunisti. Senza di. not rigento del partito, esige un im- sarebbe imnensahile e impos?. penno senza eguall del partito e del sibile, in Italia, un preens- comunisti, dl presenza e di inizia- so unitario di questo tipo. tiva in tutta la soeietiti. in tutte le organizzazioni; un impecno di chia- Si pongono in questo quadro rezza e combattJT1DH\ ir(:ologic P anche i problemi della piu ravvi- politica, di mobilitazione delle cinata prospettiva politica. Mi energie e della partecipazione po- srmhra perfino inutPe ribadire la polare, di conquista del consenso. necessity the I'attuale governo sic Pluralismo? autonomia del movi- spazzato' via. Gi'a gravi danni ha menti di classe, e democratic!, po- arrecato al Paese. La sua soeran- litica di unith, strategia delle ri? za di sopravvivenza sta nell'evita- forme fanno contare di piu it par. ro i problems, net farli marcire, tito e it comnito the Cleve esserali net non far lavorare it Parlamen- proprio di sintesi, di direzione no. to L 'Italia non put) sopportare litica, di strumerto di egemonla, una tale politica. D'altra parte ri- secondo it metodo del confronto teniamo del' tutto improponibile un critico, della dialettica aperta, del rilancio del centro-sinistra: e pen- rapporto tra eguali con le altre slamo che, ove` questo tentativo forze del movimento operaio e de? venisse compiuto, assal gray! po- mocratico. Ma proprio per questo trebbero essere le conscguenze sul it partito deve mantenere e rae- piano del rapport! socials e poll- forzare i suol caratteri peculiari di ticl. organizzazione politica di massy e E allora? Come risolvera, nello di lotta, dove tendere sempre piii Immediate lI problema delta Crisi a d'venire l'intellettuale colletti- politica aperta dal fallimento del vo di cui parlava Gramsci. Il do- Centro sinistra a Adaj~ ~ A~P~F2ele 03'7 9'R9 a (5PAistt[5'78`-63061A000400030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 TIME Approved For Release 2005/08/17: CIA-RDP78-03061A000400(Fo _qH 22 November 1968 NEW REALITY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN AS the 78,000-ton aircraft carrier U.S.S. Forrestal slid out of the Greek port of Salonica one grey dawn last week, a 900-ton escort ship waited for her just outside the harbor. The Forrestal turned southward into the Ae- gean Sea, and the escort dutifully took up station a mile astern, rolling gently in the huge carrier's wake. At midday, when the Forrestal catapulted her Phan- tom jets into clearing skies, the escort drew alongside to within 50 yards of the carrier. But not a signal was ex- changed. The escort vessel was Russian, a super gunboat of the Mirka class, and the Forrestal had not invited her to tag along. Invited or not, the Soviet navy has made itself at home all over the Med- iterranean in sharply increasing num- bers. Acting as if they had nothing to lose but their anchor chains, the Rus- sians are everywhere now-tailing the U.S. Sixth Fleet, showing the Red Flag from the Dardanelles to Gibraltar, re- sorting to old-fashioned gunboat diplo- macy to keep the big powers baffled and the smaller ones uneasy. Snap of the Fingers. Black-bereted naval infantrymen, the Soviet version of Marines, stroll the streets of Da- mascus. Intelligence trawlers refuel at what has become the Soviets' main Med- iterranean port of call, Alexandria. So- viet patrol boats tie up 1,700 miles to the west at the Algerian port of Mers-cl- Kebir. Soviet subs play hide-and-seek with NATO patrols underneath the heel of Italy. Overhead, from bases in Egypt, Soviet "Badger" class planes, their red stars painted over with Egyptian mark- ings, wing daily across the Mediter- ranean to shadow Allied fleets. What are the Russians up to? NATO commanders do not know the answer, but they do know that the new Soviet presence has radically changed the Med- iterranean equation. Only ten years ago, when Nasserite terrorists were trying to overthrow the government of Lebanon, its President, Camille Chamoun, could reassure a doubting Cabinet minister: "If things get too tough, I can call for the Sixth Fleet, just like this . . ." And the President snapped his fingers. Chamoun did call for help; the U.S. Sixth Fleet landed its Marines. Lebanon proceeded to settle its affairs without fur- ther outside interference. Russia's Ni- kita Khrushchev, who had been loudly rattling his rockets and threatening war if the U.S. intervened in Lebanon, quick- ly backed down in the face of the U.S. show of strength. Impact on Israel. In those days, the M d't w considered an Amer- an as U.S. f~?lcrs el Kebir. r ~.~m. .d+r. i 1 Gi ? Malta ?e ~.-a..!`.. Cyprus . OTU ~'SIA ..~. Crete 0 4 i AL Ef2IA`;' _&i._ U.S. SIXTH FLEET ISRAEI.Y, d~ ;?,"'.? .., 50 thips (Inc. 2 aircraft carrion), u I ' t~-- Soviet anchorage topen water) Port of colt ' } Pdssiblo future brio' begun to awaken to the potentialities of seapower. In the early '60s, the So- viets began to build up their navy all over the world (TIME cover, Feb. 23). Now the U.S. must reckon with the So- viet force in the Mediterranean-and so must the Israelis. When Soviet-made Styx missiles, fired from a torpedo boat by Egyptians, sank the Israeli destroyer Elath off Port Said in an incident in Oc- tober 1967, the Israelis dared not re- taliate directly for fear of hitting So- viet warships near by. Now the Soviets have brought a dredge into the Med- iterranean; should they y to use it to pry open the Suez Canfil, the Israelis would face an agonizing dilemma. In recent weeks, the Soviets have put yet another x into the equation. To the Soviet eskadra (squadron) in the Mediterranean, which has numbered as many as 52 ships, including two cruis- ers, ten submarines and six intelligence- collecting trawlers, the Russians added an entirely new kind of vessel on the face of the oceans-a multipurpose, mis- sile-firing helicopter carrier. The Rus- sians so far have built no Western-style aircraft carriers because they consider them vulnerable to missile attack. In- stead, into the Mediterranean glided the Moskva, a sleek 25,000-ton vessel that combines the features of a cruiser and a carrier. The craft has four pads marked with red and white bull's-eyes on her. 100-yd. flight deck for launching up to 30 helicopters of the Hormone type used in antisubmarine warfare, The Moskva is the first Soviet vessel in the Mediterranean equipped with ship-to- air as well as ship-to-ship missiles, and each time a U.S. Navy P-2 patrol plane tries to take a peek, the Russians swift- ly swing the missiles below decks on el- evator platfot?nis. In a crunch, the hel- 00 aircraft 'OeO 1n.n r ? 7 . A.n wQ ? rt $$la. _ +~ glcsarSc~rlu?'-k ' Ito I;~`"YA EGYPT. TIME. flap by J.TJ no nn VTOL (vertical take-off, landing) planes as well as helicopters. Altering the Balance. In the opinion of U.S. strategists, the Soviet Medi- terranean force, lacking big aircraft car- riers, would be no match for the Sixth Fleet, with its 50 combat ships, in- cluding two carriers and two cruisers, 200 aircraft and 25,000 men. The Rus- sian squadron in the Mediterranean is, in fact, smaller than the Italian navy. But as U.S. Admiral Horacio Rivcro, commander of NATO forces in Southern Europe, notes: "While the Soviet flo- tilla is a potential military threat, its greatest importance is political and psy- chological. The number of ships is not too important. The presence of one ship' has a political impact." A coup attempt in Egypt or Syria, a blockade thrown against Israel for Egypt, a pro-Soviet political upheaval in Albania, a Soviet power play against Yugoslavia-all are situations in which the Soviets could use their new sea- power with unpredictable results. Some Western strategists worry that the friend- ly neighborhood presence of Russian ships may tempt the Arabs to take fool- ish chances soon against Israel, in the be- lief that the Russians would rush to their aid if Israel lashed back in force. Nothing of the sort has yet hap- e i i og~g ar }r~ Xrt Jean lake, , andAptr~+eidtd~ra42gle~r s a vS1I fb a to an A000400030007-9 pened, and in fact the Russians so far - "in a concerted attempts to alter the bat.- 7 : Q AcRQPj7Arft3QA1A0QQ4a00Q3QOJ-9 tries along the Mediterranean, including keep the balance even that this week Out- Algeria and Egypt, to permit them to law, whose name the Italians have hap- build a full-fledged naval base. But even pily translated as Ii I3andito, takes cont- without such bases, the Soviets now .mind of Maritime Air Forces, Mcd- drop anchor all along the rim of the 'iterranean (NIA1RAIRtiMED), the special Mediterranean and sail binocular-to-bin- new NWI*0 naval air arni created area- ocular alongside the allies. The Russians ordinate the watch on the Russians muscled into the Mediterranean, says watching NATO. U.S. Rear Admiral Richard C. Outlaw, 23 February 1968 RUSSIA Power Play on the Oceans The fin, of the Soviet navy now pcoaclly flies over the oceans of the world, Sooner or later, the U.S. will have to tttulerstand that it no longer has mastery of the seas. -Admiral Sergei Gorshkov 'l he author of that, threatening boast v.alkeui ill) to a snake charmer in the In- dian city of Agra last week and, while his a;idcs looked on aghast, seized ai thick, six-foot-long python in his strong 'funds and draped iz'over his shoulders. Making a ten-day 'tour of India, the contrnandwr, of the Russian navy was acting like the,traditional sailor on shore leave. He viewed the 'raj Mahal by moonlight, visited the Nehru Museum and the site where Mahatma Gandhi's body was cremated, and shopped for souvenirs. But Admiral Sergei Georgic-. vich Gorshkov's trip to India had an entirely serious, purpose, as do all his ,rips these days. Vie is trying to line up is trldwide system of ports of call and bases for his navy, and he hoped to persuade India, which is about to re- ecivt at least three submarines front tide ioviet Union, to reciprocate by af- lowi lg Soviet men of-war to fuel and maik " repairs in Indian (forts. While the attention of the. U.S. is fo- cused on Viet Nam, the Russians are inounUne at sea a, new challenge that the U.S. and its allies will have to deal with Ion!" after tire fighting in South- east Asia is ended. 