NOTE TO MR. EDWARD BRASWALL FROM(Sanitized)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP81M00980R000800120024-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 29
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 2, 2005
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: July 20, 1976
• Content Type: NOTES

CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
VVas
Telephone:
July 7
Mr. Edward Braswell
Senate Armed Services Committee
You may be interested in the attached memoran
dum which surveys a number of disturbing Soviet
activities in the military and intelligence fields
and speculates about Soviet motivations. This is a
good example of the rather complex kinds of analys s
which the intelligence community performs.
The form, an Interagency Intelligence Memora -
durn, is slightly less formal than a National Intel-
ligence Estimate but, like an NIE, is coordinated
at the national level.
Please note the high sensitivity of a great deal
of the material in this paper. Please return each
251 night with the NID.
START
FORM 533 OBSOLETE
6-68 PREVIOUS
EDITIONS
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2 4 JUL 1 71
Attached are Journal items which
pulled together
e ermine what we had on passing
NIE's to Members of Congress. This
is a duplicate of what was passed
to THW (and LLM).
ME searched such files as the SASC,
SG Ops and Sen. Jackson's file
from 1975-1978.
u. ,fd Ear V 444 "
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Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel
Monday - 3 January 1977
Pag (-
6. LIAISON I called Bill Miller, Staff
Director, Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and told him that
I had talked to the Director regarding hearings we have scheduled for
him before he leaves, specifically the I mentioned
to Miller that the Director had asked when Theodore Sorensen's
nomination would be taken up and I had said I didn't think it would be
until after 20 January when the new President sends the appointment
to the Hill. I also said that I.had spoken with Tony Lapham, General
Counsel, about financial. holdings for Sorensen and assumed Miller would,
want the usual letter from the General Counsel regarding his holdings
and possible conflicts of interest. Miller said yes and that Sorensen
should be prepared with answers to the same questionnaire that Mr. Krioche
filled out. Mr. Miller said he wanted to make sure that the material
on was reviewed by today or tomorrow. I told
him I would make certai was on top of this. I said that
Mr. Knoche and I would like to get together with Miller on I
thing and that I would get back to him on a time for the meeting.
7.1 LIAISON Received a call from
Frank Sullivan, Staff Director, Senate Armed Services Committee, wh j,
wanted to alert us to the fact tha airman o in ten Inzs lVl s'~`~.s. }
may call the Director to ask him to come down and privately talk to him
about the estimate problem. He also asked for a copy of the transcript
of Mr. Bush's appearance before "Face the Natzon'_' on-2 January.
Sullivan later called to alert us to the possibility that the Committee
will want to have a preliminary world wrapup briefing by the Director eil
Wednesday, 5 January 1977. After checking with the Director's office,
I called Sullivan and told him that the Director had gone for the day but that
his schedule looked as though there might be a possibility he could app(--~r
but that I would want to check with the Director in the morning and be
back in touch. Sullivan agreed.
Support/DDI, has been advised.
Center for Policy
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Journal - Office of Legislative Cou n -3 el Friday 7 January 1977 page
10. LIAISON MAet with Mike Epstein,
William D. at away's (D., Maine) designee on the Senate Select Cori riittee
on Intelligence, and provided him with a listing of Agency office buildr!gs
We discussed the activities that went on at each and Epstein requester more
detail on those functions performed at Headquarters. I told hire I wot )t1
get back in touch with him.
11. I ADMINISTRATIVE DELIVERIES Delivered
I .to Mark Gi ens ein, Senate Select Committee on Intelligence staff, a cc>,iy of
er his request.
12. 1 .1 LIAISON Clark McFadden, Counsel.
Senate Armed Services Committees called and said that Chairman Jorr:
Stennis (D., Miss. )- yeas in receipt of a letter from Senator Henry M.
Jackson (D., Wash.) requesting NIE 11,'3/8 by Monday morning along ,x,jth
the Pipes report. The Committee will be. meeting with General George
Brown, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Secretary of State-designate Vance and
Mr. Duncan, Deputy Secretary of State-designate next week and the
Senator has asked that these materials be made available in the Cnmrnif tee
room during these meetings. I told McFadden that I could foresee sor u
problems with this request but that I would talk with the Director and 1,,,
back in touch with him.
