CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015000030002-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: November 19, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State. Department review completed
Secret
51.-
19 November 1969
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No. 0277/69
19 November 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
USSR-Ec t: The Soviet ambassador in Cairo has ex-
pressed irritation over recent Egyptian statements.
(Page 1)
Nigeria: Federal forces have attacked in several
sectors. (Page 3)
India: Violence, strikes, and political turmoil are
increasing in West Bengal. (Page 4)
Pakistan: A leading East Pakistani politician is
abandoning his policy of restraint. (Page 5)
Chile: Military unrest has continued to build since
the army uprising last month. (Page 6)
Bolivia: The armed forces commander has outlined his
views on the Latin American military. (Page 7)
Cuba-Mexico: A new passenger air route between Cuba
and Latin America may soon be available. (Page 9)
Surinam: The composition of the new coalition gov-
ernment augurs well for stability. (Page 10)
Zambia: Soviet aid (Page 11)
East Germany - Sudan: Credit extension (Page 11)
UN-Indonesia: West Irian (Page 12)
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USSR-Egypt: The Soviet ambassador in Cairo
has expressed his irritation over several recent
Egyptian statements on the Middle East.
According to US officials in Cairo, Ambassador
Vinogradov told another diplomat that when he de-
livered the latest US proposal for a Middle East
settlement to the Egyptians, he asked only that it
be studied with care and then discussed with Soviet
representatives. Vinogradov vehemently denied that
he had called the US proposal an American concoction
biased in favor of Israel, words he said had been
put in his mouth by Al Ahram editor Heykal.
The ambassador added that the forthcoming
visit to Moscow by an Egyptian delegation was purely
Cairo's initiative, and he voiced resentment at the
UAR's premature announcement of the visit. He said
that as of 15 November he had received from Moscow
neither agreement to the visit nor any suggestion
of an appropriate date. Vinogradov also expressed
contempt for recent articles in the Egyptian press
claiming that Israeli forces had participated in
US and British naval exercises, and he denied that
the USSR had anything to do with these charges.
Vinogradov's irritation was probably due, for
the most part, to what he believed was Cairo's poor
sense of timing. His pique, though no doubt gen-
uine, certainly does not indicate any worsening of
Soviet-Egyptian relations. Nevertheless, his com-
ments--which may have been intended to reach the
US--suggest that the Arabs, and especially Cairo,
continue to be troublesome associates who create
many problems for Moscow in its attempts to nego-
-Fiat-P in name.
19 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Nigerian Federal Forces on the Attack
9001 Federal attack
BIAFRANCONTROLLED AREA
I
0 25 50 75
STATUTE MILES
wern .; Imnahia
SECRET
Aba
Ikot Ekpene
i Cala6ar
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
FERNANDO PO
CAMEROON
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igeria: Federal forces have attacked Biafran
positions in several sectors.
The Biafrans initially lost some ground at one
point on the northern front, but have since pushed
back the federal forces. On the southern front,
a see-saw battle is taking place southeast of Owerri,
where the Nigerians may make some minor gains.
This intensified fighting may represent the
initial stages of the federal offensive, forecast
for some time, that is designed to break the stale-
mate that has prevailed since last April. Federal
army units have recently received troop reinforce-
ments and are well supplied with munitions. They
can probably keep pressure on the Biafrans for some
time. Secessionist field commanders are again re-
porting severe ammunition shortages. At present,
however, the Nigerians do not seem to be on the
verge of any dramatic gains.
19 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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India: Violence,: strikes, and political tur-
moil are increasing in We:S* Ber;,gal, and New Delhi
may be preparing to step ,n
The ambitions of the far left Communist Party/
Marxis , which. dominates the ruling 14-party coali-
tion, are the major cause of the present trouble.
The party's efforts to use its control of key gov-
ernment agencies, including the police and the Min-
istry of Lands, to extend its power in the state
have made violence a chronic problem. Security is
particularly bad in the countryside where the Marx-
ists are attempting to seize land by force to con-
solidate their position with the landless peasants
before the harvest begins on 1 December,
These efforts have been intensified recently,
probably in part because several high Marxist lead-
ers believe that Prime Minister Gandhi has already
made plans to topple the coalition. They fear she
has made a deal with a splinter Congress Party
within the coalition to form a new non-Marxist gov-
ernment in West Bengal an cooperation with the
state's regular Congress group--now in the opposi-
tion. A new coalition without the Marxists is un-
likely to provide stable,- qQvernment, and more vio-
lence would probably ensue. s
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Pakistan? East Pakistani politician Mujibur
Rahman may be abandoning his policy of restraint
toward the government.
Mujibur Rahman's Awami League, pointing out
that near-famine conditions exist in East Pakistan,
recently called for a regular supply of low-cost
foodgrains and other essential commodities. It
further demanded general elections by April 1970,
removal of all restrictions on political activity,
and a step-up in development projects in East Pak-
istan.
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Until now, Mujibur Rahman had appeared fully
confident that elections would be held. His wide-
spread support by the Bengalis establishes him as
a key figure on the political scene, and his re-
strained attitude toward the government has been
central to the reasonably tolerable relations be-
tween martial law authorities and the impatient
Bengalis. A change in his strategy could hreaten
the maintenance of calm in East Pakistan.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Chile: Military unrest ha:,ntinued to build
since the armyuprising last month
Rumors of coup plotting are numerous. The
groups allegedly involved appear thus far to have
no coordination and no clear plan of action, but
look for leadership to retired General Viaux, who
led the revolt last month. The government has
tried to quiet the unrest by promising military
pay raises and other concessions, but is baffled
by the persistent military discontent. Some Chil-
eans
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believe that President Frei may
actually hope for a up attempt in the belief that
he might profit by .
cGeneral Viaux is said to be insisting that he
has no political ties and to be warning the malcon-
tents that the time is not ripe for effective action.
