CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025500030002-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 12, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: October 26, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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Ton Secret
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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State Department review completed
Top Secret
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26 October 1.973
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
A:EtAB STATES - ISRAEL - USSR: Egyptian and Syrian
fronts relatively quiet. (Page 1)
ARGENTINA: Government wants US subsidiaries in Ar-
gentina to trade with Cuba. (Page 4)
LATIN AMERICA: Representatives will meet to discuss
use of area s energy resources. (Page 5)
CUBA-JAPAN: Export-Import Bank credits and technical
assistance extended to Cuba. (Page 6)
GREECE: Overtures to former political leaders fail.
(Page 7 )
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 9)
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ARAB STATES - ISRAEL - USSR: Both fronts were
-relatively quiet yesterday. Most forces appeared
to be under orders to observe the cease-fire.
The Egyptians claim to have beaten off a small
attack on-Suez city during the day, but otherwise
onl scattered firin was re orted.
The Egyptian 3rd Army remains cut off on
the east bank, but there are no indications that it
is about to surrender.
The Syrian front was quiet except-for some
around activity in the central sector.
There has been no public Soviet reaction to the
announcement that US forces are on alert. The initial
TA;~S report on Secretary Kissinger's press conference
ye;aterday is positive, and gives no hint of US con-
cern .about Soviet intentions. TASS stresses the Sec-
retary's remarks regarding joint Soviet-US actions
to resolve the crisis and quotes his references to
the "most promising" possibilities for peace in the
Middle East.
At the UN, the Security Council approved a reso-
lution by eight nonaligned nations authorizing a new
UN Emergency Force. The vote was 14-0, with China
abstaining. Agreement was assured when the Soviets
and the nonaligned members agreed to a US amendment
excluding troops of the permanent members of the
Security Council from participating in the proposed
force. Last evening Secretary General Waldheim an-
no~unced he was transferring more than 900 men from
UN forces on Cyprus to the Middle East as an "interim
measure." The maximum authorized strength of the
current UN Truce Supervisory Organization (UNTSO)
force in the Middle East is 221.
(continued)
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The Security Council resolution and .the Secre-
Lary General's alacrity in moving to implement it
has probably reduced--at least for the present--the
threat of unilateral Soviet action. The Communists
clearly intend to play a more active role in UN
peacekeeping than heretofore. During the Security
~"ouncil debate, Soviet Ambassador Malik indicated
that he expected troops from Communist and nonaligned
countries to participate in the new peacekeeping
:Force:.
Part of the Soviet naval force near Crete be-
gan moving south toward the combat area after U5
forces were alerted on 25 October. The ships are
now holding in a position about 100 nautical miles
north of the Egyptian coast. Included in the force
are a missile frigate, three destroyers, and two
amphibious ships, A Kotlin-class destroyer has
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also moved closer t.o the combat area and is now
holding at a position about 80 nautical miles north
of Por t Said
Israeli Prime Minister Meir yesterday publicly
reaffirmed her fu11 confidence in Defense Minister
Dayan. Her statement. was made in response to press
reports that Justice Minister Shapiro had criticized
Dayan as being responsible for Israel's alleged lack
of preparedness when the Egyptian and Syrian armies
struck on 6 October. Shapiro, a member of a rival
faction in Mrs. Meir's Israel Labor Party, had been
close to the Prime Minister in the past but report-
edly has drifted away from her in recent months. His
criticism reflects some of the views of conservative
groups in Israel which have also criticized the Gov-
ernment's acceptance of the cease-fire.
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ARGENTINA: Buenos Aires appears ready to press
US subsidiaries in Argentina to trade with Cuba, but
ho~>es to avoid actions that might damage its rela-
tions with the US.
The pressures are an outgrowth of a $200 million
a year line of credit granted in August by Argentina
to finance exports to Cuba. Items covered by the
credit agreement include-manufactured goods and
transportation equipment. Major producers of such
equipment include the Argentine subsidiaries of Ford,.
General Motors, Chrysler, Goodyear, Clark Equipment,
and John Deere.
According to embassy sources, legislation is
being drafted to set progressively larger export
qu~at.as for passenger cars over a four-year period.
Failure to meet the quota would be penalized by
subsequent restrictions on domestic sales. Many
of the. US firms have been characterized as unco-
operative by Argentine officials, because they re-
portedly refused to quote prices and availability
o:E commodities for export in response to Cuban in-
quiriesA In addition to the export quota legisla-
tion currently under consideration, existing Argen-
tine laws require non-discrimination in sales. The
major US subsidiaries facing increased pressure
represent roughly 25 percent of the total US invest-
ment of 1.4 billion in Argentina.
