THE BAROMETER

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January 1, 1962
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Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 27 (Writer comments on Mr. Edward R.F. Sheehan's article "The United States, the Soviet Union, and Strategic Considerations in the Middle East" in the June issue.) The statement that the Soviets have introduced weapons into the UAR in- ventory which are essentially defensive is misleading. His comparison of Soviet supplied aircraft with the U.S. supplied Phantom is correct-that the Phantom has greater offensive capabilities than Soviet fighters, but there are other facts which should be mentioned. Specifi- cally, the Soviets have supplied KOMAR and OSA guided missile patrol craft to Egypt and one of these was credited with the first operational sinking of a naval unit by an anti-ship SSM on 17 October 1967. Offensive capabilities of other items of military equipment sup- plied such as submarines, SU-7 fighter bombers. IL-28 and TU-16 bombers, hundreds of medium tanks should have been mentioned to present a more balanced picture. In all fairness to Mr. Sheehan, it is recognized that, for the purpose of his presentation, he was referring only to a limited portion of the air picture-most probably because of its currency-but in doing so, he badly generalized to the extent that he misrepresented the actual situation. Mr. Sheehan did not reflect the great number of offensive weapon systems the Soviets have supplied the UAR. It is recognized that the Naval War College Review is a caveated publication so that the thoughts and opinions ex- pressed are those of the lecturers and authors and are not necessarily those of the Navy Department nor of the Naval War College. However, it is somewhat surprising that the offensive characteris- tics of Soviet naval ships, aircraft and armor supplied to the UAR were not mentioned in a presentation to the student body. If this information was later brought out in discussions or ques- tion and answer periods, it should properly have been incorporated into Mr. Sheehan's edited version of his presentation. Your fine publication is widely read and respected in professional military circles but it lacks in my judgment, an important section. A Letters to the Editors feature should be incorporated to permit readers' comments, correc- tions, and rebuttals to be aired to the same readership that was exposed to the original article. This letter regarding Mr. Sheehan's article is a case in point but unfortunately not in print. E.V. CRANGLE Captain, USN (Substantive comment on Naval War College Review content is not only encouraged, but is essential in the assessment of the journal's content. Ed.) Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 28 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW (9d. Public diplomacy can make a significant contribution to international crisis management and resolution when used wisely by governments in conjunction with military power and private negotiations. This case study very ably illustrates the usefulness, as well as some shortcomings, of public diplomacy as an instrument of national policy with the improvement of world communications and the increased importance placed upon public opinion. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY AND THE MISSILES OF OCTOBER A research paper prepared by G. Scott Sugden College of Naval Warfare The recent presence of Soviet naval craft at Cienfuegos, Cuba, has redirected U.S. public attention back to that tur- moiled island. The activities of these units have raised questions as to their ultimate purpose, such as the establish- ment of naval facilities in support of missile-laden submarines, and its pos- sible effect on future U.S. national security and defense posture. Already the national press has speculated.on this development in terms of the agreement that resolved the last United States- U.S.S.R. confrontation in Cuba, which included halting the further intro- duction of offensive weapons to the island. Nearly a decade has elapsed since the world was engrossed by that epic occa- sion, the historic Cuban missile crisis of October 1962. Yet, one is still able to awesome prospect that suddenly emerged at its outset and the intense relief that was apparent as the super- powers drew apart. The Soviet vessels at Cienfuegos may be harbingers of a new crisis. Denials of the offensive intent of the vessels or of the naval base with which they are alleged to be concerned sound familiarly like those heard during the prelude to the missile crisis of 1962. Similarly, the national press again raises doubts about the intent and resolve of the U.S. position in the face of this renewed Soviet activity. But whether or not this episode develops into another Cuban crisis, the United States should seek to benefit from the insights gained from the earlier confrontation. While world conditions have changed substantially during the (,-d fie A0ff ve` It oF'K4* eaQ6& A 912/ : CCASkLD g`'Or 6 b id f 0 4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 29 continued importance of neighboring of and responsiveness to the opinions of Cuba to U.S. security interests. An- their electorates. In turn, these elector- other, albeit more subtle, attempt by ates have become the object of a grow- the Soviet Union to extend its offensive ing variety of efforts through the com- military capability into the Caribbean munications media to enlist their influ- would carry the same challenge to the ence for the purpose of achieving United States that it did in 1962. political leverage. In recognition of this Meeting that challenge would again trend, more governments tend to weigh require measured and effective use of all the strength of foreign public opinion facets of U.S. statecraft which contrib- when assessing the current strength or uted to resolution of the previous con- future direction of policies promulgated frontation, including the application of by other governments. At the same time public diplomacy. they seek to maximize the effectiveness Despite the considerable amount of of their own foreign policy by influ- literature which has been produced encing the opinions of overseas elector- about the Cuban missile crisis, scant ates and governments by direct and attention has been given to the conduct indirect means, largely through commu- of public diplomacy during that event. nications media. It is upon these efforts This lack of attention may be explained that the practice of public diplomacy in part by the general unfamiliarity rests. which most people have of this mode of During the Cuban missile crisis of diplomatic procedure as distinct from 1962, public diplomacy played a sub- the more traditional mode based upon stantial role, a role which emerged in direct, formal government-to- two distinct phases. The first phase ran government exchanges. It may also be from July 1962, when Soviet military explained in part by the inherent diffi- assistance to Cuba suddenly burgeoned, culty of measuring the effect that public until mid-October, on the occasion of actions, materials, or pronouncements the U.S. discovery of the missile base have upon