CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A001800280001-1
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date:
February 20, 2004
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 27, 1954
Content Type:
REPORT
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CURRENT INTELLIGENC BULLETIN
DOCUtJIEN'iNO. ~~~.--._.._.--
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AUTH: ti/R' 7y43-2
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARX
GEPTERAL
to Greece discussing res
and Rumania e 3 0
umption of diplomatic relations with Poland
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3. ~Tiet A2inh gains in pro
SOUTHEAST ASIA
vincial areas of South Vietnam noted (page 5)0
4o Britain favors internat
(page 5) ,
5o Soviet truck convoy re
(Page ~)
6~, India .may-get British-
ional supervision of Cambodian electrons
SOUTH ASIA
ported entering southern Afghanistan
financed steel mill (page 7)0
7. Renewed pressure in F
(Page 8)
~VESTERId EUROPE
rance for early talks with USSR foreseen
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GENERAL
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Greece discussing resumption of .diplomatic relations with Poland
an Rumania: TT
Poland and Rumania have joined the list
of Satellites seeking to re-establish di 1 -
matic relations with Athens.
The Foreign Ministry is reported to antici-
pate the speedy resumption- of relations with Poland because there
are no outstanding differences between the two countries.
Comment: In the current Orbit campaign
to woo Greece,. all -the European Satellites except Albania have made
overtures to xe-establish diplomatic relations. Bucharest may have
special reasons fox wishing to renew relations, such as an interest
in Greek shipping to help move Rumanian exports, and migk~t there-
fore- accept the Greek demands in principle as a basis for. negotia-
tion.
Although Greece, after long hesitation,
agreed last May to resume relations with Bulgaria, negotiations
over financial problem, are still dragging on.
This move by Poland and Rumania appears
to be part of a general Orbit campaign to establish normal diplo-
rnatic relations with countries othe:~r than; the United States?
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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3a Viet Minh gains in provincial areas of South Vietnam notedo
tinue,
Rear Admiral Cabanier, French fleet
commander in south Indochina9 told an
American embassy officer in Saigon
.recently that if present conditions con-
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"free Vietnam will be lost to the Communists within three
He said that in the area west of Saigon,
which he has visited frequently in connection with the removal of
Viet Minh troops by his naval units, provincial officials seemingly
govern the towns and cities but admit that the Viet Minh actually
runs things, even in the citieso He attributed this condition to
t:he widespread expectation that the Viet Minh will eventually take
over and to the central government's failure to support local author-
ities with a co-ordinated military and civilian policyo
Cabanier said .Viet Minh troops had origi-
n.a11y objected to their removal but soon had been brought into line
by assurances from their superiors that their evacuation was only
temporary They were apparently convinced, since none requested
evacuation of their dependentso
4. Britain ~avprs international supervision of Cambodian elections:
The British ambassador in .Phnom Penh
told Ambassador McClintock on 24 .Novem-
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ber that his government interpreted Article 6
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.CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5
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of the. Geneva agreement as providing for supervision of the forth-
coming .Cambodian. elections by the International Control Commis-
sion.. He said .that the outgoing Canadian .truce commissioner was
of the same opinion.
Comment: The Cambodian government
hopes to hold the elections, which .are scheduled for March 19559
without foreign supervision. Article 6 of the Cambodian cease-
fire agreement provides for the reintegration of former- Communist-
siaonsored dissidents into the national community and for the hold-
img of general elections.
Although the article is silent on .the ques-
tion of supervision9 it has been interpreted by all the members of
.the truce commission to imply supervision of the elections by that
commissiono
British policy in .supporting ? nternational
supervision appears to 'be motivated by a .desire to blunt Commu-
nist Charges that the Western powers are imposing an anti-Communist
policy on the Cambodian government contrary to the spirit of the
.Geneva agreemento
The Indians and the Poles have ulterior
motives in insisting on this interpretationo The Indian aim appears
t~ be a neutralist Cambodia within the Indian sphere of influence.
