CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A023200050002-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: November 16, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA review(s) completed.
RETURN TO ARCHIVES It RECORDS CENTER
IMMEDIATELY AFTER USE Top Secret
JOR i BOX3a-
16 No'emt5er 1972
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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EAST GERMANY: Domestic propaganda attacks West
Germany's Social Democratic Party. (Page 3)
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VENEZUELA: Talks set on long-term energy pact.
(Page 6)
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INDIA-USSR: Combined naval exercise has not materi-
alize Page 10)
INDONESIA: Foreign aid request (Page 11) 25X1
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EAST GERMANY: Pankow has resumed its ideologi-
cal attack on West Germany's Social Democratic Party
in an effort to underscore the limits the Communist
regime intends to place on the normalization of re-
lations.
The ideological campaign, muted during the re-
cent inter-German treaty talks, flared up again as
the negotiations ended. The treaty, if ratified
and implemented, will mark a significant departure
from East Germany's policy of isolation from West
Germany, and Pankow is anxious to control the do-
mestic impact and to preserve internal security.
By stressing the inferiority of West German social
democracy, Pankow is reminding its citizens that
the advantages flowing to them from detente, such
as increased travel to the West, are limited.
East German media have specifically denounced
alleged Social Democratic efforts to influence the
East German population and have emphasized the "un-
bridgeable differences" between East and West German
societies. The criticism also hits the Social
Democrats' alleged adherence to capitalistic doc-
trines and their corruption of the international
socialist movement.
The campaign is also a defensive reaction to
West German Chancellor Brandt's long-term objective
of a united Germany. The Communists' ideological
hostility toward Brandt's Social Democrats has been
in evidence throughout the course of Ostpolitik,
and it reflects in part the historic competition
between the Communist and Social Democratic parties
for the allegiance of German intellectuals and
workers. As an East German ideologue recently put
it, the leaders in Pankow do not believe their
people wish to reinstate a Western, capitalist eco-
nomic system; nevertheless, the Communists fear
that the Social Democrats may some day establish
in West Germany a modern democratic socialist state
around which all Germans might wish to rally.
(continued)
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The East German ideological attacks do not,
however, reflect an intent to renege on the prac-
tical agreements with Bonn. The regime continues
to praise the Brandt government for its construc-
tive foreign policies and will continue to seek"
to do business with Bonn.
16 Nov 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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VENEZUELA: Caracas has agreed to begin prelim-
inary discussions with the US on a long-term energy
agreement.
The talks, which may begin as early as next
week, will center on a plan for exploiting Venezue-
lan oil reserves outside the existing concessions.
US oil executives have already expressed keen inter-
est in participating in a geological survey which
will take about a year to complete. A US proposal
for a geological survey of the Orinoco tar belt in
eastern Venezuela, which would be funded principally
by US petroleum companies under the aegis of the
government-owned Venezuelan Petroleum Corporation,
has already been accepted by the Caldera government.
If adequate reserves are confirmed, Venezuela is
prepared to conclude a treaty with the US whereby
the companies would invest substantially in oil ex-
traction and the US Government would grant hemi-
spheric preferences to Venezuela. In return, Cara-
cas would guarantee the conditions under which US
oil companies could amortize their investment and
achieve a fair rate of profit.
Each country has a substantial interest in
reaching a final settlement to end a problem that
has marred relations between the two countries.
The Caldera government lacks the technical and fi-
nancial means to explore and exploit the new oil
reserves which it hopes will provide additional
revenues to devote to its expanding social and eco-
nomic problems. The Orinoco tar belt may also
prove to be an economically feasible source of the
large amounts of petroleum that will be needed if
the US is to avoid excessive dependence on Middle
Eastern oil.
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NOTES
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INDIA-USSR: The combined exercise between the
Indian and Soviet navies that reportedly was to be-
gin in late October in the Indian Ocean apparently
will not take place. There have been no shi move-
m nts indicative of an upcoming exercise.
It he exercise never got beyond e
planning stage. New Delhi has long sought to obtain
from Moscow tactical procedures for use by its So-
viet-built Petya-class escorts, F-class submarines,
and Osa-class guided missile patrol boats, but both
sides may have balked at a mutual exchange of sen-
sitive information on naval tactics for a combined
exercise.
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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INDONESIA: Jakarta will request $750 million
in foreign assistance for the year ending in March
1974 at next month's meeting of the Indonesia aid
consortium. The consortium consists of a number of
major Western countries, Japan, and several inter-
national development organizations. The new aid
requested is only about three percent more than
Indonesia has been pledged under this year's pro-
gram. This largely reflects the boom in export
earnings which is enabling Indonesia to finance a
growing share of its own foreign exchange needs.
Sales of crude oil, for example, are expected to
exceed $1 billion next year as a result of higher
world market prices and increasing production.
The major portion of the aid--about $380 million--
will consist of project aid.. Some $160 million
has been requested for food aid, and $210 million
for other assistance programs.
16 Nov 72 Central Intelligence, Bulletin
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