NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029100010032-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 13, 2006
• Sequence Number: 32
• Publication Date: July 20, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

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Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
Tuesday July 20, 1976 CI NIDC 76-169C
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
DIA review(s) completed.
Top Secret 25X1
CIA-RDP79T00975A02910 OQ01 -3
lop Secret
(Security Classification)
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State Dept. r view C I e W UUUIiO UId~bnlUatiuu
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Tuesday, July 20, 1976.
The NID Cable is for the purpose of informing
senior US officials.
The US-sponsored evacuation planned for today has been
postponed for at least two or three days at the request of Pal-
estine Liberation Organization chief Yasir Arafat. He warned em-
bassy officials that the proposed convoy route has "suddenly"
become unsafe near Nabatiyah, and that it will take several days
to resolve the problem.
Arafat did not spell out the nature of the difficulty,
but he referred to the presence of a contingent of the Popular
Front for the Liberation of Palestine--a radical fedayeen group--
in one of the villages along.the route, and to the killing of
three Libyan members of the Arab League peace-keeping force.
I I Arafat may be hoping to make political capital out of
the evacuation. He may hope that the US, temporarily denied
an exit by land, will press the Syrians to open Beirut airport,
possibly enabling the Palestinians to establish a presence at
the airport and obtain additional supplies. A similar ploy was
behind Palestinian reluctance to guarantee the safety of a land
convoy at the time of the last US evacuation.
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Arafat may also be genuinely concerned about possible
threats to the safety of the evacuation.
I IHe could be stalling for time, however, in hope of
gaining clearer information about Syrian and Christian military
plans; rumors have been sweeping Beirut in the last few days of
an impending Syrian-Christian attack on west Beirut, with alle-
gations of US participation.
The leftists and the Palestinians may be reluctant to
cooperate with the departure of US personnel, reasoning that as
long as there is a significant US presence, the Syrians and
Christians may delay fresh attacks.
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EGYPT - SUDAN - SAUDI ARABIA
Egyptian President Sadat, Sudanese President Numayri,
ana au i King Khalid ended three days of talks in Jidda yester-
day. They issued a communique that contained the expected strong
endorsement of the Numayri government but made no direct refer-
ence to Libya, which is accused by the Sudanese of being behind
the attempted coup in Khartoum early this month.
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The three countries agreed to "coordinate and inten-
sify cooperation," especially in economic matters, and to set
up new machinery to facilitate this cooperation.
//From Sudan's point of view, a major accom-
plishment was the decision to set up a tripartite commission to
review and update Sudanese requests for Saudi economic develop-
ment assistance and Saudi purchases of Western arms for Sudan's
army, which is now Soviet-equipped. Khartoum's requests have
been languishing because the Saudis believed the Sudanese plans
were poorly drawn up.//
The communique touched on the situation in Lebanon,
but in terms so general that it was clear that the three leaders
were making an effort to straddle the issue. They called on all
parties to end the fighting and move toward a peace conference.
There was no mention in the communique of any defense
arrangement involving Egypt, Sudan, and Saudi Arabia. Cairo and
Khartoum last week entered into a bilateral de en greement.
press reports suggesting that Ango-
Ian President Neto will be the quest of honor at ceremonies mark-
ing Cuba's National Day on July 26.
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I Prime Minister Castro evidently plans to make Angola
the principal subject of his annual National Day address. He is
almost certain to blast the US for supporting Neto's opponents
as well as for vetoing Angola's admission to the UJN, and will
likely pledge continuing Cuban support for Angola.
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Greek concern continues to mount over the anticipated
sailing of the Turkish research vessel Sismik I into the Aegean.
//Foreign Minister Bitsios told the US ambassa-
dor over the weekend that Greek officials believe it is possible
that Ankara is seeking a confrontation over conflicting claims
to the Aegean seabed. The Greeks say they have information that
the voyage might begin as early as tomorrow, but we have no evi-
dence to confirm this. The US defense attache in Ankara has re-
ported the ship may not sail into the Aegean until sometime in
early August.//
//Bitsios rejected Ankara's argument that the
snip's proposed activities in Turkish territorial waters and
open waters of the Aegean should not be perceived as provocative,
observing that the open seas in the Aegean lie above the Greek-
claimed continental shelf.//
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//Bitsios played down Greek press speculation
that Greek ships would sink the Sismik I if it entered disputed
waters. He emphasized that Athens' reaction would be measured.
He left the impression, however, that if after suitable warning
the Turkish vessel persisted in operating in disputed waters,
an armed clash would be a distinct possibility.//
The Greek opposition is seeking to make political
capital out of the Sismik I's impending voyage, with each party
vying to demonstrate its devotion to Greek interests. These
efforts serve as a reminder to the government that its flexibil-
ity in dealing with the Turks is limited.
I Turkish statements on the issue have done little to
ca m Greek fears and suspicions. Following a cabinet meeting
on Friday, Prime Minister Demirel announced that if the Greeks
interfered with the ship, the Turks would retaliate. General
Staff chief Sancar had taken much the same line the previous
day.
Neither Ankara nor Athens wants an armed clash, but
there is a danger that the escalating verbal exchange could
produce a miscalculation or overreaction.
I I
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