CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A003400110001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 21, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 14, 1957
• Content Type: REPORT

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14 November
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1957
Copy No. i I s
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DIA and DOS
review(s)
completed.
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DATE REVIEWER:
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OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 25X1
TOP SECRET
2003/02/27: CIA-RDP79
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CONTENTS
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,L
2. SOVIET DEFENSE MINISTRY MAY BE REORGANIZED
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3. INTE1 ATIONAL COMMUNIST LEADERS HOLD MEETINGS
IN MOSCOW 25X1 A
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Ale
4. DEATH.OF CZECHOSLOVAK PRESIDENT
25X1A
5. BRITISH FOREIGN SECRETARY PESSIMISTIC OVER JORDAN
SITUATION
__ 6. BELGIAN RIFLES ISSUED TO SYRIAN PARAMILITARY GROUPS
8. PEIPING OFFERS ECONOMIC AID TO INDONESIA
25X1A
;~.0 7. TUNISIA'S PRO-WESTERN POLICY MAY HINGE ON ARMS
DELIVERIES /~
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D
9. PRESIDENT GARCIA WINNING RE-ELECTION IN PHILIPPINES
25X1A
10. PEIPING MAKES NEW BID FOR OFFICIAL REPRESENTATION
IN HONG KONG 25X1 A
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14 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
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2. SOVIET DEFENSE MINISTRY MAY BE REORGANIZED
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Comment on:
The possibility that Zhukov2s ouster
as defense minister will result in a
major shake-up in the ministry has
been heightened I
25X1 C
the new de- 25X1 C
fense minister, Marshal Rodion Mal
inovsky, has already transferred sev-
eral loyal friends of Zhukov` and. relieved numerous high 25X1 C
officers of their commands.
the future of Chief of Staff
Sokolovsky is hanging in the balance and that he may be
replaced by his predecessor, General Semyon Shtemenko,
who is described as an anti-Zhukov man.
Creation of separate ministries for
the air force and the nav is currently being planned,
the concentration of power hitherto held by the Ministry
of Defense and make party control easier, but at some
sacrifice of centralized military responsibility. At
Stalin's death, the Navy Ministry was merged with the
Ministry of War but there has never been a separate
air ministry.
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Such a move would break up
14 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
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3. INTERNATIONAL COMMUNIST LEADERS HOLD
MEETINGS IN MOSCOW
25X1A Comment on:
Plans for some type of international
Communist grouping are probably be-
ing discussed in Moscow, and an an-
nouncement may be made in this con-
nection in the next few days. Since
the conclusion of the 40th anniversary celebration on 9
November, bilateral meetings have been held by individ-
ual Communist delegations with the Soviet leaders. These
have included delegations from "Eastern Europe, Yugo-
slavia, the Asian Communist states, and from most other
nations represented by Communist party members," ac-
cording to a Moscow announcement. According to an of-
ficial Budapest-broadcast of 13 November, world Commu-
nist leaders will hold a conference in Moscow which "will
open at the end of this week, probably Friday, and will last
until Monday," with a communique to be issued at its conclu-
sion.
In view of the reported objection by
Chinese, Polish, and Yugoslav Communist: leaders to an
international organization which would be closely controlled
by the USSR, a number of loosely associated regional group-
ings may be announced. Arrangements probably would be
made for the publication of a central press organ and for
periodic meetings in which an "exchange of experience"
could be conducted. 25X1A
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4. DEATH OF CZECHOSLOVAK PRESIDENT
25X1 AC,omment ono
The death of Czechoslovak President
Zapotocky on 13 November probably
will not seriously affect the stability
of the Czechoslovak Communist regime
or its relationship with the USSR. The
office of president has gradually lost its influence in party
and government affairs in recent years largely because of
Zapotocky's declining health. Actual political power has
come to be divided between Party First Secretary Novotny
and Premier Siroky, Novotny being probably the most in-
fluential figure in the regime. Khrushchev reserved his
warmest expressions of regard for Novotny during the
Soviet delegation's tour of Czechoslovakia in July.
There have been signs of rivalry be-
tween Novotny and Siroky, but they may agree on a mu-
tually acceptable candidate for the presidency. Deputy
Premier Vaclav Kopecky, author of the government's "hard-
line" cultural.policy, is such a potential compromise choice
for the office. Precedent, however, favors the "promotion"
of Siroky to the presidency. The last two presidents, Gott-
wald and Zapotocky, were promoted from the post of premier.
Zapotocky as president acted as a brake on the rivalry be-
tween Siroky and Novotny which will be missing if Siroky
becomes president. There would also be contention between
the two over the naming of a new premier.
14 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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 5. BRITISH FOREIGN SECRETARY PESSIMISTIC OVER
JORDAN SITUATION
25X1Aeference:
25X6
British Foreign Secretary Selwyn
Lloyd is seriously concerned that
the West may in a short time be con-
fronted with the fait accompli of a
Syrian-Egyptian coup in Jordan, pos-
sibly preceded by the assassination of
King Hussayn. He told American Min-
ister Barbour on 12 November that
Nasir is rapidly becoming so committed by his anti-
Hussayn radio campaign that he may feel compelled to
follow through with action. Lloyd doubted that some kind
of Anglo-American intervention can be avoided although
he questioned the feasibility of such a move.
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 6. BELGIAN RIFLES ISSUED TO SYRIAN
PARAMILITARY GROUPS
25X1 AComment on.
