EAST ASIA BIWEEKLY REVIEW

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 21, 2005
Sequence Number: 
12
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 31, 1978
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2.pdf520.06 KB
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ro~~~?P~- Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A0022000 ore~gn Assessment Center East Asia Biweekly .Review 31 May 1978 Secret RP EABR 78-011 31 May 1978 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A0022000100 Y~y1 '~ 25X1 gpproved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release b2200010012-2 25X1 31 May 1978 CONTENTS The Contenders i.n the Narita Controversy 1 The opening of Japan's new international airport marks an important victory for the government in dealing with a 12-year- old controversy that has incited rnany bloody conflicts and hundreds of demonstra- tions. North Korea: Succession Issue Lurches Forward. 4 .North Korean President Kim Il-song's be- hind-the-scenes effort to groom his son, Kim Chong-il, as his successor continues to move by fits and starts. Papua New Guinea - Indonesia: A Try at Understanding . . 7 The visit of the Papua New Guinean Foreign Minister to Jakarta has not resolved long- standing differences but may have helped promote fuller mutual understanding. 25X1 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 25X1 Approved For Relea 25X1A The Contenders in the Narita Controversy :Japan's new international airport at Narita, a town in Chiba Prefecture about 38 miles from Tokyo, finally opened on 20 May after 12 years of controversy. The fight aver the airport has pitted the government against a curious coalition of conservative farmers and radical groups. Although the radicals are continuing their har- assing tactics, the opening of the airport is an impor- tant victory for the government in handling the long- simmering Narita controversy. The Farmers' View: The site for the new airport was chosen in the early 1960s because of its topography, its proximity to Tokyo, and its advantages in providing new facilities for Japan's air traffic network. From the outset, however, the government's effort to speed construction of Narita ran afoul of the farmers who owned the land designated for the airport site. As a conse- quence, Tokyo invoked the right of eminent domain to force reluctant owners to sell their property for the main section of the airport--a tactic that deviated from the government's past practice .and the normal Japanese style of reaching a consensus on the problem. Further- . mare, the government's failure to obtain support from nearby residents who apposed the airport because of the noise, increased traffic congestion, and potential safety hazards it would create, widened the controversy over the new facility. Many of the farmers who owned lands slated to become second and third runways of the airport held off selling their property and protested the actions of the govern- ment along with those who had been forced to sell their farms. The plight of the farmers, publicized by a sympathetic press, attracted many supporters, including labor, environmentalists, leftist opposition parties, and radical student groups. As a result, the government postponed opening the airport when it was completed in 19.72. 31 May 1978 1 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 20096 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 The Radicals' View: The Narita issue was viewed from a dif event perspective by the radical student groups. In particular, it offered a new rallying point after the end of the Vietnam War and a means for the radicals to align themselves with the "workers and peasants" in a new antigovernment cause. Although several radical organizations backed the farmers' cause, the Japan Chapter of the Fourth Interna- tional, a pro-Communist student group, took the lead in trying to prevent the opening of the airport this spring. The organization, which claimed responsibility far the destructive raid on the airport in March, saw its campaign. as a means to gain entry into the core group striving for unification of the Japanese radical leftist movement. Overall, an estimated 5,1304 to 6,00? members of radical groups provided farmers with the necessary man- power and funds to continue their campaign against the airport. Even so, the violent tactics used by the radicals undercut much of the taublic svmtiathv that the farmers had enjoyed. The ' e government as been nego- ia ing wi a ari a armers and residents to win over most of the local opposition. Ironically, that effort was aided by the radicals' March attack on the air- port. With the successful opening of the airport, many of the farmers owning land needed for additional runways are now planning to sell to the government. In dealing with the radicals, Tokyo has been careful not to create an image of government suppression or police brutality, which could shift public support back to the anti.