SOVIET MILITARY AID

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CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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15
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December 19, 2016
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3
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REPORT
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OCI No. 0311/63A Copy No. 71 SPECIAL REPORT SOVIET MILITARY AID CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH ~PHrc,aRu1aRTS at~T IX=DIATSIX AMR USE Jos .. _ , 20 December 1963 C RO1!P i F , ~ sided f,cirt, automatic ioAr Iccmu and cec.lassitieation Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SECRET Military aid continues to be an important instrument of Soviet foreign policy. Moscow's activities in the field appear to be at an all- time high. More than $3.2 billion worth of Soviet bloc military hardware and technical assistance has been committed to non-Communist countries (excluding Cuba) since 1955. Two thirds of this has been extended by the USSR since early 1960. The size of new military aid commitments has been reduced in the past two years from the 1960- 61 peak, but the number of recipient countries has increased and long-term programs are steadily being carried out. Advanced weapons systems have become a standard aid item, large Soviet military- advisory missions are operating in several coun- tries, military production facilities are being supplied abroad, and on some occasions the USSR has provided personnel to man equipment tempo- rarily. Soviet military aid origi- nally focused on the same short- term ends as economic aid: es- tablishing a presence, develop- ing ties, fostering neutralism, and stimulating economic rela- tions through repayment obliga- tions. It was used as a means of entry into several countries, even before economic aid. Prior to mid-1960, however, the USSR seemed reluctant to acknowledge its association with arms deals. It avoided undue publicity about the program and sometimes used the European satellites. as middlemen. Moscow probably soon saw the advantages of military assistance: rapid delivery, plentiful supplies to draw on, immediate impact, and the en- largement of Soviet contacts with elite military circles. As the trade and aid offensive matured and Moscow became em- broiled in the complexities and slow fruition of economic develop- ment, the military aid program doubtless seemed even more attractive. In 1960 and 1961, when the rate of Soviet economic aid extensions was curtailed, new military aid extensions reached record levels. In the second half of 1960, soon after the collapse of the' summit conference and the erup- tion of the Sino-Soviet conflict, the USSR embarked on an unprece- dented wave of military aid ac- tivity. This seemed aimed largely at demonstrating militant Soviet support for the "national libera- tion movement" to the rest of the Communist world. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Appro 0 For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP70927A004300040003-0 %ff GHANA EGYPT NOTE: These figures reflect list prices quoted by the bloc for equipment and technical services. They do not reflect the large price discounts frequently granted by the USSR and they do not indicate the debt obligations of recipe ients. In most instances the estimates are based on fragmentary information and for some countries they are quite rough. The figures for Iraq, Indonesia, and India, for example, are based largely on reliable documents, while those for Egypt, Syria, and Afghanistan generally lack similar supporting evidence. Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 SECRET the port In August-September 1960 Soviet weapons--had not then USSR moved rapidly to pro-Communist forces sup- in been transferred countries. to other bloc the Congo. In September it be- gan to supply arms to Cuba after months of apparent hesitation. In the same month Soviet mili- tary shipments to Guinea were initiated and the first major Soviet-Indonesian arms deal was signed. In October the first important arms agreement with the UAR in more than two years was concluded. In November the first Soviet military agreement with India--for transport air- craft--was concluded, a gift of jet fighters was offered to Morocco, and a long-range mili- tary program was proposed for Ghana. In early December 1960, soon after the Moscow conference of Communist parties in which the Soviets were scored by the Chinese for inadequately sup- porting revolutionary struggles, the USSR began its airlift to aid the neutralist/Communist forces in Laos. Shortly there- after the first shipments of Soviet weapons were made via Morocco to the Algerian forces. In January 1961 the first agreement for tactical missilery was concluded with Indonesia; similar agreements were reached with the UAR and Iraq later in the year. For the first'time the USSR agreed to supply TU-16 (Badger) jet medium bombers, MIG-21 (Fishbed) jet fighters, and Komar guided-missile boats, as well as modern armored vehi- cles and naval ships. Many of these items--still first-line An innovation in Soviet military aid was introduced under an arms deal with Indonesia in May 1962. Soviet crews were used to man six submarines which SOVIET BLOC IC( YASSISTANCE and"Ft8uies asrcp ice 1955, more than $~ 2 billion worth of Soviet bloc ry aid has been committed to ISS non Communist coon . Over $.2 5 