CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A003000500001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 19, 1957
• Content Type: REPORT

ILLEGI
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
State Department review completed
19 April 1957
Copy No. 134
ILLEGIB
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
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AUTH: HR 70
DATE) ? REVIEW'ER:,
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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CONTENTS
SOVIET OFFICIALS SUGGEST TOP-LEVEL CONFERENCE
WITH THE WEST
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$12. THE JORDANIAN SITUATION
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t 0 3. GREEK-TURK TENSIONS MAY EASE
64. KISHI PROPOSES US AND JAPAN CO-OPERATE I CO-
NOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTHEAST ASIA
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d 5. SOVIET LEADERS EXPRESS OPTIMISM FOR IMPROVED
. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
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(9 46. MIKOYAN COMMENTS ON POLITICAL EFFECT
INDUSTRIAL REORGANIZATION
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8. PRO-SOVIET DIPLOMAT TO BE BURMESE PREMIER'S
PERSONAL SECRETARY
ANNEX- -Conclusions of the Watch Re ort of the Intelligence
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1. SOVIET OFFICIALS SUGGEST TOP-LEVEL CONFERENCE 25X1A
WITH THE WEST
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First Deputy Premier Mikoyan told Am-
bassador Bohlen on 17 April that the Soviet
government did not understand why the United
States, Britain and France were not prepared 25X1A
to talk over Middle East problems, and said
that he felt if this were done some areas of
common interest could be found. Mikoyan as-
serted that the chief Soviet interest in the
Middle East lay in the security field, that his government did not
wish to see the installation there of Western, particularly Amer-
ican, military power, and that the Soviet Union felt that as a great pow-
er it had a right to have its interests in bordering areas recog-
nized. His remarks were made in response to Bohlen's suggestion
that one of the Soviet purposes in the area was to use control of
the oil supplies as a weapon of pressure against Western Europe.
Other Soviet officials have suggested recently
in public and private statements that the USSR is seeking a top-
level conference on Middle Eastern problems, or possibly even
another summit conference.
A Soviet request for a conference on the Mid-
dle East, delivered to the Western powers and India on 11 Febru-
ary, was rejected by all the addressees except India. Such a con-
ference has since been a recurrent theme in Soviet propaganda.
I
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2. THE JORDANIAN SITUATION
Jordanian prime minister Khalidi, in
his first interview with Ambassador
Mallory on 17 April, stated that great
difficulties could arise if Ambassador
Richards' mission should arrive in Amman
at this time. He said that a delay of eight
or ten days would be helpful, and that in
the meantime he would study the question
of the exact wording of an invitation, which
he considered to be important.
Khalidi stated that what had looked like the
eruption of "several volcanoes" in Jordan now
appeared to be changing to a period of relative calm, The new
prime minister said he regarded the formation of his cabinet as
"almost miraculous" in the sense that a number of people who
had foresworn any government activity had been induced to re-
turn to public life.
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The armored units which had been stationed
in Amman reportedly returned to their barracks on 17 April.
The decree issued on 18 April confirming the appointment of
General Hiyari as chief of staff in place of exiled general Nuwar
should serve to stabilize the situation further.
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3. GREEK-TURK TENSIONS MAY EASE
Tension between Greece and Turkey over
he arrival of Archbishop Makarios in
Athens appears to be easing, at least for
he present. Athens' reception of Makarios--
personifies the enosis Struggle to the
Turks- -produced no immediate violent
reaction in Turkey, despite the archbishop's
for self-determination.
ration to the crowds reiterating his demand
Turkish prime minister Menderes issued a
statement over Ankara radio on 18 April
hich was considerably milder than that he
had previously planned to deliver to the National Assembly a
day earlier. After deploring the British release of Makarios as
an "injudicious action," he nevertheless expressed the hope that
Britain and Turkey, whose relations are "extremely cordial,"
would proceed together toward a solution of the Cyprus problem.
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The secretary-general of the Turkish Foreign
Ministry had already indicated to American and British diplomats
that the Turks might assume a less militant line than had been
expected. Menderes has ordered additional precautions in Istanbul
to prevent any "untoward incident" after a visit there. The deputy
governor of Istanbul told the American consul-general on 16 April
that "any and all" demonstrations would be prohibited, but he
warned that the prime minister could reverse that decision at any
time. The embassy points out that 23 April is a Turkish national
holiday, and would be a logical day for a popular demonstration.
planned further conferences with government leaders.
satisfaction with Athens' handling of the Cyprus issue and said he
Makarios appears to be treading cautiously
among rival Greek factions in Athens and is receptive to official
Greek counsel of moderation. After an interview with Foreign
Minister Averoff the evening of 17 April, Makarios reiterated his
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4. KISHI PROPOSES US AND JAPAN CO-OPERATE IN
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTHEAST ASIA
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Prime Minister Kishi, in the third of a
series of discussions with Ambassador
MacArthur on US-Japanese co-operation,
has proposed that the US, in concert with
Japan and other non-Communist countries, establish an
Asian development fund which would provide the necessary
capital for economic development of Southeast Asian coun-
tries. He believed such a fund could also be used to adjust
the demand and supply of certain primary products of the
area, and to provide a credit mechanism for facilitating
trade.
