CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A022600060001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 23, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Rele a 2003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T00975A0 ir00065eaet
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N2 041
23 August 1972
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For ReldW a 2003/06/25 IA-[ .1ST00975A02" 20060001-4
No. 0202/72
23 August 1972
Central Intelligence Bulletin
VIETNAM: Government counterattacks achieve some
gains. (Page 1)
MOROCCO: Hassan calls for elections at some in-
definite time. (Page 2)
JAPAN: Space program making limited progress.
(Page 3)
EURATOM-IAEA: French reservations may delay rat-
ification of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.
(Page 4)
COSTA RICA - COMMON MARKET: President Figueres
threatens to pull out of the already troubled
Central American Common Market. (Page 5)
VENEZUELA: The opposition has chosen a presiden-
tial candidate for next year's election. (Page 6)
COLOMBIA: President Pastrana may move against
Liberals in the high command (Page 7)
LAW OF THE SEA: UN committee agrees on agenda for
conference (Page 7)
INDIA: Foodgrain shortages are anticipated (Page 8)
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022600060001-4
SECRET
 Approved For Rel a 2003/06/261-6ii,I b579T00975AO2 (00060001-4
0
Military Region 1
_Demarcation Line
Quan9 T '.
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/06/ :c IA~~P79TOO975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For Rele 2003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T00975A000060001-4
SECRET
C VIETNAM: Government counteroffensives in the
northern provinces are making some headway.
South Vietnamese forces in coastal Quang Nam
Province have moved to within two miles of enemy-
held Fire Support Base Ross, encountering relatively
light opposition. fT e Saigon troops are advancing
slowly and are dep ing for the most part on allied
air strikes to clear the way.-
There are signs that the North Vietnamese are
preparing for more attacks in the Quang Nam lowlands.
Several 130-mm. artillery rounds have hit Fire Sup-
port Base Baldy, the government's staging area and
last remaining strongpoint in the Que Son Valley,
indicating that the Communists are moving their
large field pieces closer to the coast. Another
determined enemy thrust in this sector would sorely
test the weakened government forces.
ound Quang Tri City, the Cc _ n-
,r
tinuing to resist South Vietnamese Ma?,~ wearing
operations in the northern sec i fpthe city while
increasing pressure aga' ,fit?cuth Vietnamese Air-
borne positions.,=?-thf south. Recent enemy shellings
have des 'five 105-mm. howitzers and some 1,500
route ammunition at a fire support base south-
-x-
y. Enemy reinforcements and supplies
are cont? uin -o flow into the Quang Tri City area.
23 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4
SECRET
 Approved For R se 2003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T00975ASH600060001-4
SECRET
MOROCCO: King Hassan has announced that par-
liamentary elect-ions will be held at some indef-
inite time, but he has given no hint about conces-
sions to opposition leaders, who are demanding im-
mediate political reforms.
At a press conference Monday evening, the King
implied that the long-promised elections would be
held on his terms, and he rejected further talks
with the political opposition unless its attitude
changes. The previous day he had blamed factional
struggles within the political parties for disaf-
fection within the military.
Also on Monday, the monarchist Istiglal Party,
the conservative partner in the opposition National
Front coalition, made clear that it will continue
to press for substantial concessions. These in-
clude more authority for parliament and a less
dominant role for the King. The party blamed the
current trouble on the "antidemocratic and unpopular
path" followed by the regime for the past eight
years.
The King seems bent on antagonizing every po-
tential source of support and on isolating himself
more thoroughly than ever. He publicly insulted
top-level military leaders summoned to his palace
on Saturday. He opened his Monday press conference
by criticizing the journalists for having all the
answers before understanding the problems. After
the 1971 coup attempt Hassan promised that his
methods would change, but he has yet to accept any
responsibilit for the country's political insta-
bility.
23 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022600060001-4
SECRET
 Approved For Release 2003/06/2gj P *f79T00975AO2Q00060001-4
JAPAN: The Japanese space program is con-
tinuing to make limited progress.
The fourth space satellite was orbited on 19
August by the four-stage, solid-propellant MU-4S
booster. The launch, however, failed to reach its
planned orbit because of high winds in the upper
atmosphere. This was the second satellite with a
true scientific mission, the first having been
orbited last September. The earlier launches were
experimental and not totally successful.
For the next few years, the Japanese plan to
continue to orbit additional scientific satellites
using their own relatively unsophisticated space
rockets.
Another program, which relies heavily on US
assistance, is scheduled to place more advanced
satellites in orbit by 1975-1976. These satel-
lites will have practical applications such as
weather reporting and communications transmission.
The program plans to utilize both Japanese and US
technology for the launch vehicles and satellites.
The decision to acquire US technology is a marked
departure from the Japanese "go it alone" space
policy that prevailed before 1970, and indicates
their continuing problems in a sophis-
ticated independent program.
23 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2003/06/2?j 79T00975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For Ruse 2003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T00975AO 600060001-4
SECRET
EEU TOM-IAEA: New French reservations about
safeguard verification arrangements between EURATOM
and the IAEA threaten further delays in European /
ratifications of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treatjy
(NPT) .
Ratification of the NPT by the non-nuclear- (+
weapon members of EURATOM has depended on an agree-
ment with IAEA to verify EURATOM's safeguards and
France now says no
rovisions
NPT
thus satisf
.
p
y
IAEA-EURATOM agreement can be completed until the
EC Council has approved the negotiations, and Paris
is objecting to the arrangements negotiated wit!