Mutual
xs ?rus between the military and the government
seems to be arousing eLQx.s and resentments that
can Qnly lead to trouble.\
19 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Bolivia: Armed forces commander General Torres
has outlined his views on a new role for the Latin
American military.
In a speech before a visiting delegation of
the Inter-American Defense Board, General Torres
called on all Latin American armed forces to focus
their energies on the problems of "impoverishment"
caused by the differences between the industrial-
ized and underdeveloped countries. He said that
if solutions to the social ills on which Communism
breeds are not found, "the people will have no other
option but the route of violence and uncontrollable
revolution."
In what seems to be a justification of the Bo-
livian military's overthrow of the Siles government
and its nationalization of a US oil company, Torres
said that democracy in Latin America has been "a
mere formula, without force or direction." He con-
trasted this with the "triumphant advance" of Com-
munism with its "defined road toward a declared
goal." In a clear reference,to the Bolivian Gulf
Oil Company, Torres said that the Alliance for Prog-
ress had been emasculated by the "power of trusts
and economic monopolies."
Some high-ranking officers are opposed to hav-
ing the military associated with leftist and highly
nationalistic trends in the current government.
General Torres' statement that the Bolivian mili-
tary is in the "vanguard" of the national revolu-
tionary process will further alienate them.
19 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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New Passenger Air Route Between Cuba and Latin America May Soon Be Available
Proposed
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Cuba-Mexico: A new passenger air route be-
tween Cuba and Latin America may soon be available.
Mexicana Airlines, which operates a bimonthly
mail flight between Mexico City and Havana via Mer-
ida, has requested Mexican authorities to approve
its plan to carry passengers on the Havana-Merida
leg of the flight. The flight would be timed to
coincide with Mexicana flights between Merida and
Kingston, Jamaica, which is a convenient transit
point. Passengers from Havana would all be booked
through to Kingston. The airline expects that gov-
ernment approval of the plan, which has not yet
been granted, would pave the way for increased
passenger traffic on the currently uneconomical
Kingston-Merida leg.
The Cuban Government may view the plan as a
possible means of avoiding the close scrutiny that
security and immigration officials give all passen-
gers using Cubana Airlines flights between Havana
and Mexico City, which is Cuba's only direct air
connection with Latin America at present. To bypass
the measures in Mexico City, security-conscious air
travelers now have to go by way of Madrid, Moscow,
or Prague in flying between Cuba and Latin America.
It is possible, however, that if the Mexican Govern-
ment approves the plan, some security measures may
be applied in Merida, although they are likely to be
less effective than those in Mexico City.
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Surinam: The composition of the new coalition
government augurs well for stability.
The two chief components of the new admini-
stration are Jagernath Lachmon's East Indian United
Hindu Party (VHP) and the Creole- (Negro) dominated
Peoples' National Party. Between them, they con-
trol 27 of the 39 seats in the unicameral legisla-
ture, and the VHP, by taking 19 seats, narrowly
missed winning a majority in the elections on 24
October. Both parties espouse generally conserva-
tive policies.
Lachmon, who formed the new government, de-
clined to seek either the minister-presidency or.
any cabinet position. The appointment of a Creole,
Jules Sedney, as minister-president is probably de-
signed to assuage fears that after a decade of Ne-
gro leadership, the sizable Creole minority might
react violently to a non-Creole leader. CThe US
consul describes Sedney as a "weak. leader," and the
ministers designate as relatively undistinguished.
This suggests that Lachmon will continue to wield
significant if not decisive influence from his leg-
islative seat.
Despite generally :bright prospects for a rela-
tively calm four-year team, labor disputes, espe-
cially if coupled with racial strife, could event-
ually lead to serious disturbances. Union leader
and extreme leftist Edward Brum.a, whose party won
a legislative seat for the first time, is a poten-
tially disruptive influence.
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NOTES
Zambia: Soviet heavy equipment will be used
for the first time in Zambia to work a small new
copper mine financed by two Swiss firms. A Soviet
technician has arrived to assemble the equipment
and train local crews. The mine is the first to be
developed by foreign interests since Zambia nation-
alized the copper industry this past August. It is
expected to have an annual output of 6,000 tons of
copper metal and will probably be operating in about
14 months. At that time, the Zambian Government
will acquire a 51 percent share in the equity.
nearly $12 million in credit to the Sudan. It had
agreed in early June to expand economic cooperation
following diplomatic recognition by the Sudan.
Projects to be financed by the credit include a
brick factory, a spinning mill., and diesel electric
power plants. Repayment in Sudanese commodities,
such as cotton and yarn, will begin three years
after the shipment of equipment. In addition, the
two countries agreed to create a joint economic com-
mittee to further their cooperation. East Germany
already has provided at least $145 mil i n in eco-
nomic credits to Syria, Iraq, Cambodia, and Southern
Yemen in response to recognition,`
(continued)
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UN-Indonesia: For all practical purposes, the
General Assembly is expected this week to end its
discussion of West Irian. Although there are mis-
givings among some UN members, the Assembly will
probably pass a resolution acknowledging that the
people of West Irian voted last summer to remain a
part of Indonesia. African members will probably
express concern that the plebiscite was held under
conditions of "tight political control" from Dja-
karta. Nothing is likely to come from the warning
of the Dahomeyan representative that his group will
closely watch Indonesia's future treatment of th
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