goverments' foreign policy sites. The second, more critical but decisions. Finally, the dearth of atten- brief, phase extended from discovery of tion may be because there is no clear the sites until 28 October, when the majority consensus even among the Soviet Union agreed to withdraw all practitioners of this "new diplomacy" offensive weapons from Cuba. By the as to what constitutes its limits, while latter date the most significant effects its techniques remain in flux. of the impact of public diplomacy Nonetheless, public diplomacy has activities had registered on the crisis. come to bear with increasing effective- The initial, precrisis, phase was char- ness on the affairs of international actor;zed by rising popular concern in relations. This has been particularly the United States over the rapidly grow- evident during the period since the First ing Soviet military presence in Cuba. World War, an era when social and This concern reinforced a residue of political changes have coincided with a general discontent and frustration rapid proliferation of technological toward Cuba which had remained after developments in the field of communi- the abortive Bay of Pigs debacle of April cations. 1961. It was further enhanced by In a sense, public diplomacy has been impending 1962 congressional elections spawned by a merger of modern com- scheduled for November of that year. munications and democratized politics. President John F. Kennedy's policy The growth of mass communications toward Cuba at this juncture had has promoted governments whose deci- become less active and less aggressive Apprdn 6 kvR*"t,L-2@0 /4423 : dtA.RDP$4-0049 R0O44k*4rt6028-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 30 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW During his presidential campaign he had nuclear missiles in that country. This called for a strong, active stand against operation, which involved a massive Communist influence in Cuba. Only 17 sealift utilizing over 100 shiploads of days before he assumed office, relations men and material,4 was initiated late in with Cuba ruptured, and as President he June and continued until mid-October soon sanctioned the continuation of when the missile sites were finally iden- U.S. support for an invasion of the tified from U.S. aerial reconnaissance island by Cuban exiles. But after the photographs. Meanwhile, though con- disastrous failure at Bahia de Cochinos scious of the sharp increase in the and the violent international reaction to number of Soviet ships arriving at the fiasco, President Kennedy publicly Cuban ports, the U.S. Government was accepted full responsibility for the U.S. sluggish in reaction, while its policy part in the attack, and U.S. policy lacked clarity, cohesion, and decisive- toward Cuba became distinctly more ness. passive and indirect. Quite naturally the Government's The futility and ignominy of the Bay public diplomacy reflected identical of Pigs episode made a deep impression qualities. During the months preceding on the President. Further, it had serious the Cuban crisis, Government spokes- politico-psychological implications for men concentrated upon the economic future relations with Cuba and the ills and the loss of civil and political Soviet Union. Although antagonism liberties in Cuba while generating sup- toward Cuba gained momentum in the port for the Alliance for Progress as the Americas, especially after Castro pro- most logical and effective deterrent claimed that country socialist and later against the blight of Castro's brand of announced himself a Marxist-Leninist, communism in the Americas. Refer- the Kennedy administration concen- ences to the influx of Soviet supplies Crated upon persuasive efforts to achieve and equipment into Cuba were treated political and economic isolation of the with restraint and moderation. Even island rather than seeking to promote after opposition leaders in Congress had direct military action against Castro. seized upon the Soviet buildup to pro- With respect to the Soviet Union, Presi- test the Government's policy of re- dent Kennedy discussed the Cuban straint, spokesmen for the adminis- attack with Premier Khrushchev during tration refrained from denouncing the their Vienna meeting in June 1961. Soviet operation and were put in the From accounts, he did so in an apolo- position virtually of defending the de- getic manners giving rise to the feeling fensive character of the weapons and that the United States was not prepared personnel being introduced. At the same to resist forcefully U.S.S.R. involvement time, President Kennedy and various in Cuba.' The apparent lack of will to members of his administration con- resist was further reflected in the U.S. tinued to assure the public at home and agreement to the "neutralization" of abroad that any genuine threat to the Laos and later in the failure to respond United States would be dealt with in strongly to the erection of the Berlin an appropriate manner. A closer look at Wall in the summer of 1961. these Government statements, which One year later Cuba was again serve as the grist for the conduct of brought back toward the focus of atten- public diplomacy, reveals more. clearly tion as the Soviet Union moved to test the ramifications of the administration's U.S. policy and resolve. Allegedly in policy of restraint during the precrisis order to prevent a U.S. invasion of period. Cuba,3 the Soviet Union embarked The U.S. Government made few Ap never rtR eaBen2OO5/4gi : CIAL DP '-OO499Rb?64OOt1I1tb -4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA RDSPI 4-0 49 OOO010 100 J8-4 in Cuba until late August 1962. How- ever, 5 months earlier the Department of State had issued a press release on the subject of Communist military aid to Cuba.5 In response to numerous queries being received on the subject, the state- ment pointed out that Cuba had been receiving large-scale military assistance for 18 months from the Soviet bloc but that there was no evidence of any missiles being supplied or missile bases being constructed on the island. When the United States became aware, in July, that the number of Soviet ships arriving at Cuban ports had increased drastically, surveillance of the ships and the island was stepped up without public fanfare while the Assistant Secre- tary of State for Inter-American Affairs, Edwin M. Martin, continued to promote the policy of isolating Cuba from the rest of Latin America.6 At this time there was a general consensus among the U.S. foreign policymakers that the Soviet Union might be tempted to revive its waning postsputnik offensive, but similarly these officials agreed that the activity in Cuba did not then consti- tute a threat to the United States and did not presage introduction of offen- sive missiles. Concurrently, the grow- ing press campaign to alert the country to the signs of increased Soviet activity in Cuba was downgraded by such pri- vate commentators as Saturday Review's editor Norman Cousins who stressed that private information media did not speak for the U.S. Government. He made it clear that the Soviet Union should not be misled into thinking otherwise.8 Gradual escalation of Government comment began in August, coincident