'this may collie as a surprise to most laymen-but not to J.S. naval experts. While Russia's stock cii intercontinental missiles and its huge land army on l~.urope s periphery still rc- iaiaa the major military threats to the Wrest. in recent years the tcussians have developed it global navy second only to he U.S. in sine and v,-capotlry. As a :aorv,parison between the two navies ,trews (are' chart), the U.S. remains in- iisputatfly the waffle s greatest sea ,"'tit'er, tail, In as rem airkatble turnaround :rdc World War It, Moscow has tra ris- ;urined a relatively insignificant coaast- al-dcfensc force that seldom ventured( far from land into a real blue-water fleet. If any one man is responsible for this change, it is Admiral Gorshkov, .57, who became the youngest admiral in Soviet history at 31 and has guided the growth of the navy as its chief for the past twelve years. He has totally re- shaped the Soviet Union's once con- servative naval strategy and transformed the fleet into the most effective and flexi- ble arm of Soviet foreign policy. U. S. U. S.S.R. NAVAL STRENGTH a a aua: 15 0 Attack calriars Helicopter and 17 2C Helicopter carriers sklppart corners ~~-.- s ul`Isst,ip and l4 19 Cluisurs Clllit NrA y D Iruy. r; frieores 330 170 , Destroyers, fri;~otes , 7, d orover escr r 1 , . 66strQyer es'-alts h u[!e ar-nav err. i ! 75 ' 55 Nalco-powered sobrvinnes submaanes- Cti r svlamonnes 80 O5 Other submarines' ' und:iig crafi 105 i 100 Landing craft 0 580 Torpedo and i~ rn:sr,ta iauo''. a s a ?tERCtt4' T FLEET 000 1.3st7 +x.~.a .. runa B rr tt i : ` ~~ I .u n ai~n d.w tik C't5 i?rJc ~.~ f=ormidable Fleets. Since 19.57, Rus- sia has added to its navy virtually all of the ships that now make up its inl- pressive striking, power. It has a mod- era force of 19 cruisers, 170 destroy- i's, itlltisiic frigates and destroyer escorts, and 560 motor torpedo boats. is 360 submarines, 55 of them nu- ciear, give Russia the world's largest submarine fleet, far exceeding the U.S. total of 155 subs but falling short of the U.S. fleet of 75 nuclear subs. Moreover, unlike other naval pow- ers, the Soviet Union uses its merchant marine and other seagoing services as important arms of the navy. Russia has the world's fastest-growing merchant fleet, which will pass the lagging U.S. merchant marine in tonnage in the ear- ly 1970s. Its high-seas fishing fleet is the world's largest and most modern; many of its 4,000 craft fish for vigil in- formation along foreign coasts as as for the creatures of the sea. The Sd et Union also has the largest oceano- graphic fleet, whose 200 ships plunib the earth's waters for ntilitaunily vela able data on depths, currents, bottom` topography and other information of in- terest. to its ships and submarines, Says Admiral John McCain Jr., commander in chief of U.S. naval forces in I;tr? rope: "`The Russian program to devel- op its scapowcr is more advanced and': fully developed today than most people realize. It encompasses the full spec tram of the uses of the .sea-in its, military, economic, political and corn mercial connotations." power represents a major strategic dcci= sion. With its arsenal of 720 ICBMs terrent, with its huge land army nit ty in the middle of the great Eur tsiar, land mass, Russia has turned to the sea to break out of its own gcographic con power. Using the navy as a political as well as a military force, the Kremlin hopes that its mere presence in many places". ' will act as a deterrent to the U.S. More- over, the Russians want to be ready to move quickly into any areas where U.S. power and prestige May recede. 1110y not only plan to project a more tangi veloped world but also, by using their merchant fleet, to get a strong hold ors the raw materials vital to Soviet----.in.t often to American---industry. Ultimate- ly, though, the Russint navy's hi? gtast threat is a military one. Its offensive strategy not only zeroes submarine-car- yied nuclear missiles 'in on U.S. cities., Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 2 P rro ed For Release 2OO5/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 but aims to isolate r h America from o support its growl lg naval activi- the speedy Osa and Komar torpedo Europe and Asia in case of war. ty, Russia is searching for new bases boats are armed with Styx missiles. Bridge of Trouble. The imperial and ports of call. Sovie diplomats are whose effective range is 20 miles. A reach of the Soviet navy has already setting up an embassy n the new re- Styx fired by the Egyptians from a begun to have its impact on world public of South Yemen, where the Rus- Komar sank the Israeli destroyer Hails events. In the tense Sea of Japan, a sians have their eye on ::ie former Brit- off Port Said last October. U.S. Navy- flotilla of 16 Soviet cruisers and tnis- , ish naval installation at Aden; the men insist that their planes would knock sile frigates has in the past few. weeks ! J installation not only c.: ntrols entry to out Soviet ships before they got within shouldered its way between the coast the Red Sea but is an dc,il hasc from firing range of U.S. warships or, fail- of North Korea and the U.S. Navy' Which to expand influence into the oil lug that, that U.S. antiaircraft rockets task force that was sent into the area' rich sheikdoms of the 'ersian Gulf, would intercept the missiles in flight. to add some muscle to U.S. diplomatic The Soviets may also b able to use But the U.S. Navy has now started demands for the return of the Pueblo the facilities of the big British naval work on ship-to-ship missiles of its own. and its crew. Soviet destroyers have base at Singapore, Which Prime Minis. Admiral Gorshkov is also developing also closely shadowed the carrier Err- ter. Lee Kuan Yew hay said he will a new force that will give the Russians terprise, which withdrew because of rent to all comers after t c Royal Navy the ability to intervene in trouble spots_, North Korean protests ? shortly before pulls out in 1971. The '-ig question in much as the U.S. did in Lebanon and' the Soviet navy's approach. The Soviet the Mediterranean is w; ether the Rus- the Dominican Republic. The Soviet presence checkmates the U.S. pressure sians will move into the Algerian naval navy has built its first carrier, a new on North Korea and gives the Kremlin base at Mers-el-Kehir, which the French ,25,000-tonner called the Moscow, which a local pressure point without having evacuated last. month; it is only 315 is now on a training course in the to resort to nuclear threats. miles east of Gibraltar ve Black Sea and is readying a second ssians h R , , . a u Soviet seapower sustains the two - also used their influence with the Arabs the Leningrad, for sea trials; some West- - countries that are giving the U.S. the to set up secret stockpiles of spare ern sea experts feel that the Russians most trouble. A bridge of 150 freight parts within trucking distance of Arab may build many more. The Soviet car- ers from Russian ports carries to Hai- ports. riers have landing areas only on the phong the SAMs, the petroleum, the Russian Marines. Admiral Gorshkov's rear and can thus handle only hel- rockets, the assault rifles and the am- shi s r t ti ft t i l t k ff i Th l id i b p a e no ers or ver eo rcra cop ca - a a . ey on y w e-rang ng ut munition that keep North Viet Nam among the world's newest and best; are similar, in fact, to the American fighting and killing U.S. soldiers. More- equipped. Unlike the U.S. and Britain, Iwo Jima-type LPH (for Landing Pad over, ' tt is the fear of hitting those both of which emerged from World Helicopter), of which the U.S. Navy Russian ships that has so far kept the War II with large surface fleets, Russia has eight, two of them stationed in U.S. from bombing Haiphong's piers or had to start practically from scratch Viet Nam waters as offshore bases for .mining the harbor. And it is another after the war. The result: while 60% Marines. So far, the Soviets have giv- bridge of Soviet ships that carries the of the U.S. fleet consists of ships 25 en no indication that they will advance i $1,000,000-a-day in supplies that sus- years old oi- older, the Soviet navy's sur- to the large U.S.-style attack carriers, tains Castro's Cuba as the only Com face fleet is sleek and modern. "Almost since they consider such carriers vulner- munist foothold in the Hemisphere. every time you go into a harbor," says able to attacks by missiles. Outflanking NATO. In the Mcdi- U.S. Navy Captain Harry Allendorfer, The Russians do have, however, a terranean, the impact of the Soviet fleet an expert on Soviet seapower, "if there force similar to the U.S. Marines. It is has been particularly dramatic. Where are no flag markings and you pick out the so-called Naval Infantry that fought Russia had only half a dozen ships a the cleanest and best-looking ships, nine as regular ground units during World year ago, it now -has 46 ships, almost out of ten of them will be Russian." 'War II but was later disbanded. Re- as many as the 50-ship U.S. fleet, which The Soviet Union is adding to its organized in 1964 just after the con- for years had made the "Med" practical- fleet of 55 nuclear-powered submarines struction of the carriers began, the ly an American lake. Many of the So- at the rate of five a year. Most of the So- Naval Infantry now numbers 10,000 viet ships came through the Dardanelles viet nukes arc hunter-killers whose mis- 'men who wear distinctive black berets, during the Six-Day War, and their ar- sion is to destroy U.S. Polaris subs in are chosen for outstanding physical fit- rival helped persuade the Israelis to time of war, but a growing number fire ?ness and aggressiveness. The Naval In- accept a cease-fire. The Soviets have en- a new underwater missile that has a fantry are carried on special landing hanccd their new image as the protec- range of at least 1,500 miles (v. the craft and have tanks that can "swim" tor of their Arab allies by keeping a U.S. missile's range of 2,500 miles). 'from ship to shore in amphibious few ships in Alexandria and Port Said Since he believes that naval guns are ob- landings. so that Israeli bombers will not be soicte, Admiral Gorshkov has equipped Collecting Lovers. The Soviet surge tempted to . blast away at the vast almost all Soviet surface ships, from at sea should come as no surprise to amount of war materiel that is flowing the smallest to the largest, with ship-to- the West. Actually, the Russians have into those ports. ship missiles. The Soviet missiles are been reaching out to the oceans since One main Soviet objective is to out- so-called "cruise missiles" that fly about Peter the Great ascended the throne in flank NATO's land-based defenses-a 700 miles an hour, steer themselves ci- 1689. Under the guise of Peter Mi-. goal that the Russian navy has partial- then by radar or heat-seeking systems khailov, carpenter, the young Czar tray- ly reached by penetrating the Mcdi- and carry either conventional or nu- eled to The Netherlands and England terranean. In a report to the Western clear warheads. The U.S. experimented to learn how to build ships. In 1714, European Union last November, Dutch with similar weapons in the 1950s but his fleet defeated the Swedes at Hango, Delegate Frans Goedhart warned: "it dropped them in favor of concentrating thus opening through the Baltic a "Win- is no longer correct to speak of the 'dan- on the Polaris and airpower. No West- dow to the West" for his backward ger' of the Soviet Union outflanking ern navy, in fact, has such missiles, country. the NATO southern flank. This 'danger' Soviet cruisers and the Kresta- and Peter's- successors frittered away the has become a reality." To the north, Kynda-class destroyers carry the SS- fleet, but when Catherine the Great the Russians have also turned the Bal- N-3 missile, which can hit enemy ships came 'to power .in 1762, she began a tic into a virtual Red Sea on which at a range of 200 miles. The Krupay- massive rebuilding program. To find their warships now outnumber NATO and Kildin-class destroyers carry the enough officers to command her new forces 5 to 1. Approved`?For`Reled-4-2Ctf451@6047SSP!