CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A009100010001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 18, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 8, 1966
• Content Type: REPORT

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TOP SECRET
8 July 1966
JCS and State department
review(s) completed.
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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY
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AND DECLASSI CIASSIF15p r ved For Release 2003/04/14: CIA-RDP79T00975A 0 1 00
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8 July 1966
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
1. Vietnam. Current situation report. (Page 1)
2. Warsaw Pact - Vietnam: Pact statement on Viet-
nam pledges "volunteers" if Hanoi requests them.
(Page 4)
3. Egypt: Disenchantment with Nasir regime growing.
(Page 5)
4. Congo (Brazzaville): Government leaders maintain-
ing tenuous control. (Page 6)
5. Notes: Communist China; Bolivia. (Page 7)
ME.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
8 July 1966
*Vietnam: (Information as of 4:30 AM EDT)
Political Developments in South Vietnam: Con-
tinued postponement of the planned cabinet reshuffle
may be another indication of friction within the mili-
tary leadership,
An adviser to Premier Ky stated yesterday that
the announcement of the new cabinet alignment has
been delayed a few days in order to work out details
involving only a few ministries. It may be, however,
that Deputy Premier Co--who was earlier reported
to be questioning some appointments and who stands
to lose considerable responsibility in the cabinet re-
organization- -is balking at the proposed transfer of
several ministries presently under his control to a
new supra ministry-1
General Thi, meanwhile, is scheduled to be inter-
rogated by a specially appointed council of 20 generals
on 9 July before a decision is made on his possible
court martial. )Thi has thus far refused to supply
written answers to a comprehensive and detailed series
of questions concerning his role and that of others in
the "struggle" movement
With respect to Buddhist/government affairs, mod-
erate Buddhist Institute Chairman Tam Chau appears
to be exploring the limits of the regime's announced
policy of leniency toward "struggle" supporters. In
three public letters issued to government officials on
5 July, Chau asked that he be permitted to visit all
Buddhists under detention, that all "strugglers" be
released and returned to their offices "except. for a. few
individuals as stated by the Prime Minister,'" and
that repressive measures against Buddhist "compa-
triots" in central Vietnam come to an end. Chau also
informed the government that the Institute has not yet
considered the matter of naming a representative for
the newly-announced Civilian - Military Advisory Council.
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`Savannakhel
\ NfRTH .Oon8Hoe
VIETNAM
SOUTH VIETNAM
CURRENT SITUATION
be ,S loom-
. T. lYe ~. e ' R.~prriltHc
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8 Jul 66 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Map
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ARVAT)+rrrniund
mnlfibatt line South yVietnomese '"m
y
operations in the north-central coastal plain and in
the Mekong Delta have inflicted heavy losses on the
Communists.
Two hundred and seventy-five miles northeast
u
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battalions in a pursuit operation reacting to a Viet
Cong attack of 6 July north of Qui Nhon have thus far
killed 166 Communist troops. Fifty miles southwest
of Saigon, units of the 9th ARVN Division reported
113 Viet Cong killed during a three-day search-and-
destroy operation in Vinh Long Province.
of Saigon, in coastal Binh Dinh Province, six ARVN
Viet Cong military activity during the past 24
hours was highlighted by a mortar attack last night
against Binh Thuy Air Base in Phong Dinh province,
southwest of Saigon. An estimated 40 rounds of 81-mm.
mortar fire was directed against the recently com-
pleted USAF/VNAF jet air strip, resulting in five US
casualties and three helicopters destroyed or damaged.
There are indications that major Communist units
may be moving through the southern area of Pleiku and
Darlac provinces en route to coastal Phu Yen Province.
According to recent prisoner interrogation
a newly-infiltrated North Vietnamese Army
(JPAVN) regiment--the 49th of the 320th PAVN Divi-
sion--recently deployed from the Chu Pong Mountain
area eastward to join forces with the 18 "B" and 95th
PAVN Regiments. They are to protect infiltration
corridors and secure rice harvests in Phu Yen and Phu
Bon provinces. The massing of three PAVN regiments
in this strategic coastal area might comprise a divi-
sion-size unit, which would be the sixth detected to
date in South Vietnam.
Military Developments in North Vietnam: US pilots
reported that North Vietnamese MIG-21 Fishbeds fired
air-to-air missiles during a clash with two USAF F-105
Thunderchiefs about 30 miles north of Hanoi on 7 July.
Neither US aircraft was hit. Although air-to-air
8 J
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missiles have reportedly been fired by North Vietna- 25X1
mese pilots on a previous occasion, their presence
in the DRV air force has not yet been confirmed.
US Navy A4E Skyhawks again struck the Haiphong
POL storage facility on 7 July, causing multiple fires
and secondary explosions which produced a smoke
column estimated to be 20, 000 feet high. One A4E
was lost to ground fire but the pilot was recovered.
According to pilot reports, Navy aircraft also
attacked four North Vietnamese patrol boats on 7 July,
sinking two, beaching and burning the third, and
heavily damaging the fourth.
