CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A011500040001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 21, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: June 24, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
DOS
Secret
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No. 0190/68
24 June 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Tanzania-UK: New British aid cuts will further re-
duce the Western presence as Communist influence is
growing. (Page 3)
Canada: Trudeau's Liberals have good chance to gain
small majority in parliamentary elections. (Page 4)
Uruguay: President Pacheco intends to take firmer
action to stop current wave of disorders. (Page 6)
Chile: Disruption is continuing at the University
of Mile. (Page 7)
India: Internal strains may be-leading to a split
within the radical left Communist Party. (Page 8)
Denmark: More aircraft (Page 9)
Spain: Concern over unrest (Page 9)
Philippines-Malaysia: Sabah negotiations (Page 9)
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NORTH
VIETNAM
~f?kf:ny
I
.Ql(ang Ngai
Demililerized Zone
CAMB OD1,,N
Ban Me
Thuot
PHNO
PENH ?'
Q*
?
Xuan Loc
DAf)
PHU ODUC
SOUTH VIETNAM
0 25 50 75 100 M0e5
0 75 50. 75 161) K,Iometers
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C South Vietnam: Communist-initiated military
activity remained at a low level on 22-23 June.
Although most of the weekend action was concen-
trated in the southern section of the country, Sai-
gon was quiet. No ground fighting or Communist
shellings were reported within the capital itself.
The most significant ground fighting occurred on 22
June when a South Vietnamese infantry battalion was
ambushed north of Xuan Loc. Losses were heavy on
both sides: the South Vietnamese suffered 48 killed
and 57 wounded, and a subsequent sweep of the bat-
tlefield revealed 76 enemy dead.
The Buddhists have launched a new peace cam-
paign, with militant and moderate factions vying for
the spotlight.
On 22 June, militant leader Thich Tinh Khiet
released a statement calling for an immediate cease-
fire and castigating the North Vietnamese for the
indiscriminate shelling of Saigon. Khiet's appeal,
which also took a veiled swipe at allied military
operations, may have been timed to get the jump on
a moderate-sponsored prayer meeting and press con-
ference already scheduled for the following day.
Cast in neutral terms and addressed to Saigon
as well as to Hanoi, the moderates' call for peace
on 23 June, like the militants' earlier statement,
nevertheless made it clear that the onus was on
North Vietnam for not matching allied de-escalation.
The moderates refused, however, to commit themselves
on various suggestions for achieving a peaceful so-
lution to the war and hedged on the possibility of
a coalition government.
The Buddhist campaign comes at a time when
there is increasing discussion among leftist students J
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C and some politicians about the consequences of con-
ti
nued fighting and the need for a prompt end to the
bloodshed. A recently formed labor organization,
for example, has petitioned President Thieu for an
end to what it described as careless and indiscrimi-
nate allied air and artillery strikes in Saigon and
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Tanzania-UK: New British aid cuts to Tanzania
will further reduce the Western presence there at a
time when Communist influence is growing .
[London announced on 20 June that it will halt
aid to Tanzania in reprisal for the latter's annul-
ment of a preindependence agreement whereby Dar es
Salaam has been paying some $2.8 million a year in
pensions to British colonial civil servants.]
[London has provided little or no capital de-
velopment support since President Nyerere broke re-
lations over the Rhodesian issue in late 1965. Con-
tinuing technical assistance, however, has amounted
to about $4 million annually and has supported nearly
700 UK nationals throughout the Tanzanian civil
service, including 180 in education. London appar-
ently intends to bring home most of them as their
contracts expire -I
The departure of the British technicians, who
totaled 1,200 in 1965, will further strain Tanzania's
understaffed civil service. It is in line with
Nyerere's continuing efforts to reduce Western in-
fluence in his administration, however, particularly
in the educational system
C To help fill the void, Nyerere reportedly in-
tended to ask Peking to supply Chinese personnel.
East Germany has already sent about 40 secondary
school teachers. Earlier this month, a Tanzanian
minister flew to Moscow to seek aid in building and
staffing a technical university to replace the small,
USAID-assisted technical college in Dar es Salaam -1
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Canada: ,Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau's Lib-
eral Party has a good chance to win a small parlia-
mentary majority in Tuesday's voting.j
The latest polls give the Liberals some 46 per-
cent of the vote, enough to take a majority of the
264 seats. Three major parties and two minor ones
are in the race. On the other hand, a district by
district assessment by the embassy indicates that
the Liberals will fail narrowly to win a majority
and will have to continue as a minority administra-
tion as they have been for the past five years j
CTrudeau has roused the voters, and images as
well as issues have played an important part in the
campaign. In contrast to that of Progressive Con-
servative leader Robert Stanfield, the Trudeau ef-
fort has been well organized. The prime minister's
personal style of campaigning has attracted record
crowds.)