13. BRIEFING Advised Bill Ashworth,
Senate Foreign e ations Committee staff, that we would have to change:
the hearing scheduled before their Committee on 13 January because of
the Director's -unavailability. Of the alternatives available, the mc,rnirrf-
of the 18th would be acceptable to the Committee but it would interfere
with a business meeting of the full Committee and the 17th in the a. m.
would be preferable. (I told him I would get back to him on Monday with
a firm time and date. )
14. LIAISON Guy McConnell, on the staff of
the Subcommittee on Defense, Senate Appropriations Committ(,e, called o.a
behalf of Senator William W. Proxmire (I). , Wis. ) to ask if the NIE 11_3_.;
had been signed by the Director. I told him that it was my understandin;;
that it had been signed and was being transmitted to the policymakers_
i5 .
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JOURNAL
OFFICE OF LEGISLA.TIVE COUNSEL
Saturday - 8 January 1977
LIAISON Following up on Clark McFadder.'s,
Counse , t ems ommittee,, call yesterday requesting
copies of NIE 11/3/8 and the Pipes report conferred with the Director
and on the advice of General Brent Scowcroft, NSC staff, advised
Frank Sullivan, Staff Director of the Committee, and McFadden
that since these documents had not yet been presented to the President-
it was considered inappropriate to provide them to the Committee.
I advised further that if Chairman John Stennis (D., Miss.) wished
to pursue the matter further, he might want to take it up with the
White House.
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cc:
O/DCI
O/DDCI
Ex. Sec.
DDI DDA DDS&T
Mr. Lapham
Mr. Falkiewicz
SA/DO/O
IC Staff
Comptroller
NIO
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Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel
Monday - 10 January 1977
10. LIAISON Called Frank Sullivan,
Staff Director, Senate A ed erices. m e and asked him if
the Director's meeting with Chairman John Stennis (D., Miss.) this
afternoon was a personal one. Sullivan said he felt that it was.
Sullivan then asked if there was a possibility that the Directs; ~-
could give the Committee a worldwide wrapup briefing Thursday moaning.
I told him that was not a .good day because the Director had an NSC
meeting that morning and should it be cancelled, we have a long-st .ding
commitment with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Sullivan then asked about the request. from Senator Henry Jackson
(D., Wash.) for access to NIE 11-3-8 and I told him we had checked with
General Brent Scowcroft, NSC staff, and the estimate has not vet been
shown to the President and it was felt that it would be inappropriate J o
make it available to the Congress until he has seen it. I suggested that
any further requests concerning these documents be directed to the White
House. Sullivan said he understood.
11. LIAISON Jack Brady, Chief of Staff,
House International Relations Committee, called and wanted to know
what the story was on the article that appeared in yesterday's newsp"per
about the swine fever virus in Cuba. I told him that a quick check, and I
emphasized a quick check, had been made by our people and the an:..-er
was negative. In. response to Brady's query, I told him that the AgerLcy
does not plan at this time to make a public statement. I told him that: if
he should receive questions from his members on this subject to tell
them that he has checked with us and tell them what our preliminary
answer is.
12. LIAISON Scott Cohen, Executive
Assistant to Senator Charles Percy (R., Ill.), called and wanted to kc.ow
the name and phone number of the person who briefed the Senator prior
to his trip .n December. After checkin withi I called STAT
Cohen and told him to contact Center for Po-11y 25X1
Support/DDI, and provided him the phone number.
CC1ge
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Addendum to Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel
Tuesday - 11 January 1977
'_ a.ge 2
Counsel, Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, called and said z.. 3
part of the preparation for the Sorensen confirmation hearings, some
people from the Committee will be going up to the Kennedy Library to
review documents and there may be some bureaucratic clearance
problems apparently with regard to some of the National Security
papers and he would like..something saying they met the Agency's
requirements for security clearance. I told Madigan I would check: c)n this
but I thought that on the basis of present arrangements, if asked w.t would
state that the staffers were cleared by the Committee but the invest -,ations
met the requirements of DCID 1/14. I emphasized, however, that t-.ha
Agency would not want to become "the ham in the sandwich" in this
exercise.
6.I I BRIEFINGS Frank Sullivan, Staff
Director, Senate Armed ewes Committee, called and I told him are
had gotten word from the Director that the VT ite House had approv - our
briefing the Committee on NIE 11-3-8 and the B Team report.