with indications of rising apprehension in Congress and amid dogged attention of the press. After Senator Homer Cape- hart called for a U.S. invasion of Cuba to halt the flow of Soviet troops and supplies, President Kennedy in a press conference on 29 August opposed such ... very serious consequences. ,9 One week later he issued a statement deny- ing the existence of any evidence of offensive missiles, while announcing the installation of surface-to-air missiles on the island. But, at the same time, he clearly inferred that surface-to-surface missiles would be considered offensive weapons, the emplacement of which would not be tolerated. As emphasis, he later requested and received congres- sional authority to call up 150,000 U.S. reservists in case of a critical inter- national situation. The Soviet Union quickly announced on 11 September that in view of its powerful rockets there was no need for missile sites in Cuba or anywhere outside of its own country. Despite this apparent Soviet dis- claimer, the Kennedy administration found itself enmeshed in a cacophony of criticism. In 6 weeks Senator Kenneth Keating made 10 speeches in the Senate warning of the Soviet mili- tary buildup. Other opposition leaders in Congress, including Senator Everett Dirksen and Representative Charles Halleck, also sounded the tocsin, declar- ing a threat to the security of the Nation and a violation of the Monroe Doctrine. A Life magazine editorial decried the administration's indecision. Time magazine called for armed inter- vention. And the U.S. News & World Report saw a major U.S. defeat in the Soviet incursion. Columnist David Lawrence questioned why the U.S. Government was failing to denounce or protest publicly the Soviet activity, while Marguerite Higgins asked in her newspaper column if President Kennedy was destined to administer over the decline of the United States as a world power. By September a Gallup poll gauged public support for the President at an all time low. In the face of this vocal opposition, the Kennedy administration steadfastly Appiov d-For Relel sseL2JO /s 8 : ClAt` 'P4-0t4 oo0't60 ie-fd-4 A32 r NAVAL Release LLEGE REVIEW -RDP84-004998000100110028-4 Responding to critics at home and During an interview on Howard K. potential adversaries abroad, the admin- Smith's "News and Comment," the istration's position was emphasized by a Secretary insisted that the "configu- series of public statements on the Cuba ration" of the military forces in Cuba issue by Government spokesmen. On 9 was defensive and that the United States September Assistant Secretary of De- should find an answer to the buildup fense for International Security Affairs without bloodshed. A similar assertion, Paul H. Nitze stated on ABC's "Issues that the forces were no threat to the and Answers" program that while the United States, was made on 3 October United States had grounds for concern, by Under Secretary of State George Ball the installation of offensive missiles in before a congressional committee in Cuba would be contrary to past Soviet open hearing on trade with Cuba.I 1 policy and therefore extremely unlikely The administration's public defense to take place. Four days later the of its policy continued until the last day President, at a press conference, reiter- of innocence. On 14 October Presi- ated the contention that the Soviet dential adviser McGeorge Bundy, during military shipments, due to the defensive an interview on "Issues and Answers," nature of their contents, did not consti- confided that he did not believe that the tute a serious threat to any part of the Soviet Union would try to establish a hemisphere, but that if Cuba gained the "major offensive capability" in. Cuba. capacity to conduct offensive action The final effort by the administration against the United States, he would act was made by Assistant Secretary of to protect the hemispheric security. State Martin who on 15 October for the Chester Bowles, Presidential special first time placed the policy of the representative and adviser on African, United States toward Cuba on record in Asian and Latin American Affairs, in a a speech and explained why the Soviet public address on 16 September asserted Union would not put offensive missiles that a U.S. attack on Cuba would cause in Cuba.l z During his speech at the irreparable harm to the cause of free- National Press Club in Washington, a dom and provide the means for a series telephone call was made to inform him of Soviet victories. On the very next day that missile base sites in Cuba had just Secretary of State Dean Rusk assured been identified from reconnaissance two Senate subcommittees that the photographs. Soviet Union, by denying its need for These expressions of U.S. policy missile bases outside the U.S.S.R., had toward the Soviet buildup in Cuba by already recognized the "signals" which senior administration officials were the the United States had transmitted in its basis for the public diplomatic activities public statements regarding the danger conducted during the precrisis period. of installing offensive missiles in Cuba. By providing these statements to the Encouraged by the apparent effective- international communications media ness of this public diplomacy, Secretary and by promoting the dissemination of Rusk testified in favor of the proposed these statements and commentaries on joint resolution which would signal the them through the facilities of its own depth and unanimity of U.S. congres- information posts and diplomatic mis- sional opposition to the creation in sions abroad, the Kennedy adminis- Cuba of an externally supported mili- Lration sought to assure ally and neutral tary force capable of threatening U.S. that the United States was following a security. 10 rational, restrained, and measured Later, on the last day of September, policy, despite Soviet provocation and Secretary Rusk supported further the U.S. internal political pressure. More- A dr ftg i sef2016t3 : eNA-RtOb4" SO44?AbI669bu'1'1608-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 33 made to the Soviet Union during this that Latin American States could not be phase, these public statements and the depended upon for support in the event private exchanges which took place of a crisis.' between United States and Soviet offi- The time for testing began 15 cials were intended to serve as impor- October and continued for 13 days. tant indicators of U.S. security interests During that period, initiated by identifi- to the Soviet leaders. The potential cation of the missile sites, U.S. public adversary in the Kremlin was expected diplomacy played a far more effective to note and to understand these and successful role than during the "signals," such as the one to which precrisis phase. If the steps which led to Secretary Rusk referred in his congres- the Cuban missile confrontation were sional testimony about President facilitated by misjudgments based upon Kennedy not tolerating the presence of public diplomatic relations, the resolu- a force in Cuba capable of threatening tion of that crisis flowed in no small the security of the United States. measure from the support achieved and Clearly the Soviet Union misinter- the clear and