Kishi also suggested that the US help fi-
nance a Japanese investment agency which would provide
long-term, low-interest loans. He recommended that the
US render financial assistance on specific projects already
planned by Japan and the countries in Southeast Asia,, "con-
sider" Japan in connection with US aid projects, establish
joint US-Japanese technical training centers, and encourage
the establishment of a branch of the World Bank in Tokyo.
Kishi commented that the military aspect
of US-Japanese co-operation has been overemphasized and
said that it is an urgent necessity to demonstrate to the Jap-
anese people that economic co-operation is one of many other
fields in which mutual benefits can be obtained.
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Comment Latent suspicion of Japan's intentions,
political instability in Southeast Asia,
and well-entrenched European and Indian interests are hand-
icaps in strengthening Japan's ties in the area.
In response to pressure from within his
Liberal-Democratic Party to demonstrate Japan's "independ-
ent" policy, Kishi plans to make a trip through Southeast Asia
before coming to Washington. He also intends to appoint rov-
ing "economic" ambassadors in several areas, including South-
east Asia, to improve the atmosphere for economic co-opera-
tion with Japan.
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5. SOVIET LEADERS EXPRESS OPTIMISM FOR IMPROVED
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Soviet leaders Khrushchev and Bulganin,
in a farewell conversation with Ambassador
Bohlen, expressed optimism for a relaxa-
tion of "international tension" and an im-
provement of relations with the United States and other Western
countries.
Khrushchev indicated that he felt the cur-
rent London disarmament conference had gotten off to a better
start than previous meetings, and expressed the hope that some-
thing positive would be accomplished.
On the subject of German reunification, how-
ever, Khrushchev and Bulganin maintained the official Soviet
position since the Geneva summit conference of July 1955 that
the Soviet Union was not prepared to go any further than to fa-
cilitate contacts between the two German states for the purpose
of working out unification.
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The forthcoming decentralization of
Soviet industrial administration will
over a period of time affect the political
structure of the Soviet Union and result
in greater au omy for local institutions, in the opinion of
6. MIKOYAN COMMENTS ON POLITICAL EFFECT OF
SOVIET INDUSTRIAL REORGANIZATION
First Deputy Premier Anastas Mikoyan. At a farewell
luncheon for Ambassador Bohlen on 17 April, Mikoyan at-
tributed the possibility for greater local autonomy in eco-
nomic and "eventually" in political matters to the increase
in numbers of trained people in the provinces. He agreed
with Bohlen that many forms of Soviet administration, par-
ticularly in the political field,, were hangovers from the past,
adding that this has been the essence of the tasks confront-
ing the leadership since Stalin's death.
The principle of collective leadership,
according to Mikoyan, was not only being maintained but
was being continuously strengthened and developed.
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8... PRO-SOVIET DIPLOMAT TO BE BURMESE PREMIER'S
PERSONAL SECRETARY
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U Ohn, for many years the Burmese
ambassadlor in Moscow, has become
personal secretary to Premier Nu, ac-
cording to an official announcement in
angoon. Ohn replaces U Thant, who is to become Burma's
permanent representative to the United Nations. Ohn is be-
lieved by the American embassy to be close to the Soviet
embassy.
Comment U Ohn is a member of the Socialist
oligarchy which dominates the Burmese
government, and his appointment to this influential position
has long been anticipated. Since his college days in the 30's
he has never concealed his pro-Communist inclinations. In
his new position, Ohn will be in daily contact with the pre-
mier and his advice will probably carry considerable weight
in the determination of both domestic and foreign policies.
Although a moderate and devout Buddhist,
U Thant is unlikely to be as aggressively anti-Communist in
the 'United Nations as U Pe. Kin, the man he is relieving.
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ANNEX
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Watch Report 350, 18 April .1957
of the
Intelligence Advisory Committee
Conclusions on Indications of Hostilities
On the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the
Intelligence Advisory Committee concludes that:
A. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against the continental US or its possessions in the imme-
diate future.
B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against US forces abroad, US allies or areas peripheral
to the Orbit in the immediate future.
C. A deliberate initiation of hostilities by either Israel or
the Arab states is improbable in the immediate future.
Unsettled issues and tensions, particularly the internal
situation in Jordan, continue to constitute possibilities for
violence. Should there be intensified disorders or civil
war in Jordan, military intervention by neighboring .Arab
states probably would occur, and Israeli intervention would
be a possibility.
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