I also discussed with Sullivan the possibility of the Director
giving the Committee a worldwide wrap-up briefing on Thursday,
13 January from. 1:30 to 3:30 p. m. and said this was the only tiro e the
Director was available. Sullivan said he would check on this and btu )ack
in touch.
Later in the day, Sullivan called and said Chairman Joha Striinis
(D., Miss.) would like to schedule an executive session hearing on
NIE 11-3-8 and the B Team report for tomorrow morning at 10:00 a_ -i.
After checking, I told Sullivan the brief ers would be Richard Lehm,L , STAT
1IO, and Howard Stoertz, NIO/SP.
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Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel
Wednesday - 12 January 1977
Page
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14. LIAISON Called Ralph Preston, House
Appropriations Defense Subcommittee staff, and told him that I would sae
sending up to him tomorrow the names of the Committee staffers we ha-<
cleared for compartmented information. I also told him that we were
sending to Chairman George Mahon's (D., Texas) office copies of various
atlases for inclusion in the George and Helen Mahon Library. (This war:
a follow-up from the Director's breakfast with the Chairman on 10
January.) I also told Preston that the Director had requested that a
personalized plaque be made up for the Chairman and our people were
working on this and we would deliver it to the Chairman upon completio-1.1.
15. LIAISON Sent to the following Congressional
offices the Agency's publication entitled, "A Dollar Cost Comparison ow soviet
and US Defense Activities, 1966-1976," per their request: House Armed
Services Committee, Charles Stevenson, in the office of Senator John C: 7.ver
(D., Iowa); Holmes Brown, in the office of Senator Floyd Haskell (I). , (;ollo? );
Steven Collins, in the office of Senator Edward M. Kennedy (D., Mass.);
and Glenn Davidson, in the office of Representative Yvonne Burke (D., Calif.).
16.1 LIAISON Martha McDonald, Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence staff, called concerning questions she had or.
bill she had received from the Agency for the installation of the Conmi`_> se's
secure voice equipment. I contacted C, and he offs ed
to call Ms. McDonald and answer her questions directly.
17. LIAISON Provided Dr. Richard Crin~ Fitt,
Congressional Reference Service at the Library of Congress, with the
unclassified source titles for information on certain petroleum impact
figures provided to him earlier. This information was obtained from tloo
Center for Policy Support, DDI.
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 SECRET
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MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD
12 January 1977
OLC#77-0309
SUBJECT: Briefing of Senate Armed Services Committee on NIE 11-3-876
(Soviet Strategic Forces Objectives)
1. At the request of Chairman John C. Stennis, a meeting of the
Committee was held today to brief on NIE 11-3-06 to discuss the finding;
and conclusions in the estimate of the procedures followed in its pre-
paration. The meeting was prompted by stories appearing in the press
alleging that an outside group, 1 -1 who participated in the
estimate, forced a drastic change in the Community's estimate of Soviet
objectives. The Committee considered that this seriously impacted on
the confirmation of Mr. Brown for Secretary of Defense and requested
an explanation from the Agency.
2. The meeting was held in Room 212, Russell Senate Office
Building, and convened at 10:15 a.m. and recessed for lunch at 1:15 p.m.
It was reconvened at 2:15 p.m. and adjourned at 4:00 p.m. A transcript
was taken and technical monitoring was maintained throughout the hearing.
3. Members present:
Morning session
John C. Stennis, Chairman (D., Miss.) Strom Thurmond (R., S. Car_)
Henry M. Jackson (D., Wash.) - Barry Goldwater (R., Ariz.)
Howard W. Cannon (D., Nev.) Malcolm Wallop (R., Wyo.)
Thomas J. McIntyre (D., N.H.)
John C. Culver (D., Iowa)
Gary Hart (D., Colo.)
Patrick J. Leahy (D., Vt.)
Howard Metzenbaum (D., Ohio)
Afternoon session
John C. Stennis, Chairman (D., Miss,) Malcolm Wallop Henry M. Jackson (D., Wash.) (R?, Wyo.)
Thomas J. McIntyre (D., N.H.)
Gary Hart (D., Colo.)