-RDPVe.O3O I ( 94Q80t3f19Dtegccted foreign naval men almost as la tr o9esTie orlRelease 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 co cte hel ed cha th p se e Turks from the Black lovers. Among them was the American Sea. Unfortunately, his morals were Revolutionary War hero, John Paul, nearly as bad as Catherine's, and rival Jones, who, despite his hravery and gift admirals used a scandal about his de- for quick phrasemaking, had risen no flowering a young Russian girl to chase higher than captain in the U.S Navy. him out. In return for an admiral's rank, Jones Throughout the 19th century, Russia took command of a Russian sailing remained the world's third largest na- feet composed of four battleships, eight viii power (after Britain and France), frigates and assorted smaller craft that but it was a largely untested one. The CLF3ti b~`Fn~ma earl Harbor (;r and Vl m Moscow `akyo ' UCF .,,QVtiS EUti }{st ~ 131ach5eo aSu R' ar ..r' M :I Kebir Mediterranean Sea f (40 warships) Utaki on Said Ale r EGYPT Red BLACK SEA FLEET Adm. Chursin - 700 ships 6 50 40 150 .rmi 2 new helicopter carriers S01iTH AM E R I CA n.i i0tlta R i k _ :.. Aooroved For Rerease oU /08/1 a a " ' N l G A .. , ava ni. ays ov HO. iii ad Visliakha steam li-fla 'T BALTIC FLEET Adm. Mikhaiiin 750 ships relic Oce Ice caae NORTHERN FLEET Adm. Lobov s ; 800 h' s (16 surface warships) *Peking TA11fy` Hong Ken CHINA P Haiphong Japan. In the straits of Tsushima, the Japanese met a fleet of 37 Russian ships and sank or captured all but four of them. It was the last time the Rus- sians fought a naval engagement on the high seas, What was left of the navy became a hotbed of anti-czarist agitation. In 1917, the guns of the cruiser Aurora PACIFIC OCEAN FLEET Adm. Amelko -750 ships r 6 50 100 150 . 60 - - a Ai oY5{s r y 28 icebreakers ,xt A F R 1 0 A T Fleet HO & naval base Cruisers .~ . Destroyers, frigates and escorts Submarines (nuclear & other) Patrol boats (torpedo & missile) Intelligence ships (35) - Fishing fleet a ?--- -?--- Shipping routes Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 fired a blank salvo at the Winter Pal- The assignment turned out to be it oil- is far greater than in the U.S. or Brit- ace in Petrograd and started the Oc- ter one. Khrushchev believed that mis- ish navy. The officers' quarters are far 1tober Revolution. At first, sailors were sites had made surface ships "silting more spacious, their food far tastier, the new Soviet government's most trust- ducks." He derided cruisers as "fit only their dining rooms more elegant, their Ii ed fighters, but Lenin managed to alien-, for traveling on state visits," and uniforms much fancier. The disparity ate them. He put in charge of the navy scrapped four that were still under con- in pay between officers and men is commissar who was, of all things, a struction. He even passed the word to ! right out of the times that drove Karl 'woman, named Larisa Reisner-Raskol- the admirals to stay away from the Marx to write Das Kapital; a first-term nikova, and refused to allow the sailors round of receptions and parties during seaman earns $5 a month, a lieutenant to organize their own self-ruling local the 1956 air force day celebrations. earns 100 times more, and a rear ad- governments. As a result, the Baltic Spotting four soldiers rowing a boat miral 400 times that much. There is an Fleet suddenly mutinied in 1921. Lenin on a Moscow pond, Khrushchev, joked additional discrimination that probably crushed the revolt, but he never for. to one of his American guests: "There is due to the Soviet Union's problem gave the navy. He demoted it to the is our navyl" He went as far its to con- with alcoholism. While officers may tip- inglorious position of "naval forces of template disbanding the navy and trans- ple in moderation onshore--and those the Red Army" and decreed a new strat- ferring its missile-firing submarines to of the Black Sea Fleet may even enjoy egy that called for only a defensive a new unified missile command. white wine at meals-Soviet sailors are fleet whose main weaponry would he As a party member since 1942, forbidden at all times to drink on ei. submarines. Gorshkov knew better than to openly ther land or sea. From all indications, By 1932, the U.S.S.R. had some 25 oppose Khrushchev. But as a skilled pol- the order is surprisingly well obeyed. subs, but Lenin's successor, Stalin, was itician himself, he knew well how to Russia's seamen-nearly all are draft- dissatisfied with such an invisible fleet, stall. He subtly resisted the missile en- ees who serve for three years--nonetlte- In the mid-1930s, he reinstated the navy thusiasts in the Kremlin, kept alive the less live better than many factory work= as an independent service and started concept of surface ships. Then Khru- ers. The food is plentiful, and the crew building it huge surface fleet. The Cier- shchev decided to put missiles in Cas- quarters are relatively comfortable and mans captured the partly finished hulks tro's Cuba-and the . whole game clean. The ships have air conditioning, when they swept into Russia in 1941. changed. The humiliation of their back- well-stocked libraries, TV sets for recep- Thus the mission of defending the Red down under the guns of the U.S. Navy lion in ports and coastal areas and Army's coastal flanks fell to the Soviet impressed on the Soviet leaders the movies twice a week. Sailors organize navy's ragtag fleet. Most seagoing men value of naval power. Shortly after the singing and' nursic groups, play dont? would have chafed at such a coastline crisis, Khrushchev sent an order to the inocs and chess and. at every opportuni- assignment, but a young captain named admiral: Create a Surface fleet. ty, sunbathe on deck in what U.S. Sergei Gorshkov welcomed it as an op- Gorshkov's own status reflects the Navymen call the "Soviet uniform"- portunity. navy's elevation to a place of impor- white jockey shorts. Youngest Admiral. Born in the lance. His fleet ranks in the top troika Unlike their Western counterparts, Ukraine, Gorshkov joined the navy of Russian weaponry, alongside the the Soviet sailors are not allowed to when he was 17, and graduated from ICBM command, a separate service in let off steam in foreign- ports. They go, Leningrad's Frunze Academy, the Rus- the Soviet setup, and the air force strate- ashore only in groups escorted by it sian equivalent of Annapolis, four years gic bombers. In the chain of command, apetty oilicer, take in local' museums, later. When war broke out, he was the Gorshkov reports directly to the Dc- points of historical interest, and win- dow-shop. of a handful of antiquated (ease Ministry. He was elected to the dow-shop. They buy few souvenirs, cruisers and assorted small craft in the Central Committee in 1961, became a avoid bars and prostitutes and never Black Sea. As the German invaders Hero of the Soviet Union in 1965 and tip. Usually they return, to their ships rushed toward the oilfields of the Cart- was promoted last year to the exalted by nightfall. In the ports along the Medi- casus, Gorshkov became expert at am- five-star rank of Admiral of the Fleet ict'rancan where the Soviet fleet has phibious operations, plucking trapped of. the Soviet. Union, only the third to Soviet troops from the Crimean coasts get that honor in the history of the Sovi- displaced the Western ones, hawkers and landin them farther eastward to and whores are dismayed by the spar- yr fight again. g et As bhis rank, he is chauffeured tan conduct and serious demeanor of .. As befits e During those years, Gorshkov also each morning from his spacious Mos the Russian sailors. formed the attachment for heavily cow apartment to the Defense Ministry , Harassment Policy. The Soviet armed small craft that is reflected to- in Arbatskaya Square. Gorshkov set- ; navy s 465,000 men are also deadly se day in the Soviet navy's emphasis on dom entertains and rarely appears at rious about their chief task: a potcntial- Kontar and Osa torpedo boats. He weld- diplomatic functions. Married, he oftenly lethal game of espionage and . tag. ed the turrets from T'-34 tanks to motor- spends weekends with his wife at their' Gorshkov's fleet has expanded its activi- boats and formed a river fleet that government-supplied dacha near Mos- ty on the seas by three hjndredfold in harassed the Germans from Rostov-on- cow. Like most high-ranking Soviet of-'the last ten years, and much of its cf- Don to Vienna on the Danube. The ficers, he is withdrawn even from his fort is devoted to it determined policy young admiral impressed sonic Red personal staff, spent most of the time of harassment, probing and provocation. Army officers who were fighting in the that he was not traveling about in In- Across the oceans of the world, the area, One was a major general named Ilia alone in his bedroom. light-grey-hulled Soviet warships are Leonid Brczhncv, another a lieutenant Czarist Traditions. Peter the Great watching, trailing and sometimes crowd- ally ships of the Western fleets, gener?al named Nikita Khrushchev. ? would probably feel more at, home in esp the . Sitting Ducks. After the war, Stalin the Soviet navy than Lenin or Trotsky. esp those of the U.S. Navy. started building big warships again, but Aside from the fact that nearly all of- Soviet warships and electronic intelli- only 15, cruisers had been completed ficers are party' members and that each gence trawlers stalk U.S., British and by the time he died in 1953. The new ship has a political officer who gives other Western fleets far from the shores chief in the Kremlin had no sympathy daily indoctrination lectures for every- of