CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A016800040001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 21
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 10, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 29, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
29 July 1970
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
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No. 0180/70
29 July 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Cambodia: Government forces have been driven out of
Kirirom. (Page 1)
Laos: The delegation from Communist leader Souphanou-
vong is expected on 31 July. (Page 2)
Communist China - North Korea: The warming trend in re-
lations continues. (Page 4)
Arab States: Egypt has reacted strongly to criticism of
Nasir's acceptance of the US peace proposals. (Page 6)
Lebanon: Ex-president Shihab is still the front runner
in the coming presidential election. (Page 7)
Maghreb: The sixth meeting of the economic ministers
failed to reach agreement on collaboration. (Page 8)
Mexico-Cuba: The Mexicans are outraged by the latest
hijacking by asylees. (Page 10)
Argentina: The government will soon buy 14 Mirage jets
from France. (Page 11)
Bahamas: A visiting Jamaican professor has called for
an active black radical movement. (Page 12)
NPT: Chances have improved that the verification re-
quirements will be implemented. (Page 13)
Western Europe: The European Space Conference plans to
pursue possibilities for cooperation with the US. (Page 14)
USSR: Recent decrees on agriculture offer little that
is new or innovative. (Page 15)
Korea: Agent boat (Page 16)
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Bolivia: Student demonstrations (Page 16)
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Cambodia: Current Situation
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Cambodia: Government forces have been driven
out of Kirirom.
Press accounts claim that reinforced enemy
troops, supported by mortar fire, cracked Cambodian
Army defenses yesterday in the center of the resort
town. reported
that four government battalions subsequently with-
drew and headed south toward Route 4. The retreat
probably is only temporary, however, and new gov-
ernment efforts to retake the town are likely to be
launched soon. South Vietnamese and Cambodian heli-
copters evacuated some casualties before the with-
drawal. Bad weather is preventing an aerial recon-
naissance of the Kirirom area.
In Kompong Speu Province, the government has
also pulled out of its command post at Thmar Keo,
northwest of Kompong Speu city. Most of the vil-
lagers living in the sparsely populated area around
the post reportedly are Communists or sympathizers.
The Cambodian Army battalion previously assigned at
Thmar Keo is now en route to Kompong Speu city.
Communist forces apparently still hold the
cement factory at Chakrei Ting, in the southern
coastal province of Kampot. Press reports indicated
that the government unit that had been defending
the plant withdrew southward toward Kampot city on
27 July, after being overwhelmed by a large enemy
force. Meanwhile, South Vietnamese units moving
along Route 7, 20 miles southeast of Kompon Cham
city, claim to have killed 19 of the enemy. 25X1
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Laos: The delegation from Communist leader
Souphanouvong is expected to arrive in Vientiane on
31 July, but there are signs that it will not bring
with it any fundamental change in the established
Pathet Lao position on negotiations.
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25X1 t e communist
team will be led by Souk Vongsak. As a minister in
the Vientiane coalition government until 1964 and
as a relative of King Savang, Souk is the highest
ranking emissary yet dispatched by Souphanouvong.
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Despite these indications that the Communists
might be preparing some substantial new initiative
toward a settlement, Pathet Lao spokesmen in a num-
ber of capitals have been taking a rather negative
position during the past week in referring to the
prospects for talks. On 23 July the Laotian Commu-
nist delegate in Hanoi characterized Souk's trip to
see Souvanna as only a "good will gesture" and dis-
missed the idea that there has been any change in
the Pathet Lao negotiating position.
Soviet press accounts of interviews with Pathet
Lao officials in Paris and Vientiane have reiterated
the usual line that a halt in all US bombing in Laos
is a "necessary first step" toward a settlement.
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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These suggestions of inflexibility in the Com-
munist attitude may be only an effort to stake out
a position from which the bargaining can begin. On
the other hand, Hanoi may have no intention of en-
tering into genuine negotiations at this time, and
may only be seeking to stage extended discussions
that will serve to restrict Vienti ' freedom of
action.
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29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China - North Korea: The warming
trend in relations continues, but some differences
remain between the two states.
Chinese observance of the 17th anniversary of
the Korean War armistice on Monday focused less on
bilateral matters than on broader topics that are
of more immediate concern to Peking. The Chinese
used the occasion to criticize at length US "peace
frauds" in Indochina and to condemn the US for
flouting the Geneva agreements. Peking also con-
tinued to emphasize the need for an Asian-wide
"union" against the US, Japan, and indirectly the
USSR.
