CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A016200040001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 1, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 7, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Secret
51
7 May 1970
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North Vietnam - Cambodia: Hanoi continues to be cau-
tious in its foreign policy moves. (Page 1)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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Venezuela-Guyana: Border talks are reaching their
final stages with no signs of progress. (Page 3)
USSR-Czechoslovakia: Treaty (Page 5)
Laos: Situation report (Page 5)
No. 0109/70
7 May 1970
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(Page 6)
Ireland: Cabinet resignations (Page 7)
El Salvador: Coffee sales (Page 8)
Hungary: Stalinist's exile ended
CEMA: Council meeting (Page 7)
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North Vietnam - Cambodia: The Communist boy-
cott of the Paris talks yesterday is essentially a
temporizing measure in line with Hanoi's recent cau-
tion on all political aspects of its Indochina pol-
icy.
The Communists announced that they would stay
away from the conference table for just one week.
Their failure to break off the talks completely is
perhaps the best example to date of Hanoi's unwill-
ingness to close off any political options. The
propaganda treatment of recent US military actions--
condemning them in strong terms but carefully not
committing Hanoi to forceful retaliation--is also in
this vein.
One of the reasons for Hanoi's caution may be
an inability to get Moscow and Peking to agree on a
common line. This is suggested by the prolonged so-
journ abroad of Party First Secretary Le Duan, who
has been away from home almost three weeks; most
recently he has taken a side trip to Poland. His
absence at such a critical time suggests that the
Vietnamese are being puulled in different directions
by their two principal allies, with Peking pressing
a militant line and Moscow advising moderation.
Hanoi recognized Sihanouk's new government-in-
exile yesterday but did not simultaneously break off
relations with the Lon Nol government, as did the
Chinese. Such a move is probably only a matter of
time. The main problem for the Communists now is
how many of their political and military assets in
Indochina they should devote to their current cam-
paign to put Sihanouk's government in Phnom Penh.
Uncertainty on this point probably is behind Hanoi's
current caution. These problems, however, will not
prevent the Communists from making tactical military
decisions in response to Allied cross-border opera-
tions.
7 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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Venezuela-Guyana: Border talks are reaching
their final stages with no sign of progress.
The two countries are simultaneously carrying
on two sets of discussions. Talks on a technical
level have been going on for the past three months
to prepare for a meeting between the two foreign
ministers. At the same time, the mixed-border com-
mission, which officially expired last February
after four years of fruitless discussions, is pre-
paring its final report.
The last of the technical talks is to be held
on 9 May. Venezuelan Foreign Ministry officials
have told the US Embassy that they doubt this ses-
sion will succeed in arranging a meeting of the for-
eign ministers.
The mixed-border commission is to present its
report by 17 May. The two countries have agreed
to explore other means of reaching a solution to
their border problem for another three months. If
no conclusion is reached by then, the dispute is to
be submitted to.the Secretary General of the United
Nations for his recommendations.
7 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Laos: Current Situation
CHINA
Bouaiti nervy forces
dosing in
~JI9 / ~., rmm ,
Communist-controlled territory
Contested territory
Limit of area claimed under
Communist and Neutralist
control, June 1962
CAMBODIA
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I USSR-Czechoslovakia: The most interesting
point in the Soviet-Czechoslovak friendship treaty
signed yesterday is the assumption of mutual defense
obligations which are not confined to Europe. The
Warsaw Pact treaty and other Soviet bilateral treat-
ies with East European allies explicitly limit de-
fense obligations to Europe. East Europeans who
have sought to avoid involvement in a possible Sino-
Soviet military conflict will read this provision as
confirmation of their fears. As expected, the cen-
tral tenet of the "Brezhnev doctrine" is also incor-
I for the first time, in the treaty.
Laos: Communist forces have abandoned the key
base overlooking Attopeu town after eight days of
government artillery and air strikes. No other ma-
jor actions have been reported in the south, but
Laotian pilots have reported sighting three enemy
companies moving near the southern edge of the
Bolovens Plateau. In the north, government guer-
rillas have regained some high ground within rocket
range of Long Tieng and Sam Thong. Enemy forces,
however, apparently are closing the perimeter around
the isolated government outpost at Bouam Long.
(continued)
7 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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Hungary: Party boss Kadar has decided to allow
his Stalinist: predecessor Matyas Rakosi to return
home from exile in the Soviet Union
Rakosi's advanced age, his tailing ea , an i.s
14-year separation from the nation should exclude him
as a political force, but Kadar reportedly held out
for guarantees of good behavior before agreeing to
his return, Kadar probably believes that ending the
embarrassing exile arrangement will create some good-
will with the Soviets. There is no immediate evi-
dence of nervousness within the country, but the re-
gime is being very cautious and may announce its de-
cision only after. Rakosi is settled somewhere out of
public view.
(continued)
7 May 70
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CEMA: The CEMA council will convene in Warsaw
early next week in an effort to focus on the financing
of national investment projects of mutual interest.
The major topic to be discussed is the long-pending
establishment and capitalization of a CEMA Investment
Bank, including the amount of convertible currency
each member is to contribute. In addition to stimu-
lating multilateral investments within Eastern Europe
and the USSR, the bank is designed to finance imports
of Western technology and equipment required for such
projects. F_ I
Ireland: The long simmering dispute within the
ruling Fianna Fail Party concerning the government's
dovish policy on Ulster has resulted in a cabinet
upheaval. In calling for the resignation yesterday
of the agriculture and finance ministers, Prime
Minister Lynch accused them of not backing the gov-
ernment in its quest for a united Ireland by peace-
ful means. He indicated that Dublin does not intend
to modify its policy of refusing to use force to end
partition. A third hard-liner on the issue, Minister
of Local Government Boland, has quit, and Lynch has
advised the President to accept Boland's resignation.
The party deputies met last night and, as expected
gave full support to the prime minister.
(continued)
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El Salvador: About one fifth of the country's
sizable coffee surplus over its quota for 1969-70
probably will be sold to Communist countries. Quotas
are determined by the International Coffee Agreement,
which regulates sales to major consumers. Poland
and Hungary have agreed to purchase 100,000 bags,
and negotiations for a 50,000-bag sale to the USSR
are under way. No prices have been announced, but
the three deals are likely to bring in at least $9
million in hard currency, or 4 to 5 percent of total
exports. Larger amounts of surplus coffee have in
the past been sold to the bloc at lower prices or on
barter terms. The current cash sales, however, will
help to compensate for El Salvador's reduced trade
within the Central American Common Market since the
conflict with Honduras in mid-1969.
7 May 70
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