the Soviet Union. Soviet subs and for Stalin's plans. Nikita Khrushchev onenavy life reflects the traditions of destroyers shadow the U.S. carriers in fired Stalin's navy chief, Admiral Kuz- the czars more than those of the com- the Mediterranean, keeping a watch off- netsov, and brought in Gorshkov, who missars. Discipline is extremely rigid, shore when the carriers go into port by then was naval chief of stuff. n tw odic nd men and taking up the chase again when Approved For Release J 0U5/6W'f : I9k-RDg~ 9 03061 A000400030007-9 a g 17 : CI RDQ78-03061A000400030007-9 they come out. ~I~~tvPOit~o .s mt es out an to `escort" the The Russians lag well behind the' ships keeps watch off U.S. Polaris sub- Russians as they fly over the U.S. task U.S. in submarine warfare. One reason marine bases at such places as Holy force. is that their ships are slower (about 25 Loch in Scotland, Rota in Spain and Search for Scars. The most danger- knots submerged), make more noise and Charleston, S.C. Other snoopers sit off ous game of all takes place beneath the cannot dive so deeply as U.S. subs,' Seattle, New England, and. Cape Ken- seas. For the U.S., the game involves and are thus easier to detect. But the So- - nedy, where the Soviets monitor the chiefly' the detection and tracking down viers are continually trying to improve. U.S. space shots. of Soviet subs. For the Russians, it is They are using their big hydrographic Soviet behavior at sea is becoming in- largely a matter of attempting to elude fleet to learn more about the sea en- creasingly cocky. From the Mediter- the American searchers. vironment and to find hiding places in ratiean to . the Sea of Japan. Soviet As they pass through the ocean the canyons of the ocean for future gen- destroyers and trawlers boldly maneuver depths, submarines invariably give off erations of deep-diving submarines. The into the midst of formations of U.S, scars"-traces of heat and turbulence U.S. Navy tries to keep up with even ships. Frequently, the intruders suddenly caused by the ship's passage through the most minor changes in the develop- cut across the how of an American the waters. The U.S. employs ultra- ment and deployment of Soviet subs. ship to test the skill and technique of sensitive infra-red devices in satellites One reason that Pueblo was cruising the helmsmen, The Russians also try to and planes to look down into the oceans off Wonsan was to check on a report ruin maneuvers between the U.S. and and detect the scars. Submarines also that, because of ice in Vladivostok, the its allies. III the Sea of Japan last.year. give off what Navymen call "an elec- Soviets had temporarily switched their Soviet warships scraped the U.S. de- tronic signature" that, like a human Pacific sub base to Wonsan and the stroycr Walk fin twi i i t i i b i er gerpr ce n , n an o v s un ous at- que. The signature is nearby island of Mayang-Do. The U.S. tempt to break up a joint antisub ex- the s.im total of the sub's sounds-the is also equipping its nuclear submarines ercise between U.S. and Japanese fleets, beat of its screw, thump of its pumps, with silent pumps and heat-dispersal sys- Seafaring nations for centuries have alp rustle of its wake. To detect those sig- tems so that the Soviets will not be lowed ships to proceed peacefully on natures, the U.S. uses a variety of acute able to use infra-red detection systems the high seas," says Vice Admiral Wil- listening devices, including two net- to locate the scars of American subs. liam I. Martin. commander of the U.S. works of sonar cables, called Caesar Soviet Sixth Fleet. One reason the Sixth Fleet. "This is quite new-to and Sosus, that are placed in the ocean Soviets watch the U.S. Navy so close- barge in on a formation." depths in areas frequented by Soviet ly is that they learn so much from it Carrier Y. Bomber. Because the Rus- subs. U.S. planes, destroyers and hunt- As perceptive students of naval war- sians consider the U.S.'s seaborne air- er-killer subs also use sonar devices to fare, Gorshkov and his admirals were power to be a major threat in case of trace Soviet subs. Through such Sys- impressed with the performance of the all-out war, one of their favorite tricks tems, the U.S. Navy is able to track U.S. Navy in World War II. When is to harass and probe U.S. carriers. So- Soviet subs with uncanny accuracy they began to build their own navy, viet destroyers and trawlers try to break' throughout most of the world's waters. they consciously patterned much of it a carrier's screen of protective smaller Sub Hunting. A sonar operator needs on the successful American model. So- ships in order to force the flattop to a highly trained ear to sort out the viet admirals even refer to their new change course while launching or land- sounds of the sea. Apart from a sub's Mediterranean flotilla as "our Sixth ing aircraft and thus maybe dump a noises, the sea is full of other sounds, Fleet." few planes into the sea. In the air, bomb- a syncopated symphony of crackling The Soviets have a long way to go be- ers of the Soviet navy's 750-plane land- sh i l ki , r mp, c uc ng sea robins and grunt- fore they catch up with their American based air force continually test to see ing whales; there is even the engine- teachers. They lag far behind in per- how close they can approach U.S. car- like throb of an unknown sea animal haps the most important aspect of all: riers before they are detected by radar that Navymen call the "130-r.p.h. fish." combat experience. Many Western ex- and intercepted by the carrier's own Once the various sounds have been sort- perts refuse to rate the Soviet navy as planes. Their aim is to avoid being ed out, the American sub hunters flash a truly efficient seapower until its untest- caught until they have got within 100 the details of the sub's signature to a ed officers have been called upon to miles of the carrier. Reason: from that Navy base in the U.S., where a com- handle their complicated modern weap- range,. the Russians would have a good puter has memorized the signatures of onry under combat conditions. Nor have chance ofsti losscoring before kwith ttheir could air- the vast majority of the Soviet subma- the Russians yet mastered the sophis- to-ship files b shoot down thud rives. Within seconds, the computer ticated technique of refueling and rc- ble to flashes back the name and description plenishing their ships while under way, bombers. of the sub. The U.S. Navy has become increa%- On some occasions, the U.S. hunters great as U.S. t amounts sdo. of tiThus, me me they spend an- ingly watchful and wary of the Soviet pounce on the Soviet sub in what the where tar- navy. keep track of its movements, where they would be easy t- Y~ , Navy euphemistically calls "informal gets in time of war. Because their navy U.S. reconnaissance planes overfly So- exercises." The object of the chase is has no large attack carriers, Soviet war- viet warships at sea at least once daily to give the Soviet submarines a healthy ships lack air coverage when they ven- and sometimes more often in areas near respect for the capabilities of the U.S. ture away from their own shores, even the U.S. coasts and Viet Nam. U.S. Navy's ASW (Antisubmarine Warfare) though Gorshkov himself has conceded planners lt ship p plot the the Pacific course on of every forces. In a duel reminiscent of the fic- that no fleet can fight successfully on vi he a huge map tional shoot-out in The Bedford In- the high seas without air protection. the war room of the headquarters oom Pacific cident, a U.S. destroyer locks on the American Response. Such drawbacks Fleet e dqin tahe U. Hawaii; the enemy boat and tracks his every move. are unlikely to deter the Soviet Union Atlantic Mediterranean of fleets Red keep Sometimes, to impress on the Soviets from placing increasing emphasis on grids on the location the futility of their plight, an American seapower. Moscow not only relishes the ships. As a precautionary measure, U.S. skipper will play The Volga Boatmen new global reach that Admiral Gorsh- carriers keep a so-called Air Cap of over and over again on his' destroyer's kov's navy has finally brought it, but it three or four fighters in the air at all underwater sound system until the ears times whenever they sail within range of also views a an ideal opportunity the of Soviet navy bombers. The Air Cap the Russian sonar operator are chance to capitalize on the U.S.'s preoc- of by the noise and, the Soviet c u ati n wt V' am and Britain's mission is to ins%Wpo & P~ V gteWds 8tMt4QU:tcC4*r4 P78-0306AAQO WA i East of Suez. CPYRGHT Approved Fob CPYRGHT Release 2005/08/17: CIA-RDP78 seeking to impose its own presence where Western influence is diminishing. The West, and especially ti U.S., has no alternative but to accept he So- viet challenge on the seas, beta ise the welfare of the U.S.-and of the entire free world-is so solidly tied to the sea and to the untrammeled flow of trade. It would be a historic error if a nation as powerful as the U.S. allowed a cri- sis elsewhere, no matter how trouble- some, to distract it from its determi- nation to retain the mastery of the sea that Admiral Gorshkov is so anxious to wrest from it. demand is difficult to pin down J The bustling affluence and coin placent calm apparent from the; "traffic jams and crowded cafes of Cairo can be misleading;" and with the Suez Canal: blocked, there is grave hard= ship in places like Port Said, and among the many thousands, of people evacuated from Suezi and Ismalia. Still, Egypt's economic situa- tion is a lot stronger than it was a year ago. This is largely: thanks to the #100 million` annual subsidy which Kuwait,` SUNDAY TRIES, London 10 Jove;nber 1968 Anthony Nutting reports on prospects for Arab-Israeli peace after _t'aIKS with- 'resident Nasse Russia CPYRGHT Libya and Saudi Arabia are paying to make good the loss! ecause we want peace an of Canal revenues. Also, ifa because continuation of the the projected oil pipe-line from? } war will bring only destruction the Gulf of Suez to Alexandria; to both sides. But Israel's materialises, Egypt may expect' interpretation of the resolution to draw revenue in five or six" does not admit of complete years' time from the passage: withdrawal from occupied Arab of up to 200 million tons of oil" territories; and without this a year. Cotton prices have there can be no settlement." been high and new markets aref Both the President and his opening up overseas. Thanks closest advisers whom I saw in to the Aswan High Dam, rice; Cairo were at pains to pro- exports have boomed from, claim their support for the U N 60,000 tons in 1966 to an r; intermediary, Dr