AN ESTIMATE OF THE POLITICAL SITUATION IN THE INDONESIAN REPUBLIC

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00457R001700520007-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 3, 2005
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: August 4, 1948
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved EMREsrNf9.N 0 6
INFORMOK
COUNTRY Uetherlands last Indies
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ACQUIRED
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1.
110 AT
An Estimate of the Political Situation
in i Indonesian Republic 25X1 A
THIS IS UNEVALUATED INFORMATION FOR THE RESEARCH
USE OF TRAINED INTELLIGENCE ANALYSTS
The Dutch-Indonesian negotiations will break down. The Indonesian Republic
would prefer to have the question settled in the United Nations,:
The Dutch, once they get the United States of Indonesia (USI) set up,
plan to ignore the Republic and robably the tIN0 It seems likely that
they will claim that the disagreement is not between the Dutch and the
Indonesians, but between two groups of Indonesianf,and therefore is a
civil ),natter and notmiU in the scopo of the UNV
The republic is having administrative difficulties. Hatta will probably
take Sjarifoedin back in the Cabinet. The latter has become the
quasi-stooge of (Laroeto) Daroesman and of Alimin. Sjahrir does not
trust him. 4I Comment. opinion that
Setiadjit is now the lending Indonesian Comutiuniat that S jarifoodin
is his tool.)
Sjahrir is discouraged and seems to think that the Republic is in a
hopeless situation. Although S shrir is being urged to takean official
position in the Republic it is unlikely that he will.
Sjahrir is becoming more and more disgusted with
25X1
isolationist policy o the Jogjakarta leaders.
,phe
3jahrir has sent most of his promising younger followers abroad, among
them being Soedarpo, Soedjwnoko and Loobis.
does not believe that the Dutch will resort to military action.
uoh action would be unnecessary as the Dutch could leave
that to the USI when it is set up, or could merely ignore the Republic,.
the most advantageous solution for the Republic
is to join the USI and than to exert all its efforts on making it an
independent government. Leaders sympathetic to the Republic are now
1 dominating the puppet governments set: u under the aegis of the Dutch
in -Oest Java and in East Indonesia and the republic could
Comment.
STATE
ARMY
DFC~A S
was ess s c out the Republic' s rosppec s n ava, . u op a -G1.0
gtr its s c~s ii G r at ted thft both (ijahrir and
a s'elh ? he e o ha been os bu at the
Republic could survive in Sumatra.)
CLASSIFICATION CO1FI.0T2'TI
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