The North Koreans, on the other hand, tended
to stress matters closer to home. The head of a
high-ranking military delegation visiting Peking
again compared the present situation on the Korean
peninsula to that existing on the eve of the Korean
War. In marked contrast, the less bellicose tenor
of Chinese official statements appeared designed
to play down the possibility of an imminent crisis
in Korea and stuck to the standard, vague pledges
of support for North Korea if the US "reimposes"
war.
Peking's restraint is almost certainly a re-
flection of its desire to avoid a confrontation with
the US over Korea. Pyongyang's failure to join in
criticism of the Soviets, meanwhile, is a clear in-
dication that North Korea intends to maintain an
independent position in the Sino-Soviet dispute.
Pyongyang, in fact, probably hopes to exploit the
situation to extract what it can from both Moscow
and Peking. Since early 1969 there have been no
major military deliveries from the USSR to North
Korea, and the military delegation now in Peking
is probably looking to the Chinese to provide some
of the hardware Pyongyang has not been receiving
from the Soviets.
(continued)
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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The Chinese may be prepared to furnish limited
military aid to cement North Korea's support for
Peking's Asian "united front" scheme, and as a bar-
gaining lever to try to move Pyongyang toward Pe-
king's position on Sino-Soviet issues. The Chinese
will probably be reluctant, however, to fill com-
pletely any Korean shopping list, in part because
of their own mounting domestic defense needs.
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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Arab States: Egypt has reacted strongly to
criticism y.ra ical Arab governments and Palestin-
ian guerrillas of Nasir's acceptance of the US peace
proposals.
A Cairo newspaper yesterday denounced unnamed
Arab critics of the Egyptian leader as "destructive,"
heartless, and rancorous voices. "Cairo police yes-
terday closed the offices-of both the Voice of Pal-
estine and the Voice of Fatah. A government spokes-
man indicated the closure is only temporary, but he
gave no idea of when the fedayeen would be allowed
to resume broadcasting. Although these facilities
are used primarily for broadcasting anti-Israeli
propaganda F_ I 25X1
hey have on occasion been used for at-
accing ab regimes considered to be anti-fedayeen.
Cairo's ire may have been raised by a fedayeen
demonstration in Amman Monday in which Nasir was
called a coward. Late yesterday, more'anti-E tian
demonstrations took place in Jordan.
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29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Lebanon: Ex-president Fuad Shihab is still the
front runner in the coming presidential election.
Within the next month, and probably during the
next two weeks, Lebanon's Chamber of Deputies will
elect a new president by secret ballot. Of the
dozen or so potential candidates, three appear to
be the most serious contenders: former presidents
Shihab and Chamoun and Phalange Party leader Pierre
Jumayyil. Shihab is the favorite candidate of the
Parliamentary Democratic Front, which presently has
a majority of the members of the chamber. The major
opposition group has indicated it will support
Jumayyi l .
The basic issue in the election centers on Leb-
anese policy toward other Arab countries. Shihab's
supporters are pro-Nasirists and have sought closer
Arab ties. The opposition leaders could be char-
acterized as Lebanon-firsters who see Lebanon as
having interests distinct from other Arab countries.
A major influence in the election will be con-
fessionalism or religious identification. Shihab
is generally regarded as pro-Muslim and thus is
anathema to many Maronite Christians, who form the
major opposition group.
The fedayeen problem is unlikely to be a major
issue in the election. The candidates are aware
that they will face the same problem with the feda-
yeen as the incumbent President--maintaining enough
control over the commandos to prevent Lebanon from
becoming another Jordan.
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Maghreb: The sixth meeting of the Maghrebian
economic ministers, held in Rabat from 20 to 25
July, failed to reach an agreement on economic col-
laboration.
The meeting, first scheduled for 1968 and often
postponed, was called to endorse a draft charter on
economic integration that had been drawn up at the
request of the economic ministers at their fifth
meeting in 1967 by the Permanent Maghrebian Consulta-
tive Committee. This committee, with representatives
from Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco, was es-
tablished in the fall of 1964 and has a permanent
headquarters and staff in Tunis. Libya, never en-
thusiastic about Maghrebian cooperation because it
suspected its poorer neighbors were eyeing its oil
revenues, withdrew from the committee earlier this
summer and was not represented at Rabat. Mauritania,
however, sent an observer.