Barring, to estimated 1,000,000 tons for whom they had confirmed the current year. So, as long' Egypt's readiness to concede as the Arab subsidy continues all that the UN resolution and the Soviet Bloc goes on', demanded and had proposed a uying and delivering the; time-table for carrying out its oods, Egypt, should be able. provisions so that neither side o stand a long siege. could at any stage be at a dis- The Army and Air Force" advantage vis-a-vis its adver- Lave been completely re-. sary but as the President's: c uipped and, after a purge, oreign affairs adviser Mah' r some 200 senior officers, re-- -hold I 1 0 19 ,the balai"Otce ,M1 ^ "I WANT a settlement with Israel, not a surrender; and so far Israel' has only offered us 4erms of stirrender." In these words, President N a s s e r. expressed ti me last weeks Egyptian th 'king about peace, prospects in'ie Middle. East. " We ' acceplti*'last November's U N . resolution," A rom#F oud Fawzi, told me, " the ' rganised. About two-thirds of I emon of 'concessions has been is strength-100,000 men-.. queezed dry "; and today are dug in along the Canal's'' obody in Cairo gives Dr. est bank, with many hun-( arring more than an outside reds of . gun emplacements Nance of accomplishing any-' nd shelters for fighter air-, hing. They despair of Ameri raft well concealed and with an pressure bringing Israel to ussian advisers directing the'. ithdraw, saying that if King efences. Neutral military ussein cannot so persuade his, xperts believe not only that' riends in Washington, nobody' srael could scarcely repeat last. Ise can. And, failing an ear's surprise attack on these? sraeli withdrawal, any settle efences but' that the balance; ent would be made under f strength on the Canal front uress and would mean for any e today with Egypt, always rab ruler who accepted it rovided she remains on the olitical, if not physical, efensive. uicide. The question, therefore, isj Therefore Egypt's leaders tally w far the Egyptians can go re resigned to the inevitability their efforts to force thel emy out of Sinai by makings if a " long-haul " strategy of e intolerable for the numer-x reventive defence to re-create weaker Israeli army oni balance of military power in Me Canal's cast bank. Thea heir favour, as the only way ctober 26 attack on Israeli o induce Israel to retire from issue sites threatening thea ccupled territory:; In 'the uez refinery clearly shows? resident's ? own words,. " we at the Egyptian artillery can ust be patient and prepare use the Israelis more hurt urselves for a long struggle.'.' an vice-versa, a n d t h a t How well equipped, Egypt is gyptian commandos can cross' o withstand the pressures, tie Canal' with relative im-i olitical and economic,. :'which unity to harass Israeli com r Release 2005/0 A7' :JO A-1R9 7"$ ' 1 g p 7ii9 the Mitla Pass. CPYRGH 13061A`600 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 Russia's naval presence in" to Egypt---about a score of Rgvpttan waters also acts as a: T.U.16 bombers are spread ,deterrent to Israeli reprisals; between Iraq, Sudan, Egypt and a g a i n s t Port Said and Algeria. The American Phan- Alexandria. But against this, toms deal with Israel may the recent Israeli commando change this: and Moscow will raid on the isolated Naga probably be asked for a match. Hamadi power station was an ing contribution, But Russia is equally clear warning that, if under no illusions about Egypt continues to exploit her Egypt's ability to conduct a war advantage on the Canal, Israel of liberation and Mr Brezhnev will strike at vital installations has clearly warned in the far behind the lines. And, strongest terms against launch- though I was assured that Ing a premature offensive and Aswan was well defended getting trapped again to Sinai. against aerial or commando In all these strategic and attack, it is doubtful that the political calculations, Egypt is newly-planned home guard will concerned primarily with the . be able to protect every Nile problem of clearing the Israeli barrage and power station invaders from her own terri- from similar reprisals. tory. Her leaders are very Ii' Israel can thus checkmate evidently disenchanted with Egypt's military advantage on some of their more belligerent, the Canal, what will happen though hitherto non-combatant, then? Egypt is in no position Arab allies; and their attitude to take the offensive. Yet to the Persian Gulf and South public opinion, in one of its Arabia is today that of the periodical bouts of euphoria, spectator rather than the could override the caution of partisan. This is not to say that the regime and the young President Nasser is contemplat- officers now in command might ing a separate peace. Egypt try to liberate Sinai by force remains the core of Arab and itestore the injured image resistance and cannot escape of the Army. With each recent that responsibility. But, as he Israeli strike, these young men candidly admitted to me, there have strained at the leash,' has been since last year a although the President seemed noticeable abdication from his coiiiident that neither the army former role as leader of the nor the public would force a Arab world, and the accents of Flash with the present leader- Arab spokesmanship which ship which offered them "the previously emanated from only real hope of ultimate Cairo have been perceptibly liberation." toned down. With no army left The key to this _problem lies after the war, he could hardly largely with the Russians, for speak for anyone outside whose help President Nasser Egypt, he said. But he was not frankly admitted his indebted-' dismayed. " Beforehand every- ness. Though normally claus- one was depending on us, as trophobic about getting over- the war in Yemen showed: now committed to any great Power everyone is depending upon bloc. he had had no alterna- himself and this is much tive but to let Russia plug the healthier." gaping holes in' Egypt's Nevertheless there is con- defences. cern in Egypt for the critical " only the Russians helped situation of King Hussein, us after the June war, with whose survival is not only emergency aid from wheat to essential to prevent Jordan fighter aircraft, while the collapsing into anarchy, but American;, were helping our also necessary for President enemy. And they have asked Nasser to continue to hold the nothing of us in return, except balance against the forces of out to Israel. Indeed, even if he wanted to, last week's clashes in Amman show that he could scarcely do so with the Palestine resistance move- ment based on his kingdom. For the Resistance is a new element, born in the failure of the Arab armies last year, and whose dedication and effective. ness commands approbation and attention in every Arab capital. Still Cairo wonders how long Jordan can feed her. self with no West Bank. But, anxiety for Jordan apart, Egypt is very much minding her own business these days. Her President is a lonely, embattled, though still resolute, figure who knows far better what he cannot do than what he can. Unable to make peace or war, he has little choice but to keep on leaning against the occupiers of his territory in the hope that such pressure may ultimately bend, if not break, their iron resist- ance to all concessions.; facilities for their navy to use extremism in the Arab world. I Port Said and Alexandria." Not For if Jordan were taken over a pound had Egypt paid for the by the Al Fatah the President re-equipment of her defence would find it more difficult forces or for the military to resist the demands of advisers whom Russia had sup- extremists to take the offen- plied at the President's insis- sive. Although Jordan also tence, But, he asserted, Russia receives generous help from wanted a peaceful solution and the oil-rich Arab states, her did not want to be involved economic plight inevitably in another conflagration. makes her the weak link in the ,'Russia has certainly been Arab chain. scrupulously careful to supply The King has reassured the ttha h wi hardly any en ive o Egyptians aasrove`~ 8r elease 2005/0 /1~! : 8IR- DP78-03061A000400030007-9 CURRENT H1 /ed For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 November 1968 Pointing out that the "old imperial principle of divide and rule" applies to Soviet policies in the Arab world, this article shows how "Russia stands to gain more by exploiting the weaknesses and the special circumstances of individ- ttal it rub states than by dealing with a stronger unified organism." Soviet Policy in the Middle East BY GEORGE LENCZOWSKI Professor of Political Scicnce, University of California at Berkeley B IOINNiNC IN 1955, the Soviet Union undertook an offensive of rapproche- ment wills the countries of the Middle mast. '['his ofrcnsivc was aimed primarily at he Arab stales, but it cncornpassc(l also such ion-Aral> countries as 'i'tirkey, Iran and fghanistan. Soviet progress in the North- rn 't'ier was, slower because 'I'nrkey and ran,.ruinclful of Russian aggressiveness in the rst postwar decade, were suspicious of Soviet i iotives and preferred to link themselves to is West through such multilateral instru- rents as the North Atlantic Treaty Organiza- t on (NA'T'O) and the Baghdad Pact (sub- w(luently CENTO). To contrast, Russia scored considerable s recesses in the Aral) world, espccia11y hc- t Veen 1955 and 1957. The Soviet-Egyptian . ?nis (Teal and the, Suez crisis marked high 41 ints in tine Soviet policy of building friend- ill with the Arabs. A decade later, the rah-Israeli war and tire resulting cornplica-' li ins in Arab-Westcr?rl relations provided an- o her opportunity for the Soviet Union to if crease its influence and stature in the ]\ iddlc last. This time its success was even n ore pronounced than it was during the Suez c Isis of 1956. While at that time the I. S.S.R. and the United States both ranged ti inselves against the combined Anglo- ] ench and Tsracli aggression, in 1967 Russia el Joyc(1 a monopoly of pro-Arch posUUr. In a more general sense, the decade of t1 w I'Itill's has been c?haraclcrirt'rl by intensive .S viet penetration of the Middle East in the p litical, economic and cultural sectors. This p netration has been aided by a number of; fa .tors, of which the following could be id utifed as most significant: Approved (a) putting its cintihasis on peaceful coexistence, Soviet policy avoided violence and threats; b) the Soviet l union displayed a marked will- ingncss to deal with the established Middle Eastern governments regardless of their hue, while at the same time dc-emphasizing its support for local Communist parties; (c) major carrots were made to identify Russia