Howard Metzenbaum (D., Ohio)
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SECRET
 SECIIEI
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Staff present:
Frank Sullivan, Chief Counsel
Clark McFadden, Counsel
Edward Kenney
Agency witnesses:
Richard Lehman., D/DCI/NI0
Howard Stoertz, NIO/SP
George Cary, Legislative Counsel
? 4. The hearing opened by Senator Jackson expressing indignation
that a copy and the estimate of the 0 study were not made available 25X1
for the Committee members to read. Mr. Lehman-explained that this esc.Lnsce
had not yet been seen nor cleared for release by the White House. Chai---Macs
Stennis then called Mr. Bush and it was arranged for a copy to be given,
which was delivered to the Committee within the hour. Arrangements we':=>
made for the copies to be kept under the personal custody of Mr. Sullivan
for any member to read and to be returned to the Agency at the end of :!sch
day.
5. 'Messrs. Lehman and Stoertz explained the preparation of the
estimate and the institution of the outside approach which was
done at the suggestion of the President's Foreign intelligence Board to
inject the "best worst case" assessment. They strongly denied the
allegation in the press that the views of the II or the views of
.Gen,.Keegan, then Director of Air Force Intelligence, which dissented from
the estimate, did not in any way alter or affect the decision of the
Community. The Keegan and study concluded that the Soviets ha--
achieved strategic superiority and were exploiting it fully through SAL`>'
negotiations, detente, and economic relations with the United States.
Whereas the Community position, with certain differences, did not evaluate
the Soviet position to be superior at this time. Messrs. Lehman and
Stoertz stressed that the Director and the Agency were not opposed to
outside inputs in the estimative process.but stressed that.the public
debate not only seriously prejudiced security but inhibits the objectivity
of the process.
6. Chairman Stennis expressed serious concern as to the effects
of leaks of intelligence upon the intelligence effort. Senator Wallop
also eressed concern. Mr. Cary stressed the position of the Agency for
effective legislation to curb this problem and our continued efforts for
the Congress to consider and pass our intelligence "sources and methods"
bill.
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EC SET
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7. Follow-ups:
a. Senator Jackson requested a review of the accuracy of
U. S. estimates, on Soviet strategic defense forces over the past 10
years and comments on the Wohlstetter article about the U. S. estimates
which appeared in Foreign Policy in 1974.
b. Chairman Stennis was concerned as to whether there was
sufficient intelligence warning of the TET Offensive in Vietnam and
requested that a paper be prepared on the subject.
efing on the Agency's invoivemew;
d. In connection with a discussion as-to morale in the Agency,
Senator Byrd asked how many new people are taken'into the Agency each
year.
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Distribution;
I -- OLC Subject
1 - OLC Chrono
Office of Legislative Counsel
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JOURNAL,
OFFICE OF LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL
Thursday - 13 January 1977
sent to Ralph Preston, House Appropriations Defense Subcommittee
staff, a list of members of the Committee staff who have compartment,~d
clearances.
2. LIAISON At Mr.. Cary' s request,
sent to Representative George Mahon (D. , Texas) a letter from the
Director dated 12 January 1977 along with atlases on the Indian Ocean.
Issues in the Middle East, People's Republic of China and USSR
Agriculture for inclusion in the George and Helen Mahon Library
in Lubbock, Texas. I also sent to the Congressman, pictures that wer-a
taken of he and the Director here at the Agency on 10 January.
3? I ` ADMINISTRATIVE DELIVERY At
the request of Legislative Affairs, NSA, I
arranged for a courier to pick up a copy of.a joint letter to Chairman
George H. Mahon (D., Tex.), House Committee on Appropriations, and
Chairman John L. McClellan (D., Ark.), Senate Committee on Approlaiar.ions,
regarding the application of restrictions place on DOD programs of
intelligence and intelligence-related programs, to be delivered to
A copy of the submission was also included.
4? LIAISON At the request of the Director's
office, I accompanied OS, and a security technician to S 12C
the Capitol, where a security sweep of the room, was conducted prior to a
briefing by the Director of several Senators, including a fete :freshmen
Senators. Senator Henry Bellmon (P., Olcla.) attended and sponsored -he
briefing and Kathy Buchanan, of his staff, assisted with the details.
5. LIAISON Per arrangements t:rlac e- t)y
delivered to Frank Sullivan, Chief Counsel, Senate A.r:-ined
G,?.neYcINIE 11--3-8 and the B Team report. I rectuest
Sullivan .give !1 ',- In the c'Onrier than; Fr.C'.r1n)U.1 for ref T1 to i'ei :FCttt It ~e V';.