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LATIN AMERICA: Representatives from most Latin
American countr~.es, including Cuba, will meet in
Lima next week to discuss use of the area's energy
resources for their own development.
A priority topic on the agenda is the creation
of a Latin American Energy Organization, which will
be concerned largely with financing energy develop-
ment and overseeing energy resource conservation.
The. organization is described as apolitical, but
same participants view it as a means to strengthen
Latin America's position in dealing with US economic
interests. Other proposed topics include setting up
a cooperative bank to facilitate trade in Latin Amer-
ican oil among member countries and building tanker
fleets to transport oil.
The Latin American oil importing nations will
probably want to discuss the recent increases in
the tax reference values on petroleum by Venezuela
and Ecuador, which result in higher prices. The
importing countries would like to work out favorable
pricing arrangements with Venezuela and Ecuador,
the mayor oil exr~ortina nations in Latin America.
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CUBA-JAPAN: Tokyo, citing growing domestic
pressures, has decided to approve the extension of
Export-Import Bank credits and technical assistance
to Cuba. Washington is asking Tokyo to reconsider,
as i?t has on two previous occasions. The Japanese
hope to expand exports to Cuba, thus reducing their
perennially large trade deficit with Havana. The
deficit last year was $94 million, due primarily to
large sugar purchases.
.Although the extension of government guarantees
is a definite political gain for Havana, any new
credits are likely to have only a marginal impact
on the Cuban economy. Japanese officials stated
that the level of credits will be restricted, and
technical assistance will be limited to humanitarian
projects. The government-backed credit terms--7
percent interest over 5 years--are comparable to
Japanese commercial supplier credits previously ex-
tended to Havana. Any Ex-Im Bank extensions will
be wei hed carefully against Cuba?s ability to re-
pay.
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GREECE: Prime Minister Markezinis' efforts to
induce former political leaders to participate in the
nexi~ election have failed so far, but the government
still expects to go ahead with the election.
Most of the former civilian leaders have yet to
take a final position on whether to participate in
the election. The junta will soon decree a law on
political parties, and these former leaders may be
waiting t.o see what kind of parties will be permitted
before commrtti.ng themselves, Ex-prime minister
Kanellopoulos, however, last week firmly rejected
Markezinis' offer to participate in politics under
the present constitution, stating that his position
toward the junta was unchanged. Ex-minister and
Center Union leader Mavros has also expressed dis-
dain for the "Markezinis solution?" Some younger
politicians, however, apparently have an interest
in participatingm
Markezinis, in a recent interview in Le Monde,
has also issued an invitation to Ilias lliou of a
formerly legal communist-front party to participate
rn the electrons--provided, of course, that his
party would renounce any attempt to overthrow the
existing political and economic order.
The prime minister, rn the same interview,
also said that he favored legalization of the Greek
Communist Party. Any movement to restore the Greek
Communist Party to legal status would, of course,
be met with solid opposition from the military.
Greek Armed Forces chief Zagorranakos, however, re-
portedly took a relaxed attitude toward Markezinis?
remarks, laughingly suggesting that it was some
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Meanwhile, former junta member Konstantinos
Asl.anidis has roundly denounced President Papadopoulos,
stating publicly that he cannot tolerate '?a dictator-
shl.p under a parliamentary cloak.?? This has led
to speculation that he and other dissident junta
members might become art of an anti-Papadopoulos
opposition.
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FOR THE RECORD*
Nigeria-Israel: Nigeria has become the tenth
African country to break relations with Israel since
the Middle East war began. As hostilities progressed,
domestic and Arab pressures have mounted on Nigerian
leader General Gowon and he apparently felt Nigeria
could no longer resist breaking with Tel Aviv. Go-
won's decision, because he is the current head of the
OAU, may influence many of the 14~ma.~ning holdouts
in black Africa to follow suit. lul
Norwa Norwegian fishermen are aroused over
crowded conditions that have led to incidents in
their traditional fishing grounds off northern Nor-
way. Trawlers from the USSR, UK, West Germany, and
France have concentrated their fishing efforts in
these waters after access to the Icelandic banks was
restricted. Several Norwegian trawlers have sustained
damage to their nets, and the government may have t.o
allocate funds to replace the lost equipment. One
incident involved a Soviet trawler, and Oslo may pro-
test to Moscow. The Defense Minister deflected a
suggestion to press Norwegian naval vessels into
f~.sheries protection service, but he recognized the
need for more modern vessels specifically designed
for such duty.
'These items mere prepared by CIA without consultation
u~it72 the Departments of State and Defense.
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