LTrudeau has kept the campaign focused on issues
of his choosing--national unity and foreign policy--
and has succeeded fairly well in downplaying Canada's
economic problems, on which the Liberals are most
vulnerable. All three major party leaders have sup-
ported a comprehensive review of Canada's foreign
and defense commitments, and have favored recogni-
tion of Communist China.1
Third parties pose the most serious threat to
the Liberals. The leftist and urban-based New Dem-
ocratic Party is expected to add a few seats to the
22 that it now holds. The New Democrats have made
attacks on US investment in Canada a central theme
of their campaign. Trudeau and Stanfield have vir-
tually ignored the issue, however, and, unlike some
previous elections, anti-Americanism has not been a
significant factor in this one. -7
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[A minor French Canadian party
may
take seats
from the Liberals in rural Quebec,
one
of the few
areas where Trudeau has not caught
on.
His strong
profederation position on the issue
of
granting
greater authority to the province and his reputa-
tion as a social reformer have hurt him in that area;'
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Uruguay: President Pacheco intends to take
firmer action against labor leaders and other agi-
tators responsible for the current wave of disorders.
The President reportedly has cabinet and mili-
tary backing for an intended crackdown on leaders
of the Communist-controlled National Workers' Conn
It is not clear how effective Pacheco's meas-
ures will be. If the government does not move
promptly to alleviate the chaotic economic condi-
tions, punitive measures against labor and student
agitators might only set off more widespread vio-
lence.
In the past, the government has been unwilling
or unable to impose significant sanctions on key
labor leaders. Much of the present agitation is
caused by economic grievances and the PCU is often
unable to dissuade more militant workers from active
protest. The party reportedly has decided that it
must now assume more vigorous leadership of the
protests if it is not to be displaced by other more
rad " 1 groups-1-T
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Chile: The disruption at the University of
Chile continues.
The administrative structure of the university
has resulted in an extreme fragmentation of respon-
sibility and a diffusion of interests in the 13 fac-
ulties and ten regional branches. The students and
faculty are united at some of the branches but mak-
ing contradictory demands at others.
Violence broke out early this week between ex-
treme leftists and police in front of the central
administration building in Santiago. Earlier, the
investigative police had entered and searched uni-
versity television studios following reports that
Molotov cocktails were being stored there.
Some observers predict that university func-
tions will be back to normal by next week, but this
would only mean that short-term solutions have been
found to some problems. Congress has begun to con-
sider the government's higher education bill, which,
if passed, would be a start toward the needed lon -
term reforms.
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India: [Internal strains within the radical
left Communist Party (CPI/L) may be leading to a
formal organizational split and possibly the emer-
gence of a third Communist party.]
[Four important dissident leaders recently have
been expelled from the CPI/L state secretariat in
Andhra Pradesh, an area long a major stronghold for
the party. The powerful expellees are expected to
attract a substantial group of supporters out of
the party and in doing so may completely split the
state party unit.]
The Andhra dissidents, already predominant
within their own state unit, may now move to join
forces with more extremist CPI/L elements in West
Bengal and elsewhere in a national split reminiscent
of the 1964 break between the CPI/Leftists and the
pro-Moscow CPI/Right. Serious negotiations between
the Andhra dissidents and the extremists toward
formation of a third Indian Communist party have
been taking place for several months. The Andhra
leaders, however, appear to have been waiting until
they were expelled from the CPI/L before moving
ahead with third party plans. Expulsion, they re-
portedly believe, would win them more sympathy, and
thus more support from party cadres, than simply
quitting.-]
Formation of a third Communist party out of
the various extremist and dissident factions within
the CPI/L could prove very difficult. The leader-
ship of the Andhra group includes a number of capa-
ble ideologues and activist veterans whose prestige
is far greater than the more radical West Bengal -
based extremist leadership. The Bengalis, however,
have taken the lead in attacking the official party
line and are unlikely to settle for a secondary
role in any new party. Moreover, there appear to
be significant differences in
ideology and attitude,
with
the extremists much more
slavishl Dro-Peking
than
the more pragmatic Andhra
group.
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Denmark: [The finance committee of the Danish
Parliament approved on 18 June the purchase of a
second squadron of 23 Swedish J-35 Draken aircraft.
This purchase is for the reconnaissance version of
the Mach 2 plane. A fighter-bomber version was or-
dered in March. Delivery of the second squadron,
which will cost about $26.4 million, will begin in
mid to late 1971, after the $34-million contract
for the hter-bombers is filled.]
Spain: The Franco government is showing con-
tinued concern over the possible spread of politi-
cal unrest in France and elsewhere. Monarchist
celebrations planned for 22 and 24 June in a num-
ber of Spanish cities were abruptly canceled. In
recent months, the government has been quick to
ban meetin s that might develop into political
problem
Philippines-Malaysia: The prospects for a ne-
gotiated solution to the Sabah dispute are dim at
this time. Talks that began in Bangkok on 17 June
have been taken up with wrangling over procedural
preliminaries and there are no indications that
either party intends to give ground. The Philippine
side appears to be relying on stalling tactics--
Manila has sent a poorly prepared delegation and
has given it little authority to make decisions.
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