Algeria, which also does not share the enthusi-
asm of Morocco and Tunisia for Maghrebian economic
integration, apparently was not ready to endorse
some of the draft charter's proposals. These are
reported to have included reduction of tariffs,
sharing quotas established by individual members
with third states, agricultural and industrial co-
operation, abolishing restrictions on payments for
intra-Maghrebian trade, and the creation of a Ma-
ghrebian council.
Algeria, whose priorities lie in its own quick
industrial expansion and which is the only one of
the three with substantial fuel resources, holds the
key to any proposals for regional economic coopera-
tion, The Algerians were reluctant to hold the
meeting without Libya but apparently yielded to
pressure from the Moroccans, who have been most im-
patient to move ahead with greater Maghrebian in-
tegration.
(continued)
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The conferees are reported to have reached
agreement on a number of unspecified minor matters.
King Hassan, attempting to end the conference on
a
hopeful note, suggested that some problems need
time
to resolve and seemed to be thinking in terms of
a
"summit" conference.
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29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 9
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Mexico-Cuba: The Mexicans are outraged by the
latest airplane hijacking by asylees and by the ex-
pectation that Cuba will snub a request for extra-
dition.
Three Dominicans, who had been granted asylum
after being freed in exchange for the release of the
US military attache kidnaped in Santo Domingo last
March, hijacked a Mexican plane to Cuba on 25 July.
The press in general is demanding extradition of the
hijackers, and one widely circulated conservative
paper observed the irony of maintaining diplomatic
relations with a country "which has demonstrated
profound contempt for Mexico"--a reference to Cuba's
habitually ignoring Mexican requests for extradition.
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The
government probably will draw a strong distinction
between political asylees and common criminals in
the future and is tightening its control over asylees
still in the country. It has refused to give asylum
to Bolivian guerrillas now in Chile.
Mexico's relations with Cuba are unlikely to be
changed by the incident. Mexico indicated its dis-
pleasure, however, by refusing to permit a Cuban
airliner in Mexico City to take off until the hi-
jacked Mexican plane was returned.
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Argentina: The Ministry of National Defense
has confirmed that Argentina will soon buy 14 Mirage
jet aircraft from France, according to press reports.
The purchase, which is subject to ratification
by President Levingston, reportedly will consist of
12 single-seat Mirage III fighters and two two-seat
Mirage III-B trainers. The French planes, which
will cost about $40 million, will replace Gloster
Meteors that have been in use for 20 years.
The contract was negotiated more than a year
ago by the Ongania government as part of a program
to modernize the armed forces primarily with European
rather than US equipment.
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29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 11
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Bahamas: A visiting Jamaican professor has
calleU for an active black radical movement in the
Bahamas.
Dr. Trevor Munroe cited the need for a revolu-
tionary black power movement throughout the Caribbean
in emotion-charged speeches at a United Community
(UNICOMM) seminar in Nassau on 24-25 July. UNICOMM
is a Bahamian youth organization and fledgling polit-
ical pressure group that espouses a mixture of black
power, idealism, and socialism. Recently UNICOMM has
been influenced by militant black power advocates,
and its leaders may view the conference as the first
step toward a more activist black power program.
According to the US consul, the speech was the
most extreme expression of black power ideas to date
in the Bahamas. Munroe's major speech called for
the expulsion of the economic influence of "white
imperialists" and the destruction of governments
that manifested the same values and ends as those
of imperialist powers. He suggested that success
would not come through reform but through "revolu-
tion" designed to institute new political forms.
Attempts by a government spokesman to blunt
Munrroe's attack by pointing out the gains made by
the administration's pragmatic and practical approach
to problems were met with argumentative and rhetori-
cal questions from the audience.
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NPT: The recently concluded International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards committee
meeting has improved the chances that the verifica-
tion requirements of the Nonproliferation Treaty
(NPT) will be implemented, although substantial
problems remain.
Earlier this year the IAEA, which will enforce
the NPT's safeguards provisions, created a special
committee to study the position the IAEA should take
in negotiating inspection arrangements with adherents
to the treaty who have not yet developed nuclear
weapons. The progress made at the recently completed
committee session should permit the IAEA to open ne-
gotiations with many of the more than 50 countries
in this category prior to the deadline of 1 Septem-
ber established by terms of the treaty.