with Arab nationalist aspirations; the strug- gle against Zionism, imperialism and feudal- ism became standard catchwords of both the Aral) and Soviet political vocabularies; (d) Russia was willing and able to respond to the urgent quest of Middle East govern- ntents for speedy development irrespective of the political structure of the recipient countries; Socialist trends in sonic states, expressed in the expansion of the public sectors of na- liolral 1?re iii titrlt'V, were 1'0mini ice to closer links between Russia and the Middle Eastern "clients" inasmuch as they led to an en- larged volume of government-to-government transactions; the weakening of the United States alliance system (both NATO and CENTO) was- enhancing the Soviet opportunities of pene- tration; the diversion of the major American effort to the war in Vietnam weakened the rela- tive position of the United States in the Middle liasi, thereby slrenglhening Russia's inllnenrc; (h) a draniatic loss of United States influence in the Arab world on account of the Arab- Israeli war of June, 1967, worked to the direct advantage of the Soviet Union. In its policy of penetration, the U.S.S.R. was seconded by other countries of the Soviet bloc. Numerous aid-and-trade transactions and cultural cooperation agreements con- cluded between Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hun- gary, East (:errnany, Rumania and Bulgaria, on the one lnurd, and the countries of the Middle East, on the other, greatly added to the overall cumulative We t For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-0306 fA000400030007-9 CHARMff F8f ease 2005/08/17 SOVIET PENETRATION In spite of the intensity of the Soviet pene- tration, none of the Soviet Union's Middle Eastern partners was ever linked to it by an alliance. From the formal point of view, all Soviet transactions were conducted with gov- ernments which were either neutralist (most of the Arab states and Afghanistan) or allied to the West ('Ftir?key and Iran). However, behind the facade of formal neutralism, cer- 'tain Arab countries, most notably the United Arab Republic, were in fact rather closely aligned with the Soviet Union on most major. ,issues of foreign policy. An attempt to mca-, sure the intensity of Soviet penetration might, therefore, lead to the following tentative cate- rization in a descending order from high to Pow: 1. political ties and arms aid (the U.A.R., Syria, Iraq, Algeria, Yemen) ; 2. political tics and economic assistance (the U.A.R., Syria, Iraq, Algeria, Yemen); 3. economic assistance hit no political tics (Iran, Afghanistan, Turkey) ; 4. arms aid but no political ties (Iran, Sudan). Some clarification of the terms used here may be in order. "Economic assistance" em- braces a wide spectrum of transactions which may include cash credits, long-range loans at a low interest rate, direct Soviet participation in major construction projects and barter agreements. Soviet preference has generally been to assist, through direct participation, in major---sometimes inonumental-works, such as big river dams, steel plants and similar basic infrastructural ventures. But occasion- ally Russia would also undertake a major consumption project provided it had a proper publicity value (such as paving streets in Kabul). Generally, Soviet economic as- sistance has tended to be directed toward in- dustrial objectives, but agriculture has not been altogether neglected, as evidenced by Soviet aid in erecting silos in Iran and regu- lating certain rivets. Tit recent years, i.e., beginning with the mid-1960's, Russia began modest expansion in the oil sector by conclud- ing exploration or pipeline construction con- tracts with such countries as Iran, Syria and Iraq. T'he term "arms aid" similarly embraces a variety of transactions ranging from barter deals (arms for cotton in Egypt), through other forms of payment to outright grants. Approved CIA-RDP78-03061 A000400030007-9 Both the economic assistance and the arms aid have involved the participation of Soviet experts-civil and military. Scant informa- tion about the activities of these technicians and officers seems to indicate that their con- tacts with local populations are restricted to the transaction of essential business with their opposite numbers; that there is little or no socializing; and that they have not been caught engaging in any obvious propaganda or indoctrination activity. In fact, it would appear that the relative isolation of these Soviet-imported communities (experts are sometimes accompanied by their families) has been imposed upon them by Soviet authorities out of fear of having them "con- taminated" by the "bourgeois" ways and thinking still prevalent even among the So- cialist bureaucrats of certain recipient coun- tries. On the military side, "arms aid" should also be understood to encompass the training of Middle Eastern, particularly Arab, officers in the use of more sophisticated weaponry in Russia or the Soviet satellite states. The most pronounced type of military assistance is in the form of Soviet airplanes and pilots, units of the Soviet navy, or crews handling missile sites in the recipient countries. Thus far, there has been no firm evidence of the Rus- sians or satellite nationals having shared in actual military operations, in spite of the rumors about the activity of Soviet pilots in the civil war in Yemen. Soviet "cultural" penetration may be re- garded almost as a misnomer because there has really been no significant export of Soviet proletarian culture to the countries of the Middle East. What little activity there is has usually taken two forms: it has consisted either ill sponsoring occasional lectures, con- certs and art exhibits by Soviet scholars and artists (with fairly negligible impact on the target t;roiips in the Middle East), or in niak- ing scholarships available for Middle Eastern students in Russia and the Soviet bloc coun- tries. Regardless of country or social class, Arabs, Iranians and Turks still prefer United States or European films, books and illus- trated magazines (if admitted by local cen- sorship). By the same token, young girls in those countries follow "decadent" patterns of miniskirts, bikinis, lipstick and discotheque addiction rather than the models set by squat, hard working and. drably dressed Soviet women. In ('OA Rll",o ll hit ,]9eJgi* Z9Q5196117 and East European institutions of higher learning make an impact upon the education particularly technical-of substantial num- bers of young men, especially from Arab. countries. ']'here is no conclusive evidence that such educational experience in the East- ern bloc has resulted in massive conversions to Communist ideology. In fact, there is some evidence of the opposite result. For example, Iraqi students studying engineering in Odessa protested to the Iraqi embassy in Moscow against the attempt to introduce into their curriculum a course on the history of the Communist party of the Soviet Union as irrelevant to their academic objectives and as a possible device of indoctrination. As a result, Soviet authorities abandoned the idea. It would be obviously improper to disre- gard the presence of the local Communist parties in the Arab countries and in Iran. Generally outlawed, they tend to operate in secrecy but in some cases, notably in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon, they have (depending on the period and the circumstances) operated almost openly. However, their existence antedates the intensive Soviet policy of pene- tration and their fortunes arc not invariably linked with the success of Russian dealings with the established governments. In fact, sometimes closer government-to-government relations have had an adverse effect on the growth of the local Communist movements. Perhaps the closest point to real ideological penetration has occurred when the ruling parties of Russia and Syria (i.e. the C.P.S.U. and the Ra'ath) have organized mutual visits of their representative groups to discuss their ideological and organizational problems. It is not unlikely that in a dialogue of this sort the discovered similarity of approaches of the two parties on a number of issues might result in a greater tolerance toward communism on the part of the Ra'ath, although again firm evidence on this matter is lacking. U.S.S.R. AND TURKEY AND IRAN Between 1966 and 1968, relations between the Soviet Union and Turkey and Iran showed a marked improvement. Not only were previous threats and hostile propaganda campaigns abandoned, but many positive steps were taken. While a detente and coop- eration were characteristic of the new Soviet policy toward both southern neighbors, major successes could. be registered particularly in Gl ePZ8ZkWQ61"01-AQOI DAQdnf~re- hensive Soviet-Iranian agreement provided for Soviet assistance in erecting a steel plant and a metallurgical complex in the vicinity of Isfahan, a provincial capital located in the center of Iran, remote from the traditional sphere of Russian influence in the north. The agreement also pledged Soviet assistance in the construction of grain elevators through. out Iran, joint regulation of the border rivers of Aras and Atrak, and aid in a number of other industrial projects. Payment for the steel plant was to be effected by supplies of natural gas from Iran's southern oil fields, which in turn would be conveyed to the So- viet Union's Caucasian border by a pipeline to be constructed partly by Tran and partly by the Soviet Union. Hand-in-hand with this basic agreement went complementary deals concluded with Rumania (Iranian oil for a $131-million trac- tor factory to be built in Tabriz), Czecho- slovakia (a $100-million generator factory to be constructed by Skoda works), and other East European countries, generally providing for barter-type transactions. Furthermore, for the first time since the abortive attempt in 1916, the Soviet Union made its entry into the Iranian oil sector. On April 15, 1967, the National Iranian Oil Company and the U.S.S.R. reached an agreement giving the Soviet Union the right to explore and drill for oil in certain areas outside the territory exploited by the Western-owned consortium. An interesting innovation in Soviet-Iranian relations was the conclusion, on February 9, 1967, of an arms agreement worth $110 mil- lion. Russia undertook to provide armored troop carriers, trucks and anti-aircraft guns in exchange for light goods. This was the first tithe that a country linked to a Western de- fense system became a recipient of Soviet military equipment. This agreement was symbolic of gradual Iranian emancipation from the United States-sponsored