CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A006500010001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 19, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 2, 1962
• Content Type: REPORT

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
3. USSR: Khrushchev's prediction of record harvest
this year appears unrealistic. (Page tit)
6. West New Guinea: Djakarta prepared to negotiate
as soon as arrangements can be made. (Page A)
7. The Congo Situation. (Page vt t )
8. Argentina: Economics Minister Alsogaray probably
will be ousted. (Page viii)
LJ/~ I
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USSR: Khrushchev's prediction--made at an agri-
cultural conference in Moscow on 27 June--of a harvest
of between 148 and 164 million metric tons of grain "if
there is no worsening of conditions" appears unrealis-
tic. His prediction of a recordgrain harvest and his
statements indicating improvement in the Soviet live-
stock situation seem intended to justify the measures
taken this spring to improve agricultural production.
Some of these h-particularly the price rise in meat and
dairy products--have been unpopular, and rumors of
further price rises are circulating among the Soviet peo-
ple. By claiming record crop prospects, Khrushchev
may hope to raise morale and to secure greater public
acceptance of these measures.
It seems unlikely that this year's crop will reach
even the record achieved in 1958, which was well below
the lower limit of Khrushchev's current forecast. While
grain acreage has been expanded this year, weather con-
ditions have been about average in most of the USSR and
generally unfavorable in the New Lands region, which
produces over one third of all Soviet grain. This region,
where crop failures in 1960 and 1961 contributed adversely
to mediocre production for the country as a whole, has
been suffering from drought conditions. While there was
at least temporary relief in the latter part of May, the re-
gion is still short of moisture, and a prolonged dry spell
later in the season could do much damage.
I
2 July 62 DAILY BRIEF iii
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on adequate safeguards for native self -determinati
West New Guineas Indonesia apparently is pre-
pared to resume secr t preliminary talks with the
Dutch on West New Guinea under the auspices of Am-
bassador Bunker as soon as arrangements can be
made. Foreign Minister Subandrio, who had just
conferred with President Sukarno, informed the US
ambassador of Indonesia's position on 30 June. He
added that the Indonesian delegate, Adam Malik,
would be ready to begin discussions by 9 July at the
latest. Indonesia's decision apparently results from
U Thant's letter of 28 June to President Sukarno in
which Sukarno was once more assured that the Neth-
erlands is willing to postpone a plebiscite in New
Guinea until after the transfer of the area's adminis-
tration to Indonesia. The Dutch still insist, however,
/Subandrio told the US ambassador that he hopes
the transfer of West New Guinea's administration to
Indonesia can be accomplished as soon as possible.
Sukarno has demanded a transfer before the end of
1962 rather than after the two-year period stipulated
in the Bunker plan. Subandrio said he hoped the Dutch
would not request a "cease-fire" in New Guinea while
the talks are in progress; he stressed that the discus-
sions could break down on this issue. Indonesian of-
ficials have repeatedly stated that military operations
in New Guinea will continue even if the talks resumell
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Congo: 7~~homb6, in an interview on 30 June
with ffi-e-US,"British, French, and Portuguese con-
suls, said that he considers U Thant's statement on
29 June alerting UN forces in the Congo as "a vir-
tual declaration of war!' Tshomb6, who professed
to be ill, said that he had planned to leave. for
Geneva last week end'but that in view of the UN
statement, he would have to "stay a little longer" in
Elisabethville "to calm the population." The Katan-
gan leader made it clear that he would not return to
Leopoldville, but asserted that he was ready to meet
Adoula anywhere else; he said that he felt agreement
could be reached "in as short a time as five day?~
eanwhile, there are indications that more mer-
ceni, . ries are arriving in southern Katanga, where the
US consul estimates there are already at least 250
well-organized mercenaries. The Katangan Ministry
of Health has reportedly bought seven small Belgian
planes, one of which has already arrived, ostensibly
for a "mercy medical mission" to remote areas but
reportedly to be used for military support. I
lRadio Katanga, now again in op-
erating order and capable of brQadcasting to Leopold-
ville and to the Conao general
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Argentina: 30 June the undersecretary for
foreign affairs informed Ambassador McClintock
that Economics Minister Alsogaray would probably
be ouste
'he cabinet is irritated with Alsogaray's han-
of the financial crisis, which has intensified
dling
during the past few months, causing record bank- 25X1
ruptcies and growing unemployment.
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\ here have been new closures by the major ap-
pliance manufacturers. Moreover, various military
"311111
units have not been paid since April, their barracks
are no longer heated, and their rations have been cur-
tailed. The large reductions in industry, where Peron-
ist strength is centered, affects internal security and 25X1
is an ' mportant actor in military o osition to Also-
m1m
"SM
1 111,
ara
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
Military Representative of the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, Office of Emergency Planning
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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