The Poles are attempting to further Viet Minh objectives
SOUTIi ASIA
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5. Soviet truck convoy reported entering .southern Afghanistan:
A convoy of X40 Soviet trucks carrying
heavy-road construction and maintenance
equipment crossed into western Afghani-
stan at Herat prior to 15 November and
was heading for Kabul via Farah and
Comment: The bulldozers9 graders9
cement spreaders9 snow-remove equipment and maintenance
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~7 Nov 54 .CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6
nformed the American army attache in Kabulo
Kan ar in the southern part of the country9
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workshops said to be carried by the convoy are presumably to be
used in paving .Kabul streets as provided for in the Soviet-Afghan
.loan agreement of 5 Octobero
It would. be extremely difficult9 if not
impossible9 to move such heavy equipment along the more direct
but tortuous mountain route from Mazar-i-sharif to Ka,bulo South-
ern Afghanistan has long been .open to Soviet diplomats to at least
the same limited extent that the northern part of the country has
been .open to American representatives.
6. .India may get British-financed steel mill:
~~
s ee p n m a wi a 650,000-ton capacity, according to the
British trade commissioner in New Delhi. The repayment period
is ten years and the interest rate "slightly more than that for gilt-
edged securities:' There has as yet been no discussion as to
whether the plant would be operated as a government or private
enterprise o
London has offered B. Mo Birla9 Indian
industrialist, a financial arrangement
providing for a credit of 459 0009 000 pounds
sterling ($1269000,000) to construct a
Comment: There has been considerable
discussion in .Indian government circles of a Soviet offer to build
a steel mill in India with a 300,000-ton annual capacityo Conserva-
tive members of the Indian cabinet have- been making strenuous
efforts to obtain a steel mill-from sources -other than Russian.
They are apparently pinning their. hopes on Britain9 as private in-
vestors in the United,States were not interestedo
Even though its terms appear less a,ttrac-
tive than those of the Soviet offer9 the British proposal will strength-
en Finance Minister Deshmukh a:nd Commerce Minister Krishnama-
chari in their attempts Ito prevent Indian acceptance of the Soviet
offero In view of the death of former food minister Kidwai9 who
sponsored the Soviet steel mill project, Deshmukh and .Krishnama-
chari may be able to convince Nehru that acceptance of the Soviet
offer would be unwiseo It is unlikely that the Indian government
will accept both the British and Soviet offers at this timep
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WESTERN EUROPE
?u Renewed pressure in France for early talks with .USSR foreseeno
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A high French F4xeign .Ministry official
has expressed fear to the American em-
bassy i.n .Paris that the USSR may accept .
the "Eden plan" for unification of Germany
roug ree a ec ons "subject to minor amendments ~" In such an
eventp he believes there would be some utility in the earlier French
suggestion that talks with the USSR take place while ratification of
the Paris agreements is in process ~ He stated that an "apparently
forthcoming Soviet move" on Germany might make it impossible
for the French government to resist "public and parliamentary
clamor fox early talksa'
Meanwhile9 according to a member of the
staff of the National Assembly Foreign Affairs Committee the par-
liamentary situation has deteriorated insofar as the Paris agree-
ments are concerned9 bud it is still "universally believed" they will
pass ~.
Comment: Growing opposition to Mendes-
France on the budget and Nort~i-African issues9 as well as accusa-
tions from some of his original supporters that he is becoming too
"pro-Americans" will probably narrow his majority on the Paris
accords mare .than had hitherto been anticipatedo
The influential Paris daily Le Monde9
which has heretofore strongly backed .Mendes-France; attacked
the premier on 23 November for failing to keep his promise to the
assembly that East-,West talks would beheld during the process of
ratification of the Paris agreemEmtso The paper expressed regret
that Mendes-France's talks in Washington did little to encourage
Soviet conciliation
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