-Narita forces. While Prime Minister Fukuda admitted the government. had been too lenient with the 3I May 1978 2.:5X1 25X6 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 ~ECI~~'RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 radicals throughout the postwar period, he clearly care- fully measured his response. Moreover, Fukuda stressed the distinction between the farmers and the radicals by focusing only on the radicals as a "grave challenge" to a democratic system of law and order. Government security officials were concerned, however, about their ability to cope with the airport protests. ..Both prefectural and national police officials came under heavy criticism for the .failure to blunt the 26 March at- tack. The officials claimed, in turn, that the public security laws-did not give the police sufficient author- ity to control the situation. The use of Molotov cock- tails in the attack and the subsequent discovery of lethal weapons in one of the radical camps reinforced the call for more stringent security measures. As a consequence, the government was able to pass new legislation to permit police to enter private property within a two-mile radius of the airport to remove structures used by the radicals for their operations. Nevertheless, government officials have proceeded gingerly. Although the government was legally empowered to remove-all 33 such structures and concrete "'fortresses" built around the airport, the Ministry of Transportation only banned use of two of the buildings for one year. The fact that the Ministry did not include the most famous of the opposition shelters--the "Number One Fort," which. anti-Narita protest leaders plan to turn into a museum to commemorate their struggle--is a signficant concession that Tokyo clearly hopes will dampen further protest. In a related mane, the government released on bail' two of the three anti-Narita protest leaders who were. arrested during the March raid. In .future negotiations with the farmers, the govern- ment will most likely meet their demands for new farmland. outside of the airport area as well as substantial fnan- cial compensation. Although settlement of these grievances will improve the political atmosphere, the po-lice are con- cerned about possible reprisals- from small underground radical groups whose activities are difficult to control. Extremely tight security at the air ort will therefore be maintained for same time to come. 1 31 May 19.78' 3 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003~Q81`U1:CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 25X1A North Korea: Succession Issue Lurches Forward The long term effort by North Korean President Kim I1-song to groom his son, Kim Chong-l, as his successor continues to move by fits and starts, The son's candi- dacy received a shot. in the arm in mid-January when the Pyongyang-based clandestine radio that broadcasts to South Korea openly raised the succession issue,. With- out actually naming the son, it argued that Kim Chong-il--the "party center"--was the best qualified to take over the reins from the elder Kim. In late January the North Korean Communist Party issued a letter urging the use of "speed battle" tac- tics to carry out the new seven-year economic plan. The speed battle concept is linked directly to Kim Chang-il. It is modeled on a labor-intensive produc- tion campaign instituted by Kim I1-song in the late 1954s known as the f'chollima" or winged horse movement. It emphasize, the total mobilization of available man- power resources to achieve a selected goal in a short period of time. In early February Pyongyang revealed that the founding date for the North Korean armed forces would be pushed. back from 1948 to the beginning of the anti- Japanese guerrilla war period. That change has the effect of boosting the revolutionary credentials of the elder Kim, who is credited with organizing and leading partisan forces against the Japanese in the early 193f3s. The change also advances the cause of Kim Chong-il, who is portrayed as "inheriting" the ?'revolutionary tradition" ? of Kim I1-song. It complements the son's efforts at exhorting the North Korean populace to accept sacrifices and display the zeal that is said to have characterized the anti-Japanese guerrillas. Over the past several years there have been subtle hints in the North Korean press that not everyone is enthusiastic about the aspirations to leadership by the President's 3?-year-old son, and these nuances continue 31 May 1978 4 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : C~~~P79T00912A002200010012-2 to manifest themselves. For example, an editorial in the party daily on 18 May criticized those who viewed the implementation of the January letter as a "temporary" task rather than a long-range one. An editorial in February took the unusual step of chastizing party workers who were overly concerned about wages. These admonitions may reflect resentment from the rank-and- file caused by excessive reliance on speed battle techniques that call for long hours of overtime work under arduous conditions and without adequate compensa- tion. Differences over the utility of speed battle tactics also are evident from time to time in the various formula- tions used in the media to describe party policy. The January letter put the concept on a par with the elder Kim's chollima movement. An editorial in the party newspaper on 12 May seemed to minimize the younger Kim's movement somewhat by calling for workers to implement economic tasks in the chollima spirit "supplemented with" the speed battle spirit. There also seems to be some disenchantment with Kim Chong-il's of-forts to instill