P1. Mr/11
Political Developments in North Vietnam- The
official Czech news agency claimed in a dispatch from
Hanoi on 7 July that the North Vietnamese may soon
begin trials of captured US airmen and that death sen-
tences will be demanded for some. The report stated
that the trials will begin either on 20 July, the anni-
versary of the signing of the 1954 Geneva Agreements
on Vietnam or on 4 August, the second anniversary of
the Tonkin Gulf incident. The pilots will probably be
tried before military tribunals in the provinces in
which they were captured, according to the report.
There has, as yet, been no announcement from
the North Vietnamese that trials will be held. In re-
cent weeks, however, Hanoi has mounted an unprece-
dentedly vehement propaganda campaign against what
it calls "criminal" US airmen. Specific threats have
been made regarding both trials and demands for
death penalties. The total number of US airmen held
by the North Vietnamese is unknown but there are
probably at least thirty-five.
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*Warsaw Pact - Vietnam: The pledge "to allow
their volunteers to go to Vietnam" if Hanoi requests
them, which highlights the 7 July Warsaw Pact state-
ment on Vietnam, puts a bloc-wide stamp on separate
pledges to the same effect made earlier.
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Soviet spokesmen and some of the East Europeans
have made similar conditional pledges of volunteers in
the past. Moscow probably hopes that a renewal of the
pledge at this time will help to generate third-country
pressures on the US to cease bombing North Vietnam.
Moreover, the unified position adopted by the Warsaw
Pact states serves to point up their solidarity on Viet-
nam in contrast to the go-it-alone policy of the Chinese.
The occasion has again demonstrated the value
of the Warsaw Pact to Moscow as a forum for eliciting
bloc backing for important Soviet positions. Well-
hedged offers of volunteers contain little hazard and at
the same time dramatize bloc support for the Viet-
namese Communists.
Because of the shortage of time for preparation of this item, the analytic
interpretation presented here has been produced by the Central Intelligence
Agency without the participation of the Bureau of Intelligence and Research,
Department of State or of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Department of Defense
8 Jul 66
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Disenchantment with the Nasir regime
Egy~pt: R
seems to growing among important elements of the
Egyptian population-i
there are few
Eg~ptians who have not hact a reiative of friend killed
in Yemen, arrested for suspected political activity, or
arbitrarily treated in the recent campaign against land-
owners evading the reform laws. Last week the re-
gime ousted several hundred village chiefs, who usually
come from influential local families.7
I Prime Minister
Zakariya Muhyi al-Din is at oacts witti Ali 8abri, wnorn
Nasir removed from the premiership last fall. Sabri
is using his present position as head of the state-
sponsored Arab Socialist Union to advocate further
socialization. These efforts conflict with Muhyi al-
Din's reform program stressing austerity and efficiency.
Nasir continues to subordinate reforms to political con-
siderations.
[There is still no information that the dissat ' is'f ac -
tion is being translated into new, active antiregimie
moves. Nevertheless, last summer the Muslim
Brotherhood plotting reached a fairly advanced stage
before the regime uncovered it and suppressed itj.
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Congo (Brazzaville): Government leaders are
mabil'Eining tenuous control in Brazzaville following
last week's abortive army revolt.
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President Massamba-Debat and Prime Minister
Noumazalay claim the support of army and gendarmerie
leaders and have refused to accede to most of the de-
mands made by dissident army elements.
They are said to have admitted publicly that only
Cuban support kept them in power. There are approx-
imately 200 to 300 Cubans in the country, some 50 of
whom form the presidential bodyguard.
Order has been generally restored,, [but some in-
dividuals are taking advantage of the situation to settle
old tribal and personal quarrels, resulting in several
deaths.1
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NOTES
Communist China: Severe flooding in southern
China, particularly Kwangtung Province, is cutting
down the early rice crop. The extent of the damage is
not yet known, but Kwangtung Province normally ac-
counts for about 35 percent of the early rice crop, or
about five percent of China's total grain harvest in re-
cent years. With the wheat areas of northern China
suffering from drought, the over-all outlook is poor
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unless growing conditions are much better than, average
in the last half of the year.
Bolivia: With approximately 80 percent of the
vote counted, Rene Barrientos is assured the presi-
dency and his Bolivian Revolutionary Front 82 of the
102 seats; in the.Chamber: of;Deputies and:18 of. 27 in the
Senate. In the important La Paz department, however,
a real battle, which could lead to violence, is devel-
oping between the Christian Democratic Community
(CDC) and the Nationalist Revolutionary Movement.
In each department, the party receiving the second
highest number of votes is automatically awarded one..
fifth of the deputy seats and one third of the senate
seats for that department. Should the CDC--which ran
its three top candidates in the La Paz department--
lose its current lead there, it may not accept the de-
8 Jul 66
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ON.
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE
The United States Intelligence Board on 7 July
1966 approved the following national intelligence esti-
mates:
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NIE 14.3-66, "North Vietnamese Military
Potential for Fighting in South Vietnam"
NIE 31/32-66, "The Foreign Polities of
India and Pakistan" 1 ::1
NIE 60-1-66, "The Radical West African
States"
MEN.
so
8 Jul 66 8
 Approved Pik
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistants to the President
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Administrator
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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