system of political and military guarantees. It was based on the conviction of Tran's ruling group that strict tics with the West should be re- laxed inasmuch as the Soviet Union ceased to present an immediate threat to Iran. This view of the Soviet Union stemmed from the Iranian evaluation of Soviet internal changes since Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev, and Soviet preoccupation with China. Thus, Iranian policy underwent is modification: it began stressing the economic aspects of Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 11 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 CENTO while playing down the military, without, however, repudiating the alliance in any formal way. This new mood in Soviet- Iranian relations was enhanced by Soviet Premier Alexci Kosygin's visit to Iran in April, 1968, to be followed by the state visit of the Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi to the Soviet Union in September. .Similarly, Turkish-Soviet relations took a friendlier turn after 1966, partly because Turkish appraisal of the Soviet reality and motives coincided with the Iranian and partly as a reaction to the much-criticized American neutrality in the Turkish-Greek conflict over Cyprus. Kosvgin's visit to Ankara in Decem- ber, 1966, the signing of border settlement protocols and economic cooperation agree- ments, and the return visit of Turkish Pre- mier Suleiman Demirel in Russia in Septem- ber. 1967, marked the steps in the normaliza- tion of Turkish-Soviet relations. Commenting on his visit to Moscow upon his return, De- olirel stated that "the traces of hostility" in their mutual relations have been eliminated. Not unlike Iran, Turkey maintained het alli- ance ties with the West through NATO, CENTO, and the bilateral security agree- ment with the United States. However, the presence of a sizable American military es- tablishnient on Turkish soil caused certain anti-American manifestations in the summer of 1968, thlrs further strengthening the linger- ing neutralist trends to Russia's implicit ad- vantage. SOVIET RELATIONS WITH THE ARAB WORLD with the Arabs have to steadfastly refusing to open diplomatic rela- tions with Moscow despite the latter's infor- inal solicitations, Soviet trnnpartitm4 viitit fhw "tlrmtral" Aral) camp (in terms of inter-Arab align- merits) have varied from trade relations with Lebanon, through cultural relations with the guided democracy of Tunisia '(the June 22, 1967, agreeineut), to arms aid to Sudan (the September; 1967, negotiations in Khartoum). The main thrust of Soviet endeavors, how- ever, has been directed toward the cementing of political friendship with the Arab military dictatorships born of coups and revolutions. l".gypt has been the principal target since the 1955 so-called Czeclloslovak-Egyptian arms deal (later publicly acknowledged to repre- sent a Soviet-Egyptian agreement) and U.A.R. President Carnal Abdel Nasser's at- tack against the 11'c-stern-sponsored Baghdad Pact. Soviet diplomatic: support to Cairo during the Suez crisis coupled with the under- taking to build the high Aswan ])am consti- tuted the highlights of Russia's politico-eco- nowic, offensive. Front that time oil, Soviet ties with Egypt, through arms supplies, barter deals and support of various development projects, have been steadily maintained and strengthened. Because of the firm grip of Nasser's govermncnt on the. domestic situa- tion, this close friendship frith Russia and the Soviet bloc did not result in the growth of communism in Egypt. But the prestige ac- cruing to the Soviet Union through its deal- ings with a. leading Arab nationalist country did have an eneoura,e,ing effect on the growth and influence of (anlnlunist movements in other countries of the revolutionary camp, especially Syria and Iraq and, to some extent, in Jordan as well. Egypt's ambitious development programs together with her militant Pa.n-Arab policy and experimentation with socialism produced serious economic strains and an unceasing need for foreign economic assistance. Al- though Egypt: (later the U.A.R.) did not limit her search for aid and credits to the Soviet bloc and availed herself both of United States surplus food assistance and West Euro- pean credits, her main provider was the U.S.S.R. This ire turn created a degree of Jgyptian dependence on the Soviet Union--- economic, technical, nlilita,ry and ultimately political-which to a lark extent contra- dicted Nasser's claim of ha'ing achieved- the full emancipation of his corintr front fo i e't some extent been conditioned by the nature of the Arab political systems. Thus, invari- ably, Russia would maintain closer and more friendly relations with the states of the Arab revolutionary camp (the U.A.R., Syria, Iraq, Algeria, Republican Yemen, and more re- cently the People's Republic of South Ye- men) than with the right-wing monarchies or such "neutrals" as Lebanon, Tunisia and Sudan. It should be pointed out, however, that the political conservatism or monarchical structure of certain Arab states have not, per se, deterred the Soviet Union from maintain- ing or seeking to maintain diplomatic and economic relations with them.. The Soviet Union has embassies in Jordan, Kuwait, .Libya and Morocco. The Kingdom, of Saudi Arabia has thus far been the only Arab state. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03001A0004, 003000't 9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 forming a new Mediterranean command, to be called Maritime Air Forces, Medi- terranean, or MAIRAIRMED. It is based at Naples and will provide an added watch over the Mediterranean. The decision to set up this new command was made in June at the NATO ministerial meeting in Iceland, and it was acti- vated on 21 November, when a base at Naples was opened. This new element is made up of American, British and Italian forces, with Greek and Turkish forces scheduled to join it later. Continued Soviet penetration in the Middle East The Soviet drive into the Mediterranean follows years of Soviet pene- tration, through military and economic aid, into the Arab world. Since the Arab-Israeli war the Soviets have used the disastrous state of the Arab armies and air forces as leverage to increase Arab dependence on the Soviet Union. They have replaced an estimated eighty percent of all equipment lost by the Arabs in the war, and in addition have given Egypt, Syria and Algeria about forty patrol boats which carry the Styx missile, of the type that sank the Israeli destroyer Elath off Port Said in October 1967. They have doubled the number of military advisers in Egypt to at least 2,000 and have sent large training missions to Algeria, Iraq, Syria and Yemen. In addition to its "hard-core" clients, the UAR, Syria and Iraq, with each of whom it has recently concluded new military aid agreements, the So- viet Union has made military and economic deals with Iran, Sudan and both the Yemen Arab Republic and the People's Republic of South Yemen; it has also made progress in expanding its influence in the oil-rich nation of Kuwait. In all, Soviet teams are working on an estimated 100 or more projects throughout the area, including a dam on the Euphrates that will supply electricity to much of Syria, making oil surveys in Egypt, and constructing a railroad in Iraq, a steel plant in Algeria and a machine-tool plant in Iran. Accompanying the military and economic penetration is the Soviet cultural drive, with Soviet dance groups and circus troupes touring major Arab cities, local cinemas and television networks featuring Soviet films, universities offering Russian language courses and local bookstores filled with Soviet books and periodicals translated into Arabic. 5 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 AlpproveidbFor Reel ~y ,04~5/Aq/17 ; woulc a or 1 control, t n that Egypt freed herself politically from the remnants of British tutelage to fall under an increasing Soviet influence. This influence was particularly enhanced as a result of the June, 1967, war. The de- struction of the U.A.R. army, together with its equipment and most of its airplanes, opened the floodgate to massive Soviet arms supplies. Egypt not only became a target for Soviet penetration but began playing an ever-increasing role as a transit route and staging point for Soviet ventures in Yemen, South Arabia and Africa. While thus reap- ing political benefits from the crisis of 1967, the Soviet Union suffered also the incon- venience of being denied (along with other nations) the use of the Suez Canal. In purely strategic terms due to the war in Vietnam, the continuous passage through the canal would probably benefit the Soviet Union more than the United States and its Western allies. Substantial Soviet effort was also exerted in Syria after 1957 and in Iraq after the'revo- lution of 1958. In both cases, Russia under- took to supply quantities of arms and to assist in a variety of development projects. Eco- i nomic and technical penetration of Syria by j the Soviet bloc countries was especially noticeable. An oil refinery at IIoms was con- structed by a Czechoslovak firm in the late 1950's, while in 1967 Russia undertook to' assist in the development of Syrian oilfields in the Jezira province (Karachuk and Rum- aylan). Even more important was the agree- ment reached on December 27, 1967, whereby the Soviet Union undertook to supervise the construction of the Euphrates Dam. In con- trast to Egypt, this cordiality in Soviet-Syrian relations was partly reflected in the more 1 favorable treatment accorded to Syria's do- mestic Communists. In 1967, Syria's leading Communist, Khalcd Bakdash, was not only allowed to return from exile in the Soviet Union but also to make public statements and grant press interviews. By the same token, there were two members of Syria's cabinet in 1967 who were regarded as members of- or closely affiliated with-Syria's Communist party. A brief visit to Damascus paid in ,,July, 1967, by Soviet President N. V. Pod- 1. gorny was indicative of the Soviet desire to take full advantage of Syria's pro-Soviet and anti-American stood in tlic wake of the Arab- Israeli war. Ch~kR f?7, e9i cQt liO(lf('Rm 9taWMQ7 cl a similar pattern. Assisted by its European satellites, the Soviet Union concluded with Iraq a number of economic, cultural and arms aid agreements, including an oil agree-; tncnt of 1)cccntbcr, 1967. In spite of these, similarities, however, Iraqi-Soviet relations; j differed in five important respects from the. Soviet-Syrian pattern: (a) the excesses committed by the overconfident Iraqi Communist party during the era of Abdul lvn?im