billion of this has been delivered- a rake af,' V utilization far greater than for economic aid programs` 4 out$# 2 bstlionoftotal aid in the form of grants acrd c discounts -does not require_repaymenf iPu st ?af t . r t r? fining $2 billion has been financed by medium and long term credits. ~ # ercer t of total Corn U SR I pr tvided m aret anto rtitait ma itary aid, and much, cf the_ rest has been me naged ascow Bi est=gears for new commitments were F9b0 aid ] 6r wen aid extended totaled some 50 million and $770 mrl- pectively . Extensions have tapered ofd` somewhat sinc hen, but,the size + f man ynew agreements in not yet known `,: deals w h Indonesia and Egypt accoun for nearf a-t ?trr s o the entire program estimated $ la mill an _at,. O#n spent an militar ca assistanae.._ earl lvr,t :foreign nationais have re lved some of m itary training sn the Soviet bloc r est mate l 11,000 Soviet bloc military technicians` `~d advisers hove worked abroad for perfi+ ds-of six months Or: ,ore: ... SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 Ifts-e NOW SECRET had been provided on very short notice and deployed during the height of the West Irian crisis. The Soviet crews stayed for sev- eral months while Indonesian personnel were trained. Simi- larly, in early October 1962 Soviet personnel began to help man Egyptian bombers and trans- ports in support of UAR mili- tary operations in Yemen. The development of Cuba as a strategic Soviet base in the summer and autumn of 1962 was carried out under the guise of a military aid program. Much of the intense Soviet activity in the military aid field last year--including that in Indo- nesia and Yemen--served to mask the nature of the Cuban build- up, even though the Soviets may not have intended this. Recent Developments Since the US-Soviet con- frontation over Cuba in 1962-- a high-water mark in Soviet military activities abroad-- Moscow has continued to stress military aid. Throughout 1963 the USSR has supported UAR opera- tions in Yemen and early in the year began supplying the repub- lican government with some equip- ment directly. In the UAR it- self, Soviet activity is con- centrated on development of a missile-equipped air defense system, which now includes con- struction of at least eight sur- face-to-air missile (SAM) sites and some 60 MIG-21s. The system is not yet in operation. The program in Iraq was subjected to a severe test in 1963 when Soviet-Iraqi relations were nearly broken off and mili- tary aid was halted for two` months. Shipments have resumed since then, but parts of the over-all program--including the SAM project--are suspended and the number of Soviet military advisers in the country has been sharply reduced. In Syria, political insta- bility has hampered Soviet mili- tary aid activities. Periodic deliveries are continuing, how- ever. Four Komar guided-missile boats arrived recently. Apparently under a 1963 military aid pact with Algeria, more than 400 Algerian person- nel--mainly naval and air trainees --are receiving instruction in the USSR; aircraft and naval equipment eventually will be supplied. Only one shipment of military equipment, consisting of tanks and other land arma- ments, was made directly to Algeria from the USSR during the hostilities with Morocco. Mos- cow, however, probably encouraged UAR military aid to Algeria and at least acquiesced in Cuba's efforts. 4 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 Ag do M'krlYl 160WOP1 E .M9P7W9 I r? 6 V I ET MILITARY AID PROGRAM Indonesian MIG-21 jet fighter equipped for air-to-air missiles. M1G- 21's have also been supplied to Egypt, Iraq, Syria, India, Finland, Yugoslavia, and Cuba. Indian AN-12 heavy military transport. AN-12's have also gone to Iraq ,Egypt, Ghana, and Cuba. Egyptian Komar-class guided missile patrol boat. Komars have also been sup- plied to Cuba, Indonesia, and Syria. Egyptian TU-16 jet medium bomber. TU-16's have also gone to Iraq and to Indonesia; some in Indonesia are equipped for air-to-surtace missiles. Indonesian Sverdlov-class light cruiser. Indonesia has received more Soviet naval aid than any other country and is the only one to get a cruiser. Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-R?P79-00927A004300040003-0 Approve For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP779-00927A004300040003-0 NMI, 4 SECRET An arms deal with the So- mali Republic last October is the first major Soviet military aid agreement in Africa south of the Sahara. More than 200 Somali officers and men are in the USSR for military training. Deliveries of jet fighters, small patrol ships, and land armaments are expected, and may already have begun. Elsewhere in Africa, Soviet military aid to Guinea--the only African country equipped entirely with bloc military gear--has come to a virtual standstill and no further deliveries are known to be scheduled. A small train- ing program continues, however. In Ghana, where Soviet arms aid has been limited to a small amount of equipment for Nkrumah's personal guard, there are signs that a more extensive program of Soviet military assistance may be in the wind. For the last two years Soviet military aid to Afghan- istan has been focused on train- ing, maintenance, and reorgani- zation. Little additional equip- ment has been delivered, but local interest in more modern weapons is likely to be fostered by Soviet technicians and ad- visers working with Afghan per- sonnel. The nature of Soviet mili- tary assistance to India