precise intentions con- preted or misjudged the signals. But veyed through public diplomacy. while public diplomacy promotes During the first week after detection policy, it is not a substitute for it. The of the missile sites, there was no visible policy of restraint, by appearing to evidence of unusual activity in Washing- deemphasize the missile threat, not only ton. Selected members of the National made the President vulnerable to domes- Security Council and several other tic political pressure, but it also pro- senior Government officials conducted vided the Soviet leaders with grounds an extended series of meetings in for believing that he lacked the will and secrecy to determine the best way to boldness to oppose such a threat. meet the Soviet missile threat. By Further, since the U.S. Government Friday, 19 October, there was general policy failed to include public opposi- agreement among the participants, who tion to the extension of communism were convened as the Executive Com- into Cuba, the Soviet Union had reason mittec of the National Security Council to believe that the United States was (ExCom), that the first step should becoming acquiescent to the incursion. include the public declaration of a The administration even appeared to quarantine against the further intro- have sanctioned the defensive nature of duction of offensive weapons into Cuba Soviet arms and personnel while deny- announced simultaneously with the ing to opposition members in Congress demand that all similar weapons be the existence of offensive missiles, removed from that island. Within 48 leaving Soviet policymakers free to spec- hours President Kennedy made a final ulate as to whether the President was decision in concurrence with that view, prepared to accept presence of the and arrangements were planned for its missiles or to delay announcement until public release and implementation. after the congressional elections. Fi- The President's address to the nation nally, leaders in the Kremlin probably at 7 p.m., 22 October, was the first were also wrongly emboldened by some public indication that the United States information media comments in the and the world faced an unprecedented United States and more generally crisis. The domestic and foreign reaction abroad in allied countries that the was strong, immediate, and unequivocal. United States had become obsessed by After achieving the support of its allies, Cuba, that it had no grounds for threat- particularly the Organization of Ameri- ening warlike action against the Soviet can States, the President's address was A6%4cPV6e* Y g OO 7'12! 3 : &}Ii'-`I 6 '941 9 11'001? 01628-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 34 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW quarantine to become effective on 24 While these statements precommitted October. While the quarantine remained the administration to eliminating the unchallenged, the issue of Soviet inten- offensive threat, the President was tions stayed in doubt until the denoue- determined that the operation be per- ment on Sunday, 28 October. That formed without risking further miscon- morning, Radio Moscow broadcast the ceptions of U.S. intentions. For this text of Chairman Khrushchev's fifth purpose he made it clear that the U.S. letter to President Kennedy since the Government was to speak with a single advent of the crisis. Through this means voice. Planning for the dissemination of Khrushchev agreed with the conditions public statements was charged directly which had been set forth in President to ExCom, with the President's press Kennedy's most recent letter calling for secretary Pierre Salinger responsible for the removal of the offensive weapons coordination of the decisions.' s This and a " . . . halt to further introduction determination by the President rankled of such weapons systems into Cuba." many U.S. pressmen during the course In retrospect, it is no more possible of the crisis, and it eventually led to to determine which factor contributed charges of news management against the most effectively to the Soviet decision administration. Nonetheless, with Presi- to withdraw its offensive weapons than dent Kennedy reviewing all public state- it is to determine which factor was the ments originating in the White House, most responsible for their introduction. the decision to coordinate release of However, the preponderant power of information materials was implemented the U.S. strategic deterrent coupled faithfully and with telling effect with the inability of the Soviet Union to throughout the crisis phase. match U.S. military force in the Cuban Members of ExCom frequently con- area were, undoubtedly, principal con- sidered foreign public opinion when siderations. After being triggered by the assessing plans and their possible effects President's speech on 22 October in a on the outcome of the crisis.16 While preplanned response, the U.S. military the minutes of the ExCom meetings are effort involved about 300,000 men, 185 not yet available for public record, it naval vessels, a 2,100 mile quarantine may be inferred from guidelines laid line, and the most massive airborne alert down for the implementation of deci- in world history.14 But military force sions from this body that there were would be effective as a deterrent only to three principal objectives to be achieved the extent that potential adversaries in the field of public diplomacy during were aware of its presence, its capabili- this period: first, to establish Soviet ties, and the intent behind its utiliza- responsibility for the threat against the tion. Consequently, one of the most United States, the Western Hemisphere, important functions of U.S. public and world peace; second, to convince all diplomacy during the crisis phase was to interested parties of the firm intention convey in a direct, lucid, and unambigu- and capability of the United States to ous manner to friend and foe the vital remove the threat;* and third, to con- interests, intentions, and capabilities of vince all interested parties that the the United States. measures to be used were limited to the President Kennedy immediately threat, responsible in their inception recognized this need. As soon as he and implementation, and peaceful of learned that the missile sites had been intent. Adjuncts to these objectives identified, he requested Special Assis- were to keep world opinion focused on tant Theodore Sorensen to review all his the offensive weapons in Cuba, disasso- public statements on the possible U.S. ciated from similar U.S. weapons or A Or idle CI`iArlWb 14-U `1(~bO11"d 8-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 35 countering critics of U.S. policy and operations. The President's speech of 22 October provided the tone, direction, and basic source for the projection of U.S. public diplomacy during the crisis. Somber, deliberate, and firm, the speech stressed the unmistaken evidence and magnitude of the threat, the duplicity of Soviet policy in an area with a special relation- ship to the United States, and the resolve, but reasonableness, of the United States to eliminate the threat by whatever means were to be necessary, with a peaceful solution clearly