CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A003200340001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 9, 1957
• Content Type: REPORT

25X'/,
200ZQ 3(FW- U79T A
9 August 1957
Copy No. 136
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
I
DAV
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
This document contains classified information affecting
the national security of. the United States within the
meaning of the espionage laws, US . Code Title 18, Sections
793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission
or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un-
authorized person, as well as its use in any manner
prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States
or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri-
ment of the United States.
State Dept. review completed
j j TOP SECRET
2002/07/30 :CIA-RDP79T
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CONTENTS
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. FRENCH NATIONAL ASSEMBLY TO BE CALLED INTO SPE-
CIAL SESSION ON ALGERIA
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)F1)5. POLES ALTER OPINION OF SOVIET PRESIDIUM SHAKE-UP
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8. RENEWED TENSION IN THAILAND
/1 T~ 9. INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS URGE COOPERATION OF OTHER
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ANNEX- -Conclusions of the Watch Report of the Intelligence
Advisor Committee
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3. FRENCH NATIONAL ASSEMBLY TO BE CALLED INTO
SPECIAL SESSION ON ALGERIA
The French National Assembly will be
called into special session to enact a
basic statute for Algeria before the UN
General Assembly meets this fall, ac-
cording to the chief of Premier Bourges-
Maunoury's personal staff. Minister for
Algeria Robert Lacoste's "definitive"
text of the proposed statute is now being
examined by the government.
According to Lacoste's personal repre-
sentative in the Foreign Ministry, the plan now being consid-
ered divides Algeria into a number of areas with administra-
tive autonomy. Another official on Lacoste's staff in Algeria
states that tentative approval of Socialist, Popular Republican
and Independent leaders has already been obtained to set up
four or five territories on an ethnic basis.
Comment It is becoming increasingly apparent that
the government's strategy will couple a
plan of ethnic gerrymandering to satisfy the French assembly,
with a proposal of regional autonomy to head off attacks in the
UN. Paris is sending Under Secretary of State for European
Affairs Maurice Faure on a tour of Asian capitals in September
to explain France's Algerian policy in the hope of winning wider
support in the UN. A global "counterpropaganda" organization
to deal with North African questions has also been established
by the French government.
The separation of the Saharan area of Algeria
from the northern coastal region has already begun, and the divi-
sion of this area on 7 August into two departments under the min-
ister for the Sahara is another step in this direction.
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5. POLES ALTER OPINION OF SOVIET
PRESIDIUM SHAKE-UP
Polish optimism over the recent changes
in the Soviet leadership is now being mod-
erated by more sober evaluation, accord-
ing to Wladyslaw Bienkowski, Polish min-
ister of education and confidant of party
lea er omu a. ienkowski now believes that no common
policy toward Eastern Europe could have existed among those
dismissed since Molotov and Malenkov represented an "im-
possible amalgam." The changes therefore probably will not
affect Soviet policy toward Eastern Europe, he feels, and will
not necessarily weaken dogmatism and sectarianism in the
USSR.
Comment The continued stability of the "Stalinist"
leadership in both Czechoslovakia and
East Germany, as well as the Bulgarian dismissals of pos-
sible anti-Stalinists, may have contributed to this altered
Polish evaluation of Soviet policy toward Eastern Europe.
Both the Poles and the Yugoslavs now have expressed their
belief that Stalinist elements have not been fully eliminated
from the leadership of the Soviet Union and, consequently,
that dramatic Soviet liberalization of policy toward the Satel-
lites is not to be anticipated.
Poland has apparently been encouraged,
however, by the effect of the Kremlin shake-up on Soviet-
Yugoslav relations. The number of favorable Polish press
references to Yugoslav developments has increased markedly
in the past month. The official Polish reaction to the Tito-
Khrushchev visit placed primary emphasis on the refusal of
either country to impose its own opinion in determining the
form of socialist development.
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8. RENEWED TENSION IN THAILAND
The American embassy in Bangkok
believes that political tensions in
Thailand are nearing a climax. The
assembly began a general debate on
the Phibun government's policies on
8 August.
The role of Marshal Sarit, the report-
edly disaffected army chief and defense minister, would be
the key factor in any assembly effort to unseat the govern-
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Sarit, however, tends toward indecision
and failed to exploit an opportunity to seize power during the
postelection riots in March.
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9. INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS URGE COOPERATION
OF OTHER PARTIES
Indonesian Communist Party Secre-
tary General Aidit has called for
cooperation from other parties, joint
administration, and joint responsibil-
ities in furthering President Sukarno's "nation-saving con-
cept." In a campaign speech in West Java on 3 August,
Aidit pointedly told the National Party and the Nahdlatul
Ulama that in joining the Masjumi in an anti-Communist
front they would be turning their backs on Sukarno, whereas
cooperation would have his blessing.
Comment The two major Moslem parties, the
Masjumi and the Nahdlatul Ulama, have
adopted an outright anti-Communist line in the West Java
campaign leading up to local elections scheduled for 10
August. The National Party, however, possibly could be
persuaded to cooperate on both national and local levels in
the hope of retrieving its former strength.
The Communist Party already has strong
influence in the central government, and on the basis of its
gains in the Central and East Java local elections is pressing
for open participation in the cabinet.
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ANNEX
Watch Report 366, 8 August 1957
of the
Intelligence Advisory Committee
Conclusions on Indications of Hostilities
On the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the
Intelligence Advisory Committee concludes that:
A. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against the continental US or its possessions in the imme-
diate future.
B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against US forces abroad, US allies or areas peripheral
to the orbit in the immediate future.
C. Early deliberate initiation of hostilities by Israel or the
Arab states is not probable. Although tensions continue
between the Arab states and Israel and among certain
Arab states themselves, these are not likely to lead to
serious conflict in the immediate future.
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