CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A013100060001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 2, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 15, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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I
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
15 February 1969
State Dept. review completed
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No. 0040/69
15 February 1969
Central .Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
USSR-Berlin: Moscow appears to be giving East Ger-
many more leeway to harass the West Germans. (Page 2)
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Pakistan: The government says it will lift the
three-year-old state of emergency. (Page 5)
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USSR-Japan: The Soviets have agreed to let Japanese
crews and aircraft operate on a Tokyo - Moscow -
Western Europe route. (Page 7)
Nigeria: Biafran airstrip interdiction (Page 8)
Peru-US: Fishing boat (Page 8)
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C Vietnam: Ground fighting remained light on the
eve of the Communists' seven-day cease-fire, which
they announced would begin today.
Widespread reports continue to indicate the Com-
munists are planning stepped-up offensive activity
during or soon after the cease-fire period. Allied
spoiling operations, especially in the provinces
around Saigon, are disrupting Communist plans to
some extent, however.
A militant Viet Cong broadcast on 13 February
is in line with other indications that the Communists
are on the verge of a period of'increased offensive
activity. The radio called for "continuous attacks"
and singled out the allied pacification program,
military units, logistics installations, and lines
of communications for special attention.
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USSR-Berlin: Moscow has extended assurances
that Allied'r~ghts in Berlin will not be challenged,
but appears to be giving East Germany more leeway
to harass the West Germans.
A note delivered to Chancellor Kiesinger on
13 February used considerably harsher language than
earlier Soviet notes to the Allies in protesting
Bonn's decision to hold the presidential election
in West Berlin on 5 March. The Soviets did not
spell out what harassment measures they or the East
Germans might undertake, but implied that they
might give Pankow a relatively .free hand to take
action against West German land access to West
Berlin. Moscow has made no mention of any Commu-
nist intent to attempt to block Western air access
to the city.
The note warned that the USSR would assume
"only those responsibilities" which are specified
in quadripartite agreements, According to the So-
viets, their obligation to facilitate access to
Berlin applies only to Allied travel, and not to
the West Germans.
The wording of the note suggests a renewal of
the persistent Soviet attempt to drive a wedge be-
tween the West Germans and the Allies. Ambassador
Dobrynin's remarks at his first meeting with Sec-
retary of State Rogers yesterday were cast in the
same vein. Dobrynin said that Moscow did not want
to jeopardize relations with the US, and that any
measures taken would be only in direct reaction to
Bonn's moves. Dobrynin said that no measures would
be directed against President Nixon, but he warned
that the Soviets would not allow the West Germans
to "hide" behind the President.
in Moscow, the Soviets finally accepted a tri-
partite protest note yesterday, after evading ac-
ceptance on Thursday. The delay had evidently been
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used to formulate a reply, which was delivered to
the Allied representatives immediately upon receipt
of the Allied protest. The Soviet reply repeated
earlier charges against Bonn and reiterated support
for East German restrictions on travel by West Ger-
man officials which were announced last weekend and
are to take effect today.
Despite its assurances regarding Allied access,
Moscow has apparently inspired rumors that Soviet and
East German forces would soon begin maneuvers which
would block the land access routes to Berlin, and
that some action might be taken to impede air travel.
Current military activity in the Berlin area
appears to be limited to normal training. Warsaw
Pact commander Marshal Yakubovsky and most of the
military representatives from each of the member
countries who had been meeting in East Germany since
10 February returned home yesterday.
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Pakistan: The government announced yesterday
that the three-year-old state of emergency would
be lifted Monday--the day President Ayub has pro-
posed for talks with the opposition.
The state of emergency, which was declared in
September 1965 during the war with India, permits
the President to suspend fundamental rights and
govern by ordinance. Ayub has come under increas-
ingly bitter attack for continuing the state of
emergency and using it to repress political oppo-
sition. This government concession is the latest
in a series of gestures designed to improve the
climate for talks. Opposition leaders are expected
to respond today to Ayub's offer of negotiations.
Early reports indicate that the general strike
yesterday, called by the new opposition coalition,
brought activity in most cities to a standstill.
Some violence occurred, the first incidents having
taken place on the eve of the strike. The police
apparently remained on the sidelines as much as
possible, but the army reportedly was alerted and
used in scattered instances.
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USSR-Japan: The USSR has agreed to let Japan
Air Lines (JAL) operate flights using Japanese planes
and crews from Tokyo to Moscow and Western Europe
not later than 31 March 1970.
This service, which reportedly will use DC-8s,
will enable JAL to reduce scheduled air travel time
to Europe by about three hours. JAL thus will main-
tain its edge over other free world air carriers in
operating the shortest air route between the Far
East and Western Europe via Siberia. Since April
1967, the Moscow-Tokyo service has been operated
under a "joint" arrangement by JAL and the Soviet
airline Aeroflot, with both carriers using Soviet
aircraft and crews.
In return for independent service, Tokyo ac-
ceeded to Soviet requests for increased flights
under the joint JAL-Aeroflot operation, which will
remain in effect until independent. JAL flights be-
gin. Japan also agreed to the substitution of the
Soviet IL-62 transport for the aging TU-114 cur-
rently in use.
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Nigeria: The federal government is apparently
stepping up ettorts to interdict Biafra's one op-
erating airstrip where arms and relief supplies are
flown to the secessionists nightly. In one federal
bombing raid on the airstrip early this week, at
least two relief aircraft were slightly damaged.
Relief organizations have become more concerned.
with the Nigerian bombing raids and believe that the
danger of flying into the Biafran airstrip has meas-
urably increased. Even if the raids do not succeed
in closing the airstrip, the danger posed by them
could discourage pilot of both the arms and relief
planes from flying.
,,Peru-US: The US fishing boat seized yesterday
by a Peruvian gunboat was released within hours of
its capture after paying a "symbolic" fine. The
foreign minister tried to minimize the incident in
a discussion with the US charge, and denied that
any damage had been done to the other ships involved.
This incident, which apparently occurred without
the foreknowledge of the military government, is
the result of a long-standing dispute with the US
over Peru's claim to a 200-mile limit to its ter-
ritorial sea.
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