pre- ferred. By stressing these points, the President sought to emphasize the strongest facets of the U.S. position: the mutual threat to hemispheric security, proven Soviet guilt, and the inevitable- ness of the United States outbidding the U.S.S.R. in a nearby area of tradition- ally vital interest. In his speech the President made the U.S. position clear. This country con- sidered that the Soviet Union, rather than Cuba, was primarily responsible for the crisis, the resolution for which the United States was prepared to face the cost of worldwide nuclear war, includ- ing a full retaliatory response in the event of a missile launched against any nation in the Western Hemisphere. But concurrently, the peaceful intent of the limited quarantine-as an initial step toward achievement of hemispheric security-and the appeal to the regional and international organizations as well as to Khrushchev himself all indicated a balanced and temperate approach in favor of a peaceful solution. Each of these points was amplified through implementation of public diplomacy. The importance of conveying these points abroad was reflected in the elabo- rate and finely timed arrangements made to gain maximum impact with the speech. In addition to the series of briefings scheduled for foreign ambas- sadors and the information media in A W 06PI4ef a LP2% O5PF21 3 special Presidential envoys were dis- patched to inform key leaders and representatives abroad. At the same time the U.S. Information Agency (USIA) initiated a massive campaign to disseminate the speech as the first step in its drive to ensure that explanation of the U.S. position was widely received and clearly understood overseas. The senior official available from USIA, Deputy Director Donald Wilson," had been brought into ExCom during the weekend preceding the President's quarantine speech. It was soon clear to him that the President was instictively interested in foreign public opinion and in the vital need for every- one, especially the people in the Soviet Union and Cuba, to be aware of what was happening.18 With this insight and the benefit of the ExCom guidelines in mind, he organized his Agency's efforts to promote the objectives of U.S. public diplomacy during the crisis. USIA gave multimedia promotion to the President's quarantine speech on 22 October. After alerting its overseas audi- ence, the Agency's radio service, Voice of America, carried the speech live from the White House on its worldwide net- work, with translations in Spanish and Portuguese broadcast immediately after- ward and in 35 additional languages later. Maximum Cuban reception was ensured by arranging for the unprece- dented utilization of 10 private U.S. radio stations to supplement VOA trans- missions to the island. While more than doubling its number of frequencies carrying Spanish-language programs and tripling its broadcast schedule to 24 hours per day, the Voice of America also carried the President's address and twice-daily news stories thereafter in Russian to Cuba for the Soviet per- sonnel stationed there. Videotapes, kinescopes, and standard film prints of the address in English and a wide variety of foreign languages were sent to USIA posts in more than 100 countries for use dli4-F k4-b' oRo "'10699 W18-4 ApproNAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW-RDP84-00499 R000100110028-4 commercial theaters, and television stations. Telstar transmission of the speech was arranged by USIA for millions of viewers in Europe. Radio teletype was used to send the text of the address to 107 Agency posts as the President spoke. These texts were trans- lated and reproduced for thousands of government officials, political leaders, and newspapers editors around the world. Finally, illustrated pamphlets with the text of the President's address in several languages were published at the Agency's regional printing centers in Manila, Mexico City, and Beirut, while 100 copies of a photo exhibit based on the speech were sent via air to Latin America, and prints in 40 languages of a 10-minute documentary on the Cuban situation were airshipped throughout the world. This extensive dissemination of Presi- dent Kennedy's quarantine speech typi- fied the manner in which USIA opera- tions19 promoted U.S. public diplo- matic objectives during the crisis. Wide coverage was also devoted to other events which served to illustrate or to strengthen the U.S. position, such as the unanimous support of the Organization of American States, the acrid Stevenson -Zorin exchanges at the Security Coun- cil sessions of the United Nations, and the unique series of messages among President Kennedy, Chairman Khrush- chev, and Secretary General U Thant. At the same time, USIA, as the Government Agency charged with the public promotion of U.S. foreign policy objectives, faced a variety of audiences: the governments and peoples of friendly, nonaligned, and adversary states. Many audiences merited special, sometimes unique, attention. Three examples illustrate the manner in which this attention was implemented with respect to the people in the Soviet Union, Great Britain, and Cuba. In order to keep pressure on the leaders in the Kremlin, the United of the Soviet Union knew about the genesis and implications of the crisis in Cuba. Since the controlled Soviet press had not revealed the presence of nuclear missile sites and other vital information germane to the crisis, USIA undertook to rectify the omissions. On 25 October, following a series of radio announce- ments alerting audiences to the up- coming event, VOA conducted a satura- tion broadcast to the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. Designed to penetrate jamming by 2,000 Communist inter- ference transmitters, VOA massed 52 transmitters, strategically sited around the Soviet Union, with a total power of nearly 4.5 million watts-equivalent to more than 86 of the strongest U.S. radio stations broadcasting simultaneously- for an 8%z-hour-long radio barrage in 10 languages on 80 frequencies. Favored by good propagation the saturation barrage broke through the jamming efforts and, as confirmed by electronic monitoring and reports from American newsmen in Moscow at the time, proved highly successful. A second example took place in Great Britain. One objective of U.S. public diplomacy was to establish the credibility of the Soviet threat to world peace. The United States recognized that the promotion of this objective would contribute to a favorable consen- sus of public opinion and support abroad which, in turn, would exert additional pressure on the Soviet Union to withdraw the source of the threat. While the favorable consensus was achieved rapidly in most countries, this was not the case with respect to the United States major ally, Great Britain, where much of the immediate press reaction to the quarantine address was negative. The Guardian doubted the effectiveness and wisdom of the quaran- tine, while the Daily Telegraph saw it as "greatly mistimed." The Daily Mail felt that the President was being led by popular emotion rather than states- Approvedt or I efleasel6l F12 3 : GNKn~6PS4-OOT499R U1Os$"'I"1601o8-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 