NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A027800010044-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 19, 2006
• Sequence Number: 44
• Publication Date: June 26, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

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National Intelligence
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State Dept. review completed
DIA review(s) completed.
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 Approved For Release
National Intelligence Bulletin
June 26, 1975
CONTENTS
CSCE-EC: EC foreign ministers
favor proposed summit meeting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
INDIA: Scores.of opposition
politicians arrested . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
SOUTH KOREA: Increased
security measures continue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
CHILE: Pinochet condemns political
activity and rules out elections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
FOR THE RECORD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
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National Intelligence Bulletin
T00975AO27800010044-5
JUNE 26, 1975
The EC foreign ministers on Tuesday responded with a qualified "yes" to
Soviet party leader Brezhnev's recent letter proposing a summit meeting in Helsinki
on July 22. The foreign ministers said a summit at the end of July is "desirable and
possible"-if a number of outstanding issues at the European security conference can
be resolved quickly.
Soviet concessions in the past month have facilitated agreement on a number of
substantive problems, particularly those concerning increased East-West contacts and
exchanges of information. This week, Western and Soviet delegates reached
agreement on another point of contention-Allied rights in Germany and Berlin. The
representatives of the neutral states must still accept the agreed text, and it is likely
that they will do so eventually.
Agreement must still be reached on several major issues, including advance
notification of military maneuvers and the type and frequency of follow-on
meetings. The West Europeans believe that Moscow's desire to have a summit in July
will lead the Soviets to make concessions on these issues, which, the West Europeans
insist, must be resolved before they give final agreement to the summit.
A compromise is likely soon on the issue of providing advance notification of
maneuvers. After months of negotiations, East and West have a similar position on
how much advance notice must be provided and on the size of the maneuvers and
will probably split the difference on the extent of Soviet territory that will be
affected.
They are still far apart on follow-on meetings. The EC countries support a
Danish proposal that calls for senior officials to meet in the second half of 1977 to
determine whether the conference's decisions have been implemented. In addition,
the EC states agree that there could be ad hoc meetings of experts, provided a
consensus develops for such meetings.
The Soviets want to follow up the conference with fairly frequent meetings in
which all aspects of detente are examined, although they are chary of giving the
small countries too much of a voice. At the same time, Moscow wants to minimize
or remove completely the chance that it might be held accountable for
implementation of the conference's decisions. The Soviets also hope to get an
eventual commitment to another, full-scale European security conference.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
T00975AO27800010044-5
JUNE 26, 1975
A compromise on follow-on meetings may prove elusive and time consuming.
The Turkish demand that the Turkish Cypriot community be represented in the
Cypriot delegation to a summit and Ankara's objections to the presence there of
Cypriot President Makarios remain possible stumbling blocks. Western delegates
seriously doubt that Makarios can be persuaded to absent himself.
If there is to a summit in July, the delegates in Geneva will be under the gun to
resolve the outstanding issues. The Finns have said that the re uire four-weeks
advance notice to corn lete preparations for a summit.
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National Intelligence Bulletin June 26, 1975
The Indian government, invoking the country's national security act, declared a
state of emergency and arrested scores of opposition politicians early this morning.
The severity of the crackdown is unprecedented in recent years.
Among those arrested are J. P. Narayan, Prime Minister Gandhi's foremost
critic and leader of the opposition movement; Raj Naraian, whose suit against Mrs.
Gandhi resulted in her recent conviction on charges of corrupt election practices;
and Morarji Desai, a former deputy prime minister who broke with the Ruling
Congress Party in 1969.
Press accounts indicate that the arrests number over 100 and include
communist as well as non-communist politicians, and at least one newspaper editor.
The arrests reportedly were made in several areas of the country.
The opposition began demanding Mrs. Gandhi's immediate resignation
following the Supreme Court justice's ruling on Tuesday that she could remain in
office pending a decision of the full court on an appeal of her conviction. Narayan
and Desai participated in a rally calling for her resignation only hours before their
arrest. Opposition leaders had been planning a nationwide protest campaign to begin
this weekend.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
June 26, 1975
The increased security precautions imposed on government agencies Tuesday
continue and are most likely related to yesterday's anniversary of the Korean war.
The increased vigilance is designed to improve the country's preparedness, as
well as to highlight the threat from the North. President Pak is also citing the threat
as justification for a series of firm measures aimed at silencing his political
opposition. All leaves have been canceled and one fifth of all government employees
are required to be on duty around the clock.
Because of recent events in Southeast Asia and North Korean President Kim
II-song's sudden visit to Peking, Pak has taken steps to place South Korea on a near
wartime footing. He has ordered that military defenses be improved and has
outlawed virtually all criticism of the government. In addition, national security
rallies have been held and funds for defense raised. Civil defense preparations also
have been increased and, beginning in September, all high school and college
students will engage. in military training. A 3.5-million-member national civil defense
corps has been proposed.
Army units northwest of Seoul also have increased their alert status, following
the discovery of two suspected North Korean agent caches in an area previously used
as an infiltration route. The caches, uncovered on June 19 and 21, contained such
items as pistols and hand grenades.
There is genuine concern in South Korean government circles that North Korea
will undertake some form of military action, but the US embassy in Seoul believes
President Pak is exaggerating the situation. Pak's actions in recent months are
probably designed to impress the South Korean people with the seriousness of the
threat, demonstrate the South's determination to respond to all contingencies, and
curb political dissent.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
June 26, 1975
President Pinochet's recent tough condemnation of political activity marks his
strongest warning to date that the junta will not brook criticism or opposition from
any quarter.
Pinochet said publicly that there would be no elections and warned that
defiance of the ban on political activity would cause the _government to abolish the
surviving political parties.
Pinochet charged this week that politicians were scheming to divide the
military leadership and to create a joint civilian-military government. He stated flatly
that this would be a "rotten system and does not interest us."
The main target of Pinochet's public statements is obviously former president
Frei and his Christian Democratic Party. Frei irritated the government last month by
criticizing its economic program. His remarks touched off a wave of controversy and
speculation about the acceptable limits of dissent and quickly put the government
on the defensive. The sharp retorts by government spokesmen have since made it
clear that the military is unwilling to tolerate increased political expression-even to
a limited extent-and that it is fervently opposed to reconciliation with the Christian
Democratic Party, which, like other non-Marxist parties, has been declared "in
recess."
The sensitivity of government leaders to criticism of the economic recovery
measures betrays their fear that problems will worsen as winter intensifies hardships
in the country.
As a result, opposition of any sort touches a raw nerve an is apt to lead to
overreaction on the military's part.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
June 26, 1975
USSR: The Leningrad, one of two Soviet helicopter carriers, left the Black Sea
on June 25, apparently for operations in the Mediterranean. The Leningrad last
departed home waters in June 1974, when it headed for the Indian Ocean. The ship
later took part in Soviet mine-clearing operations in the Red Sea and returned to the
Black Sea in December. The Leningrad's sister ship, the Moskva, remains in the
Black Sea.
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Top Secret
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