among the populace at large the work ethic of the anti-Japanese guerrillas. A feature on Pyongyang radio on 14 May on one of the slogans minted by Kim Chong-il carried an introductory endorsement by Kim Il-song. The endorsement had a highly polemical ring to it not unlike those observed during the Chinese Cultural Revolution when Mao's authority was used to muffle opposition to highly egalitarian schemes put forward by Mao's extremist adherents. All of this "toing" and "froing" in the media is a reliable sign that the status of Kim Chong-il's campaign is essentially unchanged. Kim 11-song is moving slowly on the issue in order to build up the son's political acceptance and legitimacy and to avoid a lame duck status for himself. During this testing period the son is being kept out of the public eye. His name is not used in the media, he does not appear at leadership turnouts, he has never met with foreigners, and in the past two years even photographs of the younger Kim have been withdrawn from general circulation. 31 May 1978 5 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 This approacta, however, is creating some problems. The regime is hating increasing difficulty coping with foreign press speculation about the son's status. 31 May 1978 25X1 Approved For Release 2005~~~ :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 S~~iIRDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Papua New Guinea - Indonesia: A Try at Understanding -Papua New. Guinean Foreign Minister Olewale's visit to ,Indonesia on 14-21 May may have. helped set the stage for a more productive relationship. Bilateral relations have-been marked by Indonesia's patronizing attitude to- ward Papua New Guinea and by its suspicion of Papua New Guinean complicity with dissidents from the adjacent In- donesian province of West Irian. Papua New Guinea views its relations with its populous neighbor as second in im- portance only to its special relationship with Australia. Although`it-tries to convince itself that Indonesian ab- sorption of Portuguese Timor was not the forerunner of a similar military adventure against Papua New Guinea, it is still somewhat doubtful of Indonesian intentions. The problem of West Irianese dissidence has kept bi- lateral relations uneasy and probably dominated the talks in Jakarta. Although West Irianese armed rebels may num- ber as few as 50 and are only a nuisance to Indonesia, -they have at least the sympathy of the some 2,000 West Irianese believed to be living in Papua New Guinea. Ja- karta believes that this sympathy, plus the sanctuary afforded by .Papua New Guinea, could faster the rebel or- ganization's growth. Although Papua New Guineans feel some concern for fellow Melanesians in West Irian under insensitive Indonesian rule, Jakarta tends to exaggerate this kinship. Port Maresby is absorbed with building a sense of nationhood among its many and often mutually hostile clans and has no extra energies for championing the West Irianese cause. ort Moresby's policy is to jai i ego or er crossers and to emphasize to West Irianese exiles that it will not tolerate plotting against Indonesia on Papua New Guinean territory. Nevertheless, Port Maresby finds it hard to enforce its strictures along the mountainous, overgrown 500-mile border. A recent rebel announcement of a cabinet list--including several West Irianese who had adapted 31 May 1978 7 SECRET. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 25X1A 25X1 Approved For Release 200Q~1 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Papua New Guinean citizenship--prompted intemperate crit- icism from an Indonesian Embassy officer in_Port Moresby. The Papua 1Vew Guinean Government was miffed to the extent of considerin5 a request far his recall. Against this background, the decision to go ahead with Olewale's visit reflects a mutual desire to put a good face on present relations. The Indonesian reception for oiewale seemed more sincere than that accorded Papua. New Guinean Prime Minister Somare in January I-977, and the length of the visit--eight days--suggested the im- portance the Indonesians attach to good relations. Concrete results were few. It was agreed to con- tinue an arrangement for visits to Indonesia by Papua New Guinean agricultural trainees, and bath sides ex- pressed interest in exchanges of newsmen, Olewale re- iterated Port Moresby's resistance to a longstanding In- donesian request far the return of all illegal West Irianese border erossers an grounds that Fagua New Guinea was not sure that those who are political activists would be treated humanely. Despite this rebuff, there seemed to be some change in Indonesian attitudes, One Indonesian foreign affairs official said Olewale's explanations helged the Indonesians appreciate the difficulties Papua New Guinea faces in curbing the West Irianese dissidents. Relations will probably continue to fluctuate aver the rebel issue, but there may be a greater disposi than to indulge in propaganda. 3I May 1..978 8 SECREI~ Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 25X1 25X6 gpproved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Next 14 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Secret Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2 Secret Approved For Release 2005/08/01 :CIA-RDP79T00912A002200010012-2