IAEA by the EC Commission. Paris apparently will
argue that the Commission has exceeded its author-
ity. In return for its approval of the verifica-
tion arrangements, Paris is likely to seek conces-
sions that could further weaken the applicability
of EURATOM safeguards to France. As the only
nuclear weapons state in EURATOM, France has long /,,2c/.z/
argued that it should be under no more constraints
than are the super-power signatories of the NPT.
Most of France's EURATOM partners are appar-
ently willing to put off notification of the agree-
ment with the IAEA in order not to provoke the
French. They probably believe that France does
not want to be responsible for delaying the NPT
indefinitely--and its controls over any West Ger-
man nuclear ambitions. They :may be prepared even-
tually to grant Paris further exceptional status -..
within EURATOM, although this could pose consider-
able political problems, especially for Bonn
A formal announcement that the EURATOM-IAEA
agreement is ready for ratification had been sched-
uled for September. Any delay will almost certainly
draw a sharp Soviet response. Moscow has already
protested Washington's decision to continue to sup- ;3 vl, .
ply fissionable materials to EURATOM before NPT
ratification by EURATOM's non-auclear-weapon members
23 Aug 72
25X1
Approved For Release 003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4
E.r,
r-Central Intelligence Bulletin
 Approved For Release 2003/06/25? f ST00975A0 00060001-4
COSTA RICA - COMMON MARKET: The Central Amer
ican Common Market is on the verge of a new crisis
as Costa Rica hints at withdrawal.
The latest dispute stems from Costa Rica's
refusal to adhere to the automatic payments system
which provides for immediate payment for goods ex-
changed among the member countries. President
Figueres claims that the system encourages imports
and adds to Costa Rica's large balance-of-payments
deficit. Furthermore, Costa Rica needs stabiliza-
tion credit from its market trading partners but
will not receive consideration until the present
difficulties are solved.
The dispute has prompted Figueres to suggest
that his country might temporarily withdraw from
the market and resort to a system of bilateral 7/_3
t th
di
e
srup
treaties, Such a move would seriously
faltering market and, if permanent, could adversel
affect Costa Rica's economic growth.
It is doubtful that Figueres has actually made
a decision to withdraw. He often plays events out
in the media and makes final decisions after getting
public feedback. Thus far, there is a growing be-
lief both in and out of government that the dis-
advantages of membership are beginning to outweigh
the advantages. Figueres' hint at withdrawal, how- 25X1
ever, could be intended only to extract greater
concessions from the other members.
23 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2003/06/25SLgLA OT00975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For R&ase 2003/06/25] W79T00975A2600060001-4
VENEZUELA: The opposition Democratic Action
Party has chosen Carlos Andres Perez, its secretary-
general, as its presidential candidate for next
year's general elections.
The only other major contender, former presi-
dential nominee Gonzalo Barrios, withdrew and the
convention ended on a note of unity and support for
the fifty-six-year-old Perez. Former president
Betancourt pledged that the party would not split
again--a reference to the divisions that shook the// /
party during and after the 1967 convention and
denied it another term in office.
Perez has been criticized for his anti-Commu-
nist, law and order views, but his image of strength
may become an asset at a time when many Venezuelan
voters are said to be favoring former "strongman"
l
Although no less nationalistic than President
Caldera, Perez has tried to take a calm and a thought
ful approach to economic problems and relations with
the international oil companies. In his public
statements, he has affirmed that his government
would follow a sensible, ordered,. and progressive na
tionalism.
23 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/06/25$.BIQ19T00975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For Rele4rre 2003/06/25 SP]?RUJ T00975A02.Z 00060001-4
NOTES
!MBIA:
President Pastrana and other Conserv-
ative arty le
change the pol
aders are apparently attempting to
itical orientation of the military
high command.
25X1
the Conservatives
want to remove
as many genera Ls
affiliated with the Liberal Party
k
4
i
h
i
as they can before
f th
d
h
Na- 25X1
the elect
ons of 1
mar
, wh
c
97
o
e
e en
t
tional Front coalition. Mentioned as being vulner-
able for reassignment to attache posts are the min-
ister of defense, the secretary-general of the min-
aging the army's chief of recruitment, a Liberal,
to concentrate on recruiting officexbs.with Liberal
officers are aware that the president and the leader-
ship of his party may be moving against them. They
probably will resist such pressures and are encour-
general staff, and the judge advocate general. These
istry of defense, the commander of military forces
the commander of the army, the chief of the army
leanings.
after considerable debate during the month-long ses-
sion that concluded on 18 August. The agenda does
not, however, bring any closer to solution the basic
problems with which the conference will deal: pass-
LAW OF THE SEA: The UN Seabeds Committee has
agreed ooonest of topics for a Law of the Sea Con-
ference. The Committee worked out the final wording
age through straits, the breadth of the territorial
sea, the economic rights of states beyond the ter-
ritorial sea, and international machinery. No date
has been set for the conference. When it does come
negotiations are likely to be long and difficult.
(continued)
23 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/06/25SECR9T00975A022600060001-4
 Approved For Base 2003/OWRC.
INDIA: New Delhi anticipates foodgrain short-
ages later this year and the government is trying
to ensure equitable distribution of available sup-
plies. Early crop failures already have induced the
government to tighten distribution procedures and
extend price controls, in order to prevent specula-
tive hoarding. Monsoon :rains have improved prospect
for winter-harvested rice and late-sown fall crops
i
ons
in north and central India, but drought condit
continue to threaten wheat, coarse grain, and rice-
producing areas in the west and in north Bihar.
23 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/06/221,,O1k 79TOO975AO22600060001-4
 Approved For FR ase 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975 2600060001-4
Secret
Secret
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22600060001-4