Also de1:.. ',creel to C;1arh 1eFaddk,I, Senate
r11t,~c1 ,c~r~-.c-cr> f-~~I:Ztr?~ tee ~-'. t:[,
at } e 'I"l: I?1 t f'tn ', ~`( .' idd(:a I Ilr.'CI t lc` 1F e S-,c 2'~ s e t tf~ 25X1
docr.tt-1Iez.7t-at loll.
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Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel
Friday - 14 January 1977
Pav, c> s
Chris Cowart, on the med Services Committee staff, jwho
asked if the package containing the NIE 11-3-8 and the
Report was going to be returned to them today. After checking fu2jthe_-
into the matter, it was determined that for the next several days this
package would be given to Frank Sullivan, also on the Committee staff.
each morning and returned each evening to Headquarters. I sent the
package via special courier today per Ms. Cowart's request.
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/ GEQ GE L. CA.R
Legislative Counsel
cc:
O/DCI
O/DDCI
Ex. Sec.
Mr. Lapham
Mr. Falkiewicz
SA/DO/O
IC Staff
Comptroller
NIO
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Journal - Office of Legislative Counsel Page 3
Friday - ZI January 1977
9. LIAISON Sat in on a briefing on the Soviet
anti-satellite program given by oi: 25X1
DDI/OWI, ,and DDI/CPS, to staff members of the House
Armed Services Researc and Development Committee: Tom Haim,
Tony Battista and Tom Cooper. John Lally, Committee staff member,
sat in for part of the meeting. (See Memorand NID
article on Vietnam which he requested yesterday. It contained the DIA dissent.
I discussed with McFadden the seasonal interest in Communist aid to North
Vietnam noting we were getting requests for briefings on this subject. -
McFadden had earlier expressed his interest so today I suggested he se-,
ac.t
a date next week which would be convenient for his staffers to gather and we
would provide a briefing. He will call us. I loaned McFadden a recent
memorandum on military aid to North Vietnam. I also told McFadden that
beginning tomorrow the Bulletin would accompany the NID to the Armed $ervices
Committee per Ed Braswell's, of the Committee staff, request. I mad.--
arrangements to loan McFadden NIE 11-15-74 per the DCI's authorization.. The
Estimate will not be left overnight.
12. Accompanied the Director to an ir?-formal
n.-meeting with Chairman William S. Moorhead (D, , Pa. ).and other mrube -s of the
Foreign Operations and Government Information Subcommittee of I-Liuse
Government Operations Committee, on the Agency's exemption in the Pr va.cy
Act. See Memorandum for the Record.
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 JOURNAL
OFFICE OF LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL
Friday - 17 January 1975
1 talked at some length with Clark McFadden, General Counsel of thy
a
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After discussion with. I I OCT 25X1
,
jjwmuj4We, about several outstanding items. I told him
that in connection with his interest in further studies on the oil situation we have
no. study at the moment but one is in the process of preparation and shou1=3 be
available around the end of the month. McFadden said he was in no rush. =3ut
would appreciate seeing a copy of this when it is completed.
I told him we had an unclassified paper on the Soviet defense budget
and w
J ould be getting that to him shortly.
We also discussed his interest in any other estimates along the lines
of NIE 13/8 that might be available. I told him I thought there was one on
Soviet naval strategy and I would check on this. I expressed some. conceafrn
as to what use Mr. McFadden would make 'of the information in these-
estimates since we would not want to have the existence of these e.stimateE.
widely discussed. In this connection I told McFadden the Director was not
interested in getting into another Diego Garcia controversy if it could be
avoided. McFadden said he understood completely. He said the wox-k he
is doing is strictly for the Chairman's information and would remain so
unless-he talked with us further.
I told McFadden that if it would be helpful to him, we could call him
.each Monday morning and let him know what items the Director might be
discussing with the Chairman during their usual Monday morning telophonr
call. McFadden said that would be very helpful and he and Braswell wout.
reciprocate where possible.
Salem, Massachusetts office of Representative Michael Harrington, who -ranted
the phone number of I I whom he said worked in the "Director's
area. " After checking with AO/DCI, and IC Staff, I-called Kiley back and
told him there was no one in the Director's area named He said 25X1
he would check with his source of information and be bac
not call again today.). STAT
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