CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A012200070001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 12, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 30, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
5o
30 September. 1968
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No. 0274/68
30 September 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
World Communist Conference: Delegations at prepara-
tory session are divided over postponement question.
(Page 3)
Indonesia-France: Agreement reached for peaceful
atomic energy development. (Page 4)
Southern Yemen -- Communist China: Peking has agreed
to provide its :First economic aid to Aden. (Page 5)
Okinawa: Neutrality of Japanese Komeito party helps
conservative candidate's chances in forthcoming election.
(Page 6)
Mexico: Strikers adamant (Page 7)
India: Crops endangered (Page 7)
Sierra Leone: Political strife (Page 7)
South Africa: National Party setback (Page 8)
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NORTH
VIETNAM
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South Vietnam: Military action was limited to
several small-scale shellings and ground clashes over
the weekend.
The Communists conducted their first rocket at-
tack against Saigon in six weeks when three 122-mm.
rockets hit the capital on 29 September. A South
Vietnamese policeman was killed and five civilians
were wounded, but material damage was negligible.
Da Nang airfield was hit by five rockets the same
day and suffered minor damage.
The most significant enemy ground attacks oc-
curred in I Corps. The Communists lost 62 killed in
an unsuccessful assault on the Thuong Duc Special
Forces Camp in Quang Nam Province. The enemy sub-
sequently overran two small nearby outposts, however,
and seized two villages from which they continue to
threaten the camp. In Quang Ngai Province, the Com-
munists entered a village near the provincial capital
and burned several schools and houses.
President Thieu is trying to assure that the
return of popular General "Big" Minh from exile in
Bangkok will help unify South Vietnam behind the gov-
ernment rather than threaten it with a more potent
opposition.
Although Thieu has stated publicly that Minh
would have all the rights of any citizen and could
form a political party if he wished, the South Viet-
namese President clearly would not welcome such a
development. Accordingly, he has sent the minister
of interior, General Khiem, as his personal repre-
sentative to discuss the conditions for Minh's return.
The Bangkok press has reported that Minh will
return to his homeland on 1 November, the fifth an-
niversary of the coup he led against President Diem,
30 Sep 68
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allegedly because he wants his return to be a symbol
to unite all factions against the Communists. This
line fits well with that of the Thieu government, and
it may have been given to the press by General Khiem
without Minh's concurrence. 25X1-
30 Sep 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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World Communist Conference: The preparatory
committee convenes today in Budapest with the dele-
gations divided over whether to postpone the world
conference scheduled for November.
Moscow apparently would like to proceed as plan-
ned. Important West European parties, however--
notably the Italian and French--have never been en-
thusiastic about the conference and have publicly
requested postponement because of their dissatis-
faction with the Czechoslovak intervention. Moscow's
close East European allies have little choice and many
smaller parties little inclination but to go along
with the Soviet position.
Confusion and disarray have characterized pre-
liminary caucuses of key parties during the past few
days, and may carry over into today's full session.
The preliminary meetings originally called to put
the finishing touches on documents for the November
conference have in fact reduced the agenda for the
present session to two items: the Czechoslovak sit-
uation and the question of postponement. Moscow
may in the end decide to go along with postponement
to avoid open and bitter clashes among the delegates
over the Czechoslovak invasion.
Although at least 41 parties are represented
in Budapest, six of the fourteen ruling Communist
parties continue to boycott the preparatory meet-
ings. As at the last preparatory conference, Ru-
mania has sent only low-level representatives as
observers. F_ I
30 Sep 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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Indonesia-France: Agreement has been reached
between Indonesia and France on a draft for a joint
program for development of atomic energy for peace-
ful purposes.
Under the terms of the a reement, 25X1
the French Atomic n- r
ergy Agency is to be appointed as sole contractor
with exclusive rights to explore Indonesian territory
for deposits of uranium and other radioactive materials
for a seven-year period. The agreement provides for an
exchange of commercial and technical information on
nuclear development, as well as measures to ease pay-
ments for purchases of needed equipment and instal-
lations. These provisions are likely to be of pri-
mary benefit to Indonesia. Implementation of the
agreement awaits legislative ratification in both
Paris and Djakarta? a procedure which is likely to
require considerable time.
Indonesian President Suharto and a large seg-
ment of the military leadership have expressed con-
siderable interest in the development of an Indone-
sian nuclear energy capacity. The current Indonesian
atomic energy program is miniscule and Indonesia is
aware that it is dependent on foreign assistance
to make any progress in this field. Although there
have been reports of uranium deposits in West Irian,
there is little firm evidence that Indonesia possesses
significant uranium resources. 17 1 25X1
30 Sep 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin 4
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Southern Yemen - Communist China: Communist
China has agreed to provide its first economic aid
to Aden.
