VALIDITY STUDY OF NIE 22-57 THE OUTLOOK FOR FRANCE PUBLISHED 10 AUGUST 1957

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020039-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 6, 2006
• Sequence Number: 39
• Publication Date: April 24, 1959
• Content Type: NOTES

Approved For RM*6se 2006/01/1$FWP82M00097RIN110600020039-2
USIB-D-16, 2/11
24 April 1959
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE B OARD
Validity Study of 1IIIE 22-57
The Outlook for.-
France-Published 10 August 1957
The attached 'validity study of NIE 22-57 was noted by the
Intelligence Board on 21 April 1959 (USIB-M-35, item 10 c).
Executive Secretary
Approved For Release 2006/01/1 CIIA-IR C2P82M00097R000600020039-2
 Approved For Reittsse 2006/01/1W82M00097Rd600020039-2
USIB-D-16. 2/11
24 April 1959
Validity Study of NIE 22-57
The Outlook for France
Published 10 August 1957
1'. Although this 'estimate recognized that many French citizens
were dissatisfied with the Fourth Republic, it concluded: "we do
not think that there is any immediate prospect that the Republic will
be overthrown. The Communist do not now have the capability, and
the extreme right lacks leaders, followers and a program.
Government as usual will probably continue".
2. The basic reason for this erroneous conclusion was our
belief that the Armed Forces would not assist in an overthmow
of the Fourth Republic.
3. The error in the conclusion "that government as usual will
probably continue" was reflected in other judgments contained in
the estimate.
Approved For Release 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020039-2
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