37 promote the traditional British stance as have originated from the Bay of Pigs mediator. Perhaps most revealing was experience. He wanted to be certain the call by the Daily Herald for "irrefut- that the Cubans knew what the Soviet able proof" of the charge against the Union was doing on their island and Soviet Union. that the United States sought elimina- Luckily the proof was at hand in the tion of the missile threat without the form of photographs of the missile bases use of force. These points were high- which had been flown to London for lighted in the round-the-clock Spanish briefing of the British Prime Minister, programs of the Voice of America, Harold Macmillan. Presciently, upon which carried news broadcasts every 30 being shown the photographs the night minutes. But the President also ordered the President delivered his quarantine USIA to organize a massive leaflet drop speech, the Prime Minister had asserted for the island.22 Within 72 hours, 5 that they should be published in the million copies of a one-page leaflet were newspapers immediately since the threat prepared and printed in cooperation would not be believed until the photo- with the Psychological Warfare Head- graphs were shown.2 0 As a result of the quarters at Fort Bragg, N.C. On one side reaction of the press and the Prime of the leaflet was a photograph identify- Minister, USIA officers in London ing a nuclear missile base site in Cuba, sought and received permission on 23 while the other side described in October to release prints of the photo- Spanish the responsibility and inten- graphs. The prints were used that tions of the Soviet Union in con- evening on special programs carried by strueting the missile bases on Cuban both nationwide television channels, soil. Though the leaflets were loaded reaching an. estimated audience of 21 into canisters and mounted on planes at million persons. At the same time, a Florida airbase, they were never prints were provided to the national dropped. press, and they dominated the news on As the leaflets were prepared for the following morning, appearing in delivery, a U-2 plane had been shot newspapers with national circulations of down by a missile over Cuba. At the 24 million copies. Citing the photo- same time a letter was received from graphs, the London daily Express ran a Premier Khrushchev indicating possible one-word headline "Evidence." And the stiffening of Soviet resistance. As a daily Sketch called it "Proof." The consequence, President Kennedy was photographs were credited with playing probably reluctant to aggravate the a principal role in converting British tense situation with a leaflet drop which public opinion toward acceptance of the might have been interpreted as a prelude U.S. position. to invasion. Since the Soviet Union Moreover, because of the release of agreed during the following morning to the photographs in Great Britain, the remove the offensive weapons from embargo on their use was lifted every- Cuba, the rationale for dropping the where. As a result, they made a substan- leaflets was eliminated. tial contribution toward influencing Through these and a myriad of other world public opinion21 in favor of activities, USIA played the prime role in principal objectives of U.S. public diplo- presenting U.S. policy to foreign audi- macy: the establishment of the Soviet enccs during the crisis. In large part guilt and threat. because of this effort, it was later As a final example, President claimed that the U.S. position in the Kennedy expressed special concern for crisis and the threat upon which it was the Cuban people. This concern sur- based-the Soviet missiles in Cuba-were A$AW6s f`'l i6a&P 7_V'J0 'FJI 21 3 : G1 AJ D 80 . 0019 1062h-4 3roe~~A~rW ~R~LLOEG)ERA-RDP84-004998000100110028-4 C( 1.? DE 1'F'(>YfiCT[Lf iznrruia A-.,,- )f_I>C) 1* C"U111f RTA f. f: Pf UYf:C'1"f A RKMOLQU ES-TANQUE D. COMf3USTMIX PAPA ? N YEtfIIA7S ?UES-TANQUE DE COMf3USTI13LF. PARA PROYECTILES Esta fotografia fue' tomada un dia de ]a semana pasada desde un avion que volo' sobre Cuba. Ella muestra una base de proyectiles nucleares de caracter ofensivo cerca de San Cristo- bal. Esta es una de varias bases que apresurada y secreta- mente fueron construfdas por los rusos y pare los rusos. Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 39 LA VERDAD Los rusos secretamente han construido bases de proyectiles nucleares de caracter ofensivo en Cuba. Estas bases ponen en peligro. vidas cubanas y la paz del mundo, porque Cuba es ahora una base de avanzada para la agresion sovietica. Los rusos, con el consentimiento de Castro, Ilevaron a cabo su trabajo en secreto. Los cubanos no tienen acceso a esas bases. Pero las bases estan alli Para proteger a) pueblo cubano, y a todos los pueblos del hemisferio occidental, el Presidente Kennedy con ]a aprobacion de todos los paises latinoamericanos ha impuesto una cuar- entena para evitar que este equipo belico de caracter ofensivo sea desembarcado en Cuba. Los alimentos no son detenidos, ]as medicinas no son detenidas, solo es detenido el material de guerra agresivo de los rusos. Cuando. ese material de guerra sea retirado de Cuba la cuar- entena terminara Gt Ocho de diez bases de proyectiles nucleares de caracter ofensivo. eaten localizadas en ]as cerca- nas de Guanajay, Reme- dios, San Cristobal y Sagua la Grande. Approved V e'ttase 2005/12/23: CIA-RDP84-00499R0001001I0028~4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 40 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW throughout the world than any other single international issue in history.2 3 But USIA was not the only channel for promoting the objectives of U.S. public diplomacy in this period. These objectives were also advanced by unoffi- cial means, such as through the domes- tic and international information media, which carried or commented upon reports made by U.S. Government spokesmen at the White House, the Department of State, the Department of Defense, and the United Nations. This news coverage and commentary not only informed the world public about events and their implications, it also engaged in transmitting to all recipients signals of the will, force, and intent of the United States throughout the crisis, thereby providing an additional means of presenting and clarifying the U.S. position abroad. Because of the extreme seriousness of the situation and the rapidity with which these reports were disseminated by the international infor- mation media, this facet of public diplo- macy had a greater impact than usual on the crisis. This facet and its impact became particularly apparent during the final phase of the crisis. By Friday, 26 October, 4 days after the quarantine speech, the United States knew that construction work on the missile bases was being accelerated, rather than termi- nated. In view of this information it was estimated that some of the missile bases could be operational within several days, at which time the United States would have lost its tactical advantage and be faced with a new, more dan- gerous situation: the probability of mis- sile launches from Cuba against targets in the United States before the bases could be eliminated by force, in case a strike became