almost certainly has been influenced by Moscow's sensitivity to Pei- ping's strident denunciations of Soviet support for the Nehru government. The USSR has been careful to provide only equip- ment designed to serve primarily defensive purposes in order to avoid the appearance of strength- ening India's offensive capabil- ities against China. The Soviets, however, have shown no signs of backing out of their commitments and now are executing the ex- panded program agreed to in 1963. Moscow has provided India with a large number of military transports and helicopters, and a few MIG fighters. It has agreed to supply SAMs and is proceeding with plans for set- ting up production facilities for MIG aircraft and missiles. The USSR has turned down some Indian requests, however, partly for technical reasons, and has refused consistently to liberal- ize its rather stiff financial terms for military aid to India. This would enable the Soviets to claim that these are commer- cial sales and do not involve financial assistance. There have been few new de- velopments in Soviet military aid to Indonesia this year. Con- struction of new SAM sites con- tinues, and extensive training programs, frequently for officers in the higher ranks, are under way in many fields. Few addi- tional arms shipments are being made pending the assimilation of equipment already on hand. In Cuba, the remaining Soviet military personnel ap- parently are being shaped into 6 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927A004300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SECRET a permanent military aid and advisory mission. Intensive training programs for Cuban per- sonnel have led to turnover of much of the equipment brought in as part of the Soviet mili- tary build-up. The amount and make-up of Soviet military aid to Yugosla- via is still uncertain, but a substantial program is being carried out. Deliveries in 1962-63 included tanks, assault guns, MIG fighters, and radars. A SAM system apparently will be established, but the number of sites has not been disclosed. Impact of the Program Moscow has registered some significant gains through mili- tary aid, and the vigor put in- to the program in recent years indicates clearly that the Soviets consider their efforts worthwhile. Furthermore, the achievements have proved last- ing and may well have greater implications in the long run. Through its aid programs Moscow has developed close work- ing ties with several key under- developed countries--ties vir- tually nonexistent before 1955. While military aid is only part of the total Soviet approach, countries heavily dependent on Soviet military support fre- quently develop the most durable and far-reaching relations with Moscow. The durability of mili- tary aid ties was proven during the height of Soviet-Iraqi re- criminations in mid-1963 when shipments were suspended for a time but the program itself was not jettisoned. Military aid results in a dependence unmatched by most eco- nomic relationships. A country relying largely on the USSR for military equipment, spare parts, and technical aid must at least consider Moscow's views before embarking on a venture hostile to Soviet interests. Reluctance of local military leaders to jeopardize their source of sup- ply almost certainly has tempered some political decisions. Simi- larly, military aid stimulates trade and frequently leads rapidly to financial indebtedness, giving the Soviets another instrument to manipulate in support of their local policy objectives. Provision of military tech- nicians and advisers has resulted in a Soviet presence in many new areas. This technical aid, along with training programs for thou- sands of foreign nationals, may have increasing important conse- quences as Soviet-trained person- nel advance in military and po- litical hierarchies. Introduction of advanced weapons systems in technically backward countries has spurred training programs, but even the supply of conventional equipment places a strain on the technical resources of many countries where numbers of qualified per- sonnel are severely limited. Military training is an attrac- tive prospect for many Afro- Asians who lack other means of acquiring the educational attri- butes needed in a modern society. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SOVIET BLOC MILITARY HARDWARE IS ,TUBED ON MANY CEREMONIAL OCCASIONS IN AFRO-ASIAN COUNTRIES T-54 tanks, Kabul, August 1962. Twin 57mm.self-propelled anti-aircraft guns, Cairo, July 1963. SA-2 (GUIDELINE) surface-to-air missile, Cairo, July 1963. PT-76 amphibious tank, Djakarta, MIG-19 jet fighters in flyby over Cairo, October 1962. July 1963. Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 -Mal- Ift.