The Belgian 7. 62-mm. NATO-type
rifles currently being issued to
Syrian paramilitary youth groups
are part of a consignment of 10,000
such weapons ordered by Syria from
Belgium in early 1956 and subsequently paid for. De-
livery of the rifles was held up as a result of hostilities
in Sinai in November 1956; however, the weapons were
finally shipped to Syria in early 1957 after Damascus
demanded delivery or its money back. Since that time
most of the rifles have been held in storage for issuance
to paramilitary youth and popular resistance groups, but
some were recently found in arms caches in Lebanon and
Jordan.
Belgian NATO-type rifles have also
been sold in quantity to Israel. The first Soviet bloc
arms reached Syria in late December 1955.
25X1A
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7. TUNISIAS PRO-WESTERN POLICY MAY HINGE ON
ARMS DELIVERIES
25X1A Reference:
President Bourguiba'Ps chief problem--
to establish in the eyes of the Tunisian
people the reality of Tunisian independ-
ence and sovereignty- -will be aggravated
by the delivery of French arms. French
Foreign Minister. Pineau informed the
American ambassador in Paris on 12
November that French arms- -presumably
equipment for a battalion-would be transferred to Tunisia.
Bourguiba has sought arms from various
Western sources not only to supply his unequipped army,
from which France has withheld promised equipment, but
also'to break France's hold over his country. He resents
French attempts to regulate Tunisia's relations with other
countries and any implication that other Western powers ac-
cept French domination of the country.
The shipment of 2,000 Egyptian-made
rifles which is en route to Tunisia is expected to reach Tunis
on 15 or 16 November. Its arrival probably will be followed
by an expansion of -Egyptian influence, which Bourguiba has
sought to forestall.
25X1A
Under these circumstances, Bourguiba,
faced with strong opposition within his government to his out-
spoken support for the West, may feel impelled to mend his
political fences by revising this pro-Western alignment.
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 8. PEIPING OFFERS ECONOMIC AID TO INDONESIA
25X1 AComment on:
During the recent visit of former
Indonesian Vice President Hatta to
Peiping, Chinese Communist officials
told him that they are willing to grant
limited economic aid to Indonesia, ac-
cording to an Indonesian newspaper. Planned to reach
$20,000,000, the aid would consist of such items as tex-
tile machinery and other industrial equipment needed by
Indonesia's consumer industries.
Peiping has made economic grants to
Cambodia and Nepal, and payments on a grant to Ceylon
will commence next year. As a nation capable of aiding
Indonesia's economic development, Peiping would win ad-
ditional prestige among Asians.
President Sukarno claimed in July that
Mao Tse-tung had made him an informal offer of military
equipment during his visit to Peiping in October 1956.
The Indonesian government has repeat-
edly expressed its willingness to accept aid from any nation
provided "no strings are attached." In arranging specific
projects, however, Indonesia has been indecisive and pro-
crastinating, and since September 1956, has stalled off
final approval of a Soviet aid agreement in the amount of
$100,000,000.
Although a modest Chinese aid program
might be more acceptable to the government and to Sukarno
than extensive Soviet aid, Indonesian officials might not be will-
ing to risk the adverse reaction of the anti-Communist, anti-
Djakarta dissident leaders in the provinces.
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9. PRESIDENT GARCIA WINNING RE-ELECTION
IN PHILIPPINES
25X1AComment on:
The trend of returns from the Philip-
pine elections of 12 November shows
President Carlos Garcia winning re-
election by a comfortable majority
over his nearest rival, Liberal party
candidate lose Yulo. The pro-Amer-
ican Liberal party vice-presidential
candidate Diosdado Macapagal, how-
ever, is defeating Garcia's Nacionalista running mate,
lose Laurel, Jr.
Garcia's success is due largely to the
advantages he held as the incumbent as well as to a strong
party machine. He must also have convinced many voters
that he would carry on the foreign and domestic policies
of the late President Magsaysay. Another factor may have
been the election day typhoon which struck the northern
Philippines, where antiadministration sentiment is the
strongest.
The defeat of Laurel, together with the
fourth-place showing of ultranationalist presidential candidate
Senator Claro Recto, indicates that anti-American sentiment
was not an important consideration in this election. There
may, however, be a resurgence of intense nationalism in
the near future as one of Garcia's first major undertakings
is expected to be a review of US-Philippine relations, in-
cluding a revival of negotiations on the "modernization" of
the American military bases agreement.
14 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11
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10. PEIPING MAKES NEW BID FOR OFFICIAL
REPRESENTATION IN HONG KONG
25X1 AComment on:
In trade talks last month in Peiping
with the under secretary of the British
Board of Trade, Chou En-lai raised
the question of official Chinese Com- 25X1 C
95Xj r% munist representation in Hong Kong,
Chou had first asked in Feb-
ruary 1956 for London's approval of a plan to station a
Chinese Communist "commissioner" in the colony. Com-
munist representation in Hong Kong may be Peiping's price
for increasing trade with Britain.
The British government takes the view
that Communist representation in the colony would be in-
tolerable.
Chou's maneuver is in line with a prop-
aganda campaign which features Peiping as the champion
of Chinese residents of Hong Kong. Peiping asserts that
the Hong Kong authorities are treating Chinese residents
unfairly and are also incapable of maintaining order and
security in the colony.
25X1A
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