necessary. Operational readiness of the bases would raise sharply the ante of the confrontation. Implementation of the naval llgluarantine 2 days ent MAs'' , r1rs Q ?4J 9W ARW had failed to deter construction at the sites. It was clear that the United States would have to convince the Soviet Union of the need to halt work on the bases very shortly or be prepared to do it by unilateral means through the use of force. At this juncture, on 26 October, Department of State spokesman Lincoln White noted at the noontime press briefing that construction work was continuing on the missile bases. He then called attention to President Kennedy's earlier statement in his quarantine speech to the effect that further U.S. action would be justified if the military preparations continued. Later that day the White House released a statement indicating that construction of the bases was being speeded up under the attempt of camouflage. Shortly thereafter Con- gressman Clement Zabllocki told reporters that it might soon be neces- sary to conduct "pinpoint bombing" against the missile sites. Finally, the press was authorized to report on the buildup of a marine strike force in Florida.24 This series of public announcements was sufficient to ignite a barrage of headlines indicating the growing justification for, and the strong imminence of, invasion or airstrikes against Cuba. Within 48 hours Radio Moscow broadcast the text of Khrush- chev's letter agreeing to dismantle the missile sites and to remove the offensive weapons from Cuba. Publicizing knowledge of the accel- erating construction work on the missile bases established the basis for "further action" cited by the President. By coupling notice of this acceleration with the buildup of a U.S. invasion force implied what the next act on the part of the United States could be. Moreover, correlating the preparations for invasion with the construction work on the missile bases served to indicate to Premier Khrushchev how the Soviet Union could stop escalation of U.S. ChR 9FAl?p4 RQ9Qi1MQ11O -4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 41 Khrushchev later admitted that the Soviet Union agreed to withdraw the offensive weapons when it became clear that an invasion from the United States was actually imminent.2 5 And Pierre Salinger, the President's press secretary, concluded that the statements released on the continuing work at the missile base sites were as important in main- taining pressure at this time as the positioning of U.S. troops for the pos- sible invasion of Cuba. 2 6 There was no boasting and no claim of victory by the United States when the Soviet Union agreed to withdraw its offensive weapons from the island. President Kennedy declined to appear on television at this occasion and made it clear to his staff that moderation remained the rule-giving rise to the suggestion that the United States wished to avoid dismantling Khrushchev along with the missile bases. Even during the following weeks that it took to achieve removal of the missiles and the bombers, without the agreed on-site inspection, the United States refrained from any appearance of gloating over the outcome of the crisis. Realization of how close the United States had come to open hostilities with its nuclear- armed adversary must have been suffi- ciently sobering for the policymakers who had endured the traumatic experi- ence. During this aftermath period they also may well have been assessing the factors which created the crisis, as well as those that facilitated its resolution. The same determinations could be sought with respect to the role played by public diplomacy during this epi- sode. With hindsight, there is general agree- ment that misjudgments and misconcep- tions contributed substantially to the growth of the crisis. Both the United States and the Soviet Union erred in assessing the strength of the other's will, interests, and intentions. The "signals" that the Kenned administration felt proMcgiFt@ i, elWsgh?0We i 3 apparently did not transmit the messages that were intended. These efforts were conceivably masked by the administration's seeming reluctance to challenge openly the blatant Soviet buildup of military supplies and person- nel in Cuba. Certainly the U.S. policy of restraint, as reflected in its public diplo- macy, provided ample grounds for the Soviet Union to be misled into sus- pecting that the United States might not oppose, either publicly or forcefully, the presence of offensive weapons in Cuba, at least until after the congres- sional elections-by which time the mis- sile bases would have been operational and incalculably more difficult to elimi- nate. But after the discovery of the missile sites by the United States, the extent of Soviet misjudgment was revealed by deft and coordinated application of military power, private persuasion, and public diplomacy. Under firm, unilateral leadership, the United States rallied its own forces, its allies, and world opinion to the defense of a vital interest. By clearly defining achievable objectives and by pursuing them with the mini- Mr. G. Scott Sug- den did his under- graduate work at Brown University in international relations and holds a master's degree and Ph.D. in international relations from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy. As an officer of the United States Information Service (USIS) he has served in USIS offices of both India and Pakistan, has been the Director of Student Affairs in London and the Director in Northern Nigeria and most recently was assigned to the Office of the Director for Africa. Mr. Sugden is a recent graduate of the College of Naval Warfare, and is currently serving as Plans Officer for the Joint United States Public df i K'6WA,4 0& '99R000100110028-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 42 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW mum amount of force through means which allowed the Soviet Union an honorable means for public accomo- dation, the United States reached a resolution of the crisis. This process was facilitated by the ability to convince the Soviet Union and other interested coun- tries that the United States had both the resolve and the military power to elimi- nate the threat of the offensive weapons in Cuba by whatever means were neces- sary. It was in this capacity that public diplomacy made its most meaningful contribution. In short, during the Cuban missile crisis U.S. public diplomacy served as a principal means of conveying the will, intent, and capability of the United States. Its use expressed recognition of the influence that modern communica- tions media and world public opinion can have upon government decision- makers. Moreover, it demonstrated with force the dependence of its effectiveness upon sound policy and the strength of credible evidence. If the United States is to face another confrontation with the Soviet Union in Cuba, it would do well to profit from the experience of its previ- ous encounter. The Soviet Union must not be misled into harboring misconcep- tions about the interests of the United States and its capacity and resolve to protect those interests. It should be made clear at the outset what the United States considers inimical to its security and to its interests. The confrontation of 1962 demon- strated that public diplomacy can make a significant contribution to inter- national crisis management and resolu- tion. The United States must be well prepared to use it wisely and effectively. FOOTNOTES 1. Robert D. Crane, "The Cuban Crisis: a Strategic Analysis of American and Soviet Policy," Orbis, Winter 1963, p. 533. See also James Reston, "Not Only the President Was Killed, but the Promise," The New York Times Magazine, 15 November 1964, p. 24; and Theodore C. Sorensen, Kennedy (New York: Harper, 1965), p. 545-550. 