- SECRET The Soviets doubtless cultivate this desire and attempt to se- lect the cream of military can- didates for higher level in- struction. Although reports of dis- satisfaction with Soviet train- ing are frequent, these may originate with malcontents who do not represent a majority of trainees. Moreover, large- scale training programs continue to be planned and carried ouV despite occasional rumblings of discontent and failures of some training ventures. More than ever before, large numbers of foreign na- tionals are receiving high- level military instruction in the USSR. Indonesia is the most striking example of such training, and large programs are also in progress for trainees from the UAR, Afghanistan, and Cuba. More recently, Algeria and the Somali Republic have embarked on military training programs in the USSR as a pre- requisite to deliveries of equipment. No clear-cut gains, such as growth of pro-Soviet attitudes among military circles, are evi- dent from this training, even though the USSR has carefully fostered the anti-Western views of many foreign military men. Moscow probably calculates that working relationships with key military leaders and prolonged exposure to Soviet views and methods may build a reservoir of influence which could be critical in some future power struggle. In the meantime, short-run objectives will be achieved if Soviet-trained per- sonnel exert any influence on their governments to continue neutralist, if not pro-Soviet, foreign policies. Fears of these trends are expressed rather frequently by both military and civilian leaders in underdeveloped countries, but rarely do these fears result in curtailment of military programs. King Zahir of Afghanistan, for instance, is said to be concerned with the long-run consequences of Soviet influence in the Afghan military, but he continues to approve additional training pro- grams, both at home and in the USSR. As long as the Soviets remain willing to fulfill desires for military equipment, partic- ularly of the more modern varieties, they will be able to capitalize on the need for train- ing and to insist on the entry of Soviet technicians and advisers. The most immediate impact of Soviet military aid has been its further injection of the USSR into regional disputes throughout the world. As a sup- plier of military equipment to one or more of the participants in local conflicts, Moscow often becomes a factor where otherwise it would have little influence. While the Soviets probably wel- come these opportunities in gen- eral, it seems likely that in some instances they would prefer to be less involved. The USSR frequently moves cautiously in providing military SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SECRET aid, but compared with most West- ern countries, Moscow has fewer conflicting interests in under- developed areas and usually is able to choose sides more rapidly in local disputes. Even where they have conflicting interests, the Soviets usually are more un- inhibited in their approach to military aid and are less con- cerned with the consequences of introducing weapons in trouble spots. This allows rapid Soviet support for nationalist goals and expansionist aspirations of leaders like Sukarno and Nasir, winning laurels for Soviet policies at the expense of the West.. Damage to Soviet relations with other countries affected by these methods may well be out- weighed by the prospects for eroding Western influence in the area as a whole. Moscow continues to respond favorably to new military aid requests and to seek out new areas of activity. In recent weeks there has been a surge in Soviet military shipments abroad, reflecting new aid agree- ments as well as maintenance and modernization under well-es- tablished programs. There is no sign that the USSR's increased selectiveness in making economic aid offers carries over into the military field. The Soviets are well aware of the limitations of foreign aid diplomacy, but they appear convinced that it retains its usefulness, partic- ularly military aid. As long as an improvement in East-West relations remains a primary Soviet objective, the USSR is likely to limit its direct involvement in regional crises. In Indonesia, for in- stance, the Soviets may be ex- erting a moderating influence on the military aspects of Djakarta's anti-Malaysian pol- icies. In the recent Algerian- Morrocan border fracas, the Soviet Union could have become more deeply involved, but seemed content to work largely in con- junction with the UAR and Cuba, and to carry on its longer range program of military aid to Algeria. To help protect its image from criticism which may arise from lagging Soviet economic programs, Moscow will be alert for new military aid opportu- nities. Military aid could help gloss over any Soviet un- willingness to undertake siz- able new economic commitments abroad. In Brazil, for instance, the USSR displays a marked re- luctance to engage in an ex- pansive economic aid program, but might make an attractive offer of aircraft to the Brazil- ian Air Force as an inexpensive substitute. The USSR probably will con- tinue supplying selected coun- tries with advanced weapons systems and sufficient manpower to train local military person- nel. Agreements with India and Indonesia for setting up MIG SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SECRET fighter assembly plants suggest that provision of military pro- duction facilities may become a more important part of the program. Such agreements are unlikely to reduce a recipient's reliance on Soviet military aid in the near future and may even increase it through the need for imported components. The USSR probably will con- tinue to emphasize the techni- cal aspects of its military aid program. In addition to opera- tional and maintenance instruc- tion, greater training in the- oretical military concepts seems Likely as the Soviets seek to cultivate long-range influence with foreign military establish- ments. 12 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/11: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04300040003-0 Approved For Release 2006SECRLp7DP79-00927AO04300040003-0 SECRET Approved For Release 2006110111: CIA-R?P79-00927A004300040003-0