Kassnn in 1959 alienated many hitherto vacillating elements from communism and, implicitly, from Moscow; (b) the Soviet Union did not undertake in Iraq a protect of a magnitude comparable to the Aswan or Euphrates Dams; (c) Iraq's cconomy continued to have a close relationship to the West through the reve- nues derived from the operations of the Western-owned Iraq Petroleum Company; (d) the Kurdish problem in the north of Iraq, with an ever-present possibility of interfer- ence by outside powers (including Russia) added another note of caution to Iraqi-So- viet relations; the Damascus maverick regime of left-wing Ita'ath (since Fc)ruary, 1966) has effectively isolated Syria fronm the West and from the j Aral) commnnnity of nations, thus inevitably drawing the. country toward close ties with the Soviet bloc; except for a period of Kas- situ's regime (1958-1959) no such isola- tion has occurred in Iraq's relationship with the non-Communist and Arab nations. Soviet relations with Algeria and Re ipublican Yemen followed the lines broadly' 1Iraced in Egypl, Syria and Iraq. The same political vocabulary of common struggle against imperialism, Zionism and reaction was used, and similar offers of economic and arms aid were made and accepted. It is doubtful whether the Soviet Union could ever count on a position of near-monopoly of influence in Algeria as it did in Egypt and, Syria because of Algeria's close economic in- volvcinent with France. As for Yemen,' Soviet penetration was intensified by the withdrawal of U.A.R. troops from Yemeni territory following the debacle in the June it war in Sinai and the subsequent Saudi-Egyp-; t.ian agreement (at the end of August, 1967). i Soviet equipment and military advisers began increasingly to fill the gal) left by the U.A.R.' evacuation; their presence in Yemen has probably been a major factor in preventing the collapse of the Republican regime under a renewed tribal-royalist offensive. The Arab revolutionary camp has been Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 13 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 ule"tttted with the slogans of Arab unity. Aware of the emotional impact of such slo- "ans upon the Arab masses, the Soviet Union has generally paid lip service to the idea of Arah unity. Thus, in November, 1966, when Syria and the U.A.R. concluded a military cooperation pact, Soviet official comments spoke favorably of the "unity of progressive forces" in the Arab world. In reality, it is doubtful whether the U.S.S.R. really desired Arab unity. In fact, it gave indications of opposing it. In February, 1958, when Syria's last parliament voted for union with Egypt, the only Communist deputy, Khalcd Balcdash, cast a dissenting vote, went into hiding, and eventually appeared in Moscow to remain in exile until 1967. There is no reason to think that the old imperial principle of divide and rule does not apply to Soviet policies in the Arab world as well. Profiting from the na- tural tendency toward Arab revolutionary polycentrism, the U.S.S.R. stands to gain more by exploiting the weaknesses and the special circumstances of individual Arab states than by dealing with a stronger unified organism. RUSSIA AND THE ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT 'File essentials of the Arab-Israeli relation- ship have favored the Soviet position from the outset. In November, 1947, the Soviet Union cast its vote in the United Nations for the partition of Palestine, because the existence of a Jewish state in the midst of a hostile Arab world would inevitably provide a con- stant irritant in Arab-Western relations. The Soviet policy was not limited to voting in favor of the creation of Israel; it materially contributed to the entrenchment of Israel's independence by providing her--through clandestine channels-with arms during her war with the Arabs in 1948. BBy tiie same token, the U.S.S.R. was one of the, first major Powers to extend recognition to Israel within hours of the proclamation of her independ- e n ce. Assured that Israel was there to stay, the Soviet Union promptly aligned itself on the side of the Arabs, invariably supporting Arab nationalist aspirations, but never formally en- dorsing repeated Arab calls for the annihila- tion of the state of Israel. The Soviet Union played a significant role in the Arab-Israeli war of 1967. In the first ,place, it may, be asserted that it had ma- Approved terialiv contributed to the mrtbrrak of the cf,nllic't in two, yYil s; (a) by lrea-illy arming I he U.A.R. and Syria and thus assisting in the growth of exaggerated self-confidence of the military rulers in Cairo and in I)antascus; (b) by warning Syria of an impending Israeli invasion on the eve of the war, and thus setting in motion a politico-military chain reaction leading to U.A.R. President Nasser's expulsion of the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEP) from the U.A.R.'s territory. Once the war broke out, Soviet support to the Arab states was limited to verbal attacks against Israel. Soviet political leadership clearly resolved to avoid direct involvement and a possibility of armed confrontation with the United States; neither Nasser nor Israeli I'riruc Minister Levi Eshkol would be per- ruitted to choose for the Soviet Union the time and place of a third world war. How- ever, the Russians did their utniost to give verbal support to the Arabs. In the U.N. de- hales, They were at one with tine Arab delega- Iinns in ignoring the elements of provocation supplied by Nasser's removal of UNEF from Sinai and by his announced blockade of the Gulf of Aqaba. In fact, they made massive use of the U.N. deliberations to give maxi- tnum publicity to their pro-Arab stand and to contrast it with the timid and vacillating policies of the United States. To give all even greater effect to this strategy, Premier, Kosygin appeared personally in the United Nations, while, sirnuitaneonsly, President Podgorny paid visits to Cairo, Damascus and Baghdad. Personal involvement in this matter of the highest Soviet office-holders testified to the importance attached to the Middle East in Soviet global strategy. American press comments on Soviet poli- cies at that time inclined toward oversimpli- fied optimism by dwelling on two facts: (a) that the Soviet Union's prestige had suffered because its arms supplied to the Arabs proved of no avail in the contest with the Israelis; (b) that it suffered a political defeat by having its strongly pro-Arab motion rejected by the U.N. General Assembly. In the light of subsequent developments, these opinions appear unwarranted. Soviet proposals in the U.N. were made not for the purpose of being accepted by the majority (which the Soviet delegation knew was unrealistic), but with an eye to the maximum publicity advantage to be derived from their oncisided tenor. As for the defeat of Soviet arms it was not th , e For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A0004Q0030007-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 arms but the Egyptians and Syrians using them who were defeated. This was not inconsistent with long-range Soviet policy objectives in the region. It created among the Arabs a sense of deep frustration coupled with a sense of alienation from the United States and invariably drove many of them into the proffered Soviet ent- brace. Furthermore, Russia immediately offered to-and did-replace most of the de- stroyed weapons, equipment and planes with new ones. At the same time, the Arab gov- ernments were offered critical suggestions from Moscow on how to replace their officer corps by a new one whose social origins would assure a greater class harrvtony with ordinary soldiers. Another lesson to be learned by the Arabs was that to use the new weapons effec- tively, they would have to rely more com- pletely on expert Soviet advice. 111 suns, it may be asserted with good rea- son that on balance, despite the inconvenience .of the blockage of the Suez Canal, the Soviet Union emerged from the Arab-Israeli conflict with impressive gains. The defeated Arab states, resentful at what they regard as definite American partiality toward Israel, tend to turn to the U.S.S.R. as their one remaining friend among the big powers. Rupture of diplomatic relations, trade boycott, temporary oil embargoes, and the continuing refusal of Syria, Iraq and Egypt to grant to airlines of United States registry overflight rights has created a real vacuum in' American-Arab re- lations, into which the Soviet Union and its satellites are stepping ,with eagerness and success. The presence of 'a large Soviet naval contingent (45 ships) in the Mediterranean further adds to the weight of Soviet influence in the area. As these lines are written, the Soviet- Czechoslovak crisis seems to have reached its peak, with the Soviet invasion of Czechoslo- vakia and the capitulation of her political leaders. There is already evidence to indicate that this act of undisguised aggression has offered sobering thoughts to those Northern Tier states like Turkey and Iran which in recent years were inclined to accept Soviet protestations of peaceful coexistence at face value. The effect of the Soviet aggression on attitudes in the Arab world will be less clear. In the Arab non-revolutionary states it will confirm the already existing suspicion and fears of Soviet and Communist designs. But in the Arab revolutionary camp the immedi- ate effects may be negligible. Just because the Soviet Union is settling its accounts with a rather remote (from the Arab point of view) Czechoslovak Communist leadership, the basic pro-Soviet orientation of Cairo or t .onascus- dictated as it is l,v their own con kept of their tree national interest--is not likely to be upset. One indication that in- difference is to be expected may be found in the behavior of their controlled press during the crisis; relatively scant attention was paid to news about Soviet-Czechoslovak tensions and negotiations preceding the invasion and often the only sources of news and comments were ''ass (Soviet press agency) dispatches and articles reprinted from I'rnvda (the Soviet Communist party publication). While even the controlled newspapers could not avoid printing the actual news of the invasion, they gew,rally :winded editorializing in an obvious attcutpt to avoid nnttual embarrassment. George Lcnezowski is a frequent visitor to the Middle Last. His most recent trip to that area was made this past summer to Saudi Arabia. He is the author of The Middle East in World Affairs (3d ed.; Cornell Uni- versity Press, 1962). Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030007-9 15