2. Arnold L. Horelick, The Cuban Missile Crisis: an Analysis of Soviet Calculations and Behavior (Santa Monica, Cal.: Rand, 1963), p. 38. 3. Nikita Khrushchev, Khrushchev Remembers (Boston: Little, Brown, 1970), p. 492-496. 4. Roger Hilsman, To Move a Nation (Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday, 1967), p. 161, 165. 5. U.S. Dept. of State, Press Release no. 195, 27 March 1962. 6. "Interview with Edwin M. Martin, Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs," U.S. News & World Report, 6 August 1962, p. 18. 7. See Oral History Interview (text) for John F. Kennedy Library, Waltham, Mass., with Robert Hurwitch, Special Assistant for Cuban Affairs, Department of State, p. 1.36; Walt W. Rostow, View from the Seventh Floor (New York: Harper & Row, 1964), p. 9-10; Sorensen, p. 671. 8. Norman Cousins, "Newspapers and Hair Triggers," Saturday Review, 4 August 1962, p. 12. 9. See "The President's News Conference of August 29," Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States, John F. Kennedy, 1962 (Washington: U.S. Govt. Print. Off., ]1963), p. 652-653; and Harold Chase and Allen Lerman, eds., Kennedy and the Press (New York: Crowell, 1965), p. 314-315. 10. U.S. Congress, Senate, Committees for Foreign Relations and Armed Services, Situation in Cuba, Hearings (Washington: U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1962), p. 31. 11. George W. Ball, "Trading Relations between the Free World and Cuba," The Department of State Bulletin, 22 October 1962, p. 591-595. 12. See Oral History Interview (text) for John F. Kennedy Library with Edwin Marlin, p. 56; and James Daniel and John G. Hubbell, Strike in the West (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1963), p. 34. 13. See Walter Lippmann, "Cuba: Watchful Waiting," New York Herald Tribune, 18 September 1962, p. 26; Walter Lippmann, "On War with Cuba," New York Herald Tribune, 9 A've1r?r~el@2?0S/l2/2Te ~h?tQP~~~I#049D?011~0`i~F4l~i~-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 MISSILES OF OCTOBER 43 off Cubanism," The Economist, 6 October 1962, p. 1647; David Richardson, "Count Me Out," U.S. News & World Report, 17 September 1962, p. 39; and Sorensen, p. 672. 14. For details of the military operations see the Reports of the Secretaries in the Department of Defense, U.S. Dept. of Defense, Annual Report for Fiscal Year 1963 (Washington: U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1964), p. 4-8, 111-114, 190-191, 243-247. 15. See Pierre Salinger, With Kennedy (Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday, 1966), p. 287; and Sorensen, p. 319, 674. 16. Thomas C. Sorensen, The Word War (New York: Harper & Row, 1968), p. 205; and Crane, p. 538. 17. USIA Director Edward R. Murrow was in the hospital with pneumonia throughout this period. 18. Interview with Donald Wilson, Vice President, Time Inc., New York: 17 November 1970; and Oral History Interview (text) for John F. Kennedy Library with Donald Wilson, 2 September 1963, p. 16-21. 19. For a summary of these operations, objectives, and reactions see U.S. Information Agency, 19th Review of Operations July 1-December 31, 1962 (Washington: 1963), p. 5-12; and Thomas C. Sorensen, p. 202-210. 20. Oral History Interview (text) for John F. Kennedy Library with Dean Acheson, p. 27. 21. See Oral History Interview with Donald Wilson, p. 21; and Alastair Buchan, Crisis Management the New Diplomacy (Paris: Atlantic Institute, 1966), p. 34. 22. Ibid., p. 22-23. See also Theodore Sorensen, p. 711; and Thomas Sorensen, p. 204-205. 23. Donald Wilson, "Persuasion Overseas: an Element of Power," Vassar Alumnae Magazine,, February 1964, p. 11; see also Alexander Kendrick, Prime Time: the Life of Edward R. Murrow (Boston: Little, Brown, 1969), p. 484. 24. See Elie Abel, The Missile Crisis (New York: Lippincott, 1966), p. 173-174; Oran R. Young, The Politics of Force (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1968), p. 212-213; Henry M. Pachter, Collision Course (New York: Praeger, 1963), p. 44-50; and Hilsman, 213-214. 25. Nikita Khrushchev Speech before the Supreme Soviet December 12, 1962, The New York Times, 13 December 1962, p. 2:3-8; and his Khrushchev Remembers, p. 497-498. 26. Salinger, p. 301; see also Young, p. 213. The printing press is the greatest weapon in the armory of the modern commander. T.E. Lawrence, 1888-1935 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP84-00499R000100110028-4 44 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW PHYSICIANS' ASSISTANTS: CAN THEY AUGMENT THE NAVY MEDICAL SERVICE? The adequacy of health care by naval medical facilities is being seriously threatened by a chronic shortage of doctors-a situation that is projected to further deteriorate in the civilian as well as the Navy community. Available resources will not permit the training of sufficient doctors to alleviate this problem, and what is clearly needed is some alternative method for improving health services in the Navy. One practical alternative is the physician's assistant. It offers both a feasible and suitable means of making existing Navy physicians stretch further and, thereby, provide more adequate health care to the greater naval community. A research paper prepared by Captain Mario A. Vasquez, MC, U.S. Navy College of Naval Warfare THE CONTEMPORARY HEALTH SCENE Introduction. One hundred years ago on 7 March 1871, the U.S. Navy Medi- cal Corps came into being. For almost an entire century its basic mission has remained unchanged: To provide the best medical care available to the men and women of the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps. That this has been done with skill and distinction is attested to by the admiration and gratitude of generations of Navy men. Unfortu- nately, congressional acts in 1947 and 1950 have added such an additional patient load on Navy physicians that they can no longer provide the quality of medical care which has characterized The major problem facing Navy medicine today-indeed, medical prac- tice throughout the country-is the in- creasing number of patients without a compensatory increase in the number of physicians. The training of paramedical personnel has been suggested as one way to reduce the medical manpower short- age. For many years the Navy has trained an "army" of allied health personnel to assist with medical care. It would seem prudent, therefore, to examine the con- cept of the physician's assistant in the light of present-day Navy medical needs and resources. Civilian Medical Scene. One of the realities of present-day medicine has A rW9 *6fgk4 raf T**i'2 3 : dA(j &949N4)?ff Wbf63ffi $-4