Peking on 24 September extended a $12 million
interest-free development credit but did not commit
itself to any cash assistance. Southern Yemen's
foreign minister, in announcing the new economic
cooperation agreement, did not mention specific aid
projects. His delegation which has just returned
from Peking had planned to discuss Chinese assistance
in land reclamation and construction of roads and
airports. He also announced that diplomatic repre-
sentation between the two countries would be expe-
dited. Peking has appeared eager to cultivate its
ties with Southern Yemen since its independence last
winter. By extending this aid, the Chinese may hope
to preempt a significant Soviet presence there.
Neither the USSR nor the Eastern European coun-
tries have been particularly forthcoming in providing
aid. Some small development credits may be in the
offing, however. Experts from Hungary, Rumania and
Bulgaria recently arrived in Southern Yemen to surve
potential aid projects.
30 Sep 68 Ccntral Intelligence Bulletin
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Okinawa: The decision of Japan's Komeito, the
political arm of the Buddhist Soka Gakkai, to remain
neutral in the Okinawan elections for chief executive
in November enhances the prospects of the conservative
candidate.
Komeito's position, announced last week, frees
the vote of Okinawan Soka Gakkai members, many of
whom are employed by the US military and have favored
conservative Okinawa Liberal Democratic Party (OLDP)
candidates. It is unclear, however, whether the Soka
Gakkai vote--which the organization claims to be
some 80,000--will tip the balance in favor of OLDP
candidate Nishime over his leftist opponent. For
its part, the Soka Gakkai leadership in Okinawa has
not officially endorsed either candidate. In view
of Soka Gakkai's disciplined control over the voting
of its membership and the current prospects for a
close contest, such an endorsement could be crucial.
For the past few months, the Okinawan elections
have been a point of contention among Japanese Komeito
leaders. Some feel that Komeito's failure to support
the Okinawan leftist coalition will tarnish Komeito's
credentials as an opposition party in Japan, partic-
ularly since the Japanese Socialists and Communists
are supporting their counterparts in Okinawa. When
party secretary-general Yano confirmed, however,
during a visit to the Ryukus earlier this month, that
the Okinawan Soka Gokkai favored Nishime, Komeito
opted for neutrality to avoid alienating its Okinawan
30 Sep 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Mexico: Troops have been ordered to withdraw
from the national university, but student strike
leaders remain defiantly determined to continue press-
ing their demands. The strikers announced after a
rally on 27 September that a dialogue with the gov-
ernment is not possible until all detained students
are released and until the "repression" by the gov-
ernment ceases. One student group has proposed a
truce for the period of the Olympic games, but there
is no indication that it is being considered seri-
ously. A women's protest march,reportedly by mothers
and relatives of prisoners, is planned for today, and
a larger general rally is scheduled for 2 October.
India: As the summer monsoon period draws to
a close, it is evident that the deficient rains have
jeopardized crop prospects in as many as six Indian
states. Summer foodgrain production will not sur-
pass last year's record level, and without good rains
soon it may be several million tons less. The pau-
city of rain has also adversely affected the outlook
for some important commercial crops such as jute and
Sierra Leone: Animosities between the country's
two tribally based political parties are growing.
Newspapers of the opposition Sierra Leone People's
Party have viciously attacked Prime Minister Stevens
and his policies and seem to be challenging the gov-
ernment to suppress them. Reports of new political
disturbances upcountry are filtering into Freetown
while army troops have been dispatched to maintain
order in the south. To counter the turmoil, Stevens
may not only silence the opposition press and cur-
tail public meetings but also cancel scheduled by-
elections in the south, where the opposition party
is the strongest.
(continued)
30 Sep 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin, 7
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South Africa: In an unexpected move, the con-
gress of Natal Province's National Party rejected
the guidance of the national leadership and elected
its own local man as head of the Natal party. Al-
though each of the; party's provincial organizations
in South Africa is essentially an autonomous unit,
it was widely known that party officials in Pretoria
were pushing hard for the election of Foreign Minis-
ter Muller to this post. The rejection of Muller
was a reaction to Pretoria's heavy-handed efforts to
install a "carpetbagger" and does not represent any
split within the party.
30 Sep 68
Central Intelligence Bulletin 8
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Secret
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