The 48 participants in the safeguards committee
sessions reached a consensus on most legal questions
relating to the basic rights and obligations of
parties to the NPT and had a useful preliminary ex-
change on detailed safeguards procedures. Partic-
ularly notable were the absence of Soviet diatribes
against EURATOM and the latter's conciliatory ap-
proach to the problem of fashioning an IAEA safe-
guards agreement that would be equally acceptable
to single states and to regional groupings.
Three issues remain., however. NPT holdouts In-
dia and France have secured considerable support
among the less developed countries for their view
that the superpowers should pay the bulk of the cost
of the increased inspections anticipated under the
NPT. The EURATOM members also have not resolved
their differences over their negotiating position
with the IAEA, and early agreement on this matter
appears unlikely. France insists that it would no
longer feel bound by EURATOM's safeguards system if
it were made subject to IAEA supervision. A third
problem concerns the degree of access to nuclear
facilities to be afforded the IAEA inspectors.
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 13
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Western Europe: The members of the European
Space Conference have decided to establish a unified
space organization and to pursue possibilities for
space cooperation with the US.
Meeting last week in Brussels, the space min-
isters of 13 European countries agreed in principle
to form a "European NASA" to replace the European
Launcher Development Organization (ELDO), the Euro-
pean Space Research Organization (ESRO), and the
European Conference on Telecommunications Satellites.
As a preliminary step, the ELDO and ESRO councils
will be combined under one president. A charter for
the new organization will be drawn up by the begin-
ning of 1971.
The space ministers also decided to send a del-
egation headed by Theo Lefevre, the Belgian science
minister, to Washington to discuss European partici-
pation in US space programs. In addition, the dele-
gation will try to determine the availability of US
launchers for use with European satellites. For the
time being, however, the Europeans will push forward
with their own launcher development program.
This meeting was a benchmark in the development
of a genuine Europe-wide approach to space, but two
familiar problems--institutions and money--came up.
France reserved its position on the institutional
arrangements for the unified space organization.
France and Belgium refused to make financial commit-
ments to the research program beyond 1971, and Ger-
many declined to guarantee its contribution to the
communications satellite program beyond that date.
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USSR: Three recently published decrees on agri-
culture offer little that is new or innovative, but
illustrate the leadership's current concern for this
sector.
The first decree sets higher state purchase
prices on milk, meat, wool, and eggs for the avowed
purpose of "increasing state and collective farm
workers' material interest in increasing production."
Most of these prices will be differentiated accord-
ing to republic and product quality. Retail prices
will not be affected, placing the full burden for
these increases on the state budget.
Another decree pegs bonuses for farm workers
and managers to the fulfillment of production tar-
gets. Machinery operators will also be rewarded for
proper maintenance of their equipment. Similar pre-
miums have been offered in the past, and the present
wage and incentive system is already so complex that
these additional measures are likely to add confusion
rather than result in increased labor productivity.
The latest decree introduces measures to improve
the production and marketing of potatoes, vegetables,
and fruit. Beginning in 1971 republic procurement
goals for these items will be established for the
first time. The decree creates a centralized pur-
chase organ for each marketing zone, a measure long
advocated to eliminate the present maze of procure-
ment agencies. It also sets a minimum rate of prof-
itability for vegetables, although it is unclear how
this will be implemented. The rest of the decree is
largely exhortative, urging the farms to use better
seed and more fertilizer and ordering the railroads
and civil airlines to provide better service to farms
and consumers.
29 Jul 70 Central intelligence Bulletin 15
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NOTES
Korea: The sinking of a North Korean agent
boat in the Sea of Japan by South Korean coastal
security units on 27 July brings to nine the number
of such boats detected this year compared to seven
for the same period in 1969. The pattern of North
Korean activity so far this year suggests that
Pyongyang is continuing its policy, adopted last
year, of emphasizing espionage and political subver-
sion rather than armed harassment. There have been
a total of 39 instances of North Korean activity
this year, 19 along the Demilitarized Zone and 20
in the South Korean hinterland, well below the level
of the first seven months of last year.
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Bolivia: Extremist students, along with some
workers' groups, plan demonstrations today, despite
the Ovando government's increasingly strong effort
to counter the plan. In addition to the govern-
ment's threat to crack down hard on the student
demonstrators, several leftist university instruc-
tors were exiled to Argentina on 27 July, ostensibly
because of their contact with a recently active guer-
rilla group. The ouster of the teachers has further
inflamed the leftist students, who are still smart-
ing from having